Board 8 > Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1340

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LeonhartFour
04/11/20 10:47:53 PM
#1:


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/1340-north-division-round-2-kos-mos-vs-samus

main thing I remember about this match is that Samus was shooting KOS-MOS's boobs in the match pic

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~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
https://board8.fandom.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
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~*All the Match Pics*~
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~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~
https://board8.fandom.com/wiki/Daily_Vote_Trends

~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~
https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's extrapolated percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA
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LeonhartFour
04/11/20 11:01:43 PM
#2:


Fun with current X-Stats:

Outer Worlds gets 53.70% on Life is Strange and 47.38% on Halo: Reach

Edith Finch gets 34.33% on Berseria and 25.53% on Hollow Knight

Bravely Default gets 57.28% on Ni no Kuni and 48.49% on Sekiro

Trails in the Sky SC gets 36.85% on Walking Dead and 35.18% on Bastion

A stable Life is Strange projects BOTW to get 46.58% on Ocarina of Time

A stable Walking Dead projects DQXI to be at 23.87% in the 2015 X-Stats, placing it between DKC2 and Xenoblade, which would give it 60.54% on DQVIII
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pjbasis
04/11/20 11:11:02 PM
#3:


LeonhartFour posted...


A stable Life is Strange projects BOTW to get 46.58% on Ocarina of Time

Uh would that put it in the running for Top 5? Or even 3?

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pjbasis
04/11/20 11:11:57 PM
#4:


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LeonhartFour
04/11/20 11:12:19 PM
#5:


pjbasis posted...


Uh would that put it in the running for Top 5? Or even 3?


it would basically put it dead even with FFVII
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Team Rocket Elite
04/11/20 11:13:39 PM
#6:


So Cloud's rival is now Zelda and FF7 now competes with BotW.
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Link isn't the only one who kicks ass.
Congrats to Advokaiser for winning the CBX Guru Contest!
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HaRRicH
04/11/20 11:55:44 PM
#7:


Well, before Remake.

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KamikazePotato
04/12/20 12:00:41 AM
#8:


I'm not expecting the remake to do much, at least based on the reception it seems to be getting.

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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
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MechanicalWall
04/12/20 12:08:51 AM
#9:


This FFXV match also really makes me wonder about Skyward Sword's merits. I mean I know we've been wondering for a while, but seeing a game with the words 'Final Fantasy' in the name struggling so much makes me think how much the Zelda name would have carried SS when it's damn near the consensus worst 3D Zelda.

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HaRRicH
04/12/20 12:25:42 AM
#10:


LoZ:SS may be the weakest Zelda game, but in 2011 it still beat Batman: Arkham City and Portal 2 and those two games are still favored to reach the third round. We see LoZ:LBW still looking like a game with legitimate strength too, so...barring abnormal contest draws, I think LoZ:SS would have been fine.

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KamikazePotato
04/12/20 12:38:51 AM
#11:


It would have been 'fine' in the sense that it could win a match in this bracket, but that's more because this bracket is weak. ALBW would be much stronger.

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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
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BlAcK TuRtLe
04/12/20 1:00:45 AM
#12:


If we're talking mainline Zelda, Zelda 2 is by far the weakest

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LeonhartFour
04/12/20 1:01:21 AM
#13:


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AxemRedRanger
04/12/20 1:04:22 AM
#14:


BlAcK TuRtLe posted...
If we're talking mainline Zelda, Zelda 2 is by far the weakest
Nah, Phantom Hourglass and Spirit Tracks.

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Yuri_LowelI
04/12/20 1:07:44 AM
#15:


AxemRedRanger posted...
Nah, Phantom Hourglass and Spirit Tracks.
lol agree with this

but four swords adventures will be up there

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ffmasterjose
04/12/20 1:14:18 AM
#16:


As someone currently playing through DQ11 for the first time it's an amazing game and deserves the deep contest run its enjoying.
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LeonhartFour
04/12/20 1:37:01 AM
#17:


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MadamEglat
04/12/20 1:40:02 AM
#18:


Did FFXV just lose 0.3% in a single update?
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LeonhartFour
04/12/20 1:44:41 AM
#19:


MadamEglat posted...
Did FFXV just lose 0.3% in a single update?


