Board 8 > * GotD 2020 Guru Contest Stats & Discussion - Part Two *

Topic List
Page List: 1 ... 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10
charmander6000
05/07/20 10:06:35 PM
#302:


SuperNiceDog posted...
nice summary Charmander!

On the tiebreaker between me and Dr. Football, who is looking better?

I think he picked 1.92mil for his tiebreaker, I have 2.5million

If we maintain pace with our vote totals Dr_Football will be closer. I think you need around 100,000 rallied votes in order to win.

---
Game of the Decade 2 - Current Score: 204/240
Today's Picks: TLOU and Skyrim
... Copied to Clipboard!
azuarc
05/07/20 10:09:01 PM
#303:


I actually just compiled this list for myself, too, except I cut out a bunch of permutations where ME2 or XBC wins another match.

https://imgur.com/EFiZKxL

---
VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE;
... Copied to Clipboard!
SuperNiceDog
05/07/20 10:09:45 PM
#304:


charmander6000 posted...
If we maintain pace with our vote totals Dr_Football will be closer. I think you need around 100,000 rallied votes in order to win.

awww ok lol

---
SuperNiceChao about to win the Oracle 2020! TsunamiXXVIII and me will destroy all you noobs
... Copied to Clipboard!
WhiteLens
05/07/20 10:31:05 PM
#305:


Welp, I'm out

Peace

---
http://www.backloggery.com/whitelens | https://myanimelist.net/profile/WhiteLens
F/GO: 271551102; FFRK: 9k6d; FFBE: 886783216; LLSIFAS: 438166726
... Copied to Clipboard!
SuperNiceDog
05/07/20 10:41:18 PM
#306:


WhiteLens posted...
Welp, I'm out

Peace

It was great hanging out with you this contest @WhiteLens ! you had a great bracket.

---
SuperNiceChao about to win the Oracle 2020! TsunamiXXVIII and me will destroy all you noobs
... Copied to Clipboard!
MetalmindStats
05/07/20 10:49:34 PM
#307:


SuperNiceDog posted...
Ngamer vs COVID-19 is the battle it will come down to?
No - Dark Souls is still an extreme longshot to reach the finals. Dark Souls scored a few percentage points over Witcher 3 on a far weaker game last round, and now it's easily got a lower percentage than Witcher 3 on a game that's certainly weaker in match circumstances. Plus, there's the WRPG hierarchy to consider.

I would say azuarc's the next most likely Guru winner; though Skyrim > Dark Souls is still a questionable proposition at this point, it's more likely than Dark Souls > Witcher 3 considering Skyrim's looked better two rounds in a row when adjusting for TLoU 2 backlash.

---
"I believe in a universe that doesn't care, and people who do."
You won the CBX Guru Contest, Advokaiser! Bully for you!
... Copied to Clipboard!
INTERWEBUSER
05/07/20 11:20:55 PM
#308:


Skyrim can still beat Witcher

---
PLAYSTATION 4: Best Console Ever | ROCKSTAR: Best Developer Ever
Trolling (v.): Posting an opinion that differs from yours
... Copied to Clipboard!
Sharinnegan
05/07/20 11:23:28 PM
#309:


i dont think Skyrim could ever beat Witcher 3 directly

it could be stronger indirectly, i suppose (but also seems unlikely). but in a direct match i am fairly confident Witcher SFFs it and claims a very easy win.
... Copied to Clipboard!
squexa
05/07/20 11:58:08 PM
#310:


Yeah, Azuarc and Ngamer are the two likeliest Guru winners at this point by a good margin.

After that, I'd say it's Big Bob honestly.

