Board 8 > Super Smash Bros. Mafia - Topic 10: PK Fire

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Corrik7
05/31/23 6:23:54 AM
#51:


Oh wow. Peaf nooooo. And then joyrock votes him. 3 ahead now.

Now Chang votes joyrock. Hmmm. Making him 2 behind. Hmmm. Seems like enough of a buffer there that maybe this vote is to look good.

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MZero
05/31/23 6:24:47 AM
#52:


SirChris posted...
ulti scum buddies iyo?

I think someone who was pushing Lea day 2 when Ulti was the talk of the game is probably scum, so we should start there.

I thought it was weird that plum didn't really have a defense for Ulti other than "everyone seems to be okay with lynching him" which wasn't actually true.

Corrik and Red were also against lynching Ulti day 2, so I think there's at least a scum in that 3-pack but I need to read back

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Corrik7
05/31/23 6:25:44 AM
#53:


Generic Votals Header
[6] Marth - (Chris), (Lea), (Ulti), Cody, (Ulti), Lea, Death, Ulti, Peaf, Joyrock
[4] Joyrock - (Chris), Marth, SBell, Crescent, Chang
[2] Crescent - (Marth), Chris, Wallz
[1] Red - (Peaf), (Chris), (Ulti), (Lea), (Corrik), Corrik, (Lea)
[0] Chang - (Ulti)
[0] Chris - (Lea)
[0] Cody - (Plum)
[0] Lea - (Corrik), (Chris), (Chris), (Corrik)
[0] Peaf - (Marth), (Chang)
[0] Ulti - (MZero), (Joyrock)
[0] Wallz - (Ulti), (Peaf), (Chris)

So here is where we are.

Crescents vote looks infinitely better than Changs. Wanna finish the day out though.

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#54
Post #54 was unavailable or deleted.
Corrik7
05/31/23 6:27:06 AM
#55:


Arguably Chang reiterating the vote and saying he didn't know if he needed to unvote seems performative and like he really wanted people to know he voted Joy.

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MZero
05/31/23 6:27:26 AM
#56:


UltimaterializerX posted...
Man. I get happy about one Thanos fake claim and I have a reputation for gloating. So unfair.

I mean you claim you're going to save screenshots and keep receipts like every game so

but honestly it's not because it's you specifically, I just think you've been so blatantly scummy

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Corrik7
05/31/23 6:29:31 AM
#57:


Crescent is still pointing out why she prefers joyrock over Marth. Did Chang even give reasoning for his vote? I need to check.

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Corrik7
05/31/23 6:30:36 AM
#58:


Peaf drops dayvig snippet at the end of the day. Could be why he was shot. Directed specifically to Chris fwiw.

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Corrik7
05/31/23 6:32:22 AM
#59:


Plum says Marth is probably town but we should kill him anyways. Lmfao.

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MZero
05/31/23 6:41:59 AM
#60:


UltimaterializerX posted...
Also Marths vote on joyrock is by far by far the worst vote of this entire game so far. Atrocious.

by far!

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Corrik7
05/31/23 6:42:50 AM
#61:




Post 170

changmas posted...
leaning joyrock rn after the wallz post. nothing he has said thus far has given me a lot of faith or confidence that he will be helpful in solving the game later nor has he given much reason to suggest he's any more likely to be town than random chance

Post 175

changmas posted...
marth dying i think is acceptable to me although i'd consider myself a slight town lean on him, despite his disappearance


Before this chang spent most the topic attacking death and wallz who were both town.

changmas posted...
we just went from everyone wanting to vote wallz to only one person wanting to vote wallz after a single post from him. why do you think it's beyond your control?

Chang to joyrock on why he should vote. Then immediately he goes nahhhhhhhh and votes joyrock.

Would he have the back and forth there encouraging him to vote in topic and not outside the game. Then again, does Chang make this vote and redoes it to be performative unless he knows joyrock is now there to change his vote to Marth and have that buffer.

Needless to say, I don't think changs end of the day is good at all and crescents looks pretty good in retrospect. I don't know the day 2 votals matter as much as the day 1 ones because scum arguably knew who the cop was.

