Current Events > So covid is spiking nation wide... Why?

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#152
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theAteam
06/30/20 2:31:22 PM
#153:


People stopped caring.

My gf's parents are both doctors working in hospitals and they stopped wearing masks around other people (outside the hospital). They just don't care anymore. I imagine there's a lot of people like that.

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#154
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Antifar
06/30/20 2:31:29 PM
#155:


shockthemonkey posted...
We also didnt see the anticipated spike after beaches opened, right? Werent there a lot fewer cases that were traced to beaches and public pools than what we expected once a lot of those opened for Memorial Day?

Yeah. Everybody (myself included) saw Florida's beaches still open in late March, or the Wisconsin elections and assumed it was a covid bomb waiting to go off. It didn't, really.
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TheGoldenEel
06/30/20 2:32:22 PM
#156:


legendary_zell posted...
People have not cited any sources in this topic. People are largely viewing it as a political ink blot test for your vision of society. If you dislike the left/protests, you blame them with no evidence. If you think it's due to Republicans, you blame them with no evidence. That doesn't mean some of these groups aren't more to blame than others, but the baseless speculation isn't helping.

Bro

TheGoldenEel posted...
Health officials link surge in coronavirus cases in Pittsburgh area to bars, not protests

https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/505142-health-officials-link-surge-in-coronavirus-cases-in-pittsburgh-area-to?amp

Protests in Seattle and elsewhere dont appear to be driving coronavirus surge, researchers say

https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/health/protests-in-seattle-and-elsewhere-dont-appear-to-be-driving-virus-surge-researchers-say/?amp=1

Parties Not Protests Are Causing Spikes In Coronavirus

https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates/2020/06/24/883017035/what-contact-tracing-may-tell-about-cluster-spread-of-the-coronavirus

Black Lives Matter protests may have slowed overall spread of coronavirus in Denver and other cities, new study finds

https://coloradosun.com/2020/06/30/police-protests-coronavirus-spread/

COVID-19 has not surged in cities with big protests, but it has in states that reopened early. Here are some possible reasons.

https://www.inquirer.com/health/coronavirus/coronavirus-no-spike-cities-despite-protests-big-surge-in-states-that-reopened-20200627.html?outputType=amp

More reported COVID-19 cases linked to bars than protests, officials say

https://www.klkntv.com/more-reported-covid-19-cases-coming-from-bars-than-protests-officials-say/

Did protests spread the coronavirus? Here are the Utah numbers and the national research.

https://www.sltrib.com/news/2020/06/27/how-much-did-protests/


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Mr_Rian
06/30/20 2:32:40 PM
#157:


legendary_zell posted...
People have not cited any sources in this topic.

I mean, there was a post with a bunch of links cited on like the first page or so, wasn't there?
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#158
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soulunison2
06/30/20 2:35:45 PM
#159:


shockthemonkey posted...
We also didnt see the anticipated spike after beaches opened, right? Werent there a lot fewer cases that were traced to beaches and public pools than what we expected once a lot of those opened for Memorial Day?

californias spike can be traced to Memorial Day weekend
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Bleuets
06/30/20 2:36:28 PM
#161:


Mr_Rian posted...
I mean, there was a post with a bunch of links cited on like the first page or so, wasn't there?

he means real sources, not kltvn the local Nebraska new station or an article that claims protests are actually slowing down the spread of the virus .

are we fucking serious?
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EvilutionV316
06/30/20 2:37:31 PM
#162:


States opening too early and mass protests.

