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TopicElection 2020 Statistics and Discussion
azuarc
11/04/20 12:38:09 AM
#476:


I wouldn't assume Trump has PA. There's roughly +235k remaining from Philadelphia, +373k remaining from Allegheny if the numbers on NYT remain consistent. That's still a 56k lead afterward. I don't know Montgomery and Delaware can both make up the difference and hold off all the lesser gains in all the other pro-Trump counties, but it's certainly not over. These numbers are assuming that the numbers remain where they were, when the existing rates I'm extrapolating over include election-day results. The remaining votes will be more pro-Democrat than that.

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