Board 8 > B8 NFL Ladder Contest 2021 Week 9

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MZero
11/03/21 4:35:23 AM
#1:


A mass exodus from Level 4 as the Rams and Bills came through for a lot of players. Once again no one got the bonus, as no one thought to pick the winless Detroit Lions, who scored a whopping 6 points to be the lowest scoring team of them week.

A few ground rules:
-Please say which level you are on when you post your pick. In most cases it will be obvious, but this makes it easier for me to record the picks.
-The deadline to make a pick is before kick-off of the game in question. You cannot pick a game that has already started. Some levels may have different deadlines, so read carefully.
-The deadline to answer the bonus question is at the start of games on Sunday (1 PM ET) unless stated otherwise.
-Please don't edit your picks. If you'd like to change, please do so in a clearly labeled new post.
-I get my spreads from an online site providing lines from several sources, both in Vegas and out. Although these sources may continue to change their lines throughout the week, the ones I post in the topic are frozen and final for our purposes.
-You may use bonus points to skip any level after it is guaranteed you cannot pass it (at the end of the week's games, typically). If you have earned a bonus point during the same week, it is eligible to be used. You may only skip the level before I have posted the next week's topic. The price for skipping is in proportion to the level you are skipping. Skipping level 1 would take 1 bonus point, level 2 will take 2, level 5 will take 5. So on and so forth.

Explanation of Levels:

Level 1: Pick a winner. Simply pick one team to win their game. If they win, you go on to level 2.

Level 2: Pick an Underdog to win. You must pick a team that is an underdog to win their game. Underdogs will always be the team listed second.

Level 3: 2 Games with Spread. Using the spreads I provide, pick 2 games. You must get both correct to move on. Spreads work by giving (-) or getting (+) points. The team that is the favorite to win "gives" points to the underdog. If you choose the favorite to win, they must still win after "giving" those points to the underdog. If you choose the underdog, you would be correct if they win the game after "getting" those points. For example, if a game says "Giants (-2.5) vs. Cowboys," if you pick the Giants, they must actually win the game by at least three points; if you pick the Cowboys, you would win if they actually won the game or lost by two points or less.

Level 4: 2 Game differentials. Pick two games and specify them to have a score differential of either 10+ or 5-. Make sure to specify which you pick, if you pick a score to be 10+ and the score ends up 3 apart, you do not advance. You do not need to pick the winner, as long as the differential is correct, it does not matter which team wins.

Level 5: 2 Over/Unders: I will now provide over/unders for each game. This number relates to the final score. You must choose 2 of the games and decide whether the final score will be OVER the number I provided or UNDER the number I provided. You must get both of these correct to advance.

Level 6: Pleaser: Pick one team to win using the spread, but with the pleaser, you lose 6 points on the spread. In other words, add six points in whichever direction makes it harder to win. For example, a (-2.5) spread becomes (-8.5), a (+3.5) becomes a (-2.5) spread, etc.

Schedule: (Favorites listed first; home team in CAPS)
Thursday, October 28th
INDIANAPOLIS (-10.5) vs New York Jets 46.5

Sunday, October 31st
1 PM ET
CINCINNATI (-2.5) vs Cleveland 46.5
DALLAS (-9.5) vs Denver 49.5
MIAMI (-6.5) vs Houston 45.5
NEW ORLEANS (-5.5) vs Atlanta 42.5
Las Vegas (-2.5) @ NEW YORK GIANTS 46.5
New England (-4.5) @ CAROLINA 41.5
Buffalo (-14.5) @ Jacksonville 48.5
BALTIMORE (-5.5) vs Minnesota 49.5
4 PM
Los Angeles Chargers (-1.5) @ PHILADELPHIA 50.5
KANSAS CITY (-0.5) vs Green Bay 54.5
Arizona (-2.5) @ SAN FRANCISCO 56.5
8 PM
LOS ANGELES RAMS (-7.5) vs Tennessee 53.5

Monday, November 1st
PITTSBURGH (-6.5) vs Chicago 40.5

Bonus Question:
Choose a losing QB to throw for more yards than their opponent. (The deadline for this bonus question is kickoff of whichever game you choose a player from)

Level 6
Bartzyx**
Leonhart4***
SpikeSetsFire
terpaholic
theawesomestevr*
WiggumFan267**