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#163
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TheGoldenEel
06/30/20 2:39:48 PM
#164:


Bleuets posted...
he means real sources, not kltvn the local Nebraska new station or an article that claims protests are actually slowing down the spread of the virus .

are we fucking serious?
I gave a range of sources, all of them cite studies and hard numbers. My reason for showing a range of sources is because people like yourself would probably write off npr as liberal propaganda or some shitId expect local news in Nebraska and Utah to skew more right to give some perspective

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soulunison2
06/30/20 2:40:23 PM
#165:


shockthemonkey posted...
But from the beaches opening or people throwing indoor parties? I know there was a small spike after Easter and Im absolutely just thinking out loud but mostly seems like the outdoor gatherings arent nearly as dangerous.

all of the Above Technically

the small spike was occurring during a shelter in place so most parties werent properly held

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legendary_zell
06/30/20 2:40:28 PM
#166:


Mr_Rian posted...
I mean, there was a post with a bunch of links cited on like the first page or so, wasn't there?

I mean in terms of the actual practical arguments people have made. People aren't citing those sources or acknowledging them. It's just a fight of assertion vs assertion in the actual debate. No one blaming the protests has any support whatsoever for that idea. No one who is blaming Republicans has supported their ideas either. It is pretty clear at this point that the protests are not causing it and that it's happening in both red and blue states.

This is not to make a both sides argument, it's to encourage people to draw their arguments from evidence and defend them with evidence. I think that'll lead pretty directly to the right conclusions: the people blaming the protests being discredited, and young people also taking responsibility for spreading and not just blaming Republicans and boomers (who SHOULD be saddled with disproportionate blame). Essentially, I believe the evidence shows this is a total system failure that springs from a lot of points.

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Balrog0
06/30/20 2:40:33 PM
#167:


Bleuets posted...
he means real sources, not kltvn the local Nebraska new station or an article that claims protests are actually slowing down the spread of the virus .

are we fucking serious?

It's from an NBER paper... It's easily the most reputable source that's been posted...


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Bleuets
06/30/20 2:41:02 PM
#168:


TheGoldenEel posted...
I gave a range of sources, all of them cite studies and hard numbers. My reason for showing a range of sources is because people like yourself would probably write off npr as liberal propaganda or some shitId expect local news in Nebraska and Utah to skew more right to give some perspective

I mean, you have an article that says protests are actually slowing down the virus...

you think that isnt a tad bit biased?
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DevsBro
06/30/20 2:42:26 PM
#169:


AsucaHayashi posted...
meanwhile the new list of countries able to travel to the EU:



how does it feel to be lumped in with russia and brazil?
Either good or bad depending on what these three colors mean.

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TheGoldenEel
06/30/20 2:43:37 PM
#170:


Bleuets posted...
I mean, you have an article that says protests are actually slowing down the virus...

you think that isnt a tad bit biased?
You are welcome to provide counterpoints

right now I am posting articles with scientific studies and hard data, and your response has been I dont believe that

maybe give even a single shred of actual evidence to back up your claim

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Questionmarktarius
06/30/20 2:43:48 PM
#171:


Balrog0 posted...
It's from an NBER paper... It's easily the most reputable source that's been posted...
It's plausible, in that the generally-younger people out protesting would be more likely to develop an active immunity than old fatasses loafing at the tavern.
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InfinityMonster
06/30/20 2:44:21 PM
#172:


We don't know anything definitively. Florida and Texas opened up way before the protests, so the spread definitely seems slow and can't be ruled out if they're now spiking.

People were getting the virus in January and February, but the spread and deaths didn't become really serious till the end of March and going forward.

And yeah, most young people are asymptomatic so I don't see them all running out and getting tested. What's the number of protestors around the country? About a million or so.

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Bleuets
06/30/20 2:45:44 PM
#173:


TheGoldenEel posted...
You are welcome to provide counterpoints

right now I am posting articles with scientific studies and hard data, and your response has been I dont believe that

maybe give even a single shred of actual evidence to back up your claim

I believe mass gatherings caused a spike in corona... my gosh guys I better provide you proof of that I know my logic is way out there!
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TheGoldenEel
06/30/20 2:47:18 PM
#174:


Bleuets posted...
I believe mass gatherings caused a spike in corona... my gosh guys I better provide you proof of that I know my logic is way out there!
maybe provide even a single shred of evidence backing up your claim

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Sir Will
06/30/20 2:47:20 PM
#175:


NM4 posted...
Because literally every state opened too early.

