Board 8 > Super Smash Bros. Mafia - Topic 9: Full-Force Neutral Attack

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SirChris
05/29/23 8:37:26 PM
#101:


EDumey posted...
This is a series of posts spanning only 9 minutes starting Post 5.263

So one of the only couple of times Joyrock was live posting for ten minutes in topic, where he tested Cody's claim then immediately went back to his previous vote.

I dunno, I feel like using Joyrock's alignment as a defense of Cody is a really weak defense. Obviously we should make case for why Cody is scum, and not for why Cody can or can't be town. I just think if you're ruling Cody out based on Joyrock, then I'm not sure I buy that.

I didn't feel like joyrock was talking to a partner there and I can't unfeel that feeling.

He also saw where Lea went n2 so we would need some affirmative scum issues to be at hand yeah

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EDumey
05/29/23 8:37:58 PM
#102:


SirChris posted...
What was the thing that made Cody feel coached?

I am also not worried because Cody has a fish that will eat him eventually seeing as none of my fish people are dead.

Forgive me, but after last game I have to do the thing where I say "if we think we have scum we should lynch them, and not leave them to actions we don't know how they will resolve."

Coming in as a replacement, I'm more than happy to hear better directions to go, I'm just trying to give a fresh perspective and point to things that stand out to me.

[LFAQs-redacted-quote]


SirChris posted...
Pretty sure scum Cody just backs up the gun and shoots a villager don't you

[LFAQs-redacted-quote]


changmas posted...
i mean i don't think it's wholly unreasonable or impossible for cody to be scum with a tracker action and lea to be telling the truth, i just don't see ample enough evidence to make it more probable than lea being scum and we probably need the info too much not to make this lynch

on the bright side lea, you're at the beach and can pay no more heed to our miserable lot. enjoy!

##Vote: Lea

I like Chang because of his voting record and is probably one of my biggest town reads, but I'd be really interested in hearing his perspective on this Cody case after Lea's flip.

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SirChris
05/29/23 8:42:48 PM
#103:


I feel like it would be a lot simpler for Cody to claim a track day 2 then how he went about it as scum though if they wanted to have an idea in mind.

Would like to hear an affirmative case stronger than 'role usage' after the Lea lynch that was a failure due to role usage meta

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SirChris
05/29/23 8:44:01 PM
#104:


I want to hear the case because I don't trust anyone I just want to be able to follow it

Like if we go with Cody was coached would like to hear the person doing the coaching

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EDumey
05/29/23 8:57:46 PM
#105:


I haven't gotten that far into developing an entire scum team yet. I asked for a PoE to help narrow things down, but wasn't provided one. Gave an example of Corrik as scum.

Corrik backed the Lea lynch inferring she was obvious scum, and didn't put up any resistance to Plum's arguments against her. This is possibly scum Corrik.
Corrik saying Chris is confirmed town because of emotional read, but then leaving Chris on the table because of potential arsonist/independent role. This is possibly scum Corrik.

I went back to ISO Plum's Cody suspicion from D1.

Cody11533 posted...
Also if I publicly vocalize some suspicion toward you Chris, do you think it will help you survive night 1?

Cody11533 posted...
Also for the record I do lean neutral at best on Chris right now.

I still lean towards Red being my ideal lynch for the day at this point. I've liked Lea enough to not want to go after her at this point.

masterplum posted...
Why

what has Chris done to make you think he is scum

Cody11533 posted...
I'm still not sold on Marth, and he very strongly moved attention off him. He also downplayed Marth's reads at the end of topic 1 that included himself in "Solid Town" alone, when Marth never really backed down from those reads from what I saw.

masterplum posted...
In my hazy state the only thing Ive really been able to track is the line chris is walking down regarding his views on red. Everything else has been peripheral

So I was surprised that Cody not only wasnt following it but seemed to have missed it entirely

masterplum posted...
##Vote:Cody

Idk I didnt like him relying on this marth stuff. Feels superficial

Plum was admittedly sick at that time, so maybe not the most credible! But the affirmative argument here would be new player Cody D1 positioning himself on a town lynch while waffling on Chris with nothing of real substance?

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changmas
05/29/23 8:59:37 PM
#106:


on my phone atm will type up something longer about Cody later

im in agreement with mass claim as soon as ulti claims what the beetles told him

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EDumey
05/29/23 9:04:04 PM
#107:


Also Chris, since I seem to be mostly live posting with you at the moment, if I didn't come in and focus on rereading Plum and looking through Cody stuff, where would you have liked to solve toward?

