Board 8 > Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1371

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LeonhartFour
11/08/22 9:29:56 PM
#1:


Elden Ring vs. Ragnarok for Game of the Year: Coming soon to a front page near you, and that's the closest we're getting to a contest anytime soon.

~*creativename's contest site*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analyses*~
https://board8.fandom.com/wiki/Main_Page

~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
https://board8.fandom.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
https://board8.fandom.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Closest Wire-To-Wire Matches*~
https://board8.fandom.com/wiki/Closest_Wire-to-Wire_Matches

~*All-Time Guru List*~
https://board8.fandom.com/wiki/All_Time_Guru_Rankings

~*Most Surprising Results*~
https://board8.fandom.com/wiki/Most_Surprising_Results

~*Contest Histories*~
https://board8.fandom.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~
https://board8.fandom.com/wiki/Daily_Vote_Trends

~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~
https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's extrapolated percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

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TeamRocketElite
11/08/22 10:59:59 PM
#2:


I feel like Elden Ring takes that? But, God of War is surprisingly strong on this site.

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My bracket looked like random picks compared to his.
Congrats to azuarc for winning the GotD 2020 Guru Contest!
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MacArrowny
11/08/22 11:07:57 PM
#3:


It did very well in the GotY vote, but it failed to impress in GotD. Not sure what that means.

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TeamRocketElite
11/08/22 11:20:22 PM
#4:


Well this is a GotY vote so maybe God of War will impress again.

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My bracket looked like random picks compared to his.
Congrats to azuarc for winning the GotD 2020 Guru Contest!
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HaRRicH
11/08/22 11:38:35 PM
#5:


Elden Ring seems to have made the biggest splash in gaming since Breath of the Wild in my book. Ragnarok will be huge too, but I'm predicting it won't quite be the same impact as ER.

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Axl_Rose_85
11/09/22 4:19:35 AM
#6:


I feel Elden Ring is already about as strong as Smash Ultimate and God of War Ragnarok should be about equal in strength to God of War (2018) so the results should be somewhere in the ballpark of a 55-45 in Elden Ring's favor. But why do I have a feeling that Elden Ring is instead gonna do what Witcher 3 did to God of War in GotD2 than what Smash did in GotY.
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Axl_Rose_85
11/09/22 4:23:25 AM
#7:


MacArrowny posted...
It did very well in the GotY vote, but it failed to impress in GotD. Not sure what that means.

It did very well in GotD. It just ran into a Western game SFF buzzsaw machine. Didn't you see what Witcher 3 did to Ass ass in Creed and Mass Effect 3.
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squexa
11/09/22 6:55:23 AM
#8:


Axl_Rose_85 posted...
I feel Elden Ring is already about as strong as Smash Ultimate and God of War Ragnarok should be about equal in strength to God of War (2018) so the results should be somewhere in the ballpark of a 55-45 in Elden Ring's favor. But why do I have a feeling that Elden Ring is instead gonna do what Witcher 3 did to God of War in GotD2 than what Smash did in GotY.

ER absolutely destroyed HFW in the polls already so I can't see GoWR holding ER below 60%. Around 65-35 like the Witcher 3/GoW match sounds about right.

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Jdsmart
11/09/22 3:47:39 PM
#9:


Are contests effectively over on this site?

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OrangeCrush980
11/09/22 4:11:07 PM
#10:


Jdsmart posted...
Are contests effectively over on this site?

Possibly

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_SecretSquirrel
11/09/22 8:30:09 PM
#11:


Boy are the PotD results not surprising. 60%+ of the voters being around for over half the site's life is in line with everything we know.

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Seanchan
11/09/22 8:57:37 PM
#12:


Its kind of remarkable, in a way.

What other social sites have you been going to for that long?

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LusterSoldier
11/15/22 12:18:55 AM
#13:


TeamRocketElite posted...
Well this is a GotY vote so maybe God of War will impress again.


God of War probably does better than expected due to being more recent at the time of the GotY polls, but I think Elden Ring is just that much stronger that it shouldn't have much difficulty taking GotY this year.

Jdsmart posted...
Are contests effectively over on this site?


The short lived Red Ventures ownership means we'll have to wait even longer for a new contest, as we may have to wait a while for Fandom to approve a budget to fund prizes for a new contest.

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HaRRicH
11/15/22 12:27:12 AM
#14:


Can we petition Fandom for a contest? Maybe a nice sincere email we rally around and sign off on?

