| Topic List | |
|---|---|
| #405 | Post #405 was unavailable or deleted. |
|
masterplum 11/03/20 7:24:43 AM #406: |
Duh there is going to be big Republican turnout. There was huge Biden turnout in early voting.
if there wasnt huge trump turnout he would be absolutely smashed. and also thats really not a good thing. Trump is going to lose people who look at the mile long voting line and go eh...... maybe not. --- ... Copied to Clipboard!
|
|
MoogleKupo141 11/03/20 7:25:27 AM #407: |
are there the same amount of polling places as normal in Michigan
are we sure the line isnt because there are fewer places to go --- For your Azuarc . At least Kupo has class and doesn't MESSAGE the people -Dr Pizza ... Copied to Clipboard!
|
| #408 | Post #408 was unavailable or deleted. |
|
masterplum 11/03/20 7:30:09 AM #409: |
UltimaterializerX posted...
You must not know many Trump voters. Nothing is stopping them from voting. No true Scotsman --- ... Copied to Clipboard!
|
|
foolm0r0n 11/03/20 7:40:42 AM #410: |
Damn i wasn't gonna make a prediction but if it's the new guru...
--- _foolmo_ 2 + 2 = azuarc ... Copied to Clipboard!
|
|
xp1337 11/03/20 8:02:03 AM #411: |
8 AM "oh apparently this is the new guru?" update
---Presidential--- Maps xp: https://www.270towin.com/maps/ype8k LotM: https://www.270towin.com/maps/JndLz Dancedreamer: https://www.270towin.com/maps/Pwy28 Xeybozn: https://www.270towin.com/maps/XwmOV Suprak: https://www.270towin.com/maps/NJKy6 Corrik: https://www.270towin.com/maps/KAw3e red sox: https://www.270towin.com/maps/jV7zm charmander: https://www.270towin.com/maps/Lkv9k Chris: https://www.270towin.com/maps/DJzBp fuming: https://www.270towin.com/maps/gXObO Ashethan: https://www.270towin.com/maps/ne1dY Luster: https://www.270towin.com/maps/E0Prx Inviso: https://www.270towin.com/maps/AJ32W Crossfiyah: https://www.270towin.com/maps/vpzmw Tony: https://www.270towin.com/maps/P0yX9 Moogle: https://www.270towin.com/maps/AJ2Jm azuarc: https://www.270towin.com/maps/m2XOY Pyro: https://www.270towin.com/maps/rnA3J MikeTavish: https://www.270towin.com/maps/Wv0rg ESY16: https://www.270towin.com/maps/e263n ZeldaTPLink: https://www.270towin.com/maps/DJjv3 neonreaper: https://www.270towin.com/maps/DJkA3 masterplum: https://www.270towin.com/maps/m24Jv Ulti: https://www.270towin.com/maps/DJk2D ~~~ By Margin Biden LotM: 413-125 MikeTavish: 395-143 masterplum: 388-150 Chris: 360-178 Crossfiyah: 360-178 xp: 351-187 Pyro: 351-187 Xeybozn: 344-194 ESY16: 335-203 ZeldaTPLink: 321-217 Luster: 308-230 Inviso: 305-233 azuarc: 299-239 Corrik: 290-248 Ashethan: 288-250 Tony: 281-257 Dancedreamer: 279-259 charmander: 272-266 Suprak: 271-267 Moogle: 270-268 Ulti: 270-268 --- fuming: 269-269 --- neonreaper: 258-280 red sox: 252-286 Trump ~~~ Swing States/Districts (Ordered from most people picking Biden at the top to least. Only states where we had splits included. Hopefully I caught all the errors here!) MN Biden (23): xp, LotM, Dancerdreamer, Xeybozn, Suprak, Corrik, red sox, charmander, Chris, fuming, Ashethan, Luster, Inviso, Crossfiyah, Tony, Moogle, azuarc, Pyro, MikeTavish, ESY16, ZeldaTPLink, neonreaper, masterplum Trump (1): Ulti WI Biden (22): xp, LotM, Dancedreamer, Xeybozn, Suprak, Corrik, red sox, charmander, Chris, Ashethan, Luster, Inviso, Crossfiyah, Moogle, azuarc, Pyro, MikeTavish, ESY16, ZeldaTPLink, neonreaper, masterplum, Ulti