---
congrats to BKSheikah the BYIG guru
... Copied to Clipboard!
NewerShadow
05/08/20 12:50:19 AM
#311:


Just for reference, QF 1 + 2 eliminations:
If Xenoblade Wins:
  • Whiskey_Nick by yoblazer, LordoftheMorons
  • Xeybozn by Ngamer, azuarc, COVlD-19, Big Bob, yoblazer
  • Agent M by Ngamer, azuarc, COVlD-19, yoblazer
No other result matters.
... Copied to Clipboard!
#312
Post #312 was unavailable or deleted.
TsunamiXXVIII
05/08/20 10:58:53 AM
#313:


HaRRicH posted...
Some cool news here is we're guaranteed to have a Guru with a perfect Division 4 this contest...literally just one person though, and it depends on today who gets that honor: me or charmander.

Too close to call at the moment -- good luck char!
@HaRRicH Congratulations. It's a great feeling, isn't it? (Lone Guru to perfect Division 5 in 2015 here.)

---
Also known as Cyberchao X.
... Copied to Clipboard!
Cavedweller2000
05/08/20 11:03:29 AM
#314:


I stupidly had Destiny over Stardew Valley, my only error of Div 5.

Got a perfect Div 8 though (along with loads of others probably), and just got today's result wrong in Div 7

---
Well done to Advokaiser for finishing 104 places above me in the 2018 CBX Guru Contest!
... Copied to Clipboard!
TsunamiXXVIII
05/08/20 11:13:21 AM
#315:


Cavedweller2000 posted...
I stupidly had Destiny over Stardew Valley, my only error of Div 5.

Got a perfect Div 8 though (along with loads of others probably), and just got today's result wrong in Div 7

Oof, yeah, I didn't perfect a single division this year. Division 2 was the only one where I even perfected R1 but I had both of R3's losers losing in R2.

Looks like my best Division was 8. Only 5-3 in R1 but perfect from R2 on. Not my best contest.

(As for your assertion that loads of people probably got D8 perfect...yeah, sounds right. 2 of my 3 mistakes were stupid upset picks, so it mostly comes down to the Celeste-Rayman Legends match).

---
Also known as Cyberchao X.
... Copied to Clipboard!
Cavedweller2000
05/08/20 11:16:18 AM
#316:


TsunamiXXVIII posted...
Oof, yeah, I didn't perfect a single division this year. Division 2 was the only one where I even perfected R1 but I had both of R3's losers losing in R2.

Looks like my best Division was 8. Only 5-3 in R1 but perfect from R2 on. Not my best contest.
Just realised I misread your previous post. I didn't see the 2015 part!

But yeah some difficult divisions to navigate this year!

---
Well done to Advokaiser for finishing 104 places above me in the 2018 CBX Guru Contest!
... Copied to Clipboard!
TsunamiXXVIII
05/08/20 11:48:30 AM
#317:


Cavedweller2000 posted...
Just realised I misread your previous post. I didn't see the 2015 part!

But yeah some difficult divisions to navigate this year!
Yeah, that's why I said it. Division 4 was easily this year's toughest; in 2015, it was Division 5--DKC2 > XBC and FE:A was the big one, with less than a quarter of Gurus even correctly predicting DKC2 to win the first match, but it also featured another minor R1 upset in Suikoden II > Monster Hunter 4 Ultimate and two non-upsets that nevertheless tripped up over 40% of brackets in FFIX > Kingdom Hearts and FE:A > Super Mario Maker, the former a 3-point match.

Though looking through the list of other Gurus to pick DKC2 > FE:A correctly, it looks like I wasn't the only one to perfect it; Ange did, too. Still, 2 Gurus out of 197, probably the least-predicted outside of Undertale's...

Eh? Only tied for that honor? Yeah, Division 7 was a killer, too, because so few of us had SMRPG winning it, and a surprising number of those precious few were among those who took an incorrect upset on WoW-CC. There were also a couple who took the MGSV > Dark Souls upset, and one who managed to perfect all the "tough" ones but took a flier on the BoI:R upset of Witcher 3. (Two of this contest's Elite Eight in the same division in 2015, when 3 of the remaining 6 weren't even out yet? Yep!)

---
Also known as Cyberchao X.
... Copied to Clipboard!
HaRRicH
05/08/20 11:52:25 AM
#318:


TsunamiXXVIII posted...
@HaRRicH Congratulations. It's a great feeling, isn't it? (Lone Guru to perfect Division 5 in 2015 here.)