Nah, it was across a few updates, but Hollow Knight managed to cut the lead from 184 to 118.
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MadamEglat
04/12/20 1:50:24 AM
#20:


LeonhartFour posted...
Nah, it was across a few updates, but Hollow Knight managed to cut the lead from 184 to 118.
Ah, I see. That makes more sense. Thanks for the clarification.
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LeonhartFour
04/12/20 2:21:49 AM
#21:


I was hoping to feel safe about this match by the time I went to bed

bah
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KamikazePotato
04/12/20 2:24:40 AM
#22:


The last few pages of the stats topic have been the loneliest I've seen in a while. Once it became clear that FF15 was probably going to win, everyone else checked out and it's just Leon sitting alone in a room cheering for his game that no one else will

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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
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SuperNiceDog
04/12/20 2:29:04 AM
#23:


is ff15 gonna win? If it does, star of Round 2??? lolz

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UberPyro64
04/12/20 2:46:48 AM
#24:


I mean, this is really just who gets destroyed by BotW in Round 3.

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Nameless2000
04/12/20 3:34:50 AM
#25:


Getting to round 2 feels a lot less "special" when the match pics are all the same as last time.

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n2k
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shane15
04/12/20 5:17:39 AM
#26:


Nameless2000 posted...
Getting to round 2 feels a lot less "special" when the match pics are all the same as last time.


and most of round 1 is turbo fodder to begin with. This right here feels like the proper start to the contest.

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Safer_777
04/12/20 5:22:36 AM
#27:


Woke up, checked the results. As expected I guess. Except FF 15. Also no zero brackets. Were there ever zero brackets in the contest?

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Raka_Putra
04/12/20 5:30:24 AM
#28:


Is there still time for Hollow Knight to pull through? :(

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Nintendogs
04/12/20 5:34:59 AM
#29:


Safer_777 posted...
Woke up, checked the results. As expected I guess. Except FF 15. Also no zero brackets. Were there ever zero brackets in the contest?
Rayman is believed to have stopped the last zero bracket.
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Cavedweller2000
04/12/20 5:38:10 AM
#30:


Nintendogs posted...
Rayman is believed to have stopped the last zero bracket.
It's crazy, this person would be 2 points higher than everyone if they flipped their bracket.

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Well done to Advokaiser for finishing 104 places above me in the 2018 CBX Guru Contest!
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Lightning Strikes
04/12/20 5:48:21 AM
#31:


LeonhartFour posted...
A stable Life is Strange projects BOTW to get 46.58% on Ocarina of Time

Incredibly significant as there is every reason for Life is Strange to have gotten stronger. BotW could be our number one game.

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Blaaaaaaargh Advokaiser
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Yuri_LowelI
04/12/20 6:07:09 AM
#32:


Lightning Strikes posted...
Incredibly significant as there is every reason for Life is Strange to have gotten stronger. BotW could be our number one game.

not a chance. Id take CT to beat BOTW with these low votals. oot would SFF it. Weve already had best zelda polls where oot had to get sffd badly for Lttp to win. Botw did ok though. Just not anywhere near to the level of oot

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Yuri_LowelI
04/12/20 6:08:00 AM
#33:


Raka_Putra posted...
Is there still time for Hollow Knight to pull through? :(

probably. Celeste was hovering around this mark before rayman laid the smackdown.

HK is winning bigger in Us i believe

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Worm199
04/12/20 6:19:56 AM
#34:


I am honestly quite shocked at how poorly Final Fantasy XV is doing. Usually when these tournaments happen, every Final Fantasy game gets a huge rally, simply because it is Final Fantasy. Even divise games in the franchise like 12 and 13 are doing much better than 15 now struggling to beat an indie game.

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DoomTheGyarados
04/12/20 6:20:25 AM
#35:


Yuri_LowelI posted...
probably. Celeste was hovering around this mark before rayman laid the smackdown.

HK is winning bigger in Us i believe

Ff15 is winning the us?

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WarThaNemesis2
04/12/20 6:21:53 AM
#36:


Worm199 posted...
I am honestly quite shocked at how poorly Final Fantasy XV is doing. Usually when these tournaments happen, every Final Fantasy game gets a huge rally, simply because it is Final Fantasy. Even divise games in the franchise like 12 and 13 are doing much better than 15 now struggling to beat an indie game.

Final Fantasy hasn't had a really good showing in a contest in over a decade.

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Safer_777
04/12/20 6:22:52 AM
#37:


There are still people that believe that FF always wins? Damn. Plus what rally? Nobody cares for this site for at least 5 years now.

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Worm199
04/12/20 6:25:19 AM
#38:


WarThaNemesis2 posted...
Final Fantasy hasn't had a really good showing in a contest in over a decade.
Haha, it seems I just have nostalgic memories of Final Fantasy games doing good then.

