Poll of the Day > What are the chances that America's COVID deaths will tip the balance in future.

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Carter-A259 08/07/21 12:58:22 PM #1:	Elections Topic --- I wanna make every girl in the world pregnant <cite>Carter-A259 posted [p:956865111] in What are t... [t:79602936]...</cite> <quote>Elections Topic </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
adjl 08/07/21 1:06:51 PM #2:	Presidential elections? Fairly slim. I don't expect total deaths to break more than 800-850k (throwback to when Trump was confident they'd never break 100k >.>), maybe a million if it really drags on. The 2020 election had a difference of ~7 million votes overall, while the 2016 one differed by about 3 million. Even if we were to assume that 100% of those deaths belonged to one party or the other (which is flat-out incorrect), that's not going to be enough to make up those differences. More local elections? It's not impossible, but areas where the vast majority of people dying are of similar political affiliations are generally areas where the vast majority of people in general share that same affiliation anyway, and Covid's not killing enough people to change that. I expect a few elections will be influenced by Covid deaths in particularly contentious areas, but nothing on a really large scale. --- This is my signature. It exists to keep people from skipping the last line of my posts. <cite>adjl posted [p:956865318] in What are t... [t:79602936]...</cite> <quote>Presidential elections? Fairly slim. I don't expect total deaths to break more than 800-850k (throwback to when Trump was confident they'd never break 100k >.>), maybe a million if it really drags on. The 2020 election had a difference of ~7 million votes overall, while the 2016 one differed by about 3 million. Even if we were to assume that 100% of those deaths belonged to one party or the other (which is flat-out incorrect), that's not going to be enough to make up those differences. More local elections? It's not impossible, but areas where the vast majority of people dying are of similar political affiliations are generally areas where the vast majority of people in general share that same affiliation anyway, and Covid's not killing enough people to change that. I expect a few elections will be influenced by Covid deaths in particularly contentious areas, but nothing on a really large scale. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Carter-A259 08/07/21 1:06:57 PM #3:	Bump --- I wanna make every girl in the world pregnant <cite>Carter-A259 posted [p:956865321] in What are t... [t:79602936]...</cite> <quote>Bump </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Kyuubi4269 08/07/21 1:12:34 PM #4:	adjl posted... areas where the vast majority of people dying are of similar political affiliations are generally areas where the vast majority of people in general share that same affiliation anyway Some places are just older than others and places going through a transition would likely be knocked more to the left. --- Doctor Foxx posted... The demonizing of soy has a lot to do with xenophobic ideas. <cite>Kyuubi4269 posted [p:956865458] in What are t... [t:79602936]...</cite> <quote>adjl posted...</cite> <quote> areas where the vast majority of people dying are of similar political affiliations are generally areas where the vast majority of people in general share that same affiliation anyway</quote> Some places are just older than others and places going through a transition would likely be knocked more to the left.</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Judgmenl 08/07/21 1:17:05 PM #5:	No. What an asinine assumption. --- You're a regular Jack Kerouac Reality is overrated <cite>Judgmenl posted [p:956865561] in What are t... [t:79602936]...</cite> <quote>No. What an asinine assumption. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Carter-A259 08/07/21 1:19:11 PM #6:	adjl posted... I don't expect total deaths to break more than 800-850k Remember, some states like Florida have undercounted deaths. It might already be a million. adjl posted... More local elections? It's not impossible, but areas where the vast majority of people dying are of similar political affiliations are generally areas where the vast majority of people in general share that same affiliation anyway, and Covid's not killing enough people to change that. I expect a few elections will be influenced by Covid deaths in particularly contentious areas, but nothing on a really large scale. Remember, not all Americans in Republican majority districts are Republican. And a lot of Republicans are fat and old, so the chances of them dying are significantly higher than Democrats. 79% of COVID hospitalizations and deaths are from obese and older people. It places like the South, and in Florida and Texas, I expect there to be at least a few Democratic gains in elections. --- I wanna make every girl in the world pregnant <cite>Carter-A259 posted [p:956865601] in What are t... [t:79602936]...