Many weren't closed properly in the first place. Nor did your government properly take care of people affected by the shut downs so they could be done properly. And now it's work or starve.

Plus the politicization of masks and idiots not taking things seriously.
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Bleuets
06/30/20 2:50:09 PM
#176:


TheGoldenEel posted...
maybe provide even a single shred of evidence backing up your claim

look at a map of the states my dude. Theres your evidence. Oh wait I forgot, you dont believe thats from mass gatherings, thats from people who went to Olive Garden right?
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Dragon239
06/30/20 2:50:15 PM
#177:


Literally argument from incredulity.

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TheGoldenEel
06/30/20 2:52:28 PM
#178:


Bleuets posted...
look at a map of the states my dude. Theres your evidence. Oh wait I forgot, you dont believe thats from mass gatherings, thats from people who went to Olive Garden right?
Ah yes, Arizona, a state well known for civil rights activism

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COVxy
06/30/20 2:55:28 PM
#179:


Questionmarktarius posted...
It's plausible, in that the generally-younger people out protesting would be more likely to develop an active immunity than old fatasses loafing at the tavern.

Reading the abstract of that paper, I think the claim was that there was no evidence of a resurgence of covid following the protests, but evidence of more stay-at-home behavior from nonprotesters, suggesting that the net effect was either 0 or undetectable.

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COVxy
06/30/20 2:56:13 PM
#180:


Bleuets posted...
look at a map of the states my dude. Theres your evidence. Oh wait I forgot, you dont believe thats from mass gatherings, thats from people who went to Olive Garden right?

Nature is not self evident. There's a reason science is not a game of pure deduction.

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onedarksoul
06/30/20 2:58:56 PM
#181:


Deaths are way down.

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Questionmarktarius
06/30/20 2:58:57 PM
#182:


COVxy posted...
Reading the abstract of that paper, I think the claim was that there was no evidence of a resurgence of covid following the protests, but evidence of more stay-at-home behavior from nonprotesters, suggesting that the net effect was either 0 or undetectable.
huh.
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onedarksoul
06/30/20 3:02:15 PM
#183:


hockeybub89 posted...
If only protesters weren't practicing social distancing and consistently wearing masks, you might have a point.

This is collective American stupidity. You can't blame one group or thing.
Chicago: https://twitter.com/JoshuaPotash/status/1277375967103778817
LA: https://twitter.com/hollandcourtney/status/1277994709269401602
"social distancing"

So disingenuous.

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Romes187
06/30/20 3:04:16 PM
#184:


onedarksoul posted...
Chicago: https://twitter.com/JoshuaPotash/status/1277375967103778817
LA: https://twitter.com/hollandcourtney/status/1277994709269401602
"social distancing"

So disingenuous.

I mean if masks really help stop the spread for that

then CA shouldn't be closing beaches over the holiday weekend (not sure if newsom rescinded that order or not so forgive me...i cannot keep up with the pace of the news)
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#185
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Balrog0
06/30/20 3:10:58 PM
#186:


onedarksoul posted...
Deaths are way down.

There are record deaths in 7 states from what I read

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Balrog0
06/30/20 3:13:14 PM
#187:


Balrog0 posted...
There are record deaths in 7 states from what I read

It was hospitalizations although deaths are up for the first time in weeks

Sorry it was hospitalizations

https://www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2020/06/23/coronavirus-live-updates-us/

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Romes187
06/30/20 3:14:55 PM
#188:


shockthemonkey posted...
If there was no noticeable spread from protesters, and the protests also kept people in their homes who would have otherwise gone out and spread, then the protests were a net negative. I think.

