Board 8 > SpC2k17 Oracle Challenge Discussion Topic

(+) Yeah! (+)

Outside of one match I have been doing well this year. Although today I underestimated the blow outs, but not to a crippling degree.
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Wow did I just hit the top 3?

Too bad today's matches will ruin it.

suggestion: put everything side by side instead of one giant column
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Team Rocket Elite posted...

1995 finishes with 89.00%. I just got my third perfect Oracle prediction! I'm not sure if anyone else has three. I guess that means I should start making top 5 Round charts. >_>

I got my third 49.99 prediction. Some would say that's even harder... >_>

I can't believe I have 3 Top 5 picks in 6 matches already! It's too bad I decided to take a risk on 1985. If I hadn't, I would still be in the Overall Top 5. Ugh.

Thank you, TRE, for keeping track of this! You are awesome!!!
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I am genuinely surprised I'm doing as well as I am. I'm usually a own starter and I also expected this contest to be a train wreck as I had no real idea on predictions

Thanks for hosting TRE!
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ShatteredElysium posted...

I am genuinely surprised I'm doing as well as I am. I'm usually a own starter and I also expected this contest to be a train wreck as I had no real idea on predictions

I'm on the opposite spectrum. I was pretty confident that the biggest blowouts would come in the Wildcard Round, not in Round 1.
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I have no idea why my phone autocorrected slow to own. I meant slow starter.

Mobile posting on here is such garbage because of her adverts lagging up input

Round 8 Results:
1 - charmander6000 - 370.21
2 - Haste_2 - 365.97
3 - ShatteredElysium - 362.93
4 - Xuxon - 362.89
5 - tennisboy213 - 362.17
6 - CaptainOfCrush - 359.75
7 - Camden - 358.55
8 - Ringworm - 356.56
9 - AxemRedRanger - 356.41
10 - SwiftyDC - 356.27
11 - Luster Soldier - 355.31
12 - cyko - 354.36
13 - Glenn_and_Toad - 352.75
14 - Ngamer64 - 352.11
15 - Master Moltar - 351.85
16 - DoomTheGyarados - 351.29
17 - hylianknight3 - 350.15
18 - theawesomestevr - 349.55
19 - linkhatesganon - 349.5
20 - Team Rocket Elite - 349.11
21 - th3l3fty - 348.93
22 - creativename - 348.72
23 - davidponte - 347.95
24 - transience - 346.81
25 - bbbtime - 343.85
26 - t_kizzle - 343.42
27 - DarkFalconX - 342.45
28 - Nintendoboy375 - 341.31
29 - Steiner - 339.23
30 - Agent M - 339.07
31 - ZeldaTPLink - 338.87
32 - 3DSRage - 336.74
33 - pirate109 - 335.17
34 - LeonhartFour - 335.13
35 - Paratroopa1 - 334.91
36 - haloiscoolisbak - 333.55
37 - Menji - 332.35
38 - Whiskey_Nick - 331.13
39 - WalkingWiki - 330.4
40 - kateee - 329.73
41 - paulg235 - 327.73
42 - spooky96 - 323.97
43 - XIII_rocks - 323.69
44 - Arti - 322.32
45 - whatisurnameplz - 316.33
46 - Lord Bob Bree - 306.27
47 - Radix - 303.49
48 - CherryCokes - 300.56
49 - WiggumFan267 - 299.2
50 - TsunamiXXVIII - 295.76
51 - KingBartz - 292.24
52 - Advokaiser - 292.15
53 - BlAcK TuRtLe - 266.48
54 - raytan7585 - 138.6
55 - pjbasis - 93.19
56 - red sox 777 - 49.23
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still beating Leonhart. that's all that matters.

TRE, I won't ask you to do it if it's more work, but do you have the top scores of the day?
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transience posted...

still beating Leonhart. that's all that matters.

that's what happens when you get a match wrong...!

also beating me at the Oracle is not an accomplishment
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What? charmander6000 is evolving!

charmander6000 has evolved into charmeleon>9000!
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I picked 1985 too!
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Oh right, I forgot you actually stuck with it in the Oracle.
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Don't worry I won't be leading for too long...
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transience posted...

still beating Leonhart. that's all that matters.

TRE, I won't ask you to do it if it's more work, but do you have the top scores of the day?

I do. I intended to do it anyway.