Level 5
5tarscream*
Arti*
Camden****
fortybelowsummer****
foxhead84**
HBJDubs*
MMXcalibur*
pronouncemyname
resistance_pro*
Suprak the Stud**
SwiftyDC**
th3l3fty**
thekitchensink
Wizardsfan1000**
Xuxon*

Level 4
Ashethan**
changmas****
Crescent-Moon***
Dancedreamer**
davidponte***
DpOblivion****
Evil_REmade**
guffguy89*
LiquidOshawott**
MaxedOutRyu*
Mewtwo59**
MysteriousStan**
Paratroopa1**
Reg**
Runemistress**
Sir Chris**
SpikeDragon****
xp1337
ZeroSignal620**

Level 3
Cody11533***
HanOfTheNekos*
Jukkie**
KokoroAkechi**
KommunistKoala**
MZero*
Ringworm***
Stripperiffic**
TheArkOfTurus***
turbopuns3*
wallmasterz**
Whiskey_Nick***

Level 2
KCF0107**
Maniac64
ScareChan*
VengefulKaelee*

---
MZero, to the extreme
I never saw azuarc coming, but he won the Guru!
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KCF0107
11/03/21 5:03:34 AM
#2:


Level 2: 49ers
Bonus: Matt Ryan
---
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If you smell what the rock is cooking he's cooking crap - ertyu
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SpikeSetsFire
11/03/21 5:43:10 AM
#3:


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Reg
11/03/21 7:48:15 AM
#4:


Level 4:
Dallas/Denver 10+, Buffalo/Miami 10+
Bonus: Pat Mahomes
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Leonhart4
11/03/21 7:56:57 AM
#5:


Level 6: Green Bay (-5.5)

Bonus: Mike White

Wish this topic would've gone up when KC was favored by 3...!

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5tarscream
11/03/21 10:10:54 AM
#6:


Level 5:
Buffalo/Jacksonville
Los Angeles/Tennessee

Both under

bonus: Patrick Mahomes

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Reading: The Path of Daggers (6)
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xp1337
11/03/21 10:17:54 AM
#7:


Level 4:
Bills/Jaguars 10+
Cowboys/Broncons 10+

Bonus: Mahomes

Planned to not overthink this and just take the Jags/Texans games but Miami ehhh... if Dak plays I can live with this. If not will have to rethink. Also 100% expect this to be the week the Chiefs figure it out to thwart my bonus pick.

Leonhart4 posted...
Bonus: Mike White
bold decision picking against mike white

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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
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Crescent-Moon
11/03/21 10:19:25 AM
#8:


Level 4: Cowboys/Broncos 10+
Chargers/Eagles 5-

Bonus: Matt Ryan

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KommunistKoala
11/03/21 10:20:09 AM
#9:


Level 3:
Dallas
Buffalo

Bonus: Mahomes

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does anyone even read this
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Crescent-Moon
11/03/21 10:20:44 AM
#10:


xp1337 posted...
bold decision picking against mike white
Leon gets dropped back down to rank 5?

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So a planet's somewhere out there, their history the same as ours is written. The only difference is that... Everyone's a kitten!
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LiquidOshawott
11/03/21 10:27:44 AM
#11:


Level 4:
Bills/Jaguars 10+
Cowboys/Broncons 10+

Bonus: Kirk Cousins

---
I live on, THROUGH THIS SEASHELL!
VeryInsane's mobile account
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Xuxon
11/03/21 10:54:14 AM
#12:


MZero posted...
Once again no one got the bonus, as no one thought to pick the winless Detroit Lions, who scored a whopping 6 points to be the lowest scoring team of them week.
the way that's worked in the past, the lowest scoring team that was actually picked would be worth a bonus point. which in this case i think was Washington. i don't remember what the bonus was last week, whether someone should have also gotten one then.

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Reg
11/03/21 10:55:43 AM
#13:


Reg posted...
Level 4:
Dallas/Denver 10+, Buffalo/Miami 10+
Bonus: Pat Mahomes
Fixing this, since I don't know how I got Buffalo/Miami (Everything's the same, just correcting that bit):

Dallas/Denver 10+, Buffalo/Jacksonville 10+
Bonus: Pat Mahomes

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Leonhart4
11/03/21 10:57:01 AM
#14:


Leonhart4 posted...
Level 6: Green Bay (-5.5)

Bonus: Mike White

Wish this topic would've gone up when KC was favored by 3...!

