Board 8 > Fire Emblem: Awakening Mafia - Topic 6 - Conquest (Ablaze)

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Corrik7
03/11/22 4:59:57 PM
#201:


Sheep007 posted...
I trust Ben's reads, but I trust my own a bit more, and I think the Muyo lynch is safer. Plus, let's face it, it's much more interesting than just sitting around for another two hours waiting for Corrik to flip.
I mean, I don't think for the funnziez is the best argument, but Idc right now. I am town, and this is a mislynch. If you are town, please go back and actually read the damn game. You being lazy is making it so scum can look town so easy by just putting any effort in at this point.

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Sheep007
03/11/22 5:00:07 PM
#202:


PunishedBen posted...
Anyway, no, I don't believe him that he got to pick his role in the middle of the day. That's a lie
Yeah I also kinda don't believe this part

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Corrik7
03/11/22 5:01:15 PM
#203:


Sheep007 posted...
Yeah I also kinda don't believe this part
You don't believe I sent a pm saying I am taking BP????


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Sheep007
03/11/22 5:02:44 PM
#204:


Corrik7 posted...
I mean, I don't think for the funnziez is the best argument, but Idc right now. I am town, and this is a mislynch. If you are town, please go back and actually read the damn game. You being lazy is making it so scum can look town so easy by just putting any effort in at this point.
If you'd been keeping up with the game you'd realise I have gone back and read the game multiple times in the last two days. You can't just call everyone else lazy while saying you're dead already and the game was over the minute Chris flipped so there's no point. Or, well, you can, but it's not gonna help us find scum.

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Sheep007
03/11/22 5:04:01 PM
#205:


Corrik7 posted...
You don't believe I sent a pm saying I am taking BP????
I definitely don't believe you did it during the day and then got given the role as soon as it turned night.

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Sheep007
03/11/22 5:04:47 PM
#206:


Sheep007 posted...
If you'd been keeping up with the game you'd realise I have gone back and read the game multiple times in the last two days. You can't just call everyone else lazy while saying you're dead already and the game was over the minute Chris flipped so there's no point. Or, well, you can, but it's not gonna help us find scum.
Like, seriously. I spent about twenty bloody posts yesterday doing an ISO of Muyo. Go back and read yourself if you want to know my reasoning.

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Corrik7
03/11/22 5:05:34 PM
#207:


Sheep007 posted...
If you'd been keeping up with the game you'd realise I have gone back and read the game multiple times in the last two days. You can't just call everyone else lazy while saying you're dead already and the game was over the minute Chris flipped so there's no point. Or, well, you can, but it's not gonna help us find scum.
The you wasn't directed to you. The "if you are town part" was to the rest of the game.

You and Chang are the only ones going back. If Chang is scum, the rest of Town is doing their best to make Chang look town.

Scare is just like lol trust me. Ben is just like I'm confirmed town listen to me. Ulti is just like gimme a break I'm working man. Mzero is okay I guess. Muyo is just like I hate everyone rawrrr. Tidus is just like "yes say more say more so I can just say I agree to something"

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TidusOfTheX
03/11/22 5:10:37 PM
#208:


Corrik7 posted...
Tidus is just like "yes say more say more so I can just say I agree to something"
Uh what?

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changmas
03/11/22 5:10:57 PM
#209:




MZero posted...
Scare has been skating by on getting some early town cred and has since done almost nothing. Han has been noncommittal. Has he even voted this entire game? I have high expectations of town Han but he hasn't really pushed anything, just bounced around. Like, he's called some people scum and stuff but hasn't really put any weight behind anything

MZero posted...
agreed on changmas/Muyo. Death I've expressed my thoughts on, and Corrik is honestly almost impossible to read because he acts nearly identical as either alignment. A scan or PoE is your best bet. If I had to guess the other two scum are Scare and Han.

