Lurker > Lopen

PrivateBiscuit1 posted...

I don't get how WWE's Performance Center is just so absolutely inefficient.

It's obvious to me. It teaches "WWE Style" which is really limited and more importantly doesn't play to the strengths of the wrestler

It's like if you sent a bunch of aspiring chefs to a school that exclusively teaches making pastries and actively discourages anyone from preparing any sort of meal that isn't exclusively centered on pastries. You'd produce a lot of mediocre pastry chefs, some passable ones, and you'd lose a lot of great cooks in the process because they wouldn't be exposed to things they actually excel at or a ton of other peripheral culinary skills that'd help them make good pastries.

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Got Gabranth Awakening off ROP which is nice cause he's my physical Dark chain user.

probably beats my whole last ROP

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ZeroSignal620 posted...

Rob Van Dam
King Booker
The Great Khali

Gotta be one of these three

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Never cared for Andrade much. I suspect it was his booking though more than the actual guy-- looking forward to seeing him somewhere else.

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Deleted posts relevant to the topic I can't read cut deeper than any snark ever could

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Keep in mind the fest itself tends to give around 100 mythril between the gift dungeons, login bonuses, and normal event battles. You should reach it no problem-- may have to skip some of the ROP though.

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It seems like if you had watched it you wouldn't have interpreted douchey heels as goofy comedy. This seems likes something that was lost in translation due to having read and not watched

When I think of goofy comedy I think of something meant to make the audience laugh

But maybe your problem is just with douchey heels in general and you're not explaining well. I seem to remember you saying you didn't like stuff like heels being clever to outsmart the babyface as something that makes them "credible" (because they cheated they can never be credible) either.

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I dislike goofy comedy that's out of place in general

But I'm not sure how heels being jerky jerks is goofy comedy I guess? They're burying Eddie Kingston for panicking. It's not meant to make the audience laugh it's meant to make the audience dislike the heels.

Seemed like an excellent way to damage control all things considered.

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I got an invite for the MVP program lol

Too much playing this game drunk
Too much playing this game while feeling euphoric after big stock market gains

Honestly though I think they've made it a bit less strict. I've spent less than a thousand on this game in the past year I know that. I'd guess around $500?

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Think I might skip RoP this time aside from the realms I really like. I seem to have pretty decent team diversity now and I got a lot of trash last time.

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3/11 Leon Awakening, Josef Arcane Dupe, Gordon USB Dupe

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red sox 777 posted...

Honestly, a 7% loss is a better result than anyone here expected for that trade, after seeing yesterday. It means he got out before yesterday - he'd be down more if he held.

If he actually held for a month he'd double his money

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You'd get $1.24 per year per share. Dividend is $0.31

Of course pre-covid it was doing $0.62, so $2.48 per share, and I think it's going to rapidly head back to pre-covid levels in the next couple of years.

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7% loss 90k is the fast lane to making it become 70k

Moonroof put that DNN money in BP and walk away

DIVIDEND STOCK PLAYS

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https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/stocks/bp/dividend-history

It's actually a pretty good stock for dividend too. Annual $1.24 per share, or double that before last year (we will work back up to that dividend again I'm sure)

Side note short squeeze madness means FUBO is getting rocket fuel too so I'm happy even if I'm not gonna make anything from AMC this time

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This deep into the run I would not recommend any of the short term calls as being particularly safe but if you don't mind holding a while I think the Jan 2023 $20 call has a really attractive price point still. Could see that as an easy 2x.

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British Petroleum

I was saying buy 3/5/2021 calls for it (or Jan 2023 calls if you're feeling less adventurous, company should recover nicely in the next few years) a few times around the beginning of the month based on rising oil prices, OPEC meeting, and positive UK quarantine news being likely

I had a stack of 80 3/5 $23 calls for it. Have sold down to 47 of them at the moment taking profits/removing risk at varying points.

Currently up around 600% on them and have banked 3k profit. (11k unrealized profit right now, but think $26-$30 SP by March 3rd isn't out of the question so will keep holding a lot of them)

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We up 600%+ on dis oil.

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The other thing to realize is crashes to that extent don't come out of literal nowhere

Black Tuesday in 1929, The Coronavirus Crash of 2020. You saw the market being bear for a good month before it got super bad. You also saw world events that could have caused a crash. You deleverage a bit seeing a higher risk going in and you're fine.

I guess like with anything you should do some DD on market conditions before using margin, but with a low amount you'll endure fluke events like yesterday that had no particular cause or warning very easily.

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Like here's a fun way to use margin in an extremely safe way

Use ~10% margin now on a fairly safe stock. Blue chipper. Get 100 shares of it

Immediately sell a very slightly OTM call with those 100 shares that expires EOW. Do not reinvest the cash received from the sold call.

Repeat this process until your call is exercised. Note profits made from sold calls, set aside to not reinvest, repeat process. You'll be surprised how quickly your 10% margin use will become 5% and then become your actual cash. Like if my whole portfolio was relatively safe STOCKS not calls I'd absolutely use some margin. It is not really that scary. I'm pretty sure to reach the infinity point Red Sox said at 10% margin use on 30% maintenance you'd need a 90% loss across the board or something? Even in March that absolutely did not happen in a day.

