Board 8 > The Show EP 7 - A Xeno/Persona Classic and Picking the Last Week, w/ azuarc!

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LeonhartFour
05/09/20 8:37:54 PM
#51:


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Ngamer64
05/09/20 8:38:13 PM
#52:


For the record I like all the match pics today, but that's the PERFECT choice for Skyrim. Everyone's been sick of arrows in the knees the several years now, but the Blackout Wagonride meme is still hot hot hot on all trendiest sites online.


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LeonhartFour
05/09/20 8:40:08 PM
#53:


South Park: The Stick of Truth 21.74%
Overwatch 21.55%
Donkey Kong Country: Tropical Freeze 21.54%

what happened to Donkey Kong
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_SecretSquirrel
05/09/20 8:48:50 PM
#54:


Ngamer64 posted...
For the record I like all the match pics today, but that's the PERFECT choice for Skyrim. Everyone's been sick of arrows in the knees the several years now, but the Blackout Wagonride meme is still hot hot hot on all trendiest sites online.
I gave him Arrow In The Knee, the wagonride, and even Macho Man Dragon, so I'm glad Allen bit on one of the memes.

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Ngamer64
05/09/20 8:55:28 PM
#55:


Oops I didn't notice there were 2 pics per game- but it's okay, the other Skyrim one is also very good.


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ZeldaTPLink
05/09/20 8:56:31 PM
#56:


Dark Souls is not dead yet! Two consecutive cuts.
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Ngamer64
05/09/20 11:16:16 PM
#57:


Life's gotten crazy for me in the last few months, so this is finally my first 2005-era F5ing Day of the season.

Gotta say... feels good, man. Oh how I've missed this!


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Team Rocket Elite
05/09/20 11:25:29 PM
#58:


This match is stressing me out and I'm just playing for a Top 50 Second Chance bracket position. I can't imagine what it would be like if I was in your position playing for the big prize. Good luck!
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hylianknight3
05/09/20 11:33:19 PM
#59:


NG, there is a very important Factor you have to consider here! This may be what makes the difference and decides which of you gentlemen is the champ!



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deeewooh
05/09/20 11:55:46 PM
#60:


LeonhartFour posted...
South Park: The Stick of Truth 21.74%
Overwatch 21.55%
Donkey Kong Country: Tropical Freeze 21.54%

what happened to Donkey Kong
it simply got a bad seeding. it would have easily beaten both overwatch and south park

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_SecretSquirrel
05/10/20 12:04:05 AM
#61:


LeonhartFour posted...
South Park: The Stick of Truth 21.74%
Overwatch 21.55%
Donkey Kong Country: Tropical Freeze 21.54%

what happened to Donkey Kong
This might sound a little bit on the weird, batty side. But I think Odyssey might have SFFed Devil May Cry 5.

Ok, maybe not, but I do think DMC5 gets a bit of boost based on series reputation, as it's something everyone knows even if they haven't played DMC5. It might even have enough of that to easily defeat a third tier game in a third tier Nintendo series. But all that goes out the door against Mario Odyssey.

I mean, feel free to back Overwatch or Stick of Truth in a direct match and watch those games break 45% but not really get close to Tropical Freeze.

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LeonhartFour
05/10/20 12:05:00 AM
#62:


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_SecretSquirrel
05/10/20 12:08:07 AM
#63:


LeonhartFour posted...
that's what we all expected DMC5 to do...!
Sure, but I also wouldn't dream of taking those games over DMC5 pre-contest either. Hell, I had DMC5 until The Show convinced me to back one of my all time favorite series, so it's not like I ever disrespected DMC5 to begin with.

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LeonhartFour
05/10/20 12:09:22 AM
#64:


yeah I originally had DMC5 too

I'm just poking fun at Tropical Freeze as part of the running gag
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HaRRicH
05/10/20 12:16:22 AM
#65:


My thought is expecting strength out of Tropical Freeze was a mistake Some people liked it a lot, but it doesn't strike me as having that big of a following -- not here, anyway.

I've been re-soured to the series though. I wasn't crazy about the originals (though seeing DKC1 that first time was amazing), fell in love trying Returns on the Wii for like two levels, got Returns on the 3DS, and now think of it as one of my biggest disappointments of the decade.

That bias worked for me this time...sure didn't in DKC2's four-pack the contest before though.