As for why no one responded to changmas, maybe they were distancing, or they've just left him out to dry

MZero thoughts on Chang/Muyo/Death/Corrik scum team. Death I've expressed my thoughts on = I am fence sitting. Proposes Chang/Muyo/Scare/Han.

ChichiriMuyo posted...
Town: Ben, Tidus, Ulti, Sheep
Unsure: Chris, MZero, Chang, Scare
Scum: Red, Corrik

I really thought Chris was town but this recent revelation kinda leaves me shook. Obv he'd want to protect doctor but why claim anything at all?

If Muyo is scum, this looks like Ulti/Muyo scumteam.

UltimaterializerX posted...
Pretty sure enough people know Im torn at this point for MZero to get lynched first. And by the time all that happens, Red is getting Rule 1d anyway.

Torn between MZero and Chris? MZero and Red? this wording is confusing to me

DoomTheGyarados posted...
I am annoyed but I promised someone important to me that I would try to be less angry going forward in life. I was like genuinely proud I made it to today alive as doctor. I was like, really pleased and accepting I may be scanned but I thought "well it was a good run, but if sheep scans me I can just come clean and get back to work." It is well known I lie as town, and it is well known I like playing mind games with scum. This is very disappointing for me.

:(


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changmas
03/11/22 5:13:40 PM
#210:


Sheep007 posted...
Hey Chang

Do you think those Death posts are just general inconsistencies because they're from a scum player, or because he doesn't want to pressure Corrik too much?

I think I would lean more toward the former tbh. By far the strangest thing to me is that he sat with his vote on Corrik all of Day 2 even though he was pressuring me the whole time. And then handwaves it off saying basically "i haven't seen anything from corrik to take my vote off"

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Corrik7
03/11/22 5:13:48 PM
#211:


Sheep007 posted...
I definitely don't believe you did it during the day and then got given the role as soon as it turned night.
I definitely sent the pm during the day, i got a confirmation of my pm, and I definitely got the role sent to me before I seen the flip at night. It wasn't right away as night started. This is getting to rules territory with mod correspondence though.

But, I would have been super tempted to choose BP over doctor anyways. No lies detected there. Lol. That would have been a major game time decision. I was beyond positive Chris was scum that day. Like it wasn't even an ounce of me that thought that was wrong. Between what appeared to be a strongman. The overpowering amount of protective roles and mine. I was beyond certain. I was operating on false info some though. A fake mayor claim which would have checked the vig well actually. A fake presumption of strongman. Yeah, if we know Han wasn't likely strongmanned night 2, how much does that change our opinions of Chris?

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Sheep007
03/11/22 5:15:30 PM
#212:


changmas posted...
If Muyo is scum, this looks like Ulti/Muyo scumteam.
I kindaaaa agree? Or it would at least make Ulti more of a focus in my thought process for potential scum. But also we are always lynching Muyo first in this case because the Death vote D1 on Ulti feels so bad for any scum team. I would, however, say that if Muyo, Corrik or yourself are scum, it looks slightly less bad because of the late votes. I doubt Ulti is scum with MZero (who wasn't around EoD) because of this, and probably not Scare either (although that would be less predictable because of timezones)

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Corrik7
03/11/22 5:18:22 PM
#213:


Sheep007 posted...
I kindaaaa agree? Or it would at least make Ulti more of a focus in my thought process for potential scum. But also we are always lynching Muyo first in this case because the Death vote D1 on Ulti feels so bad for any scum team. I would, however, say that if Muyo, Corrik or yourself are scum, it looks slightly less bad because of the late votes. I doubt Ulti is scum with MZero (who wasn't around EoD) because of this, and probably not Scare either (although that would be less predictable because of timezones)
If Muyo is scum, the only people with the ability to coach that fake claim is honestly me, Scare, or Ulti. No one else in this game would fit the mold to coach that. And if Muyo was coached to that claim, I am looking directly at Tidus as well. Because his claim is the only thing backing him up as town and a vote steal that happened only night 1.

