Board 8 > SC2k11 Oracle Challenge Discussion Topic

(+) Yeah! (+)

Scraped a top 5. Back to my usual awfulness in this one - will be lucky to beat my average (Below 40).

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~ Ringworm ~

Team Leonhart is Dead is going to Shinku Hadouken the crap out of this one.

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"I can set you free, mate."
"My freedom was forfeit long ago!"

I had Ken/Ryu at 78.5%, but apparently I'm still going to lose ground because others above me had them even higher, Ugh.

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www.gamefaqscontests.com
www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery

Yeah, I think you're in the same boat as me and need Ryu/Ken to bleed heavily before match end. I thought when I made my initial prediction I had called it decently high too.

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Crucifying my Oracle average one match at a time

"This page is in Estonian. Would you like to translate it?"

For the record, it was unable to translate it into English, but I'm still trying to figure out how my browser came to the conclusion that the Oracle results page was in Estonian. It only happened when I went to the results of the most recent bout, so I'm guessing something about Luigi and Waluigi triggered it, since their names would've been the most common word on the page.

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mnkboy: I think they've put on their "scare new users away" pants.
Haguile: Wouldn't it be easier to scare new users if they weren't wearing pants?

Well, I'm doing absolutely terrible this season, but Luigi/Cecil gave me my first number 1 prediction ever, so there's still something good coming from this trainwreck.

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http://images.wikia.com/finalfantasy/images/0/0e/Ffx-bahamut.jpg
Support Bahamut if we ever get another real contest.

pjbasis posted...
Oh hey I was in third.

And my teammate was first! Which means good things for our team.

I can't believe I was in 1st place with a 67.21% prediction. I mean, 1st time ever I'm in 1st place! But... really? I missed the actual outcome for 6 points, for God sake >_>

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I think I broke the LOL

sometimes you get stuff like that

other times, well...
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=match&match=3

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thelefty for analysis crew 2008 imo -tranny
I have a third degree burn in flame-o-nomics -Sir Chris

^
xD

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I think I broke the LOL

On another note, I regret having changed my pick for Luigi/Waluigi just because everyone was giving it higher predictions than mine. Ryu/Ken, on the other hand, looks pretty good for a 5th or 6th place.

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I think I broke the LOL

Here's where I plummet to my doom.

I took Fox/Wolf at 50.00% because I thought Yuna would keep it close.

How wrong I was.

I went from 1st with a pseudo-perfect pick on round one, to HELLA CRAPPY by round 12.

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[It's MAHVEL Baby] Jov Is SoReal
RR: 11/12; 7800BP; Spread Betting for RR: $4000 (-$500 debt) after 12 rounds; Oracle for RR: 487.21 pts (31st) after 11 rounds

I still don't know why I picked Yuna.

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My Little Phineas and Ferb: Summer is Magic!

I mentioned when making my picks for the first 16 matches I'd be in about 100th place after those matches. Sad thing is I'm doing better at picking that than the actual contest - been in 100th spot exactly (overall) for 3 or 4 matches now.

Reasonably close on the percentage for this match though, so far anyway.

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~ Ringworm ~

I edited the crontab to update at noon as well. Let me know if I screwed it up.

From: Natwaf_akidna | #212
I still don't know why I picked Yuna.

Blinded by cleavage obviously.

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Lol so I had the best prediction of the match?

Gotta love throwing those decimals in a completely random way.

Really want to raise Terra/Kefka because of x-stats but then also want to lower it because FF6 characters can't blowout anything. So stuck in some sort of midground limbo where I'm probably going to get bitten in the ass.

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Crucifying my Oracle average one match at a time

From: th3l3fty | #208
sometimes you get stuff like that

other times, well...
http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=match&match=3

oh god I can't even imagine how Luster felt there

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http://img.imgcake.com/RegaroUlquiorrapngse.png

So what's the highest prediction for this match?

oracle site says Yesmar has 77.84

bastard

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Connecticut Huskies

Good thing I upped my prediction here. Too bad I didn't up it even more. <.<

I knew people were underestimating how great Terra/Kefka would own here, but I expected like 70%, not 80%...

From: Leebo86 | #219
oracle site says Yesmar has 77.84

bastard

Seriously? He's going to have a lead of almost 20 points already? Dizzam.

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www.gamefaqscontests.com
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<is bloodhawk> ugh I knew I wasn't an expert but I'm falling FAST. >_>

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Luigi - Better than Mario

_Regaro_ | Posted 11/9/2011 11:57:34 AM | message detail | quote
oh god I can't even imagine how Luster felt there

Yeah, I got cheated out of a perfect prediction there. If Rikku had finished at 74.99%, I would have had the only perfect for that match. It doesn't really matter, because I got my perfect prediction later in that contest.

http://www.oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k6&type=match&match=50

Still the only perfect I've gotten.

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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ!

Oh wow, I certainly didn't expect this.

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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."

The hell, I'm off by .02 points and I still lose ground on the leader?