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LeonhartFour
05/10/20 12:17:27 AM
#66:


DKC Returns is not a good game

Tropical Freeze is better but not as good as the first two games
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_SecretSquirrel
05/10/20 12:19:34 AM
#67:


LeonhartFour posted...
DKC Returns is not a good game

Tropical Freeze is better but not as good as the first two games
Pretty much my exact thoughts. Tropical Freeze blows Returns away and then some.

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LordoftheMorons
05/10/20 12:21:17 AM
#68:


LeonhartFour posted...
DKC Returns is not a good game

Tropical Freeze is better but not as good as the first two games
I really liked DKCR!

Maybe playing it on 3DS helped; I've heard mixed things about the motion controls in the original version.

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LeonhartFour
05/10/20 12:23:08 AM
#69:


I played it on the 3DS, too! The gimmick levels got to be too much for me to tolerate only being able to play as Donkey Kong.

get rocket barrels out of my life forever
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LeonhartFour
05/10/20 10:54:08 AM
#70:


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ZeldaTPLink
05/10/20 11:26:20 AM
#71:


Elims for a The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt+Elder Scrolls: Skyrim win:
COVlD-19 by azuarc, yoblazer

@azuarc @CaptainOfCrush we thank you for your services, gentlemen.
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Polycosm
05/10/20 1:07:11 PM
#72:


I was really pulling for NG to slay the virus in the semifinals. What a poetic ending that would have been! Still, great finish and congrats to azurac and yoblazer for saving us all with their genius brackets.

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Lightning Strikes
05/10/20 1:42:47 PM
#73:


I didnt know about the FFXV rally, huh.

Now, even without taking that into account, FFXV would have to be at best #2 for 2016 behind Doom, but more likely #3 also behind Uncharted 4 right?

To add to azuarcs point, the Switch has really revived local multiplayer just by allowing you to play with one joycon each. I have played do many more games with friends and family just because of that.

3D World actually did outsell (and outreview) SSB4Wii U, so we shouldnt discount the success of the 3DS version for that one.

Also DKCTF looks that bad because Odyssey got SFFd.

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azuarc
05/10/20 1:49:08 PM
#74:


Polycosm posted...
I was really pulling for NG to slay the virus in the semifinals. What a poetic ending that would have been! Still, great finish and congrats to azurac and yoblazer for saving us all with their genius brackets.

NGL, I would have been fine with this storyline.

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Leonhart4
05/10/20 2:12:28 PM
#75:


Tropical Freeze was going to look like crap no matter what unless you believe Smash applied a significant amount of rSFF to Odyssey. It probably isn't "lose to Overwatch" tier but it probably isn't that much above it either.

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Team Rocket Elite
05/10/20 2:18:46 PM
#76:


I wonder how bad it would have gotten if Tropical Freeze did run into SMO.
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Leonhart4
05/10/20 2:36:03 PM
#77:


It would already be a tripling even before SFF, so 80% feels like the minimum there.

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BK_Sheikah00
05/10/20 2:42:45 PM
#78:


We need Skyrim > Witcher so Street Fighter V can be the Ultimate Loser.

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LeonhartFour
05/10/20 3:35:10 PM
#79:


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Whiskey_Nick
05/10/20 3:36:58 PM
#80:


Pong QuestPS4 Digital (Out May 15)
<img src="https://live.staticflickr.com/65535/49868986062_fb3aa0f9a5_z.jpg">
Pong Quest is a new take on the seminal arcade smash. Take control of a brave young paddle and traverse treacherous lands each loosely based on various classic hits in this uniquely Pong-themed dungeon-crawling RPG. Dress up your paddle and equip special balls with unique abilities to battle aggressive foes in Quest or online opponents.

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_SecretSquirrel
05/10/20 3:37:29 PM
#81:


LeonhartFour posted...
Otherwise, it'll be Terraria.
And if the unthinkable happens, it's XCOM 2.

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LordoftheMorons
05/10/20 4:44:54 PM
#82:


At least my bracket will die at the hands of Yo and not COVID-19...!

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azuarc
05/10/20 6:07:08 PM
#83:


How many gurus were killed by the virus?

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Big Bob
05/10/20 9:11:10 PM
#84:


Not mine!

