Board 8 > SpC2k17 Oracle Challenge - Round 2

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LusterSoldier
05/09/17 12:43:31 AM
#1:


This topic is for Round 2 predictions only.

Round 1 predictions should be posted in the topic for the Wildcard Round and Round 1. This topic should not be used for predicting any remaining matches in Round 1. If it looks like the Wildcard/Round 1 topic might reach 500 posts before the final matches of Round 1 begin, I'll post a new topic for the remaining Round 1 matches.

The Challenge

For each match in the GameFAQs Spring 2017 Best Year in Gaming Contest (referred herein as "SpC2k17"), you need to pick a winner and predict the percentage of the vote they will receive. New participants will always be accepted throughout the contest (but please indicate that you are new and make a minimum of three picks).

Post your predictions in this topic, one prediction per line. Your predictions must start with the name of your winner and end with your predicted percentage. Examples:

1998 with 54%
1998 55.1%
1998 over 2001 with 53.64%
1998 - 52.85%

Please use one of these formats, and always remember to include the % sign. Predictions are entered into our database by a script, which may miss your predictions if you use some other weird format or forget to include the % sign.

The Scoring

For each match you will earn points based on how close your guess was to the actual outcome. Scoring is cumulative and the winner of the SpC2k17 Oracle Challenge will be the person with the most points at the end of the final match! For each match you can earn anywhere from 0 and 50 points. The scoring system works as follows:

Correctly choosing the winner earns you 50-x points.
Incorrectly choosing the winner earns you 45-x points.
(Where x is the difference between your guess and the year's actual final percentage.)

Example:

Your guess: 1998 with 55%
My guess: 2001 with 55%
Actual result: 1998 60%, 2001 40%
Your score: 50 - (60-55) = 45 points
My score: 45 - (55-40) = 30 points

The Rules

It is necessary to have a few rules to keep the challenge running smoothly. Here they are:

1) A valid entry consists of a clear pick and prediction (i.e. The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time with 77.77%). The prediction must be greater than or equal to 50.00%.
2) Your prediction does not need to be different from everybody else's. However, intentional and continuous prediction mimicry will NOT be allowed.
3) All predictions must be made before the usual start time of that match's poll (at exactly 12:00 AM Eastern). Predictions submitted after this time will NOT be counted. No predictions will be accepted after the poll has started, regardless of the start time.
4) You may change your prediction for any match at any time, subject to the other rules.
5) You may NOT delete any post in a prediction topic (if you do, please post immediately after to explain the deletion). This is to prevent abuse of the above rules and to reduce confusion.
6) If you have made a mistake with any of your predictions, please don't edit or delete your post. Simply make another post with your corrected predictions (subject to the above rules).
7) If you post with an alt, you must clearly state the name of your main account. (Exception: if the alt is listed on your user profile page <http://oraclechallenge.com/profiles.php?type=users>;, we already know about it).
8) You may predict matches for future divisions/rounds in advance if you need to. Please tell me beforehand in the Discussion Topic so we can arrange this.
9) I reserve the right to disqualify a pick for any justifiable reason.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as DpObliVion, Guru Champ!
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LusterSoldier
05/09/17 12:43:35 AM
#2:


Team Challenge

The popular Team Challenge is back again! If you want to be in a team, head to the sign-up topic and confirm your team before the first matches of the contest begin. Once the first matches begin, you're out of luck if you want to be in the Team Challenge. If you are in a team, this is how it's gonna work:

1. Make just one prediction per match subject to the rules above - it counts for the Oracle Challenge and the Oracle Team Challenge!
2. Your team score for the day is equal to both team members' scores added together.
3. If one player misses a prediction, the team will get either (partner's score * 2) or (partner's score + average score for the day), whichever is lower. This is to keep teams from being eliminated by one missed prediction, and this ONLY applies to the team scores.


ORACLE WEBSITE
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/

We are now accepting predictions for all matches in Round 2.

Since the Round 2 matches have not been fully determined yet and because 2011/2006 is still undecided while 2015/2016 are possible rally targets, I've listed all 4 of those years as possible Round 2 matches.


Round 2

1995 vs. 1987
2001 vs. 2008

1997 vs. 2007
2000 vs. 1996

1991 vs. 2002
1994 vs. 2011/2006

1998 vs. 1992/2016
2003 vs. 2015/2005
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as DpObliVion, Guru Champ!
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SwiftyDC
05/09/17 12:45:38 AM
#3:


tag
---
Dilated Chemist
DpObliVion is the one true king of Guru's.
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Haste_2
05/09/17 12:50:51 AM
#4:


2004 has not necessarily lost yet....

