Board 8 > Paper Mario Mafia Topic 8 - Plastic Codes Only Go To 7 Sorry

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Kirby321
02/16/23 12:42:23 PM
#201:


EDumey posted...
I'm not talking about your fake claim. I'm talking about analyzing Sultan's role for how Hammer/Jump works. You're insisting you're right about how it works and that I must be scum because of it, but I gave a very possible alternative on how the role is read and you don't want to accept it because it doesn't confirm your bias.

No because it literally doesn't work with my role.

My role has the same stipulation as Sultan's: Jump's effectiveness is dependent on the target. You're arguing that doesn't make a difference because Sultan has a Strongman modifier on one of his jumps, implying at least one scum has a resistance.

I don't have that Strongman modifier. Yet my role still retains that same clause, and therefore, I cannot just kill anyone and everyone with Jump.

In any case, Dumey, you are wasting my time. I have nothing more to say to you.

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Peace___Frog
02/16/23 12:43:32 PM
#202:


HanOfTheNekos posted...
I don't recall this. :)
It's why Ben voted me on day 1!

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HanOfTheNekos
02/16/23 12:44:35 PM
#203:


Peace___Frog posted...
It's why Ben voted me on day 1!

For you calling him Town??

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Peace___Frog
02/16/23 12:45:40 PM
#204:


HanOfTheNekos posted...
For you calling him Town??
I called him 100% town then began to doubt myself and recanted.

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Leafeon13N
02/16/23 12:45:54 PM
#205:


Also I may have missed it since he vanished for awhile but still no response from ben on why he targeted me to my knowledge.
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HanOfTheNekos
02/16/23 12:46:29 PM
#206:


I'll need to reread day 1 some.

But I'm currently at thinking Kirby Scum. I don't really buy Ben either.

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Kirby321
02/16/23 12:52:41 PM
#207:


Peace___Frog posted...
Quoting the original post to piggyback off of Han:
You immediately concluded that ben's role was scum because you said "third flavor scanner" where Sultan was the first in your eyes. Tell me, when you saw what powers you got as backup, your reaction was "oh sweet I'm a flavor scanner now"?

My reaction to getting my role was indeed "wow, I'm basically a Gambling Flavor Scanner but shittier".

But I'm lost on what you're trying to insinuate.

At the start of this Day, I believed there was a full-time Goombario Flavor Cop like Sbell's role flip seemed to imply. That was the first flavor scanner.

Sultan had a mix of weak flavor scanner and vigilante, from what I could discern at the time. That made him a secondary scanner.

Now, with the seeming absence of a full flavor scanner, Ben's role being one of town's few scanners in absence of both a Cop and a Flavor Cop suddenly holds a bit more weight. But I'm not outright dismissing Ben as town. I'm just less completely sure that he's scum, in light of the current information.

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Peace___Frog
02/16/23 12:53:00 PM
#208:


T3pg7:
Hbthebattle posted...
gotta be honest, I don't particularly feel the Han lynch either. He just feels too different than last game.
Would scum hb be this afraid of putting town han into the lynch pool?

Then on page 9, the fateful time of the tiebreaker...
Hbthebattle posted...
my heart says sultan! my brain tells me this is impossible
lea is my preferred of the three top lynches though, i guess

Hbthebattle posted...
Youre not on Isquen, why do you refuse to save yourself?
In your previously quoted post you said you think isq is probably not scum... then really didn't do anything for him again after that. You pushed Sultan a bit (and suggested him to han on pg8). Nothing wrong with being wrong, but talk about having only one major track on day 1. And you really left your town read out to rot.

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EDumey
02/16/23 12:54:46 PM
#209:


Kirby321 posted...
No because it literally doesn't work with my role.

My role has the same stipulation as Sultan's: Jump's effectiveness is dependent on the target. You're arguing that doesn't make a difference because Sultan has a Strongman modifier on one of his jumps, implying at least one scum has a resistance.