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In March 2020 unless you were in the worst possible stocks most stuff bounced back where you could reliably sell it at a small loss or break even within a week or two-- you are very unlikely to need all your emergency cash in that window, even if you did lose your job. Proper diversification will help a lot with damage control.

I mean sure if you break your leg, destroy your car, and the stock market all crashes in the same day you're going to have trouble. You'd have trouble if all that happened without 10% margin use too.

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CoolCly posted...

Putting extra money you have on hand into the stock market during a decline isn't a bad idea because it's a good time to get some discounts, but being *required* to do it for a margin call at a time when might need that cash for something else is dangerous. The cash flow is going the wrong way!

I mean the idea is you put the money in and don't invest it in that dire time. You withdraw that money when the market recovers and you've sold some of your assets which have bounced back to cover. You're using your emergency money for just that, an emergency.

Realistically though if you're using only 10% margin I'm skeptical even something like last March would crush you. I don't know the exact numbers but keep in mind those numbers Red Sox posted were based off of 50% margin use, not 10%. I'm pretty sure the % loss for infinity% is much much higher when you're at 10%. I've lost 20% portfolio value in one day with 10% margin use and all I got was a warning. No margin call. I've never received an actual margin call yet. I have clarified the details which is why I know they often literally call you to resolve it but yeah.

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He should have invested in a multinational billion dollar oil company instead of a lowly uranium mine

Currently got a 5 bagger+ going here

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Well I dunno I just think you're going to have a little cash on hand and you're not necessarily going to want it directly sitting in a portfolio either. Like just naturally. And if you don't you can get a front on a paycheck, have a buddy front you a few hundred bucks.

Also keep in mind that with a very small amount of margin used you can recover it through sales of any stock that didn't dip very much. Which will probably happen. You can also sell calls to get capital.

Again I must stress that I don't use margin but the actual functional risk from it is very low if you're using a small amount-- that's all I'm saying.

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red sox 777 posted...

I'm sort of confused. If you have cash, why pay margin interest instead of using it in the first place? Keeping the cash in a bank account and paying interest for the margin loan seems strictly worse.

Cash from your checking account you'd use for your bills, cash in the form of a loan you get spur of the moment

Cash doesn't mean just sitting on something in a savings account.

I guess if the question is "put literally 100% of your liquid worth into the stock market and then 10% margin on top of that" yeah that's not necessarily smart but I'd say the problem there is you putting 100% of your liquid worth into the stock market to begin with as much as danger of your 10% margin call eating you alive. You should always have some sort of emergency line to tap that isn't a stock in case you're in a position where you don't want to sell anything when you need some money

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red sox 777 posted...

And, a Great Depression level event would still wipe you out

Not really. If you have cash equal to the margin you're using, which is completely reasonable for such a small amount of margin used, you can just deposit cash to be a stopgap while your assets recover

Also for all but the worst catastrophes if you're properly diversified you should have some asset that doesn't drop all that much. Like assuming I'd been margin called today I could have easily just sold some of my BP or BTI or DIS which didn't drop much.

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Well like I said you can mitigate the risk of events like today mattering by simply not using a lot of margin relative to your portfolio size. If your portfolio size is 25k without margin and you're only using like 3k of margin you're not likely to get a margin call even after something like today unless you picked the absolute hardest hit stocks. I used the 1k free margin on Robinhood for most of while I was using it (and for most of when I was using robinhood that was a non-negligible amount of my portfolio and never once got a margin call and I had some rather nasty days-- I did get get a warning a couple of times but yeah.

Now the problem with margin is the broker will usually let you match your investment in margin by default, with that being adjusted by maintenance (a risk value associated with each stock). And then if you maintain a good margin there is a good faith modifier of sorts that lets you borrow even more.

So a 25k portfolio could in theory get 25k of margin loaned to them or even more if they get that good faith up. Realistically they'd probably get closer to 10-15k due to maintenance rules, but that's still much much too high. If you keep your borrowed margin down to closer to like 10% of your portfolio in my experience it seems pretty unlikely to actually trigger a margin call, and if your portfolio is sufficiently large even a low value like 10% that can matter. Like even for me, I can get like 4k of margin lending with that rule of thumb and that would be enough to grab like 100 shares of FUBO for passive income every week, which is nice, and way over the interest I'd pay on that!

(I actually can't, because my portfolio is almost all calls now, which have 100% maintenance meaning I can't tap into margin, but you know)

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Well here's the thing.

1. Most brokers will give you some sort of warning before a margin call if it's not a super tank like today (and even if it is like today if you're using sufficiently low amounts of margin you shouldn't be margin called), letting you figure things out yourself on a reasonable schedule
2. I can't speak for every broker but if you get a hardcore MUST GO NOW margin call E-Trade at least will literally call you to get decisions on the assets to sell. I assume this is probably standard.

So I mean margin is a bit risky but if used responsibly the risk is much lower. You're given much more power than you probably should be given if you don't self regulate (they allow you to borrow much more than they probably should, and let you put it into more risky things than they probably should), but if you're taking small amounts relative to your portfolio there's a lot more upside than risk.