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Sheep007
03/11/22 5:20:45 PM
#214:


Corrik7 posted...
if we know Han wasn't likely strongmanned night 2, how much does that change our opinions of Chris?
If they don't have a strongman, they likely either tried to kill Tidus or Han N1 anyway, cause they really had to get Death's extra shot off. Probably still Han, but it strikes me as odd they would shoot the same dude two nights in a row if so.

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PunishedBen
03/11/22 5:23:53 PM
#215:


changmas posted...
I think I would lean more toward the former tbh. By far the strangest thing to me is that he sat with his vote on Corrik all of Day 2 even though he was pressuring me the whole time. And then handwaves it off saying basically "i haven't seen anything from corrik to take my vote off"
Death is Mr. Busses.

It's why I actually see Ulti being a possible scum option

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Corrik7
03/11/22 5:24:31 PM
#216:


Sheep007 posted...
If they don't have a strongman, they likely either tried to kill Tidus or Han N1 anyway, cause they really had to get Death's extra shot off. Probably still Han, but it strikes me as odd they would shoot the same dude two nights in a row if so.
I still think they shot both masons, but that is a huge point in favor of tidus being town to be fair. I didn't consider that.

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Sheep007
03/11/22 5:25:00 PM
#217:


Corrik7 posted...
If Muyo is scum, the only people with the ability to coach that fake claim is honestly me, Scare, or Ulti. No one else in this game would fit the mold to coach that. And if Muyo was coached to that claim, I am looking directly at Tidus as well. Because his claim is the only thing backing him up as town and a vote steal that happened only night 1.
Hmm, thinking about it I actually might agree here. It's specifically the "Outsider" part which is tripping me up here, because that's a really odd thing to add in and I feel like MZero, Chang, Tidus and Muyo wouldn't have added that in. I would, however, say that I think Death might have the required knowledge? And in addition, if Muyo is scum I think it's unlikely that all of the three you mentioned are town.

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Sheep007
03/11/22 5:26:46 PM
#218:


also I do not agree on the "claim is the only thing backing him up" portion on Tidus. Most every post by him early on felt like precious innocent new town and I stand by that.

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Fastbreak
03/11/22 5:27:24 PM
#219:


Guys it's not the time for a special

Corrik needs to go nothing about what he has said today adds up

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PunishedBen
03/11/22 5:27:43 PM
#220:


I don't mean to diminish Corrik's efforts here. He is the single greatest player I know at being the same as scum and town.

But remember that I already proved he was fake claiming once. And tidus is absolutely right that claiming body guard isn't going to draw a shot. Scum doesn't shoot body guard directly. They hope to avoid it

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Sheep007
03/11/22 5:29:00 PM
#221:


We're still like an hour and a half too early for it to be a special, c'mon now.

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changmas
03/11/22 5:31:24 PM
#222:


UltimaterializerX posted...
I'm reading Han, and he more or less thinks the remaining scum team is three of Red, MZero, Chris, and Muyo. Possibly all four.

I'm of the mind Muyo is host confirmed town, so let's just lynch the other three in whatever order and kill Muyo if the game isn't over by then. Everyone else is too town, by behavior or role, to bother with.

Also missed this from earlier on Day 3. If Ulti is scum, this post starts to look bad very very quickly. Even as town it requires some generosity (more or less is doing a LOT of work). He conveniently leaves out himself from this post, and me as well for some reason. It's also weird that he says "possibly all 4", as if there might be a scum team of 5.

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PunishedBen
03/11/22 5:31:49 PM
#223:


Fastbreak posted...
Guys it's not the time for a special

Corrik needs to go nothing about what he has said today adds up
Thank you for the support Scare lol

We might soon have enough points to unlock a rank A support conversation

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changmas
03/11/22 5:32:28 PM
#224:


oh it leaves out corrik too, although han was a bit less committal on corrik so that's a fair enough interpretation imo

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changmas
03/11/22 5:39:51 PM
#225:


Muyo, can you propose what you believe to be the most likely 3-person scum team remaining?