Actually, you guys are right. There's an obvious answer here.

CHANGE Bonus: Matt Ryan

Assuming the Saints don't act weird and lose to a bad team again.

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Leonhart4
11/03/21 10:57:49 AM
#15:


Oh crap Rodgers just tested positive for Covid

I'll have to change my level 6 pick now

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KommunistKoala
11/03/21 10:59:03 AM
#16:


Change Bonus to Matt Ryan

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does anyone even read this
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xp1337
11/03/21 11:05:48 AM
#17:


Change Bonus to Matt Ryan

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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
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KommunistKoala
11/03/21 11:08:07 AM
#18:


Change to
Level 3
New York Jets
Dallas


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does anyone even read this
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DoomTheGyarados
11/03/21 11:12:34 AM
#19:


Level 4
+10 KC/Buffalo


---
Sir Chris
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KommunistKoala
11/03/21 11:14:09 AM
#20:


Change to

Level 3
Kansas City
Dallas

not that I dont believe in the Mike White but probably shouldnt pick Thursday games just to consider more options

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does anyone even read this
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MZero
11/03/21 11:17:21 AM
#21:


Xuxon posted...
the way that's worked in the past, the lowest scoring team that was actually picked would be worth a bonus point. which in this case i think was Washington. i don't remember what the bonus was last week, whether someone should have also gotten one then.

Oh. I actually thought about doing that, but this is already the third time it's happened this year, and I didn't think it would be fair to those who were closest the other weeks

---
MZero, to the extreme
I never saw azuarc coming, but he won the Guru!
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TheArkOfTurus
11/03/21 11:21:52 AM
#22:


Level 3

Chargers
Raiders

Bonus: Joe Burrow

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For our own safety
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5tarscream
11/03/21 11:22:33 AM
#23:


Change bonus to Lawrence

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Reading: The Path of Daggers (6)
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Leonhart4
11/03/21 11:26:51 AM
#24:


CHANGE Level 6: Los Angeles Chargers (-7.5)

Trusting the Chargers to bounce back against a not good team

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Reg
11/03/21 12:53:51 PM
#25:


Change bonus to Matt Ryan
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changmas
11/03/21 1:12:17 PM
#26:


Level 4:

Buffalo/Jax 10+
Rams/Titans 10+

Bonus: Matthew Ryan

---
The Artist Formerly Known as Hannyabal
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fortybelowsummer
11/03/21 3:18:08 PM
#27:


Level 5:

Arizona (-2.5) @ SAN FRANCISCO 56.5 UNDER
DALLAS (-9.5) vs Denver 49.5 UNDER

Bonus: Kirk Cousins

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Whiskey_Nick
11/03/21 4:08:59 PM
#28:


Level 3:
Las Vegas (-2.5)
KANSAS CITY (-0.5)

Bonus: Matt Ryan


---
I am Nick. Go Sens, Bills, Blue Jays, RedBlacks!
UotY 2015, You should listen to The Show w/ Ngamer and Yoblazer
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Xuxon
11/03/21 4:16:36 PM
#29:


level 5:
Las Vegas @ NEW YORK GIANTS UNDER 46.5
KANSAS CITY vs Green Bay UNDER 54.5

bonus: Matt Ryan

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Xuxon
11/03/21 4:20:00 PM
#30:


wait i just noticed the super high O/U on Cardinals/49ers. thought this topic was made late enough that would have been adjusted but i guess not. so i will change to that.

level 5:
KANSAS CITY vs Green Bay UNDER 54.5
Arizona (-2.5) @ SAN FRANCISCO UNDER 56.5

bonus: Matt Ryan

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SpikeSetsFire
11/03/21 4:35:21 PM
#31:


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SwiftyDC
11/03/21 5:57:55 PM
#32:


Level 5:
BALTIMORE/Minnesota 49.5 Under
KANSAS CITY/Green Bay 54.5 Under

Bonus: Matt Ryan

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dilateDChemist
Last minute changes killed my bracket - still would've got destroyed by azuarc
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MMXcalibur
11/03/21 6:01:16 PM
#33:


LEVEL 5:
INDIANAPOLIS (-10.5) vs New York Jets 46.5 Under
KANSAS CITY (-0.5) vs Green Bay 54.5 Under

BONUS:
Kirk Cousins

---
CHIEFS : Super Bowl 54 Champions!!!!!
PENGUINS : Playoff competent.
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MZero
11/03/21 8:49:57 PM
#34:


Xuxon posted...
wait i just noticed the super high O/U on Cardinals/49ers. thought this topic was made late enough that would have been adjusted but i guess not. so i will change to that.

oof, sorry that's supposed to say 46.5 for Cardinals/49ers

---
MZero, to the extreme
I never saw azuarc coming, but he won the Guru!
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Paratroopa1
11/03/21 9:08:14 PM
#35:


Level 4

Buffalo/Jacksonville 10+
New England/Carolina 5-

Bonus: Matt Ryan
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Xuxon
11/03/21 9:11:14 PM
#36:


MZero posted...
oof, sorry that's supposed to say 46.5 for Cardinals/49ers
lol okay then, change back to the original. @fortybelowsummer i'm guessing you're gonna want to change as well.

Las Vegas @ NEW YORK GIANTS UNDER 46.5
KANSAS CITY vs Green Bay UNDER 54.5

bonus: Matt Ryan

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Camden
11/03/21 9:18:52 PM
#37:


Level 5
DALLAS (-9.5) vs Denver 49.5 UNDER
Arizona (-2.5) @ SAN FRANCISCO 56.5 UNDER
Los Angeles Chargers (-1.5) @ PHILADELPHIA 50.5 OVER

Bonus: Matt Ryan

Since some other people already picked the Arizona game at that spread I'm not sure how you're handling it. Take the top two games if you're leaving it at 56.5, otherwise sub out the Arizona game for the Philly game.

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Cody11533
11/03/21 9:26:47 PM
#38:


Level 3:
Los Angeles Chargers (-1.5)
Kansas City (-0.5)

Bonus: Matt Ryan
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SpikeSetsFire
11/03/21 9:51:10 PM
#39:


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SpikeDragon
11/03/21 9:51:23 PM
#40:


Level 4: DALLAS (-9.5) vs Denver 10+
Buffalo (-14.5) @ Jacksonville 10+

Bonus: Jalen Hurts

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azuarc won the Guru Contest, well done!
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guffguy89
11/03/21 10:10:35 PM
#41:


Lvl 4: bills and indy games

Bknus: mahomes

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SpikeSetsFire
11/04/21 4:17:27 AM
#42:


Oh man... is it tempting to jump onto the Chiefs at -6.5!
It's the clear Level 6 best pick now!
... considering the line movement.
I'm gonna hope fellow Level 6's get on board, then get burnt.

I'm still holding firm the Bills will annihilate the Jags... 40-7.


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Ringworm
11/04/21 4:46:26 AM
#43:


L3: Buffalo, KC
Bonus: No idea, so I'll go for the popular Matt Ryan option.

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~ Ringworm ~
Congrats to azuarc - Guru champion - GotD
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fortybelowsummer
11/04/21 2:53:15 PM
#44:


Xuxon posted...
lol okay then, change back to the original. @fortybelowsummer i'm guessing you're gonna want to change as well.


Thanks man. That did seem pretty high. I will change my picks to

Level 5:
DALLAS (-9.5) vs Denver 49.5 UNDER
KANSAS CITY (-0.5) vs Green Bay 54.5 UNDER

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ZeroSignal620
11/04/21 4:32:05 PM
#45:


Level 4
Dallas vs Denver 10+
Buffalo vs Jacksonville 10+

Bonus: Kirk Cousins

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Formerly known as Raven 2
https://twitch.tv/TheZeroSignal
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thekitchensink
11/04/21 6:17:35 PM
#46:


may end up changing this but for now

Level 5
Chiefs/Packers UNDER 54.5
Rams/Titans UNDER 53.5

Bonus: Kirk Cousins

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- TKS -
The Witness
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Bartzyx
11/04/21 7:53:08 PM
#47:


Level 6:
Kansas City -6.5

Bonus: Davis Mills

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Round 2 vs Nichols
Go Dennison!
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terpaholic
11/04/21 11:55:12 PM
#48:


Level 6
KC -6.5
Bonus: Matt Ryan

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LeonhartFour
11/04/21 11:56:00 PM
#49:


glad I didn't go for this game because that would've been a rough bad beat at -16.5

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MZero
11/05/21 9:37:09 AM
#50:


Level 3

Chargers (-1.5)
Cardinals (-2.5)

Bonus: Matt Ryan

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I never saw azuarc coming, but he won the Guru!
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