I will point out in topic 3, Chang seemed to have a grasp of how scum items worked or something. Which could be nothing. It did seem to intimate town might not know who was moving or scum could keep switching them up.

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Corrik7
05/31/23 6:46:21 AM
#62:


Guys. I like what I see from mzero day 1. Usually as town I don't like stuff I see til like day 4 or 5 from him. I never see it as scum though. My dude is making reads and analyzing shit on day 1.

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MZero
05/31/23 6:58:46 AM
#63:


Leafeon13N posted...
To try to collect what else I have:

Lea being a follower tracks perfectly normal for her. Not sure I understand the turn on her but she got real fucking defensive over it when called out. She knows she plays spineless with chris in the game. Weird but not enough for me to feel a desire to join the lynch.

Peaf has been suspecting me every gsme for eternity for things that sound good on paper but dont actually matter as much as he thinks. He tracks pretty normal to me so far. Definite town lean.

Ulti came in contuing his dumb fued with sbell. We know 100% they cant be scum together. In the interest of knowing ulti is 100% about projection, I'm going to guess the excuse thing was actually about himself. No reason to think he'd learn and not just idle out most of the day like his last scum game. So prob town.

Not done but posting cause mobile is dumb.

this is like a classic scum rule of three post, and two of these players have flipped town

the red slot being scum with Ulti makes a lot of sense I think (not just because of this post)

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Sheep007
05/31/23 7:45:59 AM
#64:


ISOing Crescent from D2 now. Not a lot in topic 4, mostly a lot of talking about Death and how if he's Scum he confirms various people, stuff that I think gives us minimal information. She's on Joyrock's back pretty early which is a point in her favour, but also she was on him D1 so I think it woulda been more jarring to change in the first place.

Topic 5 post #118, she says this.

Crescent-Moon posted... I like what I've seen from MZero and Death. MZero feels... Chipper. I'm not going to say exactly what I think that means, but I think he's town. I think Chris is probably town on an Ulti scumflip. I know better than to townconfirm Chris though.

I think Joyrock is coasting after his "too scummy to be scum" approach yesterday. I think I saw him get mentioned by exactly one person when I was catching up. I don't remember who it is offhand, but that person is probably town if Joyrock is scum. I would wager that if we get a scumflip from him, we'll find scum in someone who spent day 1 making excuses for him. I'd have to check back to remember who specifically.

I kind of feel like Corrik/Ulti is town Corrik being stubborn about scum Ulti or scum Corrik knowing Ulti is town. Most of all I don't see them being scum together. I'm so fish numbed with the arguments on Ulti that it's making reading him confusing to me.

I find you [Lea], Red, and Changmas underwhelming and you would be the next people I'd pressure. The only post I actually remember you making was the post being mad at Marth (Frankly though if I weren't mad at like a billion other people right now I'd be mad at Marth too so I get it.). Red chainposted once and has done.. Little otherwise. I barely remember anything Chang has done and he's felt on the sidelines with his posting today. I expect more of a forceful tone from Chang that I don't feel like I've seen day 2.
Minor Town points for mirroring my thought process on Death and MZero as I was spectating, those two very much caught my eye in the early days. I feel like MZero is probably pretty apparent, but I'm not so sure about Death, who people seem to struggle to read?

Did Crescent ever find someone who was making excuses for Joyrock D1 after the flip?

And she's currently of the belief Ulti is Scum, right? So is Corrik still Town in your books, Crescent? If it's changed, when and why did that happen?

...and that's all from Crescent D2. Two topics of not posting at all. I'm not even sure that's a scumsign, there's just complete absence. I don't think there's enough to go off here, some okay-ish stuff but just not anything to make me think too charitably. Lots of focus on Death, in the few posts she has. None of this is even close to getting her out of my PoE, and she didn't get a vote down or anything.

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Sheep007
05/31/23 7:57:56 AM
#65:


Hey MZero

In a world where Ulti is Town, who do you think is Scum, here? I think I trust you the most of everyone alive (it changes based on who twings my paranoia at any given moment) but your reads feel pretty misaligned with my own, so I'm curious to know how you'd solve this game from where I'm currently at.