What seems the most interesting after Lea's flip?

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changmas
05/29/23 9:07:51 PM
#108:


Also Ill have to actually do the math on it but Cody having a goldeen might actually be a legitimate reason to tip the scale into lynching someone else if were unsure-ish on him

for example i think Sheep is near guaranteed scum at this point (sorry Lea!!)

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Obellisk
05/29/23 9:08:13 PM
#109:


Oh are we massing, that's fun.

Hey guys, remember when I said we have weak protection, BG makes sense in the setup and you ignored me...

I'm still here. I think Plum is scum still. Sorry edumey.

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SirChris
05/29/23 9:08:15 PM
#110:


EDumey posted...
Also Chris, since I seem to be mostly live posting with you at the moment, if I didn't come in and focus on rereading Plum and looking through Cody stuff, where would you have liked to solve toward?

What seems the most interesting after Lea's flip?
Corrik stirring the pot in the wrong direction is most intriguing after wall flipped town

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Corrik7
05/29/23 9:21:20 PM
#111:


Lea not being scum is wow. I erred and have to reread the game now. Lea being scum cleared most the game. Her being town... yikes. She didn't even fight.

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SirChris
05/29/23 9:35:54 PM
#112:


Last night I went through and wall consistently defended joyrock day 2

So I was like 'ah I got him'

Now I am just confused lol

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changmas
05/29/23 9:37:57 PM
#113:


idk why everyone seems to think scum players are substantially more like to just roll over and give up because imo it's either equally likely or even an edge in town's favor. as a town player you have no resources other than the truth and if the truth isn't working then many are content to just accept it and end things there. as scum you have a whole team of minds to pool resources together and also more of a shared social contract / sense of responsibility toward your team to try imo

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EDumey
05/29/23 9:38:31 PM
#114:


SBell, I reviewed the interaction between you and Plum and would be interested in hearing your conclusion on this again.

masterplum posted...
I want Sbell to explain how he considered shooting me N2

Because that seems like a slip, because scum absolutely would have considered shooting me N2.

His arguments against me seem to stem from me watching Chris, but his claim of considering shooting me N2 contradict that

Plum points out here:
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/80456976/973761658
that SBell was "teetering" on Plum, but then came in the next day saying he thought about shooting the claimed watcher. Then SBell post-hoc argues that he doesn't believe the Watcher claim because of Plum watching Chris.

masterplum posted...
Who would you watch Sbell?

Do you not think after yesterday it is likely nobody visits chris? Are you really thinking it is a nonsensical play?

Obellisk posted...
correct. I think scum doesn't touch Chris after day 2.

I think scum males a poor play in using a watch item on Chris in hopes to find the doc.

I also think Town Plum comes in with a less defensive posture.

masterplum posted...
Why would scum not touch chris after day 2. Did he not look towny after that day?

Corrik7 posted...
He is confirmed town. They would assume any watches or saves would be on Chris imo.

changmas posted...
i expected chris to die last night tbh im on plum's side here

Obellisk posted...
which is why Plum coming in with a watch on Obv town chris is just the worst way for Plum to use that power night 2.
And it only makes sense from a scum standpoint.

(Note, last quote block was two separate posts combined for quote limits)

To me it looks like you said "there's no reason for a watcher to watch Chris" and then Corrik comes in and says "scum wouldn't target Chris because he's an obvious watcher target" and you somehow turn that into a reason why Plum has to be scum? I feel like expecting Plum to make the outplay and go for some other watch target other than the obvious one is setting too high an expectation.

It seems like you wanted to suspect Plum and justified it later. I may have missed a crucial post, but can you answer for me again was there something that made you not believe Plum's Watcher claim D2 that you considered shooting him? Or just gut?

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EDumey
05/29/23 9:44:18 PM
#115:


Oh shoot, I forgot to mention this in my opening post, but I have a super hectic schedule tomorrow on Tuesday with FFXIV raid stuff since the new raid tier is dropping, and I will likely be very very not here for most of the day/night. Just wanted to get that out there before tomorrow in case anyone asks about my activity level.

All the more important if anyone wants me to look at specific interactions or people tonight, I should have a lot of time to review stuff.

