Board 8 > * GotD 2020 Guru Contest Stats & Discussion - Part One *
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Polycosm 04/21/20 11:31:23 AM #407: |
scaryice posted...
There's been so many weird Chrono Trigger results over the years, makes me wonder if there's just one dude who's been stuffing for it constantly over the last 20 years.*cough* @Whiskey_Nick --- I bow before my emperor, Advokaiser-- winner of the 2018 guru contest. (thengamer.com/guru) ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Whiskey_Nick 04/21/20 11:32:22 AM #408: |
>.>
<.< my guise doth not incur thy trust? --- I am Nick. Go Sens, Bills, Blue Jays! Advokaiser is a Guru UotY 2015, You should listen to The Show w/ Ngamer and Yoblazer ... Copied to Clipboard!
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azuarc 04/21/20 12:28:22 PM #409: |
ctesjbuvf posted...
I think I consider azuarc himself the most likely, then LightningStrikes. I'm shocked at this, given how my round 2 went. R1 was great, only -5, but it felt like everything that could go wrong in R2 did. At least the only guaranteed losses I have in R3 is RDR. Against my nearest competitors, I'm pretty sure I need GTA > P4 to not lose to Jona, though. I don't know how I stack up against the field; I haven't looked. But I know I need 3 key factors to beat Jona. as I mentioned earlier. Namely: 1) Portal 2 has to win R3. 2) Dark Souls has to win its division over TLOU. 3) GTA > P4 so Jona doesn't leapfrog me with 4 points from Persona. Mind you, that's just to beat one specific person. I don't know what kind of leeway I have against the rest of the field. --- VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; ... Copied to Clipboard!
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greengravy294 04/21/20 12:36:20 PM #410: |
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greengravy294 04/21/20 12:36:48 PM #411: |
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greengravy294 04/21/20 12:37:57 PM #412: |
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fpce666 04/21/20 8:09:19 PM #413: |
Ppl lets all forget the matches of today... What are the eliminations for division 4?
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BlAcK TuRtLe 04/21/20 8:12:06 PM #414: |
I live to fight another day! Feels good to not be eliminated as a result of a stupid fucking bullshit rally for once
--- "Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and hellboy" - trancer1 lol xstats ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Ringworm 04/21/20 8:12:15 PM #415: |
So am I eliminated yet? Got to be close if I'm not.
My BB>RE2 pick relied on there being rallies in a close match, thought BB would get more support from rallies than RE2. I was almost right. --- ~ Ringworm ~ Congrats to Advokaiser - Guru champion - CBX ... Copied to Clipboard!
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gamer man 04/21/20 8:13:46 PM #416: |
Welp I'm dead byeeee
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NewerShadow 04/21/20 8:50:15 PM #417: |
Division 3: Nothing! (no eliminations for Smash/Odyssey)
Division 4: Blood!  Listing out everything this time, since who eliminates who is vastly different in each scenario. Elims for a Grand Theft Auto V+Xenoblade Chronicles win:
Elims for a Grand Theft Auto V+Fire Emblem: Three Houses win:
Elims for a Persona 4 Golden+Xenoblade Chronicles win:
Elims for a Persona 4 Golden+Fire Emblem: Three Houses win:
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NewerShadow 04/21/20 8:51:11 PM #418: |
Fun fact: 111 guru brackets are still alive right now. 56 of them are up for elimination based on division 4.
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LeonhartFour 04/21/20 8:52:16 PM #419: |
oh nice I'm still hanging in there
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DoctorJimmy133 04/21/20 8:54:41 PM #421: |
Hmm, I'm probably dead since Persona 4 Gold is not beating GTAV when it needed rallies to beat Red Dead.
On the other hand, if P4G pulls it off along with XBC I dine on the blood of 8 people. --- Advokaiser is the man. Congrats! ... Copied to Clipboard!
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DoomTheGyarados 04/21/20 8:55:06 PM #422: |
UltimaterializerX posted...
How am I not out when Advokaiser has the same bracket as me the rest of the way and he has more points? You have rdr2 --- Sir Chris Doom The Kanto Saga - Animated Series - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6hH4wNFCrLM ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Gall 04/21/20 8:56:02 PM #423: |
NewerShadow posted...
* Gall by COVlD-19What a way to go. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Camden 04/21/20 9:11:59 PM #424: |
I'm not sure either of those games is going to win for me, definitely not both.