I don't have that Strongman modifier. Yet my role still retains that same clause, and therefore, I cannot just kill anyone and everyone with Jump.
This still tracks though! Sultan DOES have a strongman modifier, which DOES imply scum has some kind of immunity. Even if we were to assume that your backup role is true, but you don't get the successive jump rewards, than that just means that scum's reward for killing Mario is that the Backup has no way to kill their bulletproof. So it is true that you cannot kill everyone with Jump, because scum has a resistance to it! That's why the clause about it depending on target could still be there.

But you're right, there's probably no reason to continue arguing. You are just proving that you made an assumption based off of your reading of Sultan's role, and thought you could pull off a mislynch on me. It got no support and now you're backpedaling.

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Kirby321
02/16/23 12:54:54 PM
#210:


HanOfTheNekos posted...
I'll need to reread day 1 some.

But I'm currently at thinking Kirby Scum. I don't really buy Ben either.

Please elaborate, Han. You are at least willing to listen to reason and have a productive discussion that doesn't involve coming to conclusions first and then making arguments around that >_>

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Peace___Frog
02/16/23 12:55:01 PM
#211:


Can't shake the feeling that scum han is leading us to his preferred poe just like last game, and he had a town person saying he was probably town then too.

I'm really relying on you here, ctes.

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Leafeon13N
02/16/23 12:56:09 PM
#212:


Ctes got recruited and we're all screwed.
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Kirby321
02/16/23 12:56:23 PM
#213:


Peace___Frog posted...
Can't shake the feeling that scum han is leading us to his preferred poe just like last game, and he had a town person saying he was probably town then too.

I'm really relying on you here, ctes.

You know what would absolve your doubts on Han?

Mass claim
Like JC and I have been saying this entire day

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Hbthebattle
02/16/23 12:56:48 PM
#214:


Yeah I'm going to be honest, I think ctes should claim as well.

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Chaeix
02/16/23 12:58:41 PM
#215:


Peace___Frog posted...
Can't shake the feeling that scum han is leading us to his preferred poe just like last game, and he had a town person saying he was probably town then too.

I'm really relying on you here, ctes.
This is my big worry.

Like, here's what I think is going to happen. I'm going to die tonight. Han and ctes are going to claim something that is self-confirmable in a vacuum and can't be confirmed by anyone but each other still. They'll claim one of 2 things - they were bluffing to try and save me, or whatever convoluted plan they had didn't work. Town will be left with an impossible dilemma of being at LyLo with an entirely WIFOM situation.

Scum thrives in that situation even if Han and ctes are town. That's why I want this dealt with today.


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EDumey
02/16/23 1:01:19 PM
#216:


Kirby321 posted...
Please elaborate, Han. You are at least willing to listen to reason and have a productive discussion that doesn't involve coming to conclusions first and then making arguments around that >_>
VERY ironic. Nice one, Kirby. Deflect the attack against you onto others.

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HanOfTheNekos
02/16/23 1:20:21 PM
#217:


Chaeix posted...
Like, here's what I think is going to happen. I'm going to die tonight. Han and ctes are going to claim something that is self-confirmable in a vacuum and can't be confirmed by anyone but each other still.

Don't worry, this won't happen. I promise.

Kirby321 posted...
You know what would absolve your doubts on Han?

Mass claim

What's amazing is that Kirby is 100% sure there is another scanner out there, and he's doing his damnedest to find out who it is.

There are 3 unclaimed people remaining.

Which one is it, Kirby? Why are you so desperate to find out who it is?

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HanOfTheNekos
02/16/23 1:21:43 PM
#218:


I don't know who or where they pointed it out, but someone was like "wow, Kirby sure is fishing for a scanner here" and look at all of his discourse around this topic. That's like, the thematic thread linking his posts together.


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Peace___Frog
02/16/23 1:24:16 PM
#219:


To play devil's advocate, what scum equity is there in finding what is traditionally the least valuable kind of scan from town?