Trump (2): fuming, Tony NV Biden (21): xp, LotM, Dancedreamer, Xeybozn, Suprak, Corrik, Chris, fuming, Ashethan, Luster, Inviso, Crossfiyah, Tony, Moogle, Pyro, MikeTavish, ESY16, ZeldaTPLink, neonreaper, masterplum, Ulti Trump (3): red sox, charmander, azuarc PA Biden (19): xp, LotM, Dancedreamer, Xeybozn, Corrik, charmander, Chris, fuming, Luster, Inviso, Crossfiyah, Tony, azuarc, Pyro, MikeTavish, ESY16, ZeldaTPLink, masterplum, Ulti Trump (5): Suprak, red sox, Ashethan, Moogle, neonreaper AZ Biden (18): xp, LotM, Xeybozn, Suprak, Corrik, Chris, Ashethan, Luster, Inviso, Crossfiyah, Tony, Moogle, azuarc, Pyro, MikeTavish, ESY16, ZeldaTPLink, masterplum Trump (6): Dancedreamer, red sox, charmander, fuming, neonreaper, Ulti NE-2 Biden (16): xp, LotM, Dancedreamer, Xeybozn, Suprak, Corrik, Chris, fuming, Ashethan, Crossfiyah, Tony, azuarc, Pyro, MikeTavish, ESY16, Ulti Trump (8): red sox, charmander, Luster, Inviso, Moogle, ZeldaTPLink, neonreaper, masterplum ME-2 Biden (16): xp, LotM, Xeybozn, Suprak, Chris, Luster, Inviso, Crossfiyah, Tony, Moogle, Pyro, MikeTavish, ESY16, ZeldaTPLink, masterplum, Ulti Trump (8): Dancedreamer, Corrik, red sox, charmander, fuming, Ashethan, azuarc, neonreaper NC Biden (12): xp, LotM, Xeybozn, Chris, Inviso, Crossfiyah, azuarc, Pyro, MikeTavish, ESY16, ZeldaTPLink, masterplum Trump (12): Dancedreamer, Suprak, Corrik, red sox, charmander, fuming, Ashethan, Luster, Tony, Moogle, neonreaper, Ulti GA Biden (8): xp, LotM, Chris, Crossfiyah, Pyro, MikeTavish, ZeldaTPLink, masterplum Trump (16): Dancedreamer, Xeybozn, Suprak, Corrik, red sox, charmander, fuming, Ashethan, Luster, Inviso, Tony, Moogle, azuarc, ESY16, neonreaper, Ulti TX Biden (6): LotM, Xeybozn, Chris, Crossfiyah, MikeTavish, masterplum Trump (18): xp, Dancedreamer, Suprak, Corrik, red sox, charmander, fuming, Ashethan, Luster, Inviso, Tony, Moogle, azuarc, Pyro, ESY16, ZeldaTPLink, neonreaper, Ulti FL Biden (6): xp, LotM, Pyro, MikeTavish, ESY16, masterplum Trump (18): Dancedreamer, Xeybozn, Suprak, Corrik, red sox, charmander, Chris, fuming, Ashethan, Luster, Inviso, Crossfiyah, Tony, Moogle, azuarc, ZeldaTPLink, neonreaper, Ulti OH Biden (3): LotM, Ashethan, Luster Trump (21): xp, Dancedreamer, Xeybozn, Suprak, Corrik, red sox, charmander, Chris, fuming, Inviso, Crossfiyah, Tony, Moogle, azuarc, Pyro, MikeTavish, ESY16, ZeldaTPLink, neonreaper, masterplum, Ulti IA Biden (2): LotM, MikeTavish Trump (22): xp, Dancedreamer, Xeybozn, Suprak, Corrik, red sox, charmander, Chris, fuming, Ashethan, Luster, Inviso, Crossfiyah, Tony, Moogle, azuarc, Pyro, ESY16, ZeldaTPLink, neonreaper, masterplum, Ulti ~~~ Senate xp: https://www.270towin.com/2020-senate-election/qyYBRq [50-48-2 runoffs] Suprak: +3 net for Dems (-AL, +CO, AZ, ME, NC) [50-50] LotM: https://www.270towin.com/2020-senate-election/5nQ22M [54-46] Corrik: https://www.270towin.com/2020-senate-election/5XL9L5 [50-50; Clarified that WV for Dems was an error] ESY16: https://www.270towin.com/2020-senate-election/qyYBRq [50-48-2; "Exact same as xp"] ~~~ House ESY16: +15 net for Dems xp: +13 net for Dems LotM: +13 net for Dems Corrik: +9 net for Dems Suprak: +2 net for Republicans --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? ... Copied to Clipboard!