I'm looking over that division right now and maaaaan for a division that had LoZ:OoT clearly winning it I butchered so many matches in it.

Incorrectly took:
Monster Hunter 4U > Suikoden 2
Xenoblade > DKC2
Mario Maker > FE: Awakening
^both of these made sure I couldn't get points in Round 2 of those four-pack (plus I thought DKC2 would be the weakest of the four)
Banjo-Kazooie > C:SotN
^this then made sure I couldn't get any points in Round 3 when C:SotN faced DKC2

That's 11/32 points I missed out on that division, or 11/17 points I missed that were available when not counting the LoZ:OoT matches that were essentially locks. Wrecked me.

All that's to say good job there! Perfect divisions aren't exactly the same as prizes or finishing on the leaderboard, but it's important to hold onto your good picks and this is a neat little personal trophy to hold me over until the next contest.

---
... Copied to Clipboard!
HaRRicH
05/08/20 11:56:25 AM
#319:


Also, sidenote here but:

https://board8.fandom.com/wiki/All_Time_Guru_Rankings

Did this link get updated with hylianknight's update in a previous topic about how many people didn't get their final points from the final round of some recent contest?

---
... Copied to Clipboard!
swirIdude
05/08/20 11:58:33 AM
#320:


HaRRicH posted...
Also, sidenote here but:

https://board8.fandom.com/wiki/All_Time_Guru_Rankings

Did this link get updated with hylianknight's update in a previous topic about how many people didn't get their final points from the final round of some recent contest?

It has not been updated.

---
Advokaiser picked Cloud in Guru and rained on my bracket.
At least I finished 20th overall!
... Copied to Clipboard!
SuperNiceDog
05/08/20 8:19:48 PM
#321:




12 legends remain...I'm still alive somehow!

---
SuperNiceChao about to win the Oracle 2020! TsunamiXXVIII and me will destroy all you noobs
... Copied to Clipboard!
azuarc
05/08/20 11:35:39 PM
#322:


Do we know anything about Mr Lasastryke's bracket? He's leading the charge by 1 for right now. And I'm in #2, so I'm morbidly curious.

---
VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE;
... Copied to Clipboard!
DoctorJimmy133
05/08/20 11:39:54 PM
#323:


azuarc posted...
Do we know anything about Mr Lasastryke's bracket? He's leading the charge by 1 for right now. And I'm in #2, so I'm morbidly curious.
I believe he said a while back that he has the guru cookie from here on out

Here: https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/78667980/938848454

---
Advokaiser is the man. Congrats!
... Copied to Clipboard!
azuarc
05/09/20 1:15:17 AM
#324:


So basically, he has yo covered by 1 point. But that means I control my own destiny then. (Maybe tied with LMS, and my tiebreaker sucks, but that's fine.)

---
VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE;
... Copied to Clipboard!
#325
Post #325 was unavailable or deleted.
NewerShadow
05/09/20 6:37:25 PM
#326:


Eliminations for Quarters 3 + 4:

Elims for a The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt+Dark Souls win:
Dr_Football by Ngamer, COVlD-19
Whiskey_Nick by Agent M
azuarc by Ngamer
yoblazer by Ngamer, COVlD-19
SuperNiceDog by Ngamer, COVlD-19
LordoftheMorons by Ngamer, COVlD-19

Elims for a The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt+Elder Scrolls: Skyrim win:
Agent M by Whiskey_Nick AND Xeybozn
Ngamer by azuarc
Dr_Football by azuarc, yoblazer
COVlD-19 by azuarc, yoblazer
Seginustemple by Whiskey_Nick, Xeybozn, azuarc, yoblazer
SuperNiceDog by azuarc, COVlD-19, yoblazer
LordoftheMorons by yoblazer