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Corrik7
05/31/23 8:32:40 AM
#66:


changmas posted...
other things of interest...

i haven't seen anyone else call for it so chris i would like to specifically request to receive the fish/goldeen tonight if that's on the table. i want a pet to keep me company during the long nights.

i feel like sbell honestly lost his mind with the whole cody fish thing which was all very strange. is he scum? probably not. but weird behavior nonetheless

seeing as my reads this game have really been nothing short of awful i am honestly down to sheep for corrik today while i re-evaluate the game and figure out my own bearings. because i've seen a whole lot of games where corrik really does find the whole scum team early on and just straight up can't convince anyone of it. so i say we give him a chance here and see what he's cooking. who are we voting right now, Lea?

##Vote: Lea


Kind of annoying looking back that I probably let scum ride free on my crusade on Lea.

Before this Crescent says chang is underwhelming. Chang says what about you in return.

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Corrik7
05/31/23 8:34:17 AM
#67:


changmas 5/23/2023 7:37:43 PM
#151
undefined posted... lea
The only time Changmas has mentioned Corrik is a day one post listing him under "needs more info". Sheeping Corrik because Corrik has the highest solving attribute and low charisma is reasonable ... If you have a really solid reason to think Corrik is town. Scans, positive results. This lack of considering scum Corrik is a red flag.

Secondly, Chang says he is doing that because his reads are downright awful so far. But, like...are they? It's day two and we have two flips. Chang voted Joyrock over Marth. And suspected Peaf. So wrong once, basically. Seems weird to give up entirely on playing the game yourself based on this game state.

And finally, Chang has clearly wanted to go after me for a long time. He has made many a passive comment about how my reads are similar to Ulti's, dancing on the side like a little chaos goblin if anyone else wanted to jump on. Why not just actually try to kill me for my own sins? Why subsume your will and responsibility to Corrik? It utterly lacks conviction and smacks of scum who doesn't want to stick his neck out too much.

i'd argue the opposite actually this is one of the more conspicuous things i could do. in what world am i saying this and nobody blinks an eye at all and just lets me slide by

if i was scum and wanted to mislynch you without actually drawing any attention to myself i'd just make up some dumb BS based on one of the many posts other people already pointed out they don't like from you and claim that somebody actually persuaded

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Corrik7
05/31/23 8:35:35 AM
#68:


changmas 5/23/2023 7:48:15 PM
#155
undefined posted... pLum
Leas last two posts of the day are this

<img src="https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/a/user_image/9/1/0/AANz_VAAEgTu.png">

The thing that really stands out to me is that Lea never changed her mind a single time in all of day 1

Ever. Isn't that kind of crazy? Her list of suspicions were a tally board that kept getting added to. It went from Marth, to Marth and Red, to Marth and Chris and she voted between them. She also made an off hand comment about suspecting chang and what do you know! He was in the scum list too.

This is not a real town thought process. Town doesn't flow along adding people to a board, especially someone as good as Lea.

Lea decided Marth was scum 150 posts into topic 1 and road that boat all the way to the lynch with nothing stopping her

Plum, I want to applaud you here. This ISO of Lea was really compelling to me and really laid out before my eyes a lot of the concerns I had floating around my head about Lea. It also bothered me that she was tunneled in onto Marth and that she has had trouble adjusting her reads to the evolving game state. I think you've convinced me to take a hard stance here and spring into action.

Choo choo

##Vote: Lea

---- these back to back posts by Chang are wild.

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Corrik7
05/31/23 8:36:00 AM
#69:


##vote: Chang

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Corrik7
05/31/23 8:39:08 AM
#70:


changmas posted...
there is a debate to be had with joyrock if we are feeling good about him being scum though

because that is a player slot you can leave in the game that will not fight back so if we have a 2nd scum player it's prolly better to get rid of them


Says if Joy is scum they won't fight back so better to find someone else... what

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Corrik7
05/31/23 8:40:42 AM
#71:


So wait. Chang requested a fish given to him. The night he popped his power to reveal who visited him. When if given a fish he already knew who would be visiting him. Do I have this straight?

