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Topic	What are the chances that America's COVID deaths will tip the balance in future.
adjl 08/07/21 2:06:56 PM #8:	Carter-A259 posted... Remember, not all Americans in Republican majority districts are Republican. And a lot of Republicans are fat and old, so the chances of them dying are significantly higher than Democrats. 79% of COVID hospitalizations and deaths are from obese and older people. There's likely to be some bias, but even eliminating 10% of the republican base (which requires the assumptions of 100% infection, 10% mortality, and 100% of the mortality being republicans, all three of which are very generous assumptions) isn't going to be enough to sway most republican-dominated areas. Some Democratic gains wouldn't surprise me, but I don't expect anything tremendously significant. SKARDAVNELNATE posted... It was reported that dead people voted in the last US election. Why would they be unable to vote in the next one? Oh boy. --- This is my signature. It exists to keep people from skipping the last line of my posts. <cite>adjl posted [p:956866784] in What are t... [t:79602936]...</cite> <quote>Carter-A259 posted... </cite> <quote>Remember, not all Americans in Republican majority districts are Republican. And a lot of Republicans are fat and old, so the chances of them dying are significantly higher than Democrats. 79% of COVID hospitalizations and deaths are from obese and older people.</quote> There's likely to be some bias, but even eliminating 10% of the republican base (which requires the assumptions of 100% infection, 10% mortality, and 100% of the mortality being republicans, all three of which are very generous assumptions) isn't going to be enough to sway most republican-dominated areas. Some Democratic gains wouldn't surprise me, but I don't expect anything tremendously significant. SKARDAVNELNATE posted... </cite> <quote>It was reported that dead people voted in the last US election. Why would they be unable to vote in the next one?</quote> Oh boy. --- This is my signature. It exists to keep people from skipping the last line of my posts.</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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