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Corrik7
03/11/22 5:41:51 PM
#226:


Sheep007 posted...
Hmm, thinking about it I actually might agree here. It's specifically the "Outsider" part which is tripping me up here, because that's a really odd thing to add in and I feel like MZero, Chang, Tidus and Muyo wouldn't have added that in. I would, however, say that I think Death might have the required knowledge? And in addition, if Muyo is scum I think it's unlikely that all of the three you mentioned are town.
Death is kinda a coward. Can't even see this ever coming up with his advice.

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Corrik7
03/11/22 5:42:42 PM
#227:


PunishedBen posted...
I don't mean to diminish Corrik's efforts here. He is the single greatest player I know at being the same as scum and town.

But remember that I already proved he was fake claiming once. And tidus is absolutely right that claiming body guard isn't going to draw a shot. Scum doesn't shoot body guard directly. They hope to avoid it
Bodyguard wasn't supposed to draw the shot. You are purposely leaving out context.

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changmas
03/11/22 5:50:52 PM
#228:


ChichiriMuyo posted...
You know what, Sheep, that's just some dirty fucking shit. If you want to vote for me then do it, don't fucking ask Chris to bend over backwards to "justify" it for you. Just fucking vote for me. Oh you're X% sure of this and X% sure of that? No. No you are not. I get why people are thinking Chris looks bad here, he lied. Who hasn't? Don't twist him up like he's some kind of play thing. If you think I'm scum come at me yourself. It's not his job to prove your pet theory and get punished for it at the same time.

ChichiriMuyo posted...
Don't play that off as if you simply asked Chris for his read on me. You know that's not the full context of what you wrote and meant.

As for Han, did I read him incorrectly? Yes. I'm sorry, but he was random AF. He made accusations about some people that I didn't think held water, and when it came to voting he went after different people. The guy may as well have been rolling dice to decide his every action.

ChichiriMuyo posted...
It's crazy, from my end this started when I tried to justify my defending of Chris. I said I believed what the non-han players were saying and that I didn't like the way Han went after him. At the mere hint I might think he was scum he came after me. After first I told him I didn't want to reexplain why I took my stance so he yells "he's evading, he's scum." So I relent and I tell him and he yells "he's defending himself, he's scum." He tells me he wants me to vote for him if I think he's scum so I do and he yells "look, he voted for me, he's scum." He had no evidence, he just wanted to fuck with me just like he wanted to fuck with chris. I Don't care if he flipped Town, his actions were clearly anti-town.

ChichiriMuyo posted...
Why do your own dirty work when you can get others to do it. Getting town to lunch the doc frees them up the shoot the next target.

ChichiriMuyo posted...
I'm just curious, had anyone else taken a beat to look at the fact the sheep led the vote against Chris because he was so sure and now he's leading another because again he's sure. How do we know the guy isnt pied pipering these votes?


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changmas
03/11/22 5:50:55 PM
#229:


ChichiriMuyo posted...
Utli said last night (real time) he was going to come back with something and he made it sound like it would be some big revelation and brought... nothing?

ChichiriMuyo posted...
Yeah... 333 last topic he says he believes he can nail a scum to the wall and provides nothing. I was really hoping he'd follow through, instead there's what?

ChichiriMuyo posted...
After it was (wrongly) decided that Chris had to be lynched I think I just stopped giving a fuck. There are a whole lotta people here who think that if they get it right once out of three or four or more tries then they're really, really, really good at this. Most of the people who voted to lynch Chris still think they did the right thing, when objectively they did not. So in the end I think I'm just pissed off that I have to play a game where people think they're S-M-R-T for getting it right once in awhile.

ChichiriMuyo posted...
Sure, it would be.