|
|
The Mana Sword 11/03/20 8:02:57 AM #412: |
if this is the new guru does that mean the winner gets to pick a nominee in 2024
--- ... Copied to Clipboard!
|
|
foolm0r0n 11/03/20 8:03:51 AM #413: |
... Copied to Clipboard!
|
|
ZeldaTPLink 11/03/20 8:11:56 AM #415: |
The Mana Sword posted...
if this is the new guru does that mean the winner gets to pick a nominee in 2024 The winner gets to create a new state (probably Puerto Rico). ... Copied to Clipboard!
|
|
hockeydude15 11/03/20 8:12:20 AM #416: |
... Copied to Clipboard!
|
|
ZeldaTPLink 11/03/20 8:17:23 AM #417: |
This is the current Guru Cookie, based on the last post by xp1337 (#411):
https://www.270towin.com/maps/pl44l ... Copied to Clipboard!
|
|
changmas 11/03/20 8:19:40 AM #418: |
https://www.270towin.com/maps/XplKz
i dont know which Maine district is the one thats red but i just picked one of the two to be red and I intend for that one to be the tossup one. --- The Artist Formerly Known as Hannyabal ... Copied to Clipboard!
|
|
LinkMarioSamus 11/03/20 8:26:24 AM #419: |
What are the four big swing states again? I would predict Biden to win all of them but I have no confidence in any outcome.
Seeing all that red even on the winning maps, why is so much of the country willing to put up with what's effectively a police state? Oh wait. --- Anyone who thinks Rey is a Mary Sue is effectively a misogynist. ... Copied to Clipboard!
|
|
LordoftheMorons 11/03/20 8:26:39 AM #420: |
changmas posted...
https://www.270towin.com/maps/XplKzIts the other one; ME-2 and NE-2 are the two individual EV districts expected to be competitive. --- Congrats to azuarc, GotD2 Guru champ! ... Copied to Clipboard!
|
|
xp1337 11/03/20 8:26:51 AM #421: |
changmas posted...
It's ME-2. I marked it as such even though your map has ME-1 as the red one. ...Honestly I wouldn't have even caught that had you not mentioned it. I saw a red stripe in Maine and my head just went "ME-2" automatically. Same goes for NE-2 being blue. --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? ... Copied to Clipboard!
|
|
Sniperdog117 11/03/20 8:32:38 AM #422: |
https://www.270towin.com/maps/E0Prx
Did I do this right? Not really good at this site. --- Papaopamus? ... Copied to Clipboard!
|
| #423 | Post #423 was unavailable or deleted. |
| #424 | Post #424 was unavailable or deleted. |
|
tennisboy213 11/03/20 9:28:46 AM #425: |
got in line at 6:50 to vote in MN and finished voting at 7:25
I don't know if that's normal or not since I recently moved and this is my first time voting at this location, but thought I'd share anyway --- When somebody's the president of the United States, the authority is total. ... Copied to Clipboard!
|
|
Alanna82 11/03/20 9:42:06 AM #426: |
As someone who lives in Nebraska. I live in Lincoln, which is apparently NE district 1? I see Biden/Harris signs everywhere. Way more than I ever saw for Hillary/whoever. I also see barely any Trump signs. (I know district 1 has stuff outside of Lincoln, but no one is thinking this could be competitive, but it could be.)