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ONLY FIVE CAN LADDER.
Sushi, kamikaze, fujiyama, nippon-ichi...

CHANGE
Chris Redfield vs. Albert Wesker - 65.42%
Big Boss vs. The Boss - 57.42%

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Chex Warrior (Chex Quest) for CB2011

wrong topic "oops"

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http://img.imgcake.com/alecoweenpngam.png
http://img.imgcake.com/alecpngym.png

Chris/Wesker is going to crush in their match, and then Tidus/Jecht for the upset, and I'm right back in the swing of things! >_>

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Keeping this until Casey Mears wins his 2nd Nascar Cup race. 7/7/07
Yankees Fan. Jaguars Fan. Mark Sanchez Wannabe.

Who is Yesmar? I don't see him in the prediction topic. He's on top of things though.

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Pobody's nerfect.

Wow good thing I backed off on that Dan/Sagat upset I would've got a 0 today!

I mean granted I'm not exactly liking the 30 points I'm on pace for but hey.

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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!

Yesmar is LOL CONTESTS

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"Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?"
"I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!"

Well **** me, I forgot to change from my safety again. I'm killing myself.

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Rusty Bicycle: Rust is the perfect brake.
You are technically correct, the best kind of correct!

Haha - last and third last for our team in the last match. Didn't think we'd both go for the same risky/stupid pick. Would have worked really well if it was close though, even though I didn't really expect it to be, was a lot bigger blowout than I thought still.

Lettuce Kefka next time please.

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~ Ringworm ~

I forgot to change my prediction too. Just shows how little I care about this.

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Chrono1219

Oh my god Yesmar

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This signature is signed by Dr. Football

Whoa, I somehow managed to go up 11 spots despite being off by 10% on yesterday's match.

Doubt I will be quite as fortunate with this match, however!

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http://i848.photobucket.com/albums/ab48/Leonhart4/Squall.jpg

LeonhartFour posted...
Whoa, I somehow managed to go up 11 spots despite being off by 10% on yesterday's match.

Doubt I will be quite as fortunate with this match, however!

Same here, in fact you're right on my heels. I'm about 10% too low again though. At least I'll gain on Yesmar this time.

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Pobody's nerfect.

oh man, I've got a shot at being on the leaderboard for the first time ever!

And no one does leaderboard posts anymore!

Yes!

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Connecticut Huskies

There's something eerily reminiscent of last year about Yesmar's lead

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Crucifying my Oracle average one match at a time

I'm undershooting all these matches, so I overshoot like crazy on the Terra/Kefka match and fluke into a #1 prediction.

Then I go back to undershooting because honestly Chris Redfield or Albert Wesker being on the 79% end of a match didn't occur to me.

Granted some of the most obscure characters ever voted into a contest are here just to fill the rival role.

So far I've had a 6th place finish, two 7th place finishes and an 8th place finish. The Top 5 Oracle God just doesn't seem to like me this year. Of course, I've also come in dead last one of the matches, so maybe it's just me. o_O

I will say though that the Oracle is the most exciting thing about this contest so far! ^_^

^
It was the most exciting part of last contest too IMO.

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I think I broke the LOL

The oracle is one of the few reasons I stick around Board 8 still tbh. It's definitely my favourite time of year.

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Crucifying my Oracle average one match at a time

The oracle is one of the few reasons I stick around Board 8 still tbh. It's definitely my favourite time of year.

Same here!

Aww hell yeah. The Aurochs took first in the Chris/Wesker match. That's some consolation for the current killing of the FFX rivalry.

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There ain't no gettin' offa this "Cloud/Sephiroth > Link/Ganondorf" hype-train we're on!
Next stop: killing the Tales rivalry

Haha... guess I overestimated Dan and Sagat a heckuva lot. I never played much Street Fighter, so I assumed that if M. Bison was decently popular, Dan/Sagat would be too. And then take into consideration unknown rivalry dynamics and you've got a wildly inaccurate prediction. =P

And, wow, Yesmar, you're doing great. Keep it up.

Who is Yesmar? I don't see him in the prediction topic. He's on top of things though.

Um, maybe he's sorta in the same situation as that Light Sabre dude way back in the Series contest? 'cept hopefully he'll actually predict Round 2.


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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."

Yesmar just posted new predictions today so...

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thelefty for analysis crew 2008 imo -tranny
I have a third degree burn in flame-o-nomics -Sir Chris

darn my safety prediction for this match based on the "stats" would have been almost perfect (59.72%, currently the match is sitting at 59.73%). then I lowered it by 6.5%. this is all seymour's fault somehow.

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http://www.megaupload.com/?d=77WDL08B

Another first place by my team mate!

Keep up the good work and we may take this yet.

From: Xcarvenger | #248
darn my safety prediction for this match based on the "stats" would have been almost perfect (59.72%, currently the match is sitting at 59.73%). then I lowered it by 6.5%. this is all seymour's fault somehow.

my "stats" said it could go either way. teach me your "stats" please!