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Corrik7
05/31/23 8:47:39 AM
#72:


Chang pretty much the entire day is spent being sarcastic and cynical to everyone. Not really looking for scum at all imo.

changmas posted...
well the low hanging fruit here is always joyrock

This almost seems like passively trying to push this lynch away as this is what I say for why we shouldn't vote someone day 1.

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MZero
05/31/23 8:48:40 AM
#73:


Sheep007 posted...
Hey MZero

In a world where Ulti is Town, who do you think is Scum, here? I think I trust you the most of everyone alive (it changes based on who twings my paranoia at any given moment) but your reads feel pretty misaligned with my own, so I'm curious to know how you'd solve this game from where I'm currently at.

Actually thinking about it more, I feel like the plum slot looks bad if Ulti is scum. I keep coming back to him saying everyone was fine with the Ulti lynch when that wasn't true. It felt like he wanted to avoid the lynch but didn't have a good reason.

I also think it makes Corrik and, to some extent, Chris look bad. I just remembered that Corrik's argument for Ulti being town was "used statistical arguments" which is flimsy at best, and Chris went in hard on Ulti day 2 but has since been hesitant to get back on the wagon despite agreeing with me on a lot of things at various points. Both seem like potentially knowing too much if Ulti is indeed town.

I don't think scum SBell claims the roleblock there after Ulti essentially said it didn't come from scum. Also, if Ulti is town and telling the truth, it means scum really didn't block plum, which isn't a great look when he's claimed power (and a pretty strong one at that).

I don't think chang, Crescent, or Cody are ever scum

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Corrik7
05/31/23 8:48:58 AM
#74:


Chang says twice for the backup/cody to take the gunsmith power.

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Corrik7
05/31/23 8:51:02 AM
#75:


changmas posted...
i think there's likely one scum in the plum / lea duo

i think there's definitely at least one scum between joyrock and crescent who is laying low

regardless of how the lea / plum split goes it's worth looking at corrik who i'd have to go back to check but my memory suggests he has been a big influence in looking at both of them and egging them on to an extent so he may have been the invisible hand guiding that the way he wants

wallz is pushing hardest on ulti scum so that's a good person to look into as well, especially considering his claim was a bit calculated in terms of how much info he gave to get people off of his case on day 1 and i could see him having gotten help with what to say there to do it correctly

not sure what to make of ctes and death. ctes had a very strong day 1 but i haven't been too impressed on day 2 so he's dropping down my town list. death i always think is scum so i need somebody else to tell me what to think there or when we're allowed to lynch him hehe

let cody resolve himself with backup

if someone else gets a fish tonight though (and hopefully it's me :) i am willing to consider you town until further notice. red and ulti i still believe are town and want to not lynch either today. tiny bit concerned about mzero being stubborn on ulti but that is likely NAI


Okay after he like instantly buys ulti as legit once ulti claims clairvoyant after Chang says ulti is clairvoyant

He posts this which is probably his first actual analysis and reads for scum.

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#76
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Corrik7
05/31/23 8:54:51 AM
#77:


Again wants that fish to "confirm" his role, despite it would be apparent if given a fish he was visited and by who.

Town
Red
Ulti

One is scum
Plum
Lea

One or both are scum
Joyrock
Crescent

Lean scum
Corrik
Wallz

Trending scum
Ctes

Possibly scum
Death

Neutral
Cody
Mzero

Considers anyone with a fish town?

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Obellisk
05/31/23 8:59:39 AM
#78:


MZero posted...


I don't think scum SBell claims the roleblock there after Ulti essentially said it didn't come from scum. Also, if Ulti is town and telling the truth, it means scum really didn't block plum, which isn't a great look when he's claimed power (and a pretty strong one at that).

imagine a world where the claimed town watcher doesn't eat a roleblock.

But I considered that too and then devil advocated that maybe scum doesn't have a roleblock item that's got that many uses? But it makes more sense for Plum just to be scum, especially wasting a watch on Chris when it was insanely obvious that scum wasn't going to touch Chris after he avoided a modkill.