Round 7 - 2001 vs 2014
1 - Menji - 49.95
2 - WalkingWiki - 48.32
3 - charmander6000 - 48.17
4 - TsunamiXXVIII - 47.83
5 - LeonhartFour - 47.63

Round 8 - 2008 vs 2009
1 - cyko - 49.71
2 - Menji - 49.31
3 - Camden - 49.17
4 - Team Rocket Elite - 48.83
5 - Xuxon - 48.83

I've also updated the spreadsheet with the full rankings for each match and the overall results after Round 7 as well.
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heck yeah top 5
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This must be a tough contest to pick, as I am usually nowhere near top 10 at this stage - or even after the first match or two. I'll take it.
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Cool, two top 5's!
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fourth Top 5 of the contest for me and a second Top Pick! It's too bad I keep alternating between great and awful picks...
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Not bad, not bad.
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Are we keeping track of top 5 performances and days on top 5 in leaderboards? (Each "day" being worth 2)

As a side note...I dun dead round 8. Time for my revival!

The spreadsheet contains the charts that show who got top 5 on each day. I'm not specifically keeping track of the number of top 5s a person gets or the number of days they are on the leader board.
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Top 5 or bust.
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oh I didn't see your link at the end of the first page TRE. sorry about asking!

cyko with the greatest standard deviation in the history of oracle
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and of course he's my Oracle partner
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Great work keeping up on this without the site guys
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I just closed the Team Challenge Sign-Up topic earlier today.

Final list of teams:

Team Oraclinguists - Menji76/Dilated Chemist
Team Big Bad Steiner Time - Steiner/bbbtime (bbbtime is formerly known as bigbadbear)
Team Predestined Divination - creativename/Ngamer64
Team RA-Dickeyulous THORacle - WiggumFan267/RPGLord95
Team Frog and Magus - ToadYoshi/AxemRedRanger
Team ??? - Team Rocket Elite/whatisurnameplz
Team Palace of Wisdom - DSRage/Master Moltar
Team ??? - Luster Soldier/tennisboy213
Team ??? - XIII_rocks/mcflubbin
Team ??? - th3l3fty/ShatteredElysium
Team ??? - hylianknight3/theawesomestevr
Team Ultima Supreme Justice! - raytan7585/TsunamiXXVIII
Team DarkAdvoX - Advokaiser/DarkFalconX
Team ??? - cyko/LeonhartFour

In all the team names, the word "team" itself is not part of the name.

If you did not get a chance to confirm your team name, the process of confirming team names will continue in this topic.
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transience posted...

oh I didn't see your link at the end of the first page TRE. sorry about asking!

cyko with the greatest standard deviation in the history of oracle

And that's why I am awesome!
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Round 10 Results:
1 - Haste_2 - 463.78
2 - charmander6000 - 463.7
3 - ShatteredElysium - 458.12
4 - Xuxon - 457.58
5 - tennisboy213 - 456.61
6 - CaptainOfCrush - 454.44
7 - Camden - 454.24
8 - Ringworm - 451.83
9 - SwiftyDC - 451.53
10 - AxemRedRanger - 451.38
11 - Glenn_and_Toad - 451.06
12 - Luster Soldier - 448.05
13 - hylianknight3 - 447.84
14 - cyko - 446.44
15 - transience - 445.35
16 - Master Moltar - 443.94
17 - th3l3fty - 443.02
18 - creativename - 442.64
19 - bbbtime - 440.96
20 - linkhatesganon - 440.06
21 - Ngamer64 - 439.96
22 - theawesomestevr - 439.74
23 - DoomTheGyarados - 439.1
24 - DarkFalconX - 437.12
25 - Team Rocket Elite - 435.3
26 - t_kizzle - 435.03
27 - 3DSRage - 433.09
28 - Nintendoboy375 - 431.98
29 - ZeldaTPLink - 430.69
30 - Steiner - 430.04
31 - LeonhartFour - 430.03
32 - davidponte - 429.07
33 - Paratroopa1 - 425.27
34 - pirate109 - 421.36
35 - Agent M - 421.11
36 - WalkingWiki - 418.46
37 - kateee - 414.92
38 - spooky96 - 411.16
39 - paulg235 - 404.82
40 - whatisurnameplz - 404.19
41 - Whiskey_Nick - 403.89
42 - haloiscoolisbak - 403.74
43 - Menji - 398.54
44 - XIII_rocks - 395.14
45 - CherryCokes - 394.57
46 - KingBartz - 387.8
47 - Radix - 384.39
48 - Advokaiser - 381.14
49 - WiggumFan267 - 375.96
50 - TsunamiXXVIII - 363.7
51 - BlAcK TuRtLe - 340.23
52 - Arti - 322.32
53 - Lord Bob Bree - 306.27
54 - raytan7585 - 222.47
55 - pjbasis - 93.19
56 - red sox 777 - 49.23

Round 9 Top 5:
1 - transience - 49.82
2 - Ringworm - 49.62
3 - SwiftyDC - 49.55
4 - creativename - 49.48
5 - DarkFalconX - 49.48
6 - th3l3fty - 49.48

Round 10 Top 5:
1 - Glenn_and_Toad - 49.81
2 - CherryCokes - 48.99
3 - transience - 48.72
4 - Haste_2 - 48.56
5 - hylianknight3 - 48.44
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hey not bad
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It's all downhill from here ;)

Though seriously, I'm usually below average at these things so it was nice to be on top for a while.
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I thought it was strange that I was beating Moltar, but then I saw he actually is listed twice on that leaderboard.