</cite> <quote>adjl posted... </cite> <quote>I don't expect total deaths to break more than 800-850k</quote>Remember, some states like Florida have undercounted deaths. It might already be a million. adjl posted... </cite> <quote>More local elections? It's not impossible, but areas where the vast majority of people dying are of similar political affiliations are generally areas where the vast majority of people in general share that same affiliation anyway, and Covid's not killing enough people to change that. I expect a few elections will be influenced by Covid deaths in particularly contentious areas, but nothing on a really large scale.</quote>Remember, not all Americans in Republican majority districts are Republican. And a lot of Republicans are fat and old, so the chances of them dying are significantly higher than Democrats. 79% of COVID hospitalizations and deaths are from obese and older people. It places like the South, and in Florida and Texas, I expect there to be at least a few Democratic gains in elections. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
SKARDAVNELNATE 08/07/21 1:48:32 PM #7:	It was reported that dead people voted in the last US election. Why would they be unable to vote in the next one? --- No locked doors, no windows barred. No more things to make my brain seem SKARD. Look at Mr. Technical over here >.> -BTB <cite>SKARDAVNELNATE posted [p:956866324] in What are t... [t:79602936]...</cite> <quote>It was reported that dead people voted in the last US election. Why would they be unable to vote in the next one? </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
adjl 08/07/21 2:06:56 PM #8:	Carter-A259 posted... Remember, not all Americans in Republican majority districts are Republican. And a lot of Republicans are fat and old, so the chances of them dying are significantly higher than Democrats. 79% of COVID hospitalizations and deaths are from obese and older people. There's likely to be some bias, but even eliminating 10% of the republican base (which requires the assumptions of 100% infection, 10% mortality, and 100% of the mortality being republicans, all three of which are very generous assumptions) isn't going to be enough to sway most republican-dominated areas. Some Democratic gains wouldn't surprise me, but I don't expect anything tremendously significant. SKARDAVNELNATE posted... It was reported that dead people voted in the last US election. Why would they be unable to vote in the next one? Oh boy. --- This is my signature. It exists to keep people from skipping the last line of my posts. <cite>adjl posted [p:956866784] in What are t... [t:79602936]...</cite> <quote>Carter-A259 posted... </cite> <quote>Remember, not all Americans in Republican majority districts are Republican. And a lot of Republicans are fat and old, so the chances of them dying are significantly higher than Democrats. 79% of COVID hospitalizations and deaths are from obese and older people.</quote> There's likely to be some bias, but even eliminating 10% of the republican base (which requires the assumptions of 100% infection, 10% mortality, and 100% of the mortality being republicans, all three of which are very generous assumptions) isn't going to be enough to sway most republican-dominated areas. Some Democratic gains wouldn't surprise me, but I don't expect anything tremendously significant. SKARDAVNELNATE posted... </cite> <quote>It was reported that dead people voted in the last US election. Why would they be unable to vote in the next one?</quote> Oh boy. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Lokarin 08/07/21 2:12:24 PM #9:	adjl posted... Oh boy. idk... if you register to vote early and then die, does your vote still count? I mean, you DID vote proper in that election --- "Salt cures Everything!" My YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/user/Nirakolov/videos <cite>Lokarin posted [p:956866929] in What are t... [t:79602936]...</cite> <quote>adjl posted... </cite> <quote>Oh boy.</quote> idk... if you register to vote early and then die, does your vote still count? I mean, you DID vote proper in that election </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
adjl 08/07/21 2:13:42 PM #10:	If you just register, no (at least, it's not supposed to). If you cast a vote at an advance poll, I believe so (at least, it should). --- This is my signature. It exists to keep people from skipping the last line of my posts. <cite>adjl posted [p:956866961] in What are t... [t:79602936]...</cite> <quote>If you just register, no (at least, it's not supposed to). If you cast a vote at an advance poll, I believe so (at least, it should). </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
KodyKeir 08/07/21 6:43:12 PM #11:	It might swing some districts that are historically close (<1000 vote difference) but I don't think it will have a major impact on the overall results. Carter-A259 posted... Remember, some states like Florida have undercounted deaths. And that's not even a red/blue problem but the discretion of local Medical Examiners, and why some media outlets have been using excess deaths as the measurement and not reported covid deaths. There probably won't be a forensic audit until after the pandemic is declared over, and even then cases will fall through the cracks. --- Why didn't you DODGE‽‽‽ Quoting me will trigger the profanity filter, Not Joking. <cite>KodyKeir posted [p:956873789] in What are t... [t:79602936]...</cite> <quote>It might swing some districts that are historically close (<1000 vote difference) but I don't think it will have a major impact on the overall results. Carter-A259 posted... </cite> <quote>Remember, some states like Florida have undercounted deaths.</quote> And that's not even a red/blue problem but the discretion of local Medical Examiners, and why some media outlets have been using excess deaths as the measurement and not reported covid deaths. There probably won't be a forensic audit until after the pandemic is declared over, and even then cases will fall through the cracks. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
