Lurker > Crescent-Moon

Who played Supaidaman

I had the Broncos as a ~.500 team when the season started but I still expected them to look better than this on offense.

A cursory scan says ~80% of people in pick 'em are on the Broncos which is actually a bit lower than I expected.

And of course 0 people are on the Giants. Even if I'm awake for that game I doubt I'm watching it.

On a side note I'm confused by the Saints being a 5.5 point favorite when I took Seattle without any second thought

About 2 points to both, but he's probably back for week 6 so I guess we'll see what that line is reflective of. Vikings will be 4-1 but close wins over the Saints, Lions, and (soon) the Bears aren't exactly impressive.

I'm probably picking the Dolphins to win for like 7 straight weeks until they go to SF, though... For a stretch of four games I might pick against them in every game.

Steelers, Lions, Browns, Texans, Bears over a 5 week span. The most dangerous one there is the.. Lions?

Looking it up in detail, this game at the Jets is either their second or third hardest game of the next seven weeks. It's either them or the Lions.

LeonhartFour posted...

yeah you've made it clear that you think Miami beating two of the best teams in the league in improbable manner means they're not actually good

(they could lose to the Jets because Teddy has a noodle arm that can't take advantage of Waddle and Hill, and also because the Jets might secretly not be terrible)

They're just a 3 point road favorite this week and just a 1 point home favorite against the Vikings next week.

I think both of those spreads are fair.

Bears are bad at everything but still feel like they're clearly more functional than the Panthers

Oh also the clown who jumped onto the Rams field and got taken down by Wagner is attempting to press charges when he's the only one who actually committed a crime.

He still wants attention apparently!

Miami at #4 and I'm not remotely convinced they beat the Jets this week.

FFDragon posted...

The Ravens have trailed for a total of 14 seconds this season. So they are either going to be a terror or utterly collapse. There is no middle ground.

The Ravens became the second team ever to blow two games in the manner they did in just the first four weeks of a season.

Stafford had quite a few plays where he launched the ball over the receiver's head

The Rams have yet to actually look like a playoff team this season.

The difference in this game isn't that the Rams can't finish a drive, it's that they keep letting 3 yard passes turn into 30 yard passes. It's almost the entire offense of the 49ers.

The Rams have had long drives, but haven't come close to finishing one. The field goal is playing the situation.

If you respect the Rams offense you go for it there.

At halftime I kinda thought the 14 SF had might be enough.

I'm ok with the FG here with the Rams seemingly incapable of finishing a drive.

Ashethan posted...

That's not true. They very much care about certain players safety. They just don't care about all players safety.

"The 1%"

That could easily go down as the most embarrassing tackling of the entire season

The Colts are already playing the Titans again pretty soon and could be 1-4-1 entering that game.

Rhule went for it on 4th down at his own 39 on the opening drive. He's practically begging for it.

...Which is probably why it won't be him!

Oh I'm still picking them at the Cardinals, but it's a cross-country road game against the closest thing to a playoff contender they'll have played so far. If that spread hits 7, I'm not taking them to cover.

Dallas should be mostly reloaded and ready to go for week 6, a game in which I still lean them to win in a fairly low scoring game, say 20-17. The Dallas defense is better than anything the Eagles have seen. Though Dallas is getting their own test at the Rams as a 5 point dog, which I think is too much.

Also quote of the day: "If the Lions had a bad defense, they'd be 3-1."

The Bucs have a bunch of wins coming up, yeah they'll be fine.

Lotta games on the slate to look at next week. Seattle, commonly considered to be tanking, has a solid shot of getting to 3-2. Bengals and Ravens will be fighting to be over .500 in a North that doesn't look nearly as strong at advertised. Eagles get a litmus test at the Cardinals. Dak returns at the Rams. Dolphins at Jets has a chance of being a more interesting game than people think.

Chargers/Browns Bears/Vikings and Lions/Patriots all feel like side games that will potentially be decided by a field goal.

Also for some reason the FPI still loves Washington. It heavily favored them at Dallas today, and it even more heavily favors them against the Titans next week. Why does this metric love Washington so much?

The Statue of Mahomes

Chiefs mad.

Leonhart4 posted...

That 7 points might be enough

It might not last two minutes!

Zappe has been forsaken.

Zappe must throw the ball to achieve his destiny.

Everyone was covered and that was a bad decision.

That challenge looks like a blatant waste

I fell asleep

Why are Packers failing

I wasn't planning on watching a down to begin with!

The Hoyercraft is already disabled?

Seattle punted 0 times.

And the Lions defense loses the game.

Lions with yet another chance to get a stop on 3rd and exactly 5.

It looked like a Lion had that for moment

A good "stop" by Seattle wasted 25 more seconds, but the Lions still have all their timeouts.

The one pick six remains the Lionkiller, but even if they miss the onside kick, it's technically not over.

The defense can.. Force a 3 and out!

Carolina just went for it on 4th down at their own 39 on their opening drive and failed.

Uh..

The Lions defense is giving up points so fast they still have all 3 timeouts.

LeonhartFour posted...

I knew they weren't a good team but I figured Mike Tomlin could still salvage a respectable season out of them

maybe he still can but yeah they're not a good team

This is a team that should be 0-4. Tomlin can't fix this.

Steelers really are a total disaster this year huh.

Now it's time for the 4pm blowout I'm not going to watch.

I didn't think Wilson had it in him.

Also that was a TD.

LeonhartFour posted...

this is probably the last easy spread we get with Dallas though

but thankfully I used them to pass Levels 2 and 3 so that's all I needed from them

A lot of us did!

Why are the Ravens such a disaster in the second half?

It doesn't get easier in ladder than these last two weeks on Dallas.

The Giants won eventually!

They're 3-1 and about to be murdered so hard they're getting kicked out of the country.

Giants doing everything they can to not put the Bears away.

But surely they can't blow this right

LeonhartFour posted...

yeah not sure I agree with going for the TD there with this little time left in the game

I get you're afraid of Allen but yeah

Ravens have played scared on offense in the 4th. Going for it on 4th down on your own 34 in a tie game reeks of desperation.

The Lions gave up that one pick six and their defense just can't do anything at all.

Just takes a stop!

Potentially disastrous red zone turnover by the Colts prevents them from tying it with 8 1/2 to go on a game they're currently dominating.

Also Tyrod time!

First down Giants.

How is Detroit's defense so bad that Seattle looks like an unstoppable juggernaut?

Thorn posted...

I agree, but the call on the field was TD and I posted that before they completed the review.

I'm surprised they called it a TD to begin with.

Thorn posted...

there's the wilson pick six

tho i'd need to see the replay to make sure the DB didn't step out at like the 5

edit: Yeah, stepped out at the 4.

He sure looked out in real time

Crescent-Moon posted...

I picked them because I thought Wilson would give them enough points to win.

That was catchable though!

And I predicted three picks. That was #2.

Titans seem to be imploding?