Board 8 > Character Battle X Contest Analysis Crew

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LeonhartFour
10/19/18 4:18:44 PM
#151:


I'm just pointing out the absurdity of calling Sully "iconic"

Spyro would beat both of them easily
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Lopen
10/19/18 4:21:09 PM
#152:


I'd put my money for Sully to beat Spyro (though by less than Aya) but I guess we'll see.

To be fair though I meant to put "he's a major character in an iconic series" not that he himself is an iconic character.
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LeonhartFour
10/19/18 4:21:58 PM
#153:


Nathan Drake wouldn't be doing any better here than Chun-Li is!
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Lopen
10/19/18 4:23:23 PM
#154:


2018 Drake >> 2018 Chun Li believe it.
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SuperNiceDog
10/19/18 4:25:17 PM
#155:


LeonhartFour posted...
Nathan Drake wouldn't be doing any better here than Chun-Li is!


I agree. Chun-Li is actually iconic, I should have thought of that during the bracket-predicting period.

She's one of the icons of fighting games.
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LeonhartFour
10/19/18 4:26:23 PM
#156:


well yeah anyone who thought Spyro was going to beat Chun-Li by being more iconic was being ridiculous

but I told you as much...!
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squexa
10/19/18 4:26:37 PM
#157:


chun li with the nicki minaj boost
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MasterMoltar
10/19/18 5:04:39 PM
#158:


Round 1 Leon Kennedy vs. Dragonborn

Moltars Analysis

Closing out the day with a match that shouldnt be in doubt. Dragonborn isnt super weak, despite the 15 seed. He did beat Yuna in the last Character Battle (though she was splitting with Tifa). Skyrim might also be five years older, but it still does seem relevant in gaming these days.

Leon is out of his range, but hes not a worldbeater either. The RE boi should take this comfortably, but Im not expecting a blowout or a nail biter here.

Moltars Bracket: Leon

Moltars Prediction: Leon 62%

transiences Analysis

Does Leon still matter? I don't know why but I have a feeling he's faded -- probably because Resident Evil isn't exactly gamefaqs's bread and butter. He's good, sure, and he'll rock Dragonborn. Skyrim would blow up RE4 but this isn't a fair fight.

But Leon.. might lose to DK? It's going to be hard to judge him here. If Leon goes to town here then yeah maybe he's safe. Tidus/DK/Leon/Vivi is a nice eightpack. One of the few.

transience's prediction: Leon with 70.11%

Leonharts Analysis

I think were past Leon Kennedys prime because Resident Evil 4 is 13 years old at this point (although theyre probably still releasing a port at least twice a year), and the series as a whole has lost favor due to the games that have come out since then. That being said, he shouldnt have any problem winning this match. Im kinda surprised Dragonborn got back in because he looked pretty bad in CBIX, and were probably past Skyrims peak strength on this site, too, even if it is on every system under the sun at this point, too.

Leonharts Vote: Leon Kennedy

Leonharts Prediction: Leon Kennedy with 59.42%

Kleenexs Analysis

Going back through some old results of Leons, Im not as impressed with his resume as I was in my memories of contests passed. Hes still going to be fine here - faceless Skyrim avatar man did okay in 2013, and people still love them some Skyrim, but theres not much to latch onto there. Dragonborn is basically a proxy vote for Skyrim. Which should be enough to stop him from getting completely embarrassed, but I see no reason why Leon doesnt win this comfortably. Perhaps Ill be impressed, but without any knowledge of how their respective round 1 matches go, Im kinda wishing I took Vivi over Leon in round 3 of my bracket right now.

Kleenexs Prediction: Leon with 64%

Guests Analysis - Ranticoot

Leon is pretty good and has a hyped release soon, Dragonborn at what is almost assuredly his strongest couldn't beat down Tom Nook. Next.

The question that I am only putting here to make this writeup longer: how much weaker is Dragonborn going to be? Even with Yuna in the poll he barely got 40% on Tifa. I don't think 1v1 is going to be a good format for a character like him. At least Skyrim the game showed some good strength in 2015. I don't think Leon goes super big but he could.

Ranticoot's prediction - Leon Kennedy with 61.73%

Crew Consensus: Leon shoots past Dragonborn
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LeonhartFour
10/19/18 5:10:02 PM
#159:


DK beating Leon, huh?

well I guess if you've got him 60/40ing Tidus then why not
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TheKoolAidShoto
10/19/18 6:15:42 PM
#160:


Trans really said DK > Leon tho
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transcience
10/19/18 6:21:47 PM
#161:


like I said at the start, Im way outside the box this year

im not even looking at oracle or guru so i can stay in the dark. I had no idea I was way off on Leon either
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iphonesience
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SuperNiceDog
10/19/18 6:23:09 PM
#162:


LeonhartFour posted...
I'm just pointing out the absurdity of calling Sully "iconic"

Spyro would beat both of them easily


Sully as "iconic" LOLOL Leon you are absolutely right to laugh at that
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ZenOfThunder
10/19/18 7:06:43 PM
#163:


uho8X8A
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The Mana Sword
10/19/18 8:04:09 PM
#164:


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LeonhartFour
10/19/18 8:04:51 PM
#165:


man why did I go so low with Leon

having the high Aya prediction looks good though
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transience
10/19/18 8:07:03 PM
#166:


Crew Curse, huh
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xyzzy
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transience
10/19/18 8:07:19 PM
#167:


maybe Lopen's still on the Crew in spirit and saves us from terrible curses
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xyzzy
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Lopen
10/19/18 8:07:30 PM
#168:


Just wait till this bracket vote wears off.
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LeonhartFour
10/19/18 8:09:02 PM
#169:


Looks like we only have 7221 entries this year.