Elims for a Persona 5+Dark Souls win:
Ngamer by COVlD-19 AND SuperNiceDog
Whiskey_Nick by Agent M
Xeybozn by Agent M
azuarc by COVlD-19
Big Bob by Dr_Football, COVlD-19, SuperNiceDog
yoblazer by COVlD-19
LordoftheMorons by COVlD-19

Elims for a Persona 5+Elder Scrolls: Skyrim win:
Ngamer by Dr_Football, SuperNiceDog, LordoftheMorons
Xeybozn by Whiskey_Nick
azuarc by LordoftheMorons
COVlD-19 by Dr_Football, SuperNiceDog, LordoftheMorons
Big Bob by Dr_Football, SuperNiceDog, LordoftheMorons
Agent M by Whiskey_Nick
yoblazer by LordoftheMorons
Seginustemple by Dr_Football, Whiskey_Nick, SuperNiceDog, LordoftheMorons
... Copied to Clipboard!
Leonhart4
05/09/20 6:38:28 PM
#327:


COVID-19 on the rampage in the darkest (souls) timeline

---
... Copied to Clipboard!
azuarc
05/09/20 6:41:32 PM
#328:


NewerShadow posted...
Elims for a The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt+Dark Souls win:
azuarc by Ngamer

Elims for a The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt+Elder Scrolls: Skyrim win:
Ngamer by azuarc

Okay! This is it! The day of reckoning or the darkest of timelines where we all get beaten by a virus.

Also, I should add that my list from post 303 basically starts being relevant now.

---
VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE;
... Copied to Clipboard!
LordoftheMorons
05/09/20 8:36:04 PM
#329:


NewerShadow posted...
LordoftheMorons by COVlD-19
Oh god

Looks like I still have a (small) shot though...!

---
Congrats to Advokaiser for winning the CBX Guru Challenge!
... Copied to Clipboard!
Polycosm
05/09/20 8:41:21 PM
#330:


Leonhart4 posted...
COVID-19 on the rampage in the darkest (souls) timeline
Everyone criticized Allen for scheduling a break in the contest, but this is what happens when you open back up too soon.

---
I bow before my emperor, Advokaiser-- winner of the 2018 guru contest. (thengamer.com/guru)
... Copied to Clipboard!
HaRRicH
05/09/20 8:52:21 PM
#331:


Polycosm with a top-tier post.

---
... Copied to Clipboard!
Agent M
05/09/20 8:53:31 PM
#332:


First time on the chopping block, and probably the last time too! My bracket wasn't actually that good, so I guess getting this far is nothing to sneeze at. I don't usually make dumb biased picks or upsets, but I went for one this time and it didn't pan out.

I think the only notable thing was having Xenoblade over Fire Emblem, but then I negated that by picking GTA V after.

... Copied to Clipboard!
SuperNiceDog
05/09/20 11:02:43 PM
#333:


Today is my Waterloo. Farewell!

---
SuperNiceChao about to win the Oracle 2020! TsunamiXXVIII and me will destroy all you noobs
... Copied to Clipboard!
SuperNiceDog
05/10/20 2:19:43 AM
#334:


so congrats to @azuarc ?

---
SuperNiceChao about to win the Oracle 2020! TsunamiXXVIII and me will destroy all you noobs
... Copied to Clipboard!
azuarc
05/10/20 2:29:55 AM
#335:


SuperNiceDog posted...
so congrats to @azuarc ?

Wait until it's over. The match is still relatively tight. Trends could switch or a rally might form.

Even then, I still need BotW > Witcher > Skyrim, which requires 2 (technically 3) more results.

---
VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE;
... Copied to Clipboard!
#336
Post #336 was unavailable or deleted.
ctesjbuvf
05/10/20 8:51:25 AM
#337:


This isn't turning around now.

So I guess tomorrow it's azuarc and yoblazer vs. Nick and Xeybozn. Then the winning due goes head to head in the second semi-final where it's all over if Skyrim wins and otherwise it's Big Bob vs the one remaining of the former four in the final.