1995 - 60%
2001 - 70%

1997 - 65%
2000 - 55%

1991 - 65%
---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun. So... what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
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Advokaiser
05/09/17 10:23:46 AM
#5:


Tag.
---
Another chapter written on my book -- The Guru Scrolls 2015: DpObliVion
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LusterSoldier
05/09/17 10:33:57 PM
#6:


Putting in some early predictions for the first half of Round 2.

1995 - 66.18%
2001 - 69.47%

1997 - 72.35%
2000 - 54.40%
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as DpObliVion, Guru Champ!
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linkhatesganon
05/10/17 4:24:23 PM
#7:


1995 - 72.3%
2001 - 66.66%

1997 - 65.65%
1996 - 58.7%

1991 - 63.8%
1994 - 60.97%

1998 - 70.16%

Round 2
---
This sig belongs to DpOblivion, winner of the 2015 Guru.
http://letterboxd.com/jesusoni; http://www.backloggery.com/linkhatesganon
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Advokaiser
05/10/17 8:45:19 PM
#8:


Safeties:

1995 - 65.78%
2001 - 61.53%

1997 - 67.87%
2000 - 50.75%

1991 - 59.12%
1994 - 61.33%

1998 - 68.23%
---
Another chapter written on my book -- The Guru Scrolls 2015: DpObliVion
... Copied to Clipboard!
SwiftyDC
05/10/17 8:49:37 PM
#9:


1995 - 68.25%
2001 - 75.15%

1997 - 73.89%
1996 - 62.55%

safeties
---
Dilated Chemist
DpObliVion is the one true king of Guru's.
... Copied to Clipboard!
paulg235
05/10/17 8:55:14 PM
#10:


1995 - 74.90%
2001 - 73.40%

1997 - 78.65%
2000 - 55.80%

1991 - 62.05%
1994 - 60.70%

1998 - 75.35%
2003 - 51.20%

Let's hope Round 2 is much more exiting than Round 1.
---
PaulG235
If you reading this, I'd like to wish you a good morning/afternoon/evening/night.
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Glenn_and_Toad
05/10/17 10:38:30 PM
#11:


Round 2

1995 - 70%
2001 - 76%

1997 - 75%
2000 - 54%

1991 - 61%
1994 - 59%

1998 - 77%
2003 - 52%
---
SC2K13 Bracket: Kefka hate hate hate hate hates my bracket!
Oracle: Team Frog and Magus
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t_kizzle
05/10/17 11:16:43 PM
#12:


Round 2:

1995- 67.87%
2001- 64.12%

1997- 69.08%
2000- 54.55%
---
Christopher Christopher Christopher Christopher
Well done DpObliVion, what a champ!
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BlAcK TuRtLe
05/10/17 11:20:40 PM
#13:


1987 with 52.53%
2001 with 61.22%

1997 with 66.35%
2000 with 53.81%

1991 with 64.25%
1994 with 67.83%

1998 with 76.88%
2003 with 67.77%
---
DpObliVion, my hat is off to you. Welcome to the Guru Champions Club
lol xstats
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creativename
05/10/17 11:49:57 PM
#14:


1995 - 67%
2001 - 70%

1997 - 69%
2000 - 51%

1991 - 63%
1994 - 61%

1998 - 73%

Caps
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creativename
05/10/17 11:52:57 PM
#15:


2005 - 51%

Caps
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Paratroopa1
05/11/17 12:05:48 AM
#16:


round 2:

1995 - 65.34%
2001 - 77.36%

1997 - 54.39%
2000 - 50.23%

1991 - 58.78%
1994 - 64.20%

1998 - 60.29%
2003 - 55.54%
... Copied to Clipboard!
DarkFalconX
05/11/17 12:09:02 AM
#17:


Round 2 Safeties:

1995 - 65.10%
2001 - 67.40%

1997 - 70.25%
2000 - 54.54%
---
FC 0490 4508 5125 Helioptile, Electrode, and Galvantula
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Master Moltar
05/11/17 12:15:34 AM
#18:


Round 2

1995 - 65.00%
2001 - 73.00%

1997 - 72.00%
2000 - 53.00%
---
Moltar Status: contest woo
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
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Team Rocket Elite
05/11/17 1:33:19 AM
#19:


Round 2 Safeties

1995 - 60.00%
2001 - 60.00%
1997 - 66.00%
2000 - 51.00%
1991 - 60.00%
1994 - 57.00%
1998 - 62.00%
2003 - 51.00%
---
My bracket got smashed by DpObliVion.
Congrats to DpObliVion for winning the BGE15 Guru Contest!
... Copied to Clipboard!
Menji
05/11/17 1:53:46 AM
#20:


1995 with 85%
2001 with 80%

1997 with 75%
2000 with 60%

1991 with 65%
1994 with 70%

1998 with 80%
2003 with 55%
---
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haloiscoolisbak
05/11/17 2:16:09 AM
#21:


1995 with 75%
2001 with 80%
---
Started from the bottom now we here
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Advokaiser
05/11/17 9:31:10 AM
#22:


Safety:

2005 - 50.23%
---
Another chapter written on my book -- The Guru Scrolls 2015: DpObliVion
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theawesomestevr
05/11/17 12:53:55 PM
#23:


Safety picks

1995 - 57%
2001 - 68%
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davidponte
05/11/17 2:20:11 PM
#24:


Round 2

1995 - 61.13%
2001 - 66.76%

1997 - 69.91%
1996 - 52.19%

1991 - 63.45%
1994 - 59.43%

1998 - 67.32%
2005 - 51.78%
---
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XIII_rocks
05/11/17 3:08:32 PM
#25:


1987 - 55.13%
2001 - 70.13%

Yes
---
Such a lust for revenge
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raytan7585
05/11/17 3:34:19 PM
#26:


1995 - 69.33%
2001 - 73.46%

1997 - 73.77%
2000 - 53.12%

safety.
---
IGN: Raymond, 3DS FC :1349-7340-1111 (ORAS & Moon) / GURU Champ DpObliVion used Whirlwind.
http://myanimelist.net/animelist/raytan7585
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AxemRedRanger
05/11/17 4:10:28 PM
#27:


1995 - 65.42%
2001 - 65.42%

degfvsg
---
[NO BARKLEY NO PEACE]
[NO DpObliVion NO PEACE]
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Nintendoboy375
05/11/17 4:47:32 PM
#28:


Round 2

1995 - 67.40%
2001 - 73.15%
---
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bbbtime
05/11/17 4:51:15 PM
#29:


1995 - 75.01%
2001 - 78.99%

Hi
---
Velcro - what a rip off.
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TsunamiXXVIII
05/11/17 4:51:58 PM
#30:


1995 with 76%
2001 with 80%

1997 with 75%
2000 with 52%

1991 with 61%
1994 with 73.9%

1998 with 83.4%
2003 with 51%

LusterSoldier posted...
Since the Round 2 matches have not been fully determined yet and because 2011/2006 is still undecided while 2015/2016 are possible rally targets, I've listed all 4 of those years as possible Round 2 matches.


I really should submit a pick with 2013 just to protest this, but I'm afraid I'd forget to change it. Still, glad to see that neither 2015 nor 2016 could put up a number as good as 2013's.
---
FC 5026-4424-6331 -- Native Vivillon type: Polar
Still need Marine, Sun, Icy Snow, Monsoon, River, and Jungle
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LeonhartFour
05/11/17 5:16:23 PM
#31:


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WalkingWiki
05/11/17 5:27:59 PM
#32:


1995 with 71.42%
2001 with 63.83%

1997 with 75.22%
1996 with 59.76%

2002 with 65.94%
2011 with 53.03%

1998 with 75.11%
2005 with 62.08%
---
Currently playing: Grand Theft Auto V, Halo: The Master Chief Collection
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DoomTheGyarados
05/11/17 6:41:46 PM
#33:


1995 - 63.35%
2001 - 70.50%

Text
---
Sir Chris
The Cult of Personality
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ZeldaTPLink
05/11/17 6:47:11 PM
#34:


1995 - 62.60%
2001 - 76.51%
1997 - 74.23%
1996 - 63.56%
1991 - 67.84%
1994 - 81.56%
1998 - 82.31%

letters
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Team Rocket Elite
05/11/17 6:59:54 PM
#35:


TsunamiXXVIII posted...
I really should submit a pick with 2013 just to protest this, but I'm afraid I'd forget to change it. Still, glad to see that neither 2015 nor 2016 could put up a number as good as 2013's.