81.71% for Dante
80.74% for Lightning
55.02% for Chun-Li
92.41% for Ganondorf
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TheKoolAidShoto
10/19/18 8:11:41 PM
#170:


Almost 20% picked Cuphead to beat Dante

Lol
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Safer_777
10/19/18 8:12:06 PM
#171:


Rally potential I guess.
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Ranticoot
10/19/18 8:13:19 PM
#172:


you know with how the stats are rolled out, i wonder if it'll show how many people picked previous round losers to win matches past where they lost
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transience
10/19/18 8:13:44 PM
#173:


so ~67% of our votes come from registered users, huh? I wonder how much that fluctuates from match to match. I bet not much
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The Mana Sword
10/19/18 8:28:50 PM
#174:


I cant get over this Tidus performance

PS2 nostalgia boost deconfirmed!
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Lopen
10/19/18 8:30:12 PM
#175:


The PS2 nostalgia boost dream is dead, for sure, even if Tidus does win (which I haven't ruled out I mean it is DK)
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LeonhartFour
10/19/18 8:33:26 PM
#176:


Tidus just got his first cut

and we're still in what may pass for the Power Hour
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transience
10/19/18 8:34:18 PM
#177:


what was the consensus on tidus/kong? tidus?
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xyzzy
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The Mana Sword
10/19/18 8:34:22 PM
#178:


quick someone extrapolate how much lightning is worth on Tidus based on the 2013 match with DK
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LeonhartFour
10/19/18 8:35:11 PM
#179:


transience posted...
what was the consensus on tidus/kong? tidus?


It's hard to say what the trends will be like with the new start time. I imagine if Tidus hasn't taken the lead by morning, he's not gonna win though.
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transience
10/19/18 8:36:45 PM
#180:


I mean with brackets. yeah, DK should have this. I think this is just an extension of the night vote, and Tidus should have that (though if my memory is right, and if things hold, DK was more night oriented than most N characters)
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xyzzy
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LeonhartFour
10/19/18 8:41:17 PM
#181:


Oh, I think Tidus was a slight favorite here in terms of brackets, but it was pretty close.
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Ngamer64
10/19/18 8:51:03 PM
#182:


transience posted...
what was the consensus on tidus/kong? tidus?

Tidus had 62% of B8 brackets.

Oracle website isn't up to date yet but I'd guess the average pick was... Tidus with 52.59%.


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transience
10/19/18 8:53:11 PM
#183:


crew > board 8, as it should
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xyzzy
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Goosio
10/19/18 8:54:11 PM
#184:


Well DK vs. Tidus was a crazy one to predict for, that is for sure. I wasn't sure how it would go (it happened to early also IMO)
(I went with DK btw)
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DoomTheGyarados
10/19/18 8:55:06 PM
#185:


Ngamer64 posted...
transience posted...
what was the consensus on tidus/kong? tidus?

Tidus had 62% of B8 brackets.

Oracle website isn't up to date yet but I'd guess the average pick was... Tidus with 52.59%.



Link to guru?
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Sir Chris
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Ngamer64
10/19/18 8:56:43 PM
#186:


Guru site not ready yet, that number was based off the BOP (which only has 50 brackets versus our 200, but should be close %wise).
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DoomTheGyarados
10/19/18 8:57:22 PM
#187:


No I mean I forgot to submit mine.
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Sir Chris
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Leonhart4
10/19/18 8:58:10 PM
#188:


Still plenty of time for a DK choke
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therobot2044
10/19/18 8:58:49 PM
#189:


Even though I predicted Tidus, I'm actually glad to see DK doing well.
I went with Tidus due the site's "FF bias"
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tennisboy213
10/19/18 9:30:06 PM
#190:


final fantasy always wins
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Master Moltar
10/19/18 10:19:00 PM
#191:


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7238

Dante doesn't look too crazy here, but Cuphead could just be a little stronger than expected.

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7239

Very good showing from Lightning, but probably doesn't mean too much if Chloe is just super weak.

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7240

Chun wins, but nothing impressive.

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7241

Pretty good showing from Ganon, what you would expect from a favorite to take the Division

Next Round Thoughts: Lightning probably won't embarrass herself, but Dante still looks to be the favorite. Ganondorf also looks to put up a good number on Chun-Li.

Crew Prediction Challenge:

Moltar: 4
transience: 4
Leonhart: 4
Kleenex: 4
Guest: 4

Crew Accuracy Challenge: BetrayedTangy gets the point for Dante, SuperNiceDog gets the point for Lightning, pjbasis gets the point for Chun-Li, and transience gets the point for Ganondorf

Guest: 3 (BetrayedTangy, SuperNiceDog, pjbasis)
transience: 1
Moltar: 0
Leonhart: 0
Kleenex: 0
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Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
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Master Moltar
10/19/18 10:19:29 PM
#192:


Also guest sign-ups for the next two divisions

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/77113695
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Moltar Status: contest hype
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FlyingForever
10/19/18 10:23:47 PM
#193:


Kleenexs Prediction: Tidus with 66%

There goes bracket?
No.
There goes credibility
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ZeldaTPLink
10/19/18 10:30:30 PM
#194:


FlyingForever posted...
Kleenexs Prediction: Tidus with 66%

There goes bracket?
No.
There goes credibility


Do better.
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The Mana Sword
10/19/18 10:35:44 PM
#195:


I already said I meant to put 56!!!
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transience
10/19/18 10:37:25 PM
#196:


56 would have been a good prediction
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xyzzy
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LeonhartFour
10/19/18 11:14:18 PM
#197:


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WarThaNemesis2
10/19/18 11:40:35 PM
#198:


some things never change
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LeonhartFour
10/19/18 11:40:52 PM
#199:


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WarThaNemesis2
10/19/18 11:43:33 PM
#200:


that's not true

i picked the contest winner this time

that never happens
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