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HanOfTheNekos
02/16/23 1:25:18 PM
#220:


You think Hb is Scum, Peaf?

Hbthebattle posted...
Yeah I'm going to be honest, I think ctes should claim as well.

Sounds like a desperate play.

I would guess Kirby really wants to see what Ctes and I have to offer, but since pressure towards us claiming eased off, he didn't want to come on hard, which is why he's just been mostly dancing around the subject instead of begging for it more.

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HanOfTheNekos
02/16/23 1:25:40 PM
#221:


Peace___Frog posted...
To play devil's advocate, what scum equity is there in finding what is traditionally the least valuable kind of scan from town?

??

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Peace___Frog
02/16/23 1:27:14 PM
#222:


Maybe I'm being hyperbolic about "least" but what I'm getting at is it's very weird from a scum perspective. I want to know your theory on why he may be so interested.

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HanOfTheNekos
02/16/23 1:29:33 PM
#223:


Peace___Frog posted...
Maybe I'm being hyperbolic about "least" but what I'm getting at is it's very weird from a scum perspective. I want to know your theory on why he may be so interested.

I don't know what you mean by least; what you're referring to. Ben's claimed role? That's certainly zero value.

But the theory on why?

Ctes and I can confirm each other. And we both know it is better to not claim until tomorrow. Scum is at an impasse point where they're probably likely to lose someone today, so they want to do what they can to ensure they make the best kills tonight. They NEED to know what Ctes's role is. They NEED to know how to deal with it.

So that's why they're desperate. Because if it's something that confirmed Ctes and I to each other, then they're afraid of it confirming a third person this next night.

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Peace___Frog
02/16/23 1:32:03 PM
#224:


In the context of this game I'm arguing that ben's role is not useless, but traditionally a flavor scanner is circumstantially less powerful than a cop or watcher or tracker.

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Chaeix
02/16/23 1:32:45 PM
#225:


Han, you could claim your original role with no bearing on the ctes situation, correct?

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HanOfTheNekos
02/16/23 1:32:58 PM
#226:


Peaf posted...
Golly, that host sure did say flavor is important, didn't he

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HanOfTheNekos
02/16/23 1:34:00 PM
#227:


Chaeix posted...
Han, you could claim your original role with no bearing on the ctes situation, correct?

I am choosing not to respond to this. It is better for us to both stay mum.

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HanOfTheNekos
02/16/23 1:35:44 PM
#228:


Based on Kirby's posts and insistence, I don't think there's any Town equity in us claiming for him specifically.

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Peace___Frog
02/16/23 1:37:47 PM
#229:


HanOfTheNekos posted...
Peaf posted...
That's why i said traditionally. Thank u, next

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HanOfTheNekos
02/16/23 1:48:40 PM
#230:


The funny thing is, you said, and I quote, "I'm relying on you, Ctes".

Then who flips the conversation back around to Ctes and me claiming?

Why, it's the two people who have pressure on them! The person you are currently building a case on.

Desperation as apparent as Mario's red cap.

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Peace___Frog
02/16/23 1:51:31 PM
#231:


Tbf so did jc.
But yeah I'd love to kill hb. If it's a losing play then I'll laugh about how scum in past games has killed me early despite me being wrong on everything here.

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HanOfTheNekos
02/16/23 1:55:44 PM
#232:


I still want to do a review before I commit to anything, but I'm meeting friends tonight so I'll have to get it in early.

At a base level, things look like this to me:

Town
JC
Ctes
Peaf

Townish due to actions they have taken
Plum - saving Peaf when he didn't need to
Red - Being around eod1 when he didn't need to

IF those check out, then we're looking at Scum in:

Ben
Dumey
Hb
Kirby
Ulti

If Ben is Town, Ulti and Plum are probably cleared. This makes the Scumteam, like, Kirby, Dumey, Hb, Red. If this Scumteam seems unlikely to you, then that would be a good reason to lynch Ben.