--- Don't mess with a Bunny! ... Copied to Clipboard!
|
|
ZeldaTPLink 11/03/20 9:50:29 AM #427: |
Alanna82 posted...
As someone who lives in Nebraska. I live in Lincoln, which is apparently NE district 1? I see Biden/Harris signs everywhere. Way more than I ever saw for Hillary/whoever. I also see barely any Trump signs. (I know district 1 has stuff outside of Lincoln, but no one is thinking this could be competitive, but it could be.) 538 is giving Trump 96% chance of winning there. Maybe the people outside the city do matter. ... Copied to Clipboard!
|
|
LordoftheMorons 11/03/20 9:50:53 AM #428: |
538 has the following vote estimates for NE:
NE1: Trump +12 NE2: Biden +3 NE3: Trump +47 (better for Trump than any full state) NE overall: Trump +18 They give Biden a 4% chance of winning NE1 --- Congrats to azuarc, GotD2 Guru champ! ... Copied to Clipboard!
|
|
greengravy294 11/03/20 9:52:13 AM #429: |
Wonder how long the line is in my bumfuck town
Probably 1 minute or less --- ... Copied to Clipboard!
|
|
Alanna82 11/03/20 9:54:47 AM #430: |
yes, that is correct on NE-3. Even if Biden takes Omaha and Lincoln the rest of the state will have NE win for trump.
--- Don't mess with a Bunny! ... Copied to Clipboard!
|
|
Xeybozn 11/03/20 10:01:13 AM #431: |
Alanna82 posted...
As someone who lives in Nebraska. I live in Lincoln, which is apparently NE district 1? I see Biden/Harris signs everywhere. Way more than I ever saw for Hillary/whoever. I also see barely any Trump signs. (I know district 1 has stuff outside of Lincoln, but no one is thinking this could be competitive, but it could be.) Lincoln makes up less than half of the 1st district's population, and the rest of the district leans strongly towards the Republicans historically. Nobody's focusing on NE-1st because if Biden does well enough to win there, then he'll be overperforming by enough to win multiple red states nobody expects him to compete in. --- Congrats to 2020 GotD Guru champ azuarc! ... Copied to Clipboard!
|
|
LordoftheMorons 11/03/20 10:04:23 AM #432: |
NE2 is actually quite important though since its part of Bidens easiest backup plan to replace PA in case Trump wins there (Clinton states+MI+WI+AZ+NE2=270 exactly).
--- Congrats to azuarc, GotD2 Guru champ! ... Copied to Clipboard!
|
|
Sorozone 11/03/20 10:06:40 AM #433: |
Also just anecdotal evidence being a person from rural Nebraska with a ton of ties to the state and area(massive extended family 100+), I have seen lifelong republican's voting the Biden ticket.
--- ... Copied to Clipboard!
|
|
charmander6000 11/03/20 10:14:01 AM #434: |
So Trump currently leads New Hampshire 16-10.
--- Congratulations to azuarc for winning the guru challenge ... Copied to Clipboard!
|
|
HeroicCrono 11/03/20 10:18:28 AM #435: |
charmander6000 posted...
So Trump currently leads New Hampshire 16-10. 5-0 Biden and 16-5 Trump in the 2 towns. Amazing how they can be so different. Apparently the result in 2016 was 4-2 Clinton and 16-4 Trump, for a total of 20-8 Trump. So Biden is outpacing Hillary so far. ... Copied to Clipboard!
|
|
meche313 11/03/20 10:20:40 AM #436: |
https://www.270towin.com/maps/DJkA3
--- Dp, Dp, he's the man, if he can't do it, no one can! Congrats on the guru victory, champ. ... Copied to Clipboard!
|
|
UberPyro64 11/03/20 10:22:09 AM #437: |
https://www.270towin.com/maps/we92r
This one would be ideal for most destructive result. --- Video Games are pretty cool. ... Copied to Clipboard!
|
|
masterplum 11/03/20 10:35:10 AM #438: |
Sorozone posted...
