Board 8 > Election 2020 Statistics and Discussion

(+) Yeah! (+)

For whom?

Trump

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Oh, Trump.

So that leaves us with PA, WI, and MI. Trump needs one of them to win, I reckon.

Or nevada I think

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I have Nevada to Biden. Trump doesnt need it.

Whats going on with AZ? Is it because of McCain?

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Trump now leads by 14.3% in Pennsylvania with 57% in. Lead stands at 582k. 9.8% lead in Michigan with 52% in, and a vote lead of 288k. 4.9% lead in Wisconsin with 66% in. Vote lead of 118k.

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Its looking like Trump wins.

Crazy he lost Arizona and is still probably going to win.

Needle flipped to Biden in Georgia

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Pennsylvania hits 60% estimated vote in and Trump's lead has gone up to 15.1% and 650k. Also, some of the Philly vote has already come in - Montgomery is at 64%, Chester is at 55%, Delaware is at 59%, and Philadelphia is at 43%.

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How? Im seeing 82% in from Georgia with Trump ahead 8 points.

red sox 777 posted...

Pennsylvania hits 60% estimated vote in and Trump's lead has gone up to 15.1% and 650k. Also, some of the Philly vote has already come in - Montgomery is at 64%, Chester is at 55%, Delaware is at 59%, and Philadelphia is at 43%.

Early votes counted last there.

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Sunroof posted...

How? Im seeing 82% in from Georgia with Trump ahead 8 points.

Atlanta withstanding. Fulton stopped counting til 8am tomorrow.

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I know people in hardcore Trump areas that just finally got out of lines in PA. And lines still going.

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Man, these next day results suck. Impatient!

Kanye West officially concedes.

You hate to see it.

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Heard fox news called arizona for Biden

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Yes a while ago ha.

Fulton is already 59% in according to NYT but they're very close to 100% of 2016 votes and I question that turnout would be up 60% so I'm not sure I buy that. Dekalb is the goldmine for Democrat votes and it's only 31% in. Hopefully they can report some more results soon.....it's past midnight in Georgia and they've been counting since 7. Come on people!

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I wouldn't assume Trump has PA. There's roughly +235k remaining from Philadelphia, +373k remaining from Allegheny if the numbers on NYT remain consistent. That's still a 56k lead afterward. I don't know Montgomery and Delaware can both make up the difference and hold off all the lesser gains in all the other pro-Trump counties, but it's certainly not over. These numbers are assuming that the numbers remain where they were, when the existing rates I'm extrapolating over include election-day results. The remaining votes will be more pro-Democrat than that.

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Sounds like Biden wins Wisconsin.

Biden wins it seems.

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Biden is speaking now. Very odd timing. He clearly does not expect to win tonight.

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Or he's just looking to speak to people before they all decide they have to go to bed.

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Bold move by Biden!

Nah sounds like Biden won if arizona is called.

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Biden would have to win another big state that Clinton lost last time.

Election is a wrap. As long as Georgia stays red, my map is perfect. Good night.

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Corrik7 posted...

Nah sounds like Biden won if arizona is called.

Only if he wins both of the 1-point districts or another state. And holds Michigan and Wisconsin. (Or wins anything else that isn't guaranteed, notably PA.)


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Am I reading this right that Cunningham has lost? I see Tillis as called.

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Well, seems like the incoming votes have really slowed down over the past few hours, so I have transitioned my poll updates spreadsheet to doing roughly 5 minute updates (for the most part) starting at 12:00 AM EST.

The poll updates can be found here:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1J8zcrgLK67G7Cl-BnKuJngOnpMkNZrrkQyJSCUJCxWg/pub?gid=1778572671

I'll stop updating the spreadsheet for now as it's getting late at night and I need to get some sleep for now.
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