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changmas
05/29/23 9:47:12 PM
#116:


EDumey posted...
Oh shoot, I forgot to mention this in my opening post, but I have a super hectic schedule tomorrow on Tuesday with FFXIV raid stuff since the new raid tier is dropping, and I will likely be very very not here for most of the day/night. Just wanted to get that out there before tomorrow in case anyone asks about my activity level.

All the more important if anyone wants me to look at specific interactions or people tonight, I should have a lot of time to review stuff.


all good i will also be basically unavailable until 6pmish EST tomorrow after i go to sleep tonight

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changmas
05/29/23 9:47:52 PM
#117:


check into Sheep/Red tonight though imo

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Obellisk
05/29/23 9:49:32 PM
#118:


Plum watching Chris was dumb since he should have known scum was never going to touch chris.

So Plum actually watching Chris came across like a waste of power and not an intelligent Town Plum play and more like Scum Plum hoping to find a dumb doc that would save a must be town chris.

Anyway, I've been right on some things and wrong on so many more.

I have reasons to believe a static Town Watcher is a bit much and plums insistence that Lea and I were/are both scum and his lynching of Marth...


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SirChris
05/29/23 9:55:48 PM
#119:


What are those reasons

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EDumey
05/29/23 9:56:02 PM
#120:


I don't really fault you that much SBell because like I said at the start, before I knew who I was replacing, I thought Plum looked suspicious as well. >_> And you have the D1 vote in your favor.

All I can tell you is that I am town and can confirm that Plum did watch Chris, so take that as you will.

What are your thoughts on the Red/Sheep player slot, SBell? That was the last of the trio that Plum was suspecting I think.

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Obellisk
05/29/23 10:10:05 PM
#121:


honestly have no real opinion on the player spot. Probably scum

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EDumey
05/29/23 10:17:12 PM
#122:


Answer Chris as well please, as that has to do with my prior question to you.

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SirChris
05/29/23 10:22:26 PM
#123:


EDumey posted...
Answer Chris as well please, as that has to do with my prior question to you.

I am a little lost so let me go through my thoughts.

It woukd be strange for scum red's entire content to be 'marth is town' day 1. Scum red would not town side

I think that slot cannot be scum unless ulti is scum as well. Because then going after me day 2 makes a lot more sense as I was pushing scum ulti a lot.

But if ulti isn't scum then red is doubtful to be as well. The slots are linked to me

Ulti caught onto joyrock being scummy day 1 but seemingly wanted to give him a chance. That has a weird texture to it if ulti is scum bussing.

I would say I lean towards no right now and the scum team as a whole has avoided the fray. Side eying mzero atm which is why he got a fish

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SirChris
05/29/23 10:24:59 PM
#124:


I notice wall sussed crescent a bit before dying so it is possible I am wrong to think positively about her due to joyrock stuff. I don't know her precise scum meta so not sure if she would bus or not d1 like that. I could maybe see it. I am not dead and wall is so I feel like one of his reads there that differs from mine is probably correct

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EDumey
05/29/23 10:25:47 PM
#125:


I'm sorry, I meant for SBell to answer your question, not for you to answer me, lol. But thanks for the input. I am doing a Red ISO right now and will post notes in a bit.

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#126
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SirChris
05/29/23 10:33:17 PM
#127:


EDumey posted...
I'm sorry, I meant for SBell to answer your question, not for you to answer me, lol. But thanks for the input. I am doing a Red ISO right now and will post notes in a bit.
Oh my bad lol

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SirChris
05/29/23 10:33:26 PM
#128:


UltimaterializerX posted...
Who claimed backup?

Cody

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#129
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Obellisk
05/29/23 10:39:29 PM
#130:


UltimaterializerX posted...
So it's Cody.

##Vote: Cody

Finally got a scan with actual information. The "backup" role is a mafia role and it's called resurrect.

if they were going to "resurrect" a track why not do it night 1?

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changmas
05/29/23 10:39:32 PM
#131:


are we at mylo

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SirChris
05/29/23 10:39:36 PM
#132:


Reminder to everyone this could be mylo so no one should vote besides mass claim

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changmas
05/29/23 10:40:43 PM
#133:


impressive stuff to answer 4 seconds after i asked, thanks

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#134
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changmas
05/29/23 10:41:26 PM
#135:


also ulti forgot how his role worked again btw lmao

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#136
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EDumey
05/29/23 10:42:03 PM
#137:


I'll support that.