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What on earth happened with Workhorse though

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Menji posted...

Roblox IPO set for 3/10

You have your online dating ipos and your airbnbs and your doordashes

This is what I've been waiting for

Glorious block based entertainment for the childrens. Gonna go hard on this one.

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Moonroof always has stop losses

The only question is whether it was at $1 or $1.20

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Also guarantee you Moonroof had a limit sell set for DNN and was ejected this morning

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Most of my DNN was bought around here actually. It was just the during the first surge so because they were options I did overpay since IV was higher.

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Blur is also in DNN but yeah nuclear coming to town

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Bought a bunch of BGFV 3/19 $15 calls with THE DIP but I'm feeling like leaving em in BP may have been better lol well what can you do I think it'll make money

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BP (and BTI) is making me about break even (sold a lot of BP at open cause saw everything was red)

Very pain everywhere else

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red sox 777 posted...

But Tesla is the mother of all bubbles? What's the difference?

I mean I'm not bullish on Nio but there could be plenty of differences

Different markets mostly-- if you're bullish on China as a growing consumer sector for EVs Nio would likely get more of that benefit than Tesla as time goes on (even though Tesla does currently beat Nio in sales). Nio also has a battery subscription gimmick which may be something that's smarter.

Anyway I think it's a good question to ask as I'm curious myself (I like both Li and Xpeng more currently, largely because of their smaller market caps but for other reasons as well) but I don't think this is a good way to phrase the question.

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I think the thing Nanis doesn't understand is that offerings aren't necessarily bad

You need to figure out why the offering was made and what it was being put towards. Some companies will put out an offering and it will overall make me bullish on the stock because I know they have a goal for that money and aren't overly concerned with their stock price tanking short term because it should go up with that raised money

But then you have companies like CTRM which just spam them to no clear end to extort investors

Proper DD involves figuring out which it is

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"One of the safest" does sound a bit ridiculous for a 15m DD on a stock that's up 15x on the year and started below a dollar though

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Sell your Nio buy Li Auto

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Kaxon posted...

With my ticket I got a dupe Matoya awakening and dupe Fighter holy chain. I decided to keep using my tickets on FF1 because there are hardly any other chances to get stuff for that realm.

My logic but I've been using them on FF2

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Red day but

greengravy294 posted...

Let's go bp

Lopen = very very green

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Kaxon posted...

There was a honing scroll? Now I feel like an idiot.

2 honing scrolls if you could beat two

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Yeah I wish I could have got the scrolls. I think FFIV Dreambreaker is probably doable too. But oh well.

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One day late oh well. Still feels good to beat him. My strongest realm can do these at least.



Relevant stuff

Auron Sync + Awakening + HA
Tidus Awakening + Rank 10 Arcane + Limit Break + Ultra 1 + Glint + HA
Rikku Awakening + Realm Chain + Dualcast LMR + Glint+
Wakka Awakening + Dualcast LMR + Glint+
Yuna Sync + Dualcast LMR + Both Awakenings (rank 15 on Awakening 2) + HA

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CoolCly posted...

this is one that keeps coming up a lot over time

I mean to be fair it's all my fault it keeps getting brought up. I do encourage everyone to do their own DD.

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My personal mid term price target for Trevena is $7 or so by the way, assuming no other positive catalysts other than their approved drug the revenue it deserves. I think just what they have on deck will end up being worth $1b market cap pretty soon-- this is just taking a conservative easing in of it replacing morphine in various settings.

Obviously as a pharma it can grow beyond that too with good results on other stuff.

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I'm thinking TRVN will double+ in the next year. Catalysts you're looking forward to is the DEA releasing some sorta statement that their drug is cute and pop or good test results from their pipeline or just revenue increasing. But honestly with that I'm holding long. I see it as a dividend stock at some point and if I have a bucket of shares I got cheap that's gonna be awesome.

Seems like the management for TRVN is really smart. They held off on offering after the FDA approval until their next quarter started-- I think they want to have the quarters look positive in terms of stock price to the best they can to draw investors in. I think they can stave off cash burn now as they have income coming in from some China partnership that gives them milestone payments for their drug (which will probably be widely used over there) and shouldn't require another offering for a good long while, which would be your main fear with a company like that that isn't currently generating quite enough revenue to run in the green yet.

Though it does have that typical Pharma pop that you can probably sell the news on either of those then buy back in cheaper. But yeah not why I'm holding it.

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It's okay Moonroof will sell before we actually hit the upside

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So with TRVN technically you're not really gambling on results of their data (that's upside, the morphine substitute is already FDA approved) as much as their ability to usurp Morphine as the market leader. Morphine has a lot of stigmas and such so to me it will happen it's just a matter of when. It's more of a traditional thing than your typical pharma, just waiting for the chips they've got in play to show on the balance sheet pretty much.

ATHX on the other hand yeah you're probably gambling a bit as they don't have any approved treatments but they've had a really good methodical scientific method with a lot of good results so I think it'll get there soon and they aren't going under due to cash burn any time soon (though offerings could still happen)

I think their partnership with Healios makes it a lot more safe even if the FDA is going to be dickish.

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