JixHedgehog 08/07/21 7:32:33 PM #12:	Joe's got 129k under his belt, he's got a while to go, especially with half the country being vaccinated.. .. then again he did say our darkest days with the vid are ahead of us 8 months ago (around the time the Trump vaccine started to roll out) --- Not changing my sig until Nintendo announces the Switch XL 1/12/2017 <cite>JixHedgehog posted [p:956874993] in What are t... [t:79602936]...</cite> <quote>Joe's got 129k under his belt, he's got a while to go, especially with half the country being vaccinated.. .. then again he did say our darkest days with the vid are ahead of us 8 months ago (around the time the Trump vaccine started to roll out) </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
KodyKeir 08/07/21 7:47:44 PM #13:	JixHedgehog posted... the Trump vaccine If it gets people to take it you can call it that, but it ignores that the project for MRNA corona vaccines was started under the Obama administration, cancelled under Trump when it was 90% complete, and then revived when he realized he didn't want to die. --- Why didn't you DODGE‽‽‽ Quoting me will trigger the profanity filter, Not Joking. <cite>KodyKeir posted [p:956875406] in What are t... [t:79602936]...</cite> <quote>JixHedgehog posted... </cite> <quote>the Trump vaccine</quote> If it gets people to take it you can call it that, but it ignores that the project for MRNA corona vaccines was started under the Obama administration, cancelled under Trump when it was 90% complete, and then revived when he realized he didn't want to die. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
adjl 08/07/21 11:34:55 PM #14:	JixHedgehog posted... .. then again he did say our darkest days with the vid are ahead of us 8 months ago 8 months ago was early January, and January/February did see some of the highest death rates of the entire pandemic. That period was already underway at that point, but it still wasn't wrong. The third wave was really rough. Now, case numbers are tracking upward roughly as quickly as they did for that third wave, and deaths are starting to follow suit, so I'd expect quite a few more. --- This is my signature. It exists to keep people from skipping the last line of my posts. <cite>adjl posted [p:956880889] in What are t... [t:79602936]...</cite> <quote>JixHedgehog posted... </cite> <quote>.. then again he did say our darkest days with the vid are ahead of us 8 months ago</quote> 8 months ago was early January, and January/February did see some of the highest death rates of the entire pandemic. That period was already underway at that point, but it still wasn't wrong. The third wave was really rough. Now, case numbers are tracking upward roughly as quickly as they did for that third wave, and deaths are starting to follow suit, so I'd expect quite a few more. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Fierce_Deity_08 08/08/21 12:34:47 AM #15:	Lokarin posted... idk... if you register to vote early and then die, does your vote still count? I mean, you DID vote proper in that election Dang, thats a good question actually. Sort of like when my mom registered for a college class and the teacher died two days before class started. --- Official Fierce Deity in my own mind. GT: OnikaraStar, PSN: Onikara, NNID: OnikaraStar <cite>Fierce_Deity_08 posted [p:956882324] in What are t... [t:79602936]...</cite> <quote>Lokarin posted... </cite> <quote>idk... if you register to vote early and then die, does your vote still count? I mean, you DID vote proper in that election</quote>Dang, thats a good question actually. Sort of like when my mom registered for a college class and the teacher died two days before class started. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
KodyKeir 08/08/21 1:01:17 AM #16:	Lokarin posted... idk... if you register to vote early and then die, does your vote still count? adjl posted... If you cast a vote at an advance poll, Once it is in the ballot box, it counts. --- Why didn't you DODGE‽‽‽ Quoting me will trigger the profanity filter, Not Joking. I've been Scunthorped! Consider yourself warned. <cite>KodyKeir posted [p:956882909] in What are t... [t:79602936]...</cite> <quote>Lokarin posted... </cite> <quote> idk... if you register to vote early and then die, does your vote still count?</quote> adjl posted... </cite> <quote>If you cast a vote at an advance poll,</quote> Once it is in the ballot box, it counts. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