We've let SB know for years and I trust much of his contest offerings will be bound by the companies owning GameFAQs. Is this something we've tried before, to go to the budget-makers and take that weight off SB of asking for a budget? And maybe hearing from existing FANS would mean something with FANdom.

We're old and I'm spitballing, right, but I like to think we ain't seen our last contest yet.

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Big_Bob
11/15/22 7:33:46 AM
#15:


If I had won the lottery last week I would have bought the site and ran another contest.

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#16
Post #16 was unavailable or deleted.
ctesjbuvf
11/15/22 9:32:41 AM
#17:


Elden Ring probably stomps GotY

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#18
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Safer_777
11/18/22 12:30:17 PM
#19:


So about 62% say they don't play Pokemon games...I don't know if this is good or bad to tell the truth. Of course I bought it day one and funny thing I have bought 3 Pokemon games in 4 months.

Brilliant Diamond in August, Legends Arceus in September, Pokemon Scarlet now. Well I am a fan. Yeah so many years and the games are similar but this is fine. I mean Dragon Quest games are all similar and yet people don't complain there.

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LusterSoldier
11/21/22 12:30:52 AM
#20:


Mario World playrate poll today:

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/9013-

The playrate is very high, as you would expect. Currently at a 90.95% playrate right now.

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TeamRocketElite
11/28/22 9:59:11 PM
#21:


Bump

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My bracket looked like random picks compared to his.
Congrats to azuarc for winning the GotD 2020 Guru Contest!
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Leonhart4
11/30/22 6:33:12 AM
#22:


FFVII always wins

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TeamRocketElite
12/08/22 2:26:02 AM
#23:


Bump

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My bracket looked like random picks compared to his.
Congrats to azuarc for winning the GotD 2020 Guru Contest!
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ctesjbuvf
12/08/22 4:02:30 PM
#24:


We're at the longest we've ever been without a contest, right?

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#25
Post #25 was unavailable or deleted.
Leonhart4
12/08/22 4:38:56 PM
#26:


The last match of GotD2 was 5/13/2020.

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#27
Post #27 was unavailable or deleted.
ctesjbuvf
12/08/22 5:36:12 PM
#28:


I did consider adding "since they started".

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#29
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OrangeCrush980
12/08/22 6:22:16 PM
#30:


The beginning of the universe - 7/1/2002 will be hard to beat

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Leonhart4
12/08/22 6:37:22 PM
#31:


It doesn't really answer the pertinent question

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TeamRocketElite
12/10/22 12:58:27 PM
#32:


What does Sonic Frontiers mean for Sonic in a hypothetical Character Battle? Sonic didn't look so good his last time out. Can he turn it around?

---
My bracket looked like random picks compared to his.
Congrats to azuarc for winning the GotD 2020 Guru Contest!
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Zylothewolf
12/10/22 1:05:02 PM
#33:


I think the Netflix series will be more important for Sonic. The voters are old now and dont play games anymore, but if we can watch a good series with a video game character then we will vote for him/her.

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TeamRocketElite
12/10/22 1:09:27 PM
#34:


Sonic also has his movies since his last CB. So, maybe he has a sizable boost to look forward to.

---
My bracket looked like random picks compared to his.
Congrats to azuarc for winning the GotD 2020 Guru Contest!
... Copied to Clipboard!
WarThaNemesis2
12/10/22 1:16:38 PM
#35:


Sonic's problem is that he's so well known that there's only so far for him to jump. This isn't an Alucard situation. Maybe he'll jump Crono and Mega Man, but anyone else is probably beyond him?

Especially since the other potential ones to leap are probably Pikachu, Tifa, and Sephiroth. The latter two have more reason to boost than Sonic, and I will never trust Sonic in a one-off vs. Pokemon.

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TeamRocketElite
12/10/22 1:26:08 PM
#36:


Link shows that there's no such thing as a ceiling. In Sonic's case, just recovering much of his old strength would be pretty nice for him.

I'm not sure how well Pikachu wil maintain strength. Pokemon's image isn't really in a great place right now among more hardcore players. But, GameFAQs doesn't really play the newer games so maybe it doesn't matter.

---
My bracket looked like random picks compared to his.
Congrats to azuarc for winning the GotD 2020 Guru Contest!
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Leonhart4
12/10/22 1:32:52 PM
#37:


Boosting isn't just about reaching a new audience. It's also about reminding people why they liked you in the first place or maybe changing the minds of those who didn't care for you before. I think Sonic being front and center for a lot of stuff will definitely help, but he's not beating anyone he hasn't been able to beat before.