---
Guinness Book of World Records is the name of the diary that belongs to Advokaiser, the winner of the Character Battle X guru contest.
... Copied to Clipboard!
Team Rocket Elite
05/10/20 9:46:06 AM
#338:


CDPR rally for Witcher 3 is still on the board. It's a longshot but it isn't completely implausible.
---
Link isn't the only one who kicks ass.
Congrats to Advokaiser for winning the CBX Guru Contest!
... Copied to Clipboard!
azuarc
05/10/20 10:46:15 AM
#339:


azuarc posted...
Wait until it's over. The match is still relatively tight. Trends could switch or a rally might form.

Well, I was right, but it swung the other way. Skyrim extended the lead from 250 to 1000. Wow.

---
VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE;
... Copied to Clipboard!
SuperNiceDog
05/10/20 11:27:11 AM
#340:


Could Witcher win in the final against BoTW? I think it's possible

---
SuperNiceChao about to win the Oracle 2020! TsunamiXXVIII and me will destroy all you noobs
... Copied to Clipboard!
Leonhart4
05/10/20 11:30:43 AM
#341:


SuperNiceDog posted...
Could Witcher win in the final against BoTW? I think it's possible

56% on Persona 5 vs. 68% on Mass Effect 2

---
... Copied to Clipboard!
squexa
05/10/20 11:43:28 AM
#342:


SuperNiceDog posted...
Could Witcher win in the final against BoTW? I think it's possible

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/6953-best-of-2017-game-of-the-year

---
congrats to BKSheikah the BYIG guru
... Copied to Clipboard!
SuperNiceDog
05/10/20 11:46:10 AM
#343:


squexa posted...
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/6953-best-of-2017-game-of-the-year

The LAWWW. Yea maybe it's a bridge too far. Witcher could get crazy rallies tho?

---
SuperNiceChao about to win the Oracle 2020! TsunamiXXVIII and me will destroy all you noobs
... Copied to Clipboard!
Whiskey_Nick
05/10/20 11:48:15 AM
#344:


Running wild!

---
I am Nick. Go Sens, Bills, Blue Jays! Advokaiser is a Guru
UotY 2015, You should listen to The Show w/ Ngamer and Yoblazer
... Copied to Clipboard!
Team Rocket Elite
05/10/20 12:22:11 PM
#345:


Witcher 3 could win with a rally. That's about it. It won't win off natural strength.
---
Link isn't the only one who kicks ass.
Congrats to Advokaiser for winning the CBX Guru Contest!
... Copied to Clipboard!
azuarc
05/10/20 1:50:25 PM
#346:


Witcher will look respectable. Enough that it will keep the contest from looking like a total absurd runaway.

---
VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE;
... Copied to Clipboard!
Team Rocket Elite
05/10/20 1:57:06 PM
#347:


azuarc posted...
Witcher will look respectable. Enough that it will keep the contest from looking like a total absurd runaway.


I think Witcher 3 will safely clear 40% at least.
---
Link isn't the only one who kicks ass.
Congrats to Advokaiser for winning the CBX Guru Contest!
... Copied to Clipboard!
fpce666
05/10/20 8:48:31 PM
#348:


I think I will end in 3rd place. Not bad not bad...

If only my Red Dead Redemption 2 pick against Portal was correct I believe I would win...

Good Luck Azuarc, Yoblazer and Big Bob. One of you will win.
... Copied to Clipboard!
SuperNiceDog
05/10/20 10:16:05 PM
#349:


The final battle is @azuarc vs @Big_Bob vs Yoblazer

---
SuperNiceChao about to win the Oracle 2020! TsunamiXXVIII and me will destroy all you noobs
... Copied to Clipboard!
SuperNiceDog
05/10/20 10:17:26 PM
#350:




5 remain

---
SuperNiceChao about to win the Oracle 2020! TsunamiXXVIII and me will destroy all you noobs
... Copied to Clipboard!
azuarc
05/10/20 10:17:28 PM
#351:


Bob, how does it feel to know you'll be one of the last two gurus standing? (Maybe even the last.)

---
VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE;
... Copied to Clipboard!
Topic List
Page List: 1 ... 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10