wolfy42 08/08/21 1:16:49 AM #17:	None at all, because there have not been enough deaths to really make any sort of difference. 150 mill or so new people are born every year. 4 mill or so total people have died from covid. Our population total is still increasing. Statistically deaths from covid are just a tiny blip. --- Tacobot 3000 "Saving the world from not having tacos." Friends don't make their friends die Hanz. Psychopathic friends do. <cite>wolfy42 posted [p:956883225] in What are t... [t:79602936]...</cite> <quote>None at all, because there have not been enough deaths to really make any sort of difference. 150 mill or so new people are born every year. 4 mill or so total people have died from covid. Our population total is still increasing. Statistically deaths from covid are just a tiny blip. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Mead 08/08/21 1:17:28 AM #18:	I would really doubt that would happen --- my resting temp can easily be in the 90's -Krazy_Kirby <cite>Mead posted [p:956883236] in What are t... [t:79602936]...</cite> <quote>I would really doubt that would happen </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Carter-A259 08/08/21 10:44:50 AM #19:	wolfy42 posted... None at all, because there have not been enough deaths to really make any sort of difference. 150 mill or so new people are born every year. 4 mill or so total people have died from covid. Our population total is still increasing. Statistically deaths from covid are just a tiny blip. Im referring to America's population. Not tge world's. American births are at an all time low --- I wanna make every girl in the world pregnant <cite>Carter-A259 posted [p:956890339] in What are t... [t:79602936]...</cite> <quote>wolfy42 posted... </cite> <quote>None at all, because there have not been enough deaths to really make any sort of difference. 150 mill or so new people are born every year. 4 mill or so total people have died from covid. Our population total is still increasing. Statistically deaths from covid are just a tiny blip.</quote>Im referring to America's population. Not tge world's. American births are at an all time low </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
KodyKeir 08/08/21 8:35:50 PM #20:	Well Ron de Santis seems intent on killing as many voters as possible, but voters from across the country are flocking to Florida to be closer to their god emperor, so it might balance itself out. --- Why didn't you DODGE‽‽‽ Quoting me will trigger the profanity filter, Not Joking. I've been Scunthorped! Consider yourself warned. <cite>KodyKeir posted [p:956905213] in What are t... [t:79602936]...</cite> <quote>Well Ron de Santis seems intent on killing as many voters as possible, but voters from across the country are flocking to Florida to be closer to their god emperor, so it might balance itself out. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Judgmenl 08/08/21 8:37:28 PM #21:	I'm proud I took the trump vaccine. Best thing he did in his entire presidency. Why won't republicans take the Trump vaccine with me? Why do so many innocent people have to die in Florida? Does Governor DeSantis not like Trump? --- You're a regular Jack Kerouac Reality is overrated <cite>Judgmenl posted [p:956905249] in What are t... [t:79602936]...</cite> <quote>I'm proud I took the trump vaccine. Best thing he did in his entire presidency. Why won't republicans take the Trump vaccine with me? Why do so many innocent people have to die in Florida? Does Governor DeSantis not like Trump? </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Carter-A259 08/08/21 9:05:11 PM #22:	Judgmenl posted... I'm proud I took the trump vaccine. Best thing he did in his entire presidency. Why won't republicans take the Trump vaccine with me? Why do so many innocent people have to die in Florida? Does Governor DeSantis not like Trump? Shut up --- I wanna make every girl in the world pregnant <cite>Carter-A259 posted [p:956905994] in What are t... [t:79602936]...</cite> <quote>Judgmenl posted... </cite> <quote>I'm proud I took the trump vaccine. Best thing he did in his entire presidency. Why won't republicans take the Trump vaccine with me? Why do so many innocent people have to die in Florida? Does Governor DeSantis not like Trump?</quote>Shut up </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Judgmenl 08/08/21 9:08:00 PM #23:	Carter-A259 posted... Shut up Instead of listening to the truth you stoop to low hanging insults. I feel bad for you. --- You're a regular Jack Kerouac Reality is overrated <cite>Judgmenl posted [p:956906078] in What are t... [t:79602936]...</cite> <quote>Carter-A259 posted... </cite> <quote>Shut up</quote>Instead of listening to the truth you stoop to low hanging insults. I feel bad for you. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Mead 08/08/21 9:09:43 PM #24:	Carter-A259 posted... Shut up He is right though, think about it --- my resting temp can easily be in the 90's -Krazy_Kirby <cite>Mead posted [p:956906120] in What are t... [t:79602936]...</cite> <quote>Carter-A259 posted... </cite> <quote>Shut up</quote> He is right though, think about it </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Metalsonic66 08/08/21 9:26:29 PM #25:	It already did --- PSN/Steam ID: Metalsonic_69 Big bombs go kabang. <cite>Metalsonic66 posted [p:956906518] in What are t... [t:79602936]...</cite> <quote> It already did </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Poll of the Day > What are the chances that America's COVID deaths will tip the balance in future. (+) Yeah! (+)

Poll of the Day > What are the chances that America's COVID deaths will tip the balance in future.