But it's annoying as fuck to watch people who don't know shit act like they've figured it all out, especially when they've decided that I'm next in line to eliminate because I either don't seem to know enough or I seem to know too much.

ChichiriMuyo posted...
While I can say I did think it was an unforced error on his part to false claim, beyond that what was his fault?

No, that sounds like the logic someone would come up with to excuse themselves for just being wrong. You were wrong, and you can't admit it even though BY FACT you were wrong, so it must have been his mistake, eh?

ChichiriMuyo posted...
Yeah, Scare, you're right. Things go wrong. And some people admit it, while some others blame the victim. You're dece

I think that's all of them. Theater or not?


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changmas
03/11/22 5:52:41 PM
#230:


gonna go grab a snack and ruminate on that, be back in 15ish

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Sheep007
03/11/22 5:54:23 PM
#231:


The main thing I take from that is that Muyo was wayyyyy too unquestioning on whether Chris was scum. He just believed he wasn't and refused to consider otherwise. I think a few others have mentioned this already, but being so certain and correct on something very complex is a bit of a scumtell (and I should know because that is literally my tactic for the first few days of my scum games). I'd have believed it more if there was more real analysis in there.

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changmas
03/11/22 6:12:41 PM
#232:


Muyo and Ulti need to not be afk.

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Sheep007
03/11/22 6:13:51 PM
#233:


Hey Chang. How come you haven't voted yet?

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ChichiriMuyo
03/11/22 6:15:15 PM
#234:


I did speak to why I thought Chris wasn town multiple times. When han questioned his behavior others chimed in on what "town chris" acts like and that jives with my knowledge of chris, then when he went and got those claims it made it more likely to me. Dude likes to play white knight. Now of course in retrospect I can easily act like I always knew because hindsight is 20/20

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Luis_Sera89
03/11/22 6:15:26 PM
#235:


[2] Corrik: (Sheep), (Ben), Scare, Tidus
[2] Muyo: Sheep, Corrik
[1] Scare: MZero, (Corrik), (Corrik)
[0] MZero: (Ben)

With 9 alive it takes 5 to lynch. Day 4 ends at 12:15 AM GMT Saturday/07:15 PM EST Friday (1 hour from now)

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changmas
03/11/22 6:16:17 PM
#236:


Ideally I'd like to vote for Mzero to be completely honest. I'm still not really seeing him as town now. That doesn't look like it's on the table. Learning towards voting Muyo atm but I'd like to at least hear him out if he's open to giving information on the game instead of whining about other players not listening to him.

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ChichiriMuyo
03/11/22 6:17:06 PM
#237:


I'm at work so ability to check in is sctechy.

If I had to pick 3 as scum its... corrick, scare, and... maybe tidus? That's order of liklihood.

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Sheep007
03/11/22 6:18:36 PM
#238:


MZero would be on the table if you convinced me! I really do think he's made enough thoughtful posts in his limited time here that I don't want to lynch him unless something drastic changes and don't think we have to to win. Pretty much everything he's said I've been like "yeah, I understand where that's coming from" and I find I rarely experience that with scum.

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changmas
03/11/22 6:19:11 PM
#239:


ChichiriMuyo posted...
I'm at work so ability to check in is sctechy.

If I had to pick 3 as scum its... corrick, scare, and... maybe tidus? That's order of liklihood.

Why Tidus over Mzero, Ulti, or even me?

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Sheep007
03/11/22 6:19:26 PM
#240:


ChichiriMuyo posted...
I'm at work so ability to check in is sctechy.

If I had to pick 3 as scum its... corrick, scare, and... maybe tidus? That's order of liklihood.
What's your reasoning on the latter two?

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Fastbreak
03/11/22 6:22:39 PM
#241:


ChichiriMuyo posted...
I'm at work so ability to check in is sctechy.

If I had to pick 3 as scum its... corrick, scare, and... maybe tidus? That's order of liklihood.