Keep in mind that Luster Soldier isn't doing the scoring so I'm probably the only one who would notice when my spreadsheets start complaining about an illegal prediction.
---
My bracket got smashed by DpObliVion.
Congrats to DpObliVion for winning the BGE15 Guru Contest!
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transience
05/11/17 7:27:33 PM
#36:


yeah why is Luster pretending to run this anyway

1995 - 63.45%
2001 - 69.56%

1997 - 62.45%
2000 - 54.33%

1991 - 59.55%
1994 - 62.35%
1998 - 74.22%
2003 - 52.52%
---
xyzzy
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linkhatesganon
05/11/17 7:51:20 PM
#37:


1995 - 68.8%

Update
---
This sig belongs to DpOblivion, winner of the 2015 Guru.
http://letterboxd.com/jesusoni; http://www.backloggery.com/linkhatesganon
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Ngamer64
05/11/17 8:07:32 PM
#38:


Better SAFE than sowwy.

1995 - 62.48%
2001 - 67.17%
1997 - 66.67%
2000 - 57.47%

1991 - 62.26%
1994 - 61.33%
1998 - 75.11%
2003 - 50.01%
---
2015 Champ Dp has one free invite to join yo and I on The Show this year!
board8.wikia.com | thengamer.com/xstats
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Whiskey_Nick
05/11/17 8:10:37 PM
#39:


@WiggumFan267 heyo dude

1995 - 72.11%
2001 - 68.29%

1997 - 66.61%
2000 - 50.13%

2002 - 51.23%
1994 - 69.70%

1998 - 66.34%
2003 - 50.09%
---
I am Nick. Go Sens, Bills, Blue Jays!
I shall call no more!
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Ringworm
05/11/17 8:44:28 PM
#40:


Safeties:

1995 - 70%
2001 - 70%
---
~ Ringworm ~
Congrats to DpObliVion - Guru champion - Best. Game. Ever.
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Radix
05/11/17 8:58:48 PM
#41:


1995 - 73.28%
2001 - 69.47%

1997 - 70.14%
2000 - 53.66%

1991 - 61.80%
1994 - 64.77%

1998 - 78.49%
2005 - 51.13%

c
---
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Team Rocket Elite
05/11/17 9:25:27 PM
#42:


Round 2.

1995 - 65.00%
---
My bracket got smashed by DpObliVion.
Congrats to DpObliVion for winning the BGE15 Guru Contest!
... Copied to Clipboard!
ShatteredElysium
05/11/17 10:20:05 PM
#43:


1995 - 65.5%
2001 - 74.3%

letters
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charmander6000
05/11/17 10:23:10 PM
#44:


Round 2

1995 - 67.33%
2001 - 58.21%
---
Best Year in Gaming - Today's Winners: 2003 and 2005
Current Bracket Score: 17/18
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whatisurnameplz
05/11/17 10:36:33 PM
#45:


1995 - 66.67%
2001 - 70%

jkl;
---
Seeing DpOblivion win the Guru Contest...
...it fills me with determination.
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WiggumFan267
05/11/17 10:41:18 PM
#46:


1987 - 51.21%
2001 - 60.26%

1997 with 75.26%
2000 with 57.56%

1991 with 60.34%
1994 with 70.20%

1998 with 75.56%
2003 with 62.32%
---
~Wigs~ Dp Guru Wins over Me: 1, Fantasy Baseball Wins over Dp: 3
2015 NATIONAL LEAGUE CHAMPION NEW YORK METS
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SwiftyDC
05/11/17 10:59:03 PM
#47:


1995 - 64.89%
2001 - 70.99%

heyyyyo
---
Dilated Chemist
DpObliVion is the one true king of Guru's.
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th3l3fty
05/11/17 11:02:35 PM
#48:


1995 - 67.89%
2001 - 75.05%

safety because I don't feel like checking to see if it really is only one match
---
thelefty for analysis crew 2008 imo -tranny
I have a third degree burn in flame-o-nomics -Sir Chris
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LusterSoldier
05/11/17 11:12:44 PM
#49:


transience posted...
yeah why is Luster pretending to run this anyway


Because I wanted to make sure we have predictions on record until we can find someone capable of adding the predictions to the Oracle website. I'm archiving all of the prediction topics just so all of the predictions are saved until they can be added to the Oracle website.

The process of trying to calculate the results after each day of matches is too much work for me, so TRE decided to do that work himself.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as DpObliVion, Guru Champ!
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SwiftyDC
05/11/17 11:15:41 PM
#50:


well.... assuming we get the same Round 1 pics, I'm gonna go:

1995 - 58.99%
2001 - 66.66%
---
Dilated Chemist
DpObliVion is the one true king of Guru's.
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