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Obellisk
05/31/23 9:01:17 AM
#79:


on the flip side. I could just be so awful at this and I managed to kill death the same night scum did and I roleblocked plum thr same night scum did.

But what are those chances?

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Corrik7
05/31/23 9:04:44 AM
#80:


Obellisk posted...
on the flip side. I could just be so awful at this and I managed to kill death the same night scum did and I roleblocked plum thr same night scum did.

But what are those chances?
High if you are scum.

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Corrik7
05/31/23 9:07:41 AM
#81:


##unvote

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MZero
05/31/23 9:13:53 AM
#82:


UltimaterializerX posted...
Understandable but my role is genuinely strange. Not my fault.

it's your fault you claimed 27 different things, contradicted yourself constantly, and made reads that didn't align with your claimed results

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changmas
05/31/23 9:19:00 AM
#83:


Corrik7 posted...
changmas 5/23/2023 7:48:15 PM
#155
pLum

Plum, I want to applaud you here. This ISO of Lea was really compelling to me and really laid out before my eyes a lot of the concerns I had floating around my head about Lea. It also bothered me that she was tunneled in onto Marth and that she has had trouble adjusting her reads to the evolving game state. I think you've convinced me to take a hard stance here and spring into action.

Choo choo

##Vote: Lea

---- these back to back posts by Chang are wild.

you know this was a shitpost right? look at leas response


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changmas
05/31/23 9:20:55 AM
#84:


Corrik7 posted...
So wait. Chang requested a fish given to him. The night he popped his power to reveal who visited him. When if given a fish he already knew who would be visiting him. Do I have this straight?

uh yeah basically nobody ever uses night actions on me in any game ever its genuinely very likely that chris is the only person thats going to visit me all game

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changmas
05/31/23 9:23:39 AM
#85:


inb4 you argue thats because 3 scum teammates make it less likely for actions to be used on me. no scum doesnt visit me either because Im apparently still mislynch bait to even chris and you, corrik so its nice to keep me around i guess

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Corrik7
05/31/23 9:27:35 AM
#86:


changmas posted...
uh yeah basically nobody ever uses night actions on me in any game ever its genuinely very likely that chris is the only person thats going to visit me all game
But Chris using it on you confirmed nothing as you would have known he visited you regardless by having the item. It doesn't confirm your role in any way absolutely whatsoever.

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changmas
05/31/23 9:29:37 AM
#87:


also MZero i will say has attempted to pocket me like this before as scum, being the only person willing to confidently call me town and trying to use that to get me to call him town back

However hes also soul read me before as town and been right so hopefully thats the case here <3

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changmas
05/31/23 9:30:17 AM
#88:


Corrik7 posted...
But Chris using it on you confirmed nothing as you would have known he visited you regardless by having the item. It doesn't confirm your role in any way absolutely whatsoever.

when did i say it confirms me? Youre literally making stuff up that i absolutely never said.

it confirms chris, not me, and Im fine with that

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Corrik7
05/31/23 9:39:45 AM
#89:


changmas posted...
when did i say it confirms me? Youre literally making stuff up that i absolutely never said.

it confirms chris, not me, and Im fine with that
How does it confirm Chris. That makes zero sense. He is confirmed by saying he has a power and people getting it. His role is conformable. Yours is confirmable also, but you requested usage on you that would do absolutely nothing to confirm you.

I know Chris doesn't want to lynch you specifically because he went to you earlier in this game, but thats bullshit reasoning on his part specifically also. Your role 1. Could be scum Psychic and 2. Has zero confirmation anyways in any part of you actually being it anyways besides you say so.

Your role basically is all information already out in the game, besides the caveat it requires you knowing a couple roles not claimed at that point. Whether teammates or scans involved. And it's not dangerous going forward since we are probably at mylo.

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#90
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Corrik7
05/31/23 10:06:53 AM
#91:


Ulti what did you claim happened last night

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Obellisk
05/31/23 10:17:54 AM
#92:


Chang, explain your role again. You said Passively you are told how many people visit you. But you can choose to use an ability once per game thst tells you Who one of those people are.