I'm sure those grandmas the protesters killed are very thankful of the fact that it was a net negative
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Romes187
06/30/20 3:16:11 PM
#189:


Balrog0 posted...
It was hospitalizations although deaths are up for the first time in weeks

Sorry it was hospitalizations

https://www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2020/06/23/coronavirus-live-updates-us/

yeah this was always an interesting stat

does that mean people dying on the bed needing a vent and dropping like flies

or does it mean a bunch of younger people with mild symptoms are going to the hospital because they are scared it'll be worse but it doesn't end up being worse

we'll know if the deaths start spiking i guess
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Bleuets
06/30/20 3:16:19 PM
#190:


shockthemonkey posted...
If there was no noticeable spread from protesters, and the protests also kept people in their homes who would have otherwise gone out and spread, then the protests were a net negative. I think.

basically its saying: its not the protestors who have the rona, its the people not protesting who have it. Protests actually helped out by keeping the people who have the rona indoors.

um yea, thats your scientific resource you all keep harping. And Im a conspiracy theorist for not believing that...
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Zeus
06/30/20 3:18:06 PM
#191:


TheGoldenEel posted...
Health officials link surge in coronavirus cases in Pittsburgh area to bars, not protests

https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/505142-health-officials-link-surge-in-coronavirus-cases-in-pittsburgh-area-to?amp

Protests in Seattle and elsewhere dont appear to be driving coronavirus surge, researchers say

https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/health/protests-in-seattle-and-elsewhere-dont-appear-to-be-driving-virus-surge-researchers-say/?amp=1

Parties Not Protests Are Causing Spikes In Coronavirus

https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates/2020/06/24/883017035/what-contact-tracing-may-tell-about-cluster-spread-of-the-coronavirus

Black Lives Matter protests may have slowed overall spread of coronavirus in Denver and other cities, new study finds

https://coloradosun.com/2020/06/30/police-protests-coronavirus-spread/

COVID-19 has not surged in cities with big protests, but it has in states that reopened early. Here are some possible reasons.

https://www.inquirer.com/health/coronavirus/coronavirus-no-spike-cities-despite-protests-big-surge-in-states-that-reopened-20200627.html?outputType=amp

More reported COVID-19 cases linked to bars than protests, officials say

https://www.klkntv.com/more-reported-covid-19-cases-coming-from-bars-than-protests-officials-say/

Did protests spread the coronavirus? Here are the Utah numbers and the national research.

https://www.sltrib.com/news/2020/06/27/how-much-did-protests/

The media and alt-news are going super-fucking hard on denying that BLM protests are the cause. However, more importantly, like others have noted it's probably just more *testing* since iirc hospitalizations haven't increased at the same rate as new cases.

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legendary_zell
06/30/20 3:18:44 PM
#192:


onedarksoul posted...
Chicago: https://twitter.com/JoshuaPotash/status/1277375967103778817
LA: https://twitter.com/hollandcourtney/status/1277994709269401602
"social distancing"

So disingenuous.


Protesting against state violence and societal oppression outside, with masks, is not the same as going to the beach with no masks or even with masks. Stopping one requires a widespread violation of the first amendment and probably high levels of police violence. The other means you can't go for a swim.

Don't pretend this is about the protests. You'd hate them if scientists eradicated the very concept of disease tomorrow.

These are blatant false equivalences.

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Romes187
06/30/20 3:19:25 PM
#193:


legendary_zell posted...
Protesting against state violence and societal oppression outside, with masks, is not the same as going to the beach with no masks or even with masks. Stopping one requires a widespread violation of the first amendment and probably high levels of police violence. The other means you can't go for a swim.

Don't pretend this is about the protests. You'd hate them if scientists eradicated the very concept of disease tomorrow.