If Ben is Scum, I don't think it necessarily narrows down the list. I would probably think Ulti is Scum with him here. Then one of Dumey/Kirby, and probably Hb as well.

I think Hb POE's into both teams, based on this. I think Ben's lynch makes things more clear.

That's my thoughts.

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HanOfTheNekos
02/16/23 2:00:39 PM
#233:


I also think it says something that, Kirby and Hb both being around, said "omg han claim" and then after you and sort of JC took over talking about it, they grew quiet. Really trying to get you to get the claim to happen.

Now, they could just be busy, I'm sure, I mean, it's no longer lunch hour on the east coast (if that means anything to them), but let's be real.

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EDumey
02/16/23 2:01:00 PM
#234:


Can I ask in your confidence level in Ben being scum here, Han?

I am not against your logic in that testing Ben gives us a lot of info. I just think lynching Kirby gives us that info as well, while also targetting the person I think is scum. If you're thinking Ben is closer to a 50/50 than like an 80/20 or something, then I think Kirby is the better option.

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Kirby321
02/16/23 2:02:13 PM
#235:


For anyone who thinks I'm scum, answer me this: do you think Dumey is town?

With how much Dumey and I have been verbally brawling with each other, do you think this is all scum theater? There is absolutely no way we are both on the same side.

Besides, if I really wanted to lynch Dumey as scum, I'd fake claim a full flavor scanner. And if an actual scanner revealed themselves to counter me? It'd be an easy trade.

Han, the only reason I'm asking for a mass claim is because Ben's role is a huge question mark on whether it is town aligned or scum aligned, or if it's even real, and I believe that knowing the full setup can help us solve that.

If I were scum, I could easily kill Ctes and JC and roleblock the other. Why would I be desperate to fish for other scanners when I as theoretical scum could just kill whichever scanner is more threatening?

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HanOfTheNekos
02/16/23 2:05:11 PM
#236:


EDumey posted...
Can I ask in your confidence level in Ben being scum here, Han?

I am not against your logic in that testing Ben gives us a lot of info. I just think lynching Kirby gives us that info as well, while also targetting the person I think is scum. If you're thinking Ben is closer to a 50/50 than like an 80/20 or something, then I think Kirby is the better option.

I'm in a weird place rn where I think it's pretty high. Like, I'd say over 80%.

Kirby321 posted...
With how much Dumey and I have been verbally brawling with each other, do you think this is all scum theater? There is absolutely no way we are both on the same side.

What would you call this argument, Dumey?

If I were scum, I could easily kill Ctes and JC and roleblock the other. Why would I be desperate to fish for other scanners when I as theoretical scum could just kill whichever scanner is more threatening?

Because you fear this is not true.

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EDumey
02/16/23 2:05:40 PM
#237:


Kirby321 posted...
Besides, if I really wanted to lynch Dumey as scum, I'd fake claim a full flavor scanner. And if an actual scanner revealed themselves to counter me? It'd be an easy trade.
Easy answer, you thought you could back out after mislynching me with an "oops I must have misunderstood how Hammer worked. Blame the host for not being clear!"

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Kirby321
02/16/23 2:06:32 PM
#238:


HanOfTheNekos posted...
I also think it says something that, Kirby and Hb both being around, said "omg han claim" and then after you and sort of JC took over talking about it, they grew quiet. Really trying to get you to get the claim to happen.

Now, they could just be busy, I'm sure, I mean, it's no longer lunch hour on the east coast (if that means anything to them), but let's be real.

What the fuck
Is nobody listening to me
Am I talking to brick walls

I have made it very clear that I want a mass claim. I fucking claimed to get this whole mass claim revolution started! JC and I were fucking tired of town twiddling their thumbs and doing jack shit, so I decided to take action and start claiming.