Also just anecdotal evidence being a person from rural Nebraska with a ton of ties to the state and area(massive extended family 100+), I have seen lifelong republican's voting the Biden ticket. My sample size of one is this is the first time Ive voted for the democrat. 4th Presidential election. I live in Florida --- ... Copied to Clipboard!
|
|
greengravy294 11/03/20 11:27:24 AM #439: |
There were like 3 people ahead of me in line and I've never waited
--- ... Copied to Clipboard!
|
|
greengravy294 11/03/20 11:34:28 AM #440: |
... Copied to Clipboard!
|
| #441 | Post #441 was unavailable or deleted. |
|
red sox 777 11/03/20 11:57:12 AM #442: |
PredictIt odds as of morning of election day - notice the big shift towards Trump in the Sunbelt states over the last 2 days (Arizona crossed over 50% overnight).
Iowa - Trump 77% Ohio - Trump 75% Texas - Trump 75% Georgia - Trump 65% Florida - Trump 64% North Carolina - Trump 57% Arizona - Trump 53% Pennsylvania - Biden 62% Michigan - Biden 72% Wisconsin - Biden 73% Nevada - Biden 75% Minnesota - Biden 77% New Hampshire - Biden 79% --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! ... Copied to Clipboard!
|
|
DoomTheGyarados 11/03/20 11:57:57 AM #443: |
UltimaterializerX posted...
Georgia having random glitches in republican areas. I mean, they are controlled by the republicans! --- Sir Chris Doom The Kanto Saga - Animated Series - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6hH4wNFCrLM ... Copied to Clipboard!
|
|
Yesmar_ 11/03/20 12:02:08 PM #444: |
Yes, Georgia. Known for their routine suppression of Republican voters over recent years.
--- Congrats on Advokaiser for winning the 2018 Guru Contest! Yesmar ... Copied to Clipboard!
|
|
azuarc 11/03/20 12:03:29 PM #445: |
Voted. 40 minute wait.
Pennsylvania++ --- Video Game Music Contest 14 champion: Idola Phantasy Star Saga - Endeavour ... Copied to Clipboard!
|
|
UshiromiyaEva 11/03/20 12:11:17 PM #446: |
Don't know the context of whoever is supposedly trying to claim R voter suppression in GA since they're blocked, but would like to remind them that GA has been one of the most open and blatant hotzones for suppressing minority and D votes in the entire country this election cycle.
--- ACAB ... Copied to Clipboard!
|
|
Crossfiyah 11/03/20 12:13:29 PM #447: |
red sox 777 posted...
PredictIt odds as of morning of election day - notice the big shift towards Trump in the Sunbelt states over the last 2 days (Arizona crossed over 50% overnight). PredictIt largely is fueled by RCP averages which are largely driven by bad pollsters in those states. --- Jagr_68: "hittes Blake Kesseguin a super saiyan NHL star who gives earth a chance to win the Cell gaemz" ... Copied to Clipboard!
|
|
red sox 777 11/03/20 12:14:55 PM #448: |
Crossfiyah posted...
PredictIt largely is fueled by RCP averages which are largely driven by bad pollsters in those states. I'm sure the people betting are aware of what pollsters they're using. They evidently don't agree that they are bad. We'll see soon enough. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! ... Copied to Clipboard!
|
|
masterplum 11/03/20 12:20:18 PM #449: |
... Copied to Clipboard!
|
|
red sox 777 11/03/20 12:22:41 PM #450: |
Trump to win California at 7 cents is a bit odd. I suppose people think there's some nontrivial chance of Trump/SCOTUS throwing out all mail-in votes or something.
--- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! ... Copied to Clipboard!
|
| #451 | Post #451 was unavailable or deleted. |
|
banananor 11/03/20 12:47:03 PM #452: |
i used to ask myself, 'how could people be so dumb'?
then i watched some of the alt-right live streamers and realized 'oh, that is how they are so dumb' --- You did indeed stab me in the back. However, you are only level one, whilst I am level 50. That means I should remain uninjured. ... Copied to Clipboard!
|
| #453 | Post #453 was unavailable or deleted. |
|
greengravy294 11/03/20 12:59:44 PM #454: |
... Copied to Clipboard!
|
| #455 | Post #455 was unavailable or deleted. |
| Topic List |
