Board 8 > Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1292

(+) Yeah! (+)

Ugh Joker cut.

Must be a rally somewhere. Not good.
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Haste_2 posted...

Vincent was never a "fraud". People never really overrated him that much in 2013. Well, maybe in 2010 he was sort of a fraud because people assumed Sephiroth SFFed him that year....

there were some people this year who were arguing that Vincent was still the strongest non-Noble Niner

for some reason
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ExThaNemesis posted...

Ugh Joker cut.

Must be a rally somewhere. Not good.

Can't have nice things!

If only she got a normal pic!
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My logical mind, on the inside: Magus and Joker are going to be their strongest in the first hour. It's highly unlikely they manage to clinch these matches, no matter how great it would be.

The rest of me:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UfCV1bVOiGc" data-time="

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eFVj0Z6ahcI" data-time="
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Look, as someone who railed against Vincent throughout my entire pre-contest Analysis Topic

This is a new level of suck for him
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I have a hard time rooting for Magus

one because he kinda sucks

and two because he was my original fraud campaign
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The trends with this new start time are going to be fun. This is totally uncharted ground!
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LeonhartFour posted...

I have a hard time rooting for Magus

one because he kinda sucks

and two because he was my original fraud campaign

You already won your fraud campaign against Magus, about 10 times over.
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This is looking like the best day of the contest so far.

Im off to sleep now. Good luck Magus, youll need to build a lead because when I wake up so does Europe and it will bring with it a crimson red dawn for Vincent.

oh man oh man oh man oh man

I don't know if my heart can take two 50/50 back and forth matches AT THE SAME TIME
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I'm suddenly #7 in the Oracle, wha? Unfortunately I picked Claire to win there... whoops.
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Janus5k posted...

I thought CT eventually got released in Europe? Forget how much that helped though.

CT has been released in Europe on 2 platforms - the DS version, and the Wii Virtual Console

Square continues to treat CT like shit when it comes to Europe, though. Even FFIV and FFVI have gotten better treatment in Europe than CT has.
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https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/boards/213-nonstop-gaming-general/77146668

Really Good Bee posted...

He's a Final Fantasy character. They never fucking lose in these contests.

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ExThaNemesis posted...

Ugh Joker cut.

Must be a rally somewhere. Not good.

Haven't you heard? Rallies aren't a thing this year.

But seriously, Joker's right back in this. Another cut, plus Magus trying to reestablish his lead!
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Claire is an icon of gaming and deserves this win.
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So if traditional trends hold up, we should starting the match around the end of the ASV. So Magus should have good times coming up for the next.....7 or so hours.
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But is she has much of an icon as Sully ?

There's no way this lasts through the night, but Magus/Vincent looks like it has huge potential.
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LeonhartFour posted...

I have a hard time rooting for Magus

one because he kinda sucks

and two because he was my original fraud campaign

Magus is legit.

CaptainOfCrush posted...

Claire is an icon of BAIG and deserves this win.

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Also, in the interest of defending my dude here a bit more: based on the 2013 stats, Shulk is currently projected to score 62% on his 2013 self.
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both leads under 10 votes now

I can't take it
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oh man
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... this contest.

T H R E E V O T E S

Good lord
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KamikazePotato posted...

Also, in the interest of defending my dude here a bit more: based on the 2013 stats, Shulk is currently projected to score 62% on his 2013 self.

Not surprising. He's had Smash since then, plus returning for another contest almost always makes you stronger if your first contest was shortly after your debut game came out.
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_SecretSquirrel posted...

It has some Euro releases now including the DS release, but its not a substitute for nostalgia votes.

That's true. Even with those releases, anyone playing the game for the first time well past the age of 13 (especially as an adult) won't have the nostalgia factor influencing their vote.

I remember there was a Sonic 1 playrate poll sometime in the past few years and while Sonic 1 has very similar playrates in the US and the UK (slightly higher in the UK), Sonic 1 happens to be a lot stronger in the UK than the US. Nostalgia appears to be the explanation for Sonic 1's strength difference between the US and UK, as the UK gamers were far more likely to play Sonic 1 while they were young. The US situation was that the Genesis wasn't as popular there compared to the UK, and US gamers were probably more likely to have played Sonic 1 at an older age.
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LeonhartFour posted...

both leads under 10 votes now

I can't take it

I know. Finally, an F5-worthy match, and there's two of them at once!
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We have had quite a few close matches recently.
With Ryu/Simon and Ramza/Garrus, and now those 2.

Stalls!
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Both leads still under 10.

7 vote update for Claire...4 vote update for Vincent. Argh!
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2016 vs. 2011

help I'm having Best Year in Gaming flashbacks
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People make too much out of Magus "losing to a bag of sand." I mean, that's obviously funny, but it's a bag of sand that got around 40% on Sonic ( I think. I can't interpret those 4 way percentages well). You have to see the forest for the trees.
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TsunamiXXVIII posted...

LeonhartFour posted...

both leads under 10 votes now

I can't take it

I know. Finally, an F5-worthy match, and there's two of them at once!

Thank you tab navigation so I can keep two tabs of gfaqscontests

HeroicSpiderPig posted...

People make too much out of Magus "losing to a bag of sand." I mean, that's obviously funny, but it's a bag of sand that got around 40% on Sonic ( I think. I can't interpret those 4 way percentages well). You have to see the forest for the trees.

Sonic doubled it.
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looks like the FFVII Power Hour is OVER
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Things look okay for Claire, just based off what Europe says for her, but we'll see.

Who the fuck KNOWS with Vincent/Magus
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ExThaNemesis posted...

Things look okay for Claire, just based off what Europe says for her, but we'll see.

I wouldn't read much into the early Europe returns. The percentage of votes from Europe is probably pretty small right now since it's the middle of the night over there.
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LeonhartFour posted...

HeroicSpiderPig posted...

People make too much out of Magus "losing to a bag of sand." I mean, that's obviously funny, but it's a bag of sand that got around 40% on Sonic ( I think. I can't interpret those 4 way percentages well). You have to see the forest for the trees.

Sonic doubled it.

Sandbag got 25% of the vote and Sonic got 36%.
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I'm looking at round 2.
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LeonhartFour posted...

HeroicSpiderPig posted...

People make too much out of Magus "losing to a bag of sand." I mean, that's obviously funny, but it's a bag of sand that got around 40% on Sonic ( I think. I can't interpret those 4 way percentages well). You have to see the forest for the trees.

Sonic doubled it.

After he only got 60% in the previous round. The same as he got on Magus.
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It was 60/40 in round 1 and about a doubling in round 2.
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incidentally if you extrapolate through Sandbag and Magus wins, Auron gets nearly 70% next round
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Eh, close matches tend to inflate percentages in multi-ways precisely because they're close.

Round 2 where Sandbag had nothing to fight for is probably closer to a more accurate read.
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Magus > Sonic IMO. So say the 2003 x-stats!
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Uh Claire is favored in the day?
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you'll never see it COMIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIN'
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Joker takes the lead!
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Joker's probably being carried by Japan right now (I think we get vaguely respectable vote totals from Japan?) it's kind of a stomp there. RE has always done well in Europe historically as well. Those two combined (Europe waking up and Japan going to sleep) will probably make this one not very close in the long run, but it's fun to watch now.
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