I want you, Red, Ctes, and Dumey to all claim. I want to solve this game. Don't you dare make this about me pressuring people to claim out of desperation.

I want every living player in this goddamn game to claim so we can all be on the same page. I have been VERY clear about this. Literally look at any interaction I've had with JC today ffs

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HanOfTheNekos
02/16/23 2:09:50 PM
#239:


That's okay, Kirby. You want a mass claim. That doesn't actually change anything about my argument. It just makes you look a little less manipulative wrt the action.

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Kirby321
02/16/23 2:10:31 PM
#240:


HanOfTheNekos posted...
What would you call this argument, Dumey?

It's WIFOM
Very funny ha ha ha
I'm fully aware it's WIFOM

But don't avoid the question, Han. Seriously, do you really think Dumey and I are on the same side?

Does anyone actually think that Dumey and I are both scum?

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EDumey
02/16/23 2:12:09 PM
#241:


Kirby321 posted...
Does anyone actually think that Dumey and I are both scum?
I don't!

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HanOfTheNekos
02/16/23 2:13:50 PM
#242:


Kirby321 posted...
Does anyone actually think that Dumey and I are both scum?

It's possible.

But if it's not, then it means that Ben is Scum, so really, you should both want Ben lynched.

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Kirby321
02/16/23 2:17:51 PM
#243:


HanOfTheNekos posted...
It's possible.

But if it's not, then it means that Ben is Scum, so really, you should both want Ben lynched.

Listen
My vote is on Red right now because I want him to claim

He's also done jack shit this entire game

I'm not opposed to lynching Ben. I agree that his role is worthless at this stage of the game.

I just find it extremely alarming that town is weak as shit with our current powers. Nonetheless, I will not be opposed to a lynch on Ben or Hb. And honestly? I would feel vindicated as hell if Ben flips scum.

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HanOfTheNekos
02/16/23 2:19:50 PM
#244:


"With our current revealed powers, I think Town is weak. Therefore, extrapolating from that that the unclaimed power is probably truthful, I still want them to claim because ????"

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#245
Post #245 was unavailable or deleted.
PunishedBen
02/16/23 2:22:52 PM
#246:


HanOfTheNekos posted...
Also, like, Ben is right in that Ctes and I are Town, but he's so confident, as opposed to people who are Town (JC/Peaf) having had a LOT of difficulty dealing with me today.

I wish I could see Ben's confidence wrt the other claims we've had today!
I have no reason not to be confident as you have assured me that it is more than just Ctes having an innocent scan on you. Innocent until proven guilty, and you will be proven tomorrow.

For the other claims - I believe Ulti and HB. Both of them because there is no scum incentive to do what they did. Ulti could have exposed himself to my scan and HB I dont think goes that cute with his flavor and reveals it how he does unless it is the truth.

Plum I'm split on. Yes, it is risky to claim a star spirit if he is not one. Potentially a game winning move though if he is scum and is able to lynch me today.

Kirby's claim is BS. Again, the biggest reason why is because it CONFIRMS for him that Mario is town. That's broken and double infinite vig is much too swingy as it ends the game too fast.

Red I dont really care if he claims or not because I know he's just gonna claim vanilla anyway.

Holy shit this is why I stopped being able to post from work btw. I've been trying to send this post for the last hour. The site isnt fully blocked but something is blocking it to where if I hit refrsh like 50 times it may eventually load. But when I am trying to post i just have to keep copy pasting my post and it always gets stuck as the page is reloading and doesnt post

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HanOfTheNekos
02/16/23 2:27:11 PM
#247:


UltimaterializerX posted...
Han, do you think Ben is pocketing me?

I think he's pocketing me. You could be Scummates with him, or not. I think he made a pretty weird claim, and you hopped all over it like a shark to chum, and like, if you're Town, why wouldn't Ben utilize your response to that as a reason to clear you? Why wouldn't he treat you any differently? You're practically the reason he lived yesterday, after all.