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WarThaNemesis2
12/10/22 1:40:26 PM
#38:


Link proved that if you get a game that is almost bigger than the entire rest of the 3D Zelda series combined, you can give even Link a boost.

It can't be overstated how big of a deal Breath of the Wild is. It's the first Zelda game bigger than Sonic 1.

Frontiers isn't even bigger than Sonic Adventure 2. The movies might not even be bigger than Sonic 1.

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WarThaNemesis2
12/10/22 1:44:29 PM
#39:


Also the real Sonic movie question isn't Sonic, it's Tails, Knuckles, and Robotnik.

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pjbasis
12/10/22 1:47:54 PM
#40:


WarThaNemesis2 posted...
It can't be overstated how big of a deal Breath of the Wild is. It's the first Zelda game bigger than Sonic 1.

Ocarina was pretty big, but I'm not even sure how to gauge what's bigger than Sonic 1.

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WarThaNemesis2
12/10/22 1:49:04 PM
#41:


pjbasis posted...
Ocarina was pretty big, but I'm not even sure how to gauge what's bigger than Sonic 1.

People playing it. Ocarina sold like a third of the copies of Sonic 1.

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Leonhart4
12/10/22 1:50:34 PM
#42:


Frontiers has done really well. It's got no shot up against Elden Ring in GotY, of course, but I'll be curious how it stacks up against the rest of the field.

It's not going to beat out the Genesis games for impact, of course, but I wouldn't be surprised if it rivals SA2, if nothing else.

The Sonic 2 movie did really well. It played up to the 90s nostalgia of the series, which is the most powerful force on this site.

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Zylothewolf
12/10/22 1:54:04 PM
#43:


WarThaNemesis2 posted...
Link proved that if you get a game that is almost bigger than the entire rest of the 3D Zelda series combined, you can give even Link a boost.

It can't be overstated how big of a deal Breath of the Wild is. It's the first Zelda game bigger than Sonic 1.

Wait Lttp , OoT, and TP aint bigger than Sonic 1 but BotW is? I havent looked up the sale numbers but this is just confusing.

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WarThaNemesis2
12/10/22 1:56:50 PM
#44:


Zylothewolf posted...
Wait Lttp , OoT, and TP aint bigger than Sonic 1 but BotW is? I havent looked up the sale numbers but this is just confusing.

Sonic 1 sold over 20 million. Breath of the Wild is the first mainline Zelda to break 10.

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pjbasis
12/10/22 1:59:05 PM
#45:


Oh sure sales. But that's also a metric that will keep breaking itself because more people are playing video games than ever before.

BotW's 20 million+ isn't as impressive as Sonic 1's in the early 90s. And like, gamefaqs popularity doesn't care about that all...

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WarThaNemesis2
12/10/22 2:08:58 PM
#46:


pjbasis posted...
Oh sure sales. But that's also a metric that will keep breaking itself because more people are playing video games than ever before.

BotW's 20 million+ isn't as impressive as Sonic 1's in the early 90s. And like, gamefaqs popularity doesn't care about that all...

I would argue sales do matter when it's the biggest game by a massive margin in the biggest series on the site.

If Scarlet/Violet outsold Red/Blue/Yellow I would expect it to be decently strong here (although not beating Red/Blue/Yellow strong). BotW is like if Scarlet/Violet outsold Red/Blue/Yellow multiple times over.

This is all getting away from the point, which is that there are very strong reasons why the Sonic movies and Frontiers are not like Breath of the Wild.

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TeamRocketElite
12/10/22 2:13:04 PM
#47:


Sales aren't everything but, selling a lot makes it easier to make a difference even if it doesn't guarantee it.

---
My bracket looked like random picks compared to his.
Congrats to azuarc for winning the GotD 2020 Guru Contest!
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pjbasis
12/10/22 2:14:17 PM
#48:


WarThaNemesis2 posted...


This is all getting away from the point, which is that there are very strong reasons why the Sonic movies and Frontiers are not like Breath of the Wild.

Yeah critical reception

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MacArrowny
12/10/22 2:59:12 PM
#49:


I'm kinda surprised we haven't gotten much for adaptation polls. Would be fun to see a poll about the Sonic movies or the Castlevania show.

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TeamRocketElite
12/18/22 7:58:28 PM
#50:


Bump

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