##Vote: Cody

Again I understand some people may say "scum cody can't win in endgame because fish" but I don't want to repeat the same mistakes as last game.

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SirChris
05/29/23 10:42:39 PM
#138:


EDumey posted...
I'll support that.

##Vote: Cody

Again I understand some people may say "scum cody can't win in endgame because fish" but I don't want to repeat the same mistakes as last game.
Dumey it might be mylo take your vote off wtf

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#139
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EDumey
05/29/23 10:43:03 PM
#140:


##Unvote:

wait sorry refreshing and seeing the dont vote stuff

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changmas
05/29/23 10:43:38 PM
#141:


yesterday you said you picked a priority level and the beetles told you if any items were used in that priority bracket

today you have abandoned that completely

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SirChris
05/29/23 10:46:30 PM
#142:


I feel like we have reached the point where if ulti is scum his team would help him with the fake claim

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changmas
05/29/23 10:46:59 PM
#143:


UltimaterializerX posted...
Let me claim my actual role, full honesty, yet again.

Town clairvoyant. At the end of each DAY PHASE, I get a beetle in my inventory. I can choose to send it out to scout the scum team. I pick one of the 3 priorities (high, normal, low). I can do this for each beetle if I have multiple. If it sees an item used, I see it. If it does NOT see an item used, an item the scum team used is randomly selected from other priorities. More on this in a second.

On night 1, I did nothing. Every single thing I discussed with Chris yesterday was absolute bullshit. If you want to kill me for that, I understand and I won't argue. I melted down a little because I think my role is neat and wanted to stay alive. I think that's a little defensible, but hey.

On night 2, I had 2 beetles. I sent both out, one high and one normal. The "high" beetle returned a Deku Nut, and I was told what it did. Target stunned, but no passive abilities are stopped. This is almost assuredly telling me that Lea is their roleblocker so we kill her today and move on.

The normal beetle returned nothing. Zero. No items. This means scum has a ninja something-or-other (possible given watchers and trackers and me going around) or only used the Deku Nut last night.

This leads to a lot of easy conclusions. Unless Goldeens are ninja fish, Chris is confirmed town and if he's scum we lynch Kirby. Who even cares. SBell is confirmed town.

Cody, MZero, Wallz, and Plum are like 99% confirmed town unless scum is self targeting to trick us. Possible, but we don't consider that today. Occulam's Razor.

If you guys stop the BS and just listen to me and Corrik, the POE becomes impossible to lose from -- Chang, Corrik, Crescent, Lea, and Red (sorry Corrik, just being thorough!).

Lynch Lea -> Crescent -> Red -> Chang in that order and we almost assuredly win. If you have to kill me to confirm my role and this lynch order, I won't argue with anyone about it anymore. Just do it tomorrow after Roleblocker Lea dies so town power can finish things off.

Listen to the correct POE and learn from last game.


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Cody11533
05/29/23 10:50:10 PM
#144:


Hi Dumey.

If you have any specific questions for me to help you catchup let me know.

Same goes for anyone else who wants to probe my brain.

MZero posted...
Starscream

Also did Cody explain why he named his Chris? Because I wasn't told where it came from
I didn't actually send in the nickname until a few hours after Day 2 started, by which point Ulti had brought up Chris's Day 1 fish hint.

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Cody11533
05/29/23 10:50:35 PM
#145:


UltimaterializerX posted...
Finally got a scan with actual information. The "backup" role is a mafia role and it's called resurrect.
Would this fall under an ability, action, or an item Ulti?

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SirChris
05/29/23 10:50:47 PM
#146:


Cody you have been accused of being scum. How do you plead?

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Cody11533
05/29/23 10:51:19 PM
#147:


SirChris posted...
Cody you have been accused of being scum. How do you plead?
Not Guilty, I bleed Blue for Blue Team.

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Cody11533
05/29/23 10:53:33 PM
#148:


Also to summarize my role again, I am 1-Shot Backup. I had the ability to get a 1-use variant of any dead Blue Team member.

I used the power Night 2 on Marth's Tracker, which I used to Track Lea that night. I no longer have anything but my voice, my vote, and my Goldeen.

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Cody11533
05/29/23 10:55:37 PM
#149:


To play Devil's Advocate, Ulti can you confirm the exact text your beetles gave you last night? On the off chance you're Town and there's a misunderstanding in how you read it.

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#150
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