Board 8 > Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1294

(+) Yeah! (+)

Is there a "list of biggest blowouts" in the contest so we can compare this?
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This is a reminder that weaker-than-Vercetti Kefka broke 70% on Wesker.
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The Owner of FF9 posted...

All this talk of Mewtwo being a fraud, FF being a fraud, blah blah blah

Behold, the one true fraud.

Sephiroth isnt doing that bad mate
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Man if only we had Chester vs. Draven....

Chester might actually win a match.
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If there is one thing Gamefaqs hates, apparently it's Draven!
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WarThaNemesis2 posted...

This is a reminder that weaker-than-Vercetti Kefka broke 70% on Wesker.

Wesker didn't have Resident Evil 5 or Marvel vs. Capcom 3 to boost him back then.
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this is going to be a very boring day of matches
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Ranticoot posted...

a while back i said i think even base draven could double cayde-6 because that's just how weak cayde-6 is supposed to be

We do have a 6 day Thanksgiving break where we won't have any matches going on, so maybe we can set aside one of those days for Cayde-6 vs. Draven as a bonus match.
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im317 posted...

this is going to be a very boring day of matches

Ammy's match is pretty tight, though. Think she'll make it to 90%?

Just how badly do you all think Wesker would beat Richter...?

Though Richter/Falcon is pretty much pure Smash at this point so it may not be the most reliable poll.
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Also apparently Draven won the board vote. Ama might have a legit shot at 90%.
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careful Ammy, you might upset the LoL fans

Guys I messed up.
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It's settled, I'm gonna beat the ever living crap out of Captain Falcon players as Richter in Ultimate to prove his true dominance.

Also voting characters based on their Smash presence as oppose to their actual IP.
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lmao draven

they should have done draven vs sans for round 1
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I wish we got Dracula back into the bracket. I believe he could do some damage on his name alone.

Castlevania Season 2 on Netflix made him a complete monster in battle.
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imagine the fear that would be out there if Monika had faced Draven in the first round
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squexa posted...

lmao draven

they should have done draven vs sans for round 1

even gamefaqs would choose sans over draven

fuck all that "LoL fans were better than undertale fans" noise, everybody hates LoL and it was the first instance of the site being completely overrun with some of the most unlikable people on earth
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WarThaNemesis2 posted...

imagine the fear that would be out there if Monika had faced Draven in the first round

I think it still would not have been too bad rallywise.
Without his power source, Draven would have lost to Monika and her puny rally, but I don't think Monika's had the same scaling potential as Undertale or Lol , so she would have lost next round.

Mario is gonna reck Sephiroth.
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WarThaNemesis2 posted...

imagine the fear that would be out there if Monika had faced Draven in the first round

Shit that would have been a good way to kill so many brackets
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There should be a Draven vs. Chie bonus match to bring the embarrassment full circle.

SwiftyDC posted...

I wish we got Dracula back into the bracket. I believe he could do some damage on his name alone.

Castlevania Season 2 on Netflix made him a complete monster in battle.

So emo though.
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SwiftyDC posted...

Ryu is gonna reck Sephiroth.

ftfy
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Draven's face is so punchable. Wish they chose a cuter character to rally last time
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Then00bAvenger posted...

Wish they chose a cuter character to rally last time

I thought that was what the Pokemon were for
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I thought Draven would have gotten a small boost due to people recognizing him. Guess not. Remember Jak was at around 70% against him before rallies kicked in.
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ExThaNemesis posted...

SwiftyDC posted...

Captain Falcon is gonna reck Sephiroth.

ftfy

fixed for both of you
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lol Draven

Not gonna lie, it feels good.
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The Owner of FF9 posted...

All this talk of Mewtwo being a fraud, FF being a fraud, blah blah blah

Behold, the one true fraud.

This.

LordoftheMorons posted...

Looking forward to Draven being last in the xstats

And this so much.

After the Sans incident, I was expecting Draven to get anti-voted to oblivion. I expected just that but I'm still impressed!

I'm so glad I didn't lower my Oracle prediction. Hold it for the next 23 hours and we're good.
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charmander6000 posted...

I thought Draven would have gotten a small boost due to people recognizing him. Guess not. Remember Jak was at around 70% against him before rallies kicked in.

Putting it that way I should've seen this coming.

Draven is bound to be weaker than he was in 2013 due to declining League of Legends relevance and he's being antivoted
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I really want to assume a constant Draven and just hand Ammy the entire contest on a silver platter.
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_SecretSquirrel posted...

I really want to assume a constant Draven and just hand Ammy the entire contest on a silver platter.