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Sharinnegan
04/12/20 6:44:10 AM
#39:


well Cloud still ended up 2nd in the last character battle despite almost no one believing he would have retained his number 2 status after all this time

i guess that counts as a good showing?
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Cavedweller2000
04/12/20 6:51:19 AM
#40:


Sharinnegan posted...
well Cloud still ended up 2nd in the last character battle despite almost no one believing he would have retained his number 2 status after all this time

i guess that counts as a good showing?
Took the words out of my mouth!

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Well done to Advokaiser for finishing 104 places above me in the 2018 CBX Guru Contest!
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ctesjbuvf
04/12/20 6:54:50 AM
#41:


Sharinnegan posted...
well Cloud still ended up 2nd in the last character battle despite almost no one believing he would have retained his number 2 status after all this time

i guess that counts as a good showing?

This was absolutely fantastic. Cloud is likely helped by being from Smash. When it had become clear Nintendo had completely taken over and not Zelda and FF, suddenly Cloud had the board support, got his 16 year long awaiten revenge on Mario's upset when times had changed so much that Cloud winning was the upset, beat Zelda too and cracked 40% on Link. The hero.

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WarThaNemesis2
04/12/20 6:59:13 AM
#42:


Cloud finished 2nd despite Final Fantasy, and thanks to the massive benefit of a second-chance bracket where more or less nobody cared, and fell to the point where he barely outdid Zelda in a direct match against Link. That's only a victory because 2013 was so much worse for him.

Put Cloud in an actual bracket and he's finishing 5th at best.

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Safer_777
04/12/20 7:08:17 AM
#43:


But FF 7 remake just got out. This has to boost FF7 power right?

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_SecretSquirrel
04/12/20 7:12:00 AM
#44:


The really shocking thing about 2018 is that there seems to be no ceiling on Link that can be observed. Like if Breath of the Wild 2 is another major success, he could end up doubling the next strongest character, who could just be Zelda anyway. Maybe Ganon gets more focus this time around, and he can start beating the lower tier Noble 9ers like Snake and Sonic with little trouble.

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WarThaNemesis2
04/12/20 7:15:13 AM
#45:


_SecretSquirrel posted...
The really shocking thing about 2018 is that there seems to be no ceiling on Link that can be observed. Like if Breath of the Wild 2 is another major success, he could end up doubling the next strongest character, who could just be Zelda anyway. Maybe Ganon gets more focus this time around, and he can start beating the lower tier Noble 9ers like Snake and Sonic with little trouble.

The thing with Breath of the Wild is that chart that got posted a few days ago.

In terms of sales numbers, Breath of the Wild more than doubled any other Zelda game, and if Breath of the Wild 2 does anywhere close to that, then yeah, all of a sudden Link/Zelda/Ganondorf have Mario-level sales, something they've never really had.

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Yuri_LowelI
04/12/20 7:15:27 AM
#46:


_SecretSquirrel posted...
The really shocking thing about 2018 is that there seems to be no ceiling on Link that can be observed. Like if Breath of the Wild 2 is another major success, he could end up doubling the next strongest character, who could just be Zelda anyway. Maybe Ganon gets more focus this time around, and he can start beating the lower tier Noble 9ers like Snake and Sonic with little trouble.

ganon aint doing shit. Hes an awful villain.


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Leonhart4
04/12/20 8:54:18 AM
#47:


WarThaNemesis2 posted...
Final Fantasy hasn't had a really good showing in a contest in over a decade.

Eh, FFVI and FFVII both did good in 2015!

Tifa was arguably the star of 2018 outside of Zelda (and she'll be even stronger after FFVIIR!).

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Leonhart4
04/12/20 8:55:05 AM
#48:


KamikazePotato posted...
The last few pages of the stats topic have been the loneliest I've seen in a while. Once it became clear that FF15 was probably going to win, everyone else checked out and it's just Leon sitting alone in a room cheering for his game that no one else will

It's like what star players say about winning on the road. The most satisfying feeling is the opposing fans going completely silent.

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abdou
04/12/20 9:07:30 AM
#49:




FFVIIR is the first FF in a long time that is actually liked by most people. It should at least keep Cloud/Tifa in the upper echelon of the characters contests..I am really interested to see how it would do in a games contest as well, it should be stronger than any of the 'weak' FF main games like FF12, FF13 and FF15.


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Advokaiser
04/12/20 9:09:36 AM
#50:


Sharinnegan posted...
well Cloud still ended up 2nd in the last character battle despite almost no one believing he would have retained his number 2 status after all this time

To be fair, the reason I believed in Cloud last contest, despite FF deboosting in general, was that he would be the only FF character to retain its strength thanks to Smash exposure.


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