These are blatant false equivalences.

here's the thought process I don't care for fyi
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TheGoldenEel
06/30/20 3:19:52 PM
#194:


Bleuets posted...
basically its saying: yo its not the protestors who have the rona, they actually helped out by keeping the people who have the rona indoors.

um yea, thats your scientific resource you all keep harping. And Im a conspiracy theorist for not believing that...
The argument is that, the Venn diagram of people who socially conscious enough and people who will take covid seriously and wear masks and voluntarily self isolate after participating in a high risk activity is closer to a circle than the Venn diagram of people who want to party at bars and people who take covid seriously etc.

once again though you have not provided any evidence to your claim, Im sure youll continue to do that while covering your ears to actual facts

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Bleuets
06/30/20 3:20:45 PM
#195:


legendary_zell posted...
Protesting against state violence and societal oppression outside, with masks, is not the same as going to the beach with no masks or even with masks. Stopping one requires a widespread violation of the first amendment and probably high levels of police violence. The other means you can't go for a swim.

Don't pretend this is about the protests. You'd hate them if scientists eradicated the very concept of disease tomorrow.

These are blatant false equivalences.

I agree my dude, protests are important. You dont have to sell me on that, youre right. Now what Im arguing is, as good a cause as it is, its still going to cause the virus to spread.

but apparently Im a conspiracy theorist for even suggesting that so dont take my word for it
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Bleuets
06/30/20 3:23:12 PM
#196:


TheGoldenEel posted...
The argument is that, the Venn diagram of people who socially conscious enough and people who will take covid seriously and wear masks and voluntarily self isolate after participating in a high risk activity is closer to a circle than the Venn diagram of people who want to party at bars and people who take covid seriously etc.

once again though you have not provided any evidence to your claim, Im sure youll continue to do that while covering your ears to actual facts

I mean, wheres the evidence that suggests your Venn diagram theory? Basically this is straight out saying: oh you like to go out and party? You must not be a supporter of the protests.

maybe thats true, but this is pure speculation for someone so hating on me for not providing facts.
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R_Jackal
06/30/20 3:27:16 PM
#197:


I really don't think the actual protests did any harm, but the looting and rioting likely did. Granted it was likely balanced a bit by forcing some to stay indoors. But I also accept that it's really fucking hard to prove anything during that one way or the other.

I also think reopening bars and beaches--entertainment spots that are absolutely unnecessary was a far bigger cause though.

Ultimately however I think the biggest cause for spikes is because we were being half-assed on testing beforehand.

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#198
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#199
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legendary_zell
06/30/20 3:33:08 PM
#200:


Romes187 posted...
here's the thought process I don't care for fyi

In what way is it not true? I'm not even opposed to beaches opening and people being allowed to have fun, as long as it's outside, since that seems to make a big difference, and it can be done safely. My problem is with being asked to not go to the beach vs not to protest being compared or saying supporting one and not the other is hypocritical.

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Antifar
06/30/20 3:33:22 PM
#201:


Zeus posted...
However, more importantly, like others have noted it's probably just more *testing* since iirc hospitalizations haven't increased at the same rate as new cases.

The positive rate for tests has gone up, and so has hospitalization, though not yet at the same rate.
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TheGoldenEel
06/30/20 3:34:36 PM
#202:


Bleuets posted...
I mean, wheres the evidence that suggests your Venn diagram theory? Basically this is straight out saying: oh you like to go out and party? You must not be a supporter of the protests.

maybe thats true, but this is pure speculation for someone so hating on me for not providing facts.
I have provided facts repeatedly, Check the research paper cited in that article about covid in Denver

heres the thing: nearly everyone was concerned that protests would increase the spread of covid. Myself included. But people collectively decided that black lives were something worth protesting for despite that. The majority of people wore masks

so heres how science works though: you create a hypothesis, in this case protests will be superspreading events, and you do studies and collect data to test that hypothesis

and what has been concluded, based on these studies, is that that hypothesis was incorrect, and that protests DID NOT significantly contribute to spreading covid

so whats going on here, is you dont believe a conspiracy theory, you just havent caught up with the newly presented data that shows that what you believe is incorrect, despite it being what conventional logic would suggest and indeed did appear to be the case, prior to actually collecting and analyzing the data

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