This makes me wonder:

Assuming 2018 Draven = 2013 Draven, how much does 2018 Amaterasu get on Spring Breeze Dancin through unadjusted x-stats?
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DoctorJimmy133 posted...

Assuming 2018 Draven = 2013 Draven, how much does 2018 Amaterasu get on Spring Breeze Dancin through unadjusted x-stats?

Asking the important questions here.
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Division 7, Round 1

Tifa Lockheart vs. Geno
Registered Vote Result:
Tifa Lockheart - 7184 (73.09%)
Geno - 2645 (26.91%)

Anonymous Vote Result:
Tifa Lockheart - 8031 (73.37%)
Geno - 2915 (26.63%)

GlaDOS vs. Mewtwo
Registered Vote Result:
GlaDOS - 3588 (36.50%)
Mewtwo - 6242 (63.50%)

Anonymous Vote Result:
GlaDOS - 4308 (39.35%)
Mewtwo - 6639 (60.65%)

King Dedede vs. Revolver Ocelot
Registered Vote Result:
King Dedede - 4859 (49.42%)
Revolver Ocelot - 4974 (50.58%)

Anonymous Vote Result:
King Dedede - 5439 (49.68%)
Revolver Ocelot - 5509 (50.32%)

Mega Man X vs. Isabelle
Registered Vote Result:
Mega Man X - 7955 (80.89%)
Isabelle - 1879 (19.11%)

Anonymous Vote Result:
Mega Man X - 8783 (80.22%)
Isabelle - 2165 (19.78%)

Not much of an advantage for Geno with the registered users at all.

Mewtwo does nearly 3% better with registered users, but it's not nearly the same level of difference we saw with Charizard or Pikachu.

Ocelot actually wins the registered user vote over a Nintendo character, but bracket voting may have played a factor as Ocelot was the overall bracket favorite. Ocelot getting an MGSV pic might have also made him less recognizable among the anonymous users.

Mega Man X also wins the registered user vote over a Nintendo character, though MMX does act like a pseudo-Nintendo character in the contests.

Extra info - https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1O1QuDMeK4VhHOia7bdBgtVp_F3kRTnGkkjtR0zRyudw/pub
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DoctorJimmy133 posted...

_SecretSquirrel posted...

I really want to assume a constant Draven and just hand Ammy the entire contest on a silver platter.

This makes me wonder:

Assuming 2018 Draven = 2013 Draven, how much does 2018 Amaterasu get on Spring Breeze Dancin through unadjusted x-stats?

99.13%
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Mr Lasastryke posted...

yeah, i'm a bit surprised the crew unanimously took amaterasu.

and now you know why
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Tifa - 79.95%
Mewtwo - 59.09%
Ocelot - 55.66%
Mega Man X - 84.13%
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do any of todays matches get closer then 60/40?
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im317 posted...

do any of todays matches get closer then 60/40?

Falcon/Richter could because I suspect Richter will have a better night vote, but that's about it.
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charmander6000 posted...

DoctorJimmy133 posted...

_SecretSquirrel posted...

I really want to assume a constant Draven and just hand Ammy the entire contest on a silver platter.

This makes me wonder:

Assuming 2018 Draven = 2013 Draven, how much does 2018 Amaterasu get on Spring Breeze Dancin through unadjusted x-stats?

99.13%

Aww yeah

Thanks!
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LeonhartFour posted...

and now you know why

this match is over after two hours?! wow, that was fast.
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Mr Lasastryke posted...

LeonhartFour posted...

and now you know why

this match is over after one hour?! wow, that was fast.

you can't even rally on the LoL subreddit anymore (largely thanks to us)

so yeah it's over
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LeonhartFour posted...

you can't even rally on the LoL subreddit anymore (largely thanks to us)

so yeah it's over

a rally doesn't have to originate on the LoL subreddit. and it's possible that the reddit mods won't enforce the rules strictly. (these are both points doctorjimmy made a bunch of posts ago.)

i'm not saying draven winning is LIKELY, but i've seen enough weird shit happen in these contests to be hesistant to go "YUP THIS IS OVER" after two hours.
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I mean if it happens it happens

but none of us are afraid of rallies at this point and that's why none of us picked him
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LOL draven

What a farce
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Rallies require people to care. No one cares about League of Legends that much anymore. It's just a thing that exists with tepid enjoyment from the fanbase it still has at this point.
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Plus, it's difficult for lightning to strike twice with something like this. Anything that's ever had rally power in one contest hasn't been able to summon it for another one.
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Lopen posted...

Rallies require people to care. No one cares about League of Legends that much anymore. It's just a thing that exists with tepid enjoyment from the fanbase it still has at this point.

yeah, that's fair. i guess i didn't realize how much LoL has decreased in popularity.
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