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LeonhartFour
05/10/20 9:15:47 PM
#85:


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Team Rocket Elite
05/10/20 9:17:31 PM
#86:


LeonhartFour posted...
I was killed by the Pokemon virus


That's unusual. Pokerus is supposed be be beneficial.
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Congrats to Advokaiser for winning the CBX Guru Contest!
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LeonhartFour
05/10/20 9:18:01 PM
#87:


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Lightning Strikes
05/11/20 6:19:09 AM
#88:


Banjo is a western Smash character btw. Technically Diddy and K. Rool too.

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ZenOfThunder
05/11/20 7:19:45 AM
#89:


Dont forget everyone's favorite American hero Dark Samus

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Lightning Strikes
05/11/20 7:55:09 AM
#90:


Haha when I was making that post I thought Did they make Dark Samus playable? Nahhhhh... whoops.

Though yeah Banjo is the only one that is wholly western, being both made and owned in the west.

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Ngamer64
05/11/20 4:04:21 PM
#91:


YIKES, look at Link activating Beast Mode all day long. Still think it'll be a different story in the Final though!


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LeonhartFour
05/11/20 4:14:36 PM
#92:


Ngamer64 posted...
YIKES, look at Link activating Beast Mode all day long. Still think it'll be a different story in the Final though!



wow look at that Second Chance leaderboard (specifically #31) with someone looking at a PERFECT BotW/Smash prediction today
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Ngamer64
05/11/20 4:40:41 PM
#93:


Calling all X-Stats Wizards!

Two weeks ago KP calculated results something like...

58.5% for 2020 Bloodborne on 2015 BB
59% for 2020 Dark Souls on 2015 DS
61% for Xenoblade Chroicles on 2015 XC

Based on all the results we've seen since then, does it look like those hold up? Also I'm curious about

2020 Persona 4 Golden versus 2010 Persona 4
2020 Mario Galaxy 2 & 2020 Mario Odyssey versus 2015 Mario Galaxy
2020 Witcher 3 versus 2015 Witcher 3
2020 Mass Effect 2 versus whichever ME had the most reliable number in 2015
2020 Portal 2 versus 2015 Portal 2 (or 1)
2020 Batman and Spidey versus 2015 Arkham City


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LeonhartFour
05/11/20 4:50:01 PM
#94:


Ngamer64 posted...
61% for Xenoblade Chroicles on 2015 XC


I feel like KP probably takes that one back after the P4G match!

Some of those will be hard to tabulate without making some assumptions about strength though.

Regardless, a P4G that's behind potentially double SFF is going to wind up a little stronger on BOTW than P4 was projected on MM in 2010.

Portal 2 is going to finish stronger relative to Galaxy 2 than it did in 2015.
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KamikazePotato
05/11/20 5:35:31 PM
#95:


I almost want to say that Persona caught a bandwagon. I really don't think something like Red Dead Redemption gets 40%+ on Ultimate, and thats assuming Xenoblade didn't get SFFd at all.

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LordoftheMorons
05/11/20 5:37:40 PM
#96:


I believe Persona was semi-successfully rallied in several of its matches which probably adds some nonlinearity to it

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Leonhart4
05/11/20 6:51:03 PM
#97:


KamikazePotato posted...
I almost want to say that Persona caught a bandwagon. I really don't think something like Red Dead Redemption gets 40%+ on Ultimate, and thats assuming Xenoblade didn't get SFFd at all.

Persona 4 and Xenoblade both could've gotten bandwagons because they were both massive underdogs to get as far as they did, and that's consistently what's caused bandwagons, even for stuff like Charizard and Magus.

Although I wonder if the weeklong break could have killed some of that momentum

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KamikazePotato
05/11/20 6:54:51 PM
#98:


Xenoblade probably caught a bit of a bandwagon by the time it reached Smash. It resisted the Nintendo SFF hammer a bit too well.

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Lightning Strikes
05/11/20 6:56:02 PM
#99:


As said in the episode, that was definitely sll P4G. Not just bandwagon but also the massive rally attempts - the pin in the last 90 minutes alone gave it half a percent at least.

I just dont see how you downplay XC after yesterday. But IIRC it was a bit less than that no? I thought Dark Souls was the biggest.

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Leonhart4
05/11/20 6:57:28 PM
#100:


I don't know if the P4 rallies really swung the match more than a percent so I wouldn't try to discount its position simply based on the rallies.

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