Team Rocket Elite posted...

50 - Master Moltar - 351.85
56 - MasterMoltar - 92.09

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Oh, let me fix that.
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I edited the correct results into my previous post. Unfortunately, my setup isn't anywhere near as robust as the usual Oracle Challenge scripts so it won't catch alts like that.
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oh shoot it's past 12 huh. i was doing pretty well, too.
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Finally got a top 5. Still 8th overall too! Yay.

Fairly sure I drop a lot today though, seems I am losing more points every update.
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Slowly making my way up.
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Sweet. I am looking at another potential Top 5 pick with 2000 today. w00t!
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I think today is probably the day where I take a drop. Seem to have pretty shitty predictions on both matches

Wow, I've really been lowballing all these blowouts lately.
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I undershot 2000 by about 6%, but I have 1996 within 1.5%.

Hopefully, I can make up some ground by predicting higher blowouts.
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Yay... I just entered the Top 50...

Seriously, why is this contest so hard to predict (percentage-wise, of course)?
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Round 12 Results:
1 - charmander6000 - 557.4
2 - Haste_2 - 554.04
3 - tennisboy213 - 551.12
4 - ShatteredElysium - 550.73
5 - SwiftyDC - 550.59
6 - CaptainOfCrush - 549.05
7 - Ringworm - 546.58
8 - Camden - 546.25
9 - AxemRedRanger - 545.23
10 - hylianknight3 - 544.6
11 - cyko - 542.09
12 - Glenn_and_Toad - 541.07
13 - Luster Soldier - 540.55
14 - transience - 538.06
15 - Master Moltar - 537.95
16 - creativename - 537.15
17 - linkhatesganon - 534.7
18 - th3l3fty - 534.17
19 - bbbtime - 533.62
20 - Ngamer64 - 529.17
21 - DarkFalconX - 528.99
22 - DoomTheGyarados - 525.81
23 - Nintendoboy375 - 525.44
24 - 3DSRage - 522.32
25 - Team Rocket Elite - 522.31
26 - Steiner - 521.43
27 - ZeldaTPLink - 520.5
28 - theawesomestevr - 516.75
29 - Paratroopa1 - 514.59
30 - t_kizzle - 513.78
31 - davidponte - 507.79
32 - LeonhartFour - 505.23
33 - Agent M - 504.05
34 - kateee - 499.93
35 - spooky96 - 499.17
36 - pirate109 - 498.37
37 - Whiskey_Nick - 491.83
38 - whatisurnameplz - 491.03
39 - WalkingWiki - 489.47
40 - paulg235 - 487.58
41 - CherryCokes - 487.57
42 - Menji - 485.63
43 - haloiscoolisbak - 478.75
44 - Radix - 476
45 - Advokaiser - 475.68
46 - XIII_rocks - 463.41
47 - Xuxon - 457.58
48 - WiggumFan267 - 450.9
49 - TsunamiXXVIII - 450.89
50 - BlAcK TuRtLe - 428.35
51 - KingBartz - 387.8
52 - Arti - 322.32
53 - raytan7585 - 309.97
54 - Lord Bob Bree - 306.27
55 - pjbasis - 93.19
56 - red sox 777 - 49.23

Round 11 Top 5:
1 - cyko - 49.73
2 - SwiftyDC - 49.49
3 - Master Moltar - 49.4
4 - Ringworm - 49.35
5 - transience - 48.89

Round 12 Top 5:
1 - SwiftyDC - 49.57
2 - CaptainOfCrush - 49.31
3 - Steiner - 48.69
4 - Advokaiser - 48.62
5 - Nintendoboy375 - 48.61
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Looks like that first match made up for my bad second pick. Not today.
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Nice! Fifth Top 5 pick and my Third Top Pick of the contest!

And Kudos to DC for very nearly getting two Top picks in a row!
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cyko posted...

Nice! Fifth Top 5 pick and my Third Top Pick of the contest!

And Kudos to DC for very nearly getting two Top picks in a row!

Just trying to keep up with you on the All-Time most Top 5 leaderboard! And looks like we have a 4-way tie for most Top 5 wins (you, me, Haste and creativename have 17). Nice.
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Wow, I actually got a top 5? My picks were all expecting antiblowoutFAQs to still be a thing when it's been the opposite all the way through.
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Could it be... 5 out of the past 6 top finishes, and 4 in a row? I must've stepped in dog shit.
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I'm currently in the running for a perfect prediction for 2002. All I need is for 2002 to lose some percentage to finish this match with 70.27%
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