When do you get told how many people?

When do you make the decision to use the ability?

Is it a night action you have to use BEFORE you find out how many people came to you? Is it purely coincidence you chose to use it the same night Chris gave you a fish?

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#93
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Crescent-Moon
05/31/23 10:33:55 AM
#94:


So I looked back at the end of day 1 for Chang because it's become apparent I didn't quite remember when he voted, and this progression bugs me a lot.

changmas posted... leaning joyrock rn after the wallz post. nothing he has said thus far has given me a lot of faith or confidence that he will be helpful in solving the game later nor has he given much reason to suggest he's any more likely to be town than random chance


changmas posted...
marth dying i think is acceptable to me although i'd consider myself a slight town lean on him, despite his disappearance

The post after this is the post before I voted for Joyrock. While I'm voting Joyrock, Chang is saying he would prefer Joyrock but finds Marth "acceptable". Almost immediately after Peaf and Joyrock move their votes to make it 6-3, he votes for Joyrock.

Before this he was sitting on Peaf, a useless splinter, whose only other vote all day was the aforementioned Marth. He makes zero effort to push a Joyrock lynch until Marth is safely in the lead, and just lays the foundation for him to switch if he has to.


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Crescent-Moon
05/31/23 10:42:12 AM
#95:


UltimaterializerX posted...
I claimed vanilla as a joke to bait a shot and then claimed my real role.

Thats 1.5 claims, not 27.
I wouldn't say 27, more like 6 or 7.

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So a planet's somewhere out there, their history the same as ours is written. The only difference is that... Everyone's a kitten!
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Crescent-Moon
05/31/23 10:50:58 AM
#96:


changmas posted...
also MZero i will say has attempted to pocket me like this before as scum, being the only person willing to confidently call me town and trying to use that to get me to call him town back

However hes also soul read me before as town and been right so hopefully thats the case here <3
I had MZero as a town lean early. I have MZero as pretty solidly town now. I don't believe I've ever seen MZero bus this forcefully, and I'm getting shades of how I felt in BFZ from him. I spent like 6 days of that game wanting to lynch Ulti off of a ridiculous fakeclaim that explained nothing but could never get anyone to join me.

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So a planet's somewhere out there, their history the same as ours is written. The only difference is that... Everyone's a kitten!
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MZero
05/31/23 10:51:34 AM
#97:


UltimaterializerX posted...
High beetle sent, special flag received. The special flag is a real item in Smash so scum definitely has one.

Wait, you said it was a ressurect earlier with special priority, now it's a special flag? >_>

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MZero, to the extreme
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Crescent-Moon
05/31/23 10:56:03 AM
#98:


MZero posted...
Wait, you said it was a ressurect earlier with special priority, now it's a special flag? >_>
Ulti used the words "special flag" in topic 9, post 215. It wasn't right at the start of the day, but fairly close.

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So a planet's somewhere out there, their history the same as ours is written. The only difference is that... Everyone's a kitten!
... Copied to Clipboard!
MZero
05/31/23 11:02:51 AM
#99:


UltimaterializerX posted...
Finally got a scan with actual information. The "backup" role is a mafia role and it's called resurrect.

UltimaterializerX posted...
I'm not arguing the wording of my scan with you when it literally tells me the mafia role name is resurrect and exactly matches what Cody's claim was.

UltimaterializerX posted...
I just used a shortcut to get to the end of the scan.

I sent out the beetle on high. The resurrect is called a special priority entirely.

UltimaterializerX posted...
High priority not found. He returned with a special one. This is exactly how it reads.

so what happened to the "resurrect" action

not to mention he said role instead of item

color me surprised

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MZero, to the extreme
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MZero
05/31/23 11:04:18 AM
#100:


UltimaterializerX posted...
Hes the claimed backup and my role only sees mafia items. I see a special flag that can target a dead town player for one use backup.

I mean Im not that good at this game but no one else alive claimed town backup.

I misunderstood this post at the time and thought he was saying it was flagged as special priority

*sigh*

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