You need to vote corrik

Also even discounting my perspective of being town so knowing I can't he partners with Corrik, a team with both of us doesn't make sense anyways

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changmas
03/11/22 6:23:04 PM
#242:


Also I might have completely lost my mind but I think I actually believe Corrik at this exact moment?

FWIW though, this is absolute garbage.

Corrik7 posted...
But, I would have been super tempted to choose BP over doctor anyways. No lies detected there. Lol. That would have been a major game time decision.

See: earlier in the game

Corrik7 posted...
And, like I said before, I have an entire game in the past where I never used my Bodyguard ability an entire game because I think it is dumb. It serves no purpose unless a role is critical to be saved.


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Sheep007
03/11/22 6:25:25 PM
#243:


yeah Corrik values his own reads and existence above everyone else's

Fastbreak posted...
You need to vote corrik

Also even discounting my perspective of being town so knowing I can't he partners with Corrik, a team with both of us doesn't make sense anyways
I'm not sure if I agree entirely. Mind elaborating?

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changmas
03/11/22 6:28:56 PM
#244:


Sheep007 posted...
The main thing I take from that is that Muyo was wayyyyy too unquestioning on whether Chris was scum. He just believed he wasn't and refused to consider otherwise. I think a few others have mentioned this already, but being so certain and correct on something very complex is a bit of a scumtell (and I should know because that is literally my tactic for the first few days of my scum games). I'd have believed it more if there was more real analysis in there.

I can see this perspective for sure though. And the scum theater in this case would actually just be channeling frustration of not being cleared from suspicion because he was "correct" in knowing Chris was town.

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Sheep007
03/11/22 6:32:01 PM
#245:


changmas posted...
I can see this perspective for sure though. And the scum theater in this case would actually just be channeling frustration of not being cleared from suspicion because he was "correct" in knowing Chris was town.
I do think there's another take on it, which is that Muyo is town, was sure Chris is town, and was either unsure at communicating his decent reads, or just stumbled into it from some good Chris posts and vibes earlier and then slammed his head against a wall trying to convey it. I think both are viable alternatives, honestly.

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ChichiriMuyo
03/11/22 6:32:42 PM
#246:


##vote: corrick

justin case time gets away from me again

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ChichiriMuyo
03/11/22 6:37:10 PM
#247:


changmas posted...
Why Tidus over Mzero, Ulti, or even me?
I have considered you but sheep did say you were clear so I'm leaning on that being correct. Ulti I read as town when he blew up and got all melodramatic about being accused which is what I believe town ulti would do. Zero, I just keep forgetting he's here, though he has been posting more. He's not on my clear list by any means.

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Sheep007
03/11/22 6:41:46 PM
#248:


ChichiriMuyo posted...
Ulti I read as town when he blew up and got all melodramatic about being accused which is what I believe town ulti would do.
Why do you think town Ulti would do this, but not scum Ulti?

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changmas
03/11/22 6:42:55 PM
#249:


Spitballing some scum team possibilities. I actually do agree that it's unlikely that Corrik and Scare are both scum. They seem very much willing to vote each other today and unless it's literally Corrik Scare Muyo then someone would always be pivoting to vote for the townie (which is definitely corrik here if anyone).

Muyo Ulti + one of Mzero/Scare/Corrik
Muyo Mzero + Scare/Corrik
Ulti Mzero + Scare/Corrik

by my count that's slightly more than a 2/3 chance at hitting scum in the Muyo/Ulti/Mzero group vs roughly a 50/50 on scare/corrik by the odds.

This only works if you're certain that Chang/Tidus/Sheep/Ben are all town though, which I am.


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ChichiriMuyo
03/11/22 6:44:32 PM
#250:


It felt like a genuine reaction. I know it's more an intuition read than anything but I did sense he felt a little hurt or insulted to get called out because he didn't think it was called for.

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