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EDumey
02/16/23 2:37:51 PM
#248:


Kirby321 posted...
For anyone who thinks I'm scum, answer me this: do you think Dumey is town?

With how much Dumey and I have been verbally brawling with each other, do you think this is all scum theater? There is absolutely no way we are both on the same side.
I want to respond to this again here, because I'm actually not quite sure what you were getting at. It seems like you're implying that I'm obviously scum, and therefore you must be town because of it. But do you actually have an argument for me being scum? I could very much be wrong, but IIRC, you mostly just don't like me because of the pressure I put on you about Ulti's liveposting. Other than that, you had thrown out PROVABLY WRONG suspicions like, "I didn't like how Dumey was hung up on Peaf all D1."

Do you actually suspect me for any reason other than OMGUS? I can understand being in people's PoE list, but I don't think anyone has really called me out for anything that makes me scummy.

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PunishedBen
02/16/23 2:42:51 PM
#249:


Kirby321 posted...
I criticized Ben for it because he said he laid down hints. I don't claim to have done such a thing, not earlier than Day 3 at the very least.

Truth be told, I was completely prepared to fake claim Vanilla in a mass claim to conceal my role (which wouldn't have been a complete lie since I was effectively Vanilla until Sultan died), so I made sure not to breadcrumb (though I was fully willing to claim my actual role at the end of Day 2 there when my life was on the line). I know that sounds weird, but I was under the impression that Hero was some sort of powerful role. I wanted my back-up status to be completely hidden from scum until it was necessary for me to claim in full.

Anyway, I'm still in support of a mass claim, so I'm leaving my vote on Red in case he shows up again. Otherwise, I'm still raising my eyebrow at Hb and Ben's roles conflicting in flavor. I'm leaning toward Hb. We've had four Star Spirits claimed, all of whom are vanilla. The only players that claim to be vanilla but not Star Spirits are Hb and Peaf.

I think we get more info out of Hb's lynch. If he flips scum, that lends more credence to Ben's role being legit, and also puts into question whether Peaf is being truthful or not. If Hb flips town, Ben's role is still dubious and Peaf's flavor could still be real.

This post gave me whiplash. Because Kirby has been stating since day 1 how confident he was I was scum, and this is before I role claimed. Before that he was using the "Town Ben has better reads than this" card, and the "trust me I know Ben and he is scum this game" card. Then when I do claim he transitions into that being the sole reason why he thinks I am scum. But now HB is a better lynch because of his flavor claim? And HB being scum town clears me?! Why? Notice he says that if HB flips town then I am still likely scum. This is another reason i think HB is town, because this is a setup to lynch him and then still be able to lynch me the next day


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https://na.finalfantasyxiv.com/lodestone/character/26864890/
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Peace___Frog
02/16/23 2:44:05 PM
#250:


Kirby321 posted...
For anyone who thinks I'm scum, answer me this: do you think Dumey is town?
Undecided.


With how much Dumey and I have been verbally brawling with each other, do you think this is all scum theater? There is absolutely no way we are both on the same side.
Nah


Besides, if I really wanted to lynch Dumey as scum, I'd fake claim a full flavor scanner. And if an actual scanner revealed themselves to counter me? It'd be an easy trade.
I think you trapped yourself earlier and felt that that wouldn't be bought, because of Ben.


Han, the only reason I'm asking for a mass claim is because Ben's role is a huge question mark on whether it is town aligned or scum aligned, or if it's even real, and I believe that knowing the full setup can help us solve that.
Perhaps.


If I were scum, I could easily kill Ctes and JC and roleblock the other. Why would I be desperate to fish for other scanners when I as theoretical scum could just kill whichever scanner is more threatening?
Because there might be some other benefits to your team for killing other roles. We've only seen one scum flip, who's to say what other abilities there are that sbell could have ninja'd?

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~Peaf~
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