--- When someone is giving you his opinion, you should receive it with deep gratitude even though it is worthless. Huh? Finger!? What the hell? ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Bossman_Coolguy 04/21/20 9:13:51 PM #425: |
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I_izvAbhExY
cool song --- "you're the real hotdogger, bossman_coolguy" - meisnewbie, paraphrased "Gravy is quite possibly a legit total nutjob." - corrik7 ... Copied to Clipboard!
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swirIdude 04/21/20 10:15:53 PM #426: |
I can't believe I'm gonna be eliminated by Joelypoely. Who the heck is Joelypoely?
--- Advokaiser picked Cloud in Guru and rained on my bracket. At least I finished 20th overall! ... Copied to Clipboard!
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SuperNiceDog 04/22/20 1:15:24 AM #427: |
NewerShadow posted...
Division 3: Nothing! (no eliminations for Smash/Odyssey) Total BLOODBATH tomorrow... it's gonna be a great day for the board hehehe --- SuperNiceChao about to win the Oracle 2020! TsunamiXXVIII and me will destroy all you noobs ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Joelypoely 04/22/20 1:16:20 AM #428: |
I am your greatest foe... Born in the shadows to eliminate you while possibly also getting eliminated myself...
But yeah I mostly lurk on this board which is why you might be unfamiliar. --- ... Copied to Clipboard!
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BlAcK TuRtLe 04/22/20 1:17:23 AM #429: |
Oh wow, by a twist of fate, I am now forced to root for Xenoblade in a match I thought it would not even have been here for
--- "Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and hellboy" - trancer1 lol xstats ... Copied to Clipboard!
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SuperNiceDog 04/22/20 1:18:55 AM #430: |
tomorrow will probably have the most eliminations of any day in the contest right @NewerShadow ?
Right now, who is the favorite to win the Guru? We should bet on who will win the Guru, like the line, on who's the favorite, underdog, etc. --- SuperNiceChao about to win the Oracle 2020! TsunamiXXVIII and me will destroy all you noobs ... Copied to Clipboard!
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azuarc 04/22/20 1:32:18 AM #431: |
Go Xenoblade. Counting on you. This round and the next.
Also, I love how the shortest of those lists is still going to eliminate 24 gurus. --- VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; ... Copied to Clipboard!
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SuperNiceDog 04/22/20 1:34:36 AM #432: |
Guru standings after Day 24:
  I'm still alive, in the 97th. Davidponte leads! --- SuperNiceChao about to win the Oracle 2020! TsunamiXXVIII and me will destroy all you noobs ... Copied to Clipboard!
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azuarc 04/22/20 1:35:40 AM #433: |
SuperNiceDog posted...
tomorrow will probably have the most eliminations of any day in the contest right @NewerShadow ? It'll be between Big Bob and Jester69 when Witcher surprises everyone with the mega-rally in the finals. --- VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Cavedweller2000 04/22/20 2:24:02 AM #434: |
Fun Fact: in terms of points, roughly 175 out of 8000+ users have more than me.
64 of them are in the Guru. Good job B8, way to set the standard :) --- Well done to Advokaiser for finishing 104 places above me in the 2018 CBX Guru Contest! ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Agent M 04/22/20 2:46:26 AM #435: |
I may not be eliminated for awhile because I went for some foolish upsets late in the bracket; there might not be a single bracket with the same picks. I have no confidence I'll finish anywhere near the top by the end. I want to think Zelda: BOTW would be getting at least 75% on Spider-Man...
SSBU is going to get smoked. The Last of Us might even lose to Batman at this point. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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SuperNiceDog 04/22/20 3:24:33 AM #436: |
Cavedweller2000 posted...
Fun Fact: in terms of points, roughly 175 out of 8000+ users have more than me. The people who participate in the Guru are all really good at this. Even a horrible Guru bracket in the Guru right now is still at least in the 50th percentile. 97 points or better is a better than average bracket right now. --- SuperNiceChao about to win the Oracle 2020! TsunamiXXVIII and me will destroy all you noobs ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ctesjbuvf 04/22/20 3:27:38 AM #437: |
Well, I was sure right that tomorrow was the day where people would start getting eliminated fast.
--- Guinness Book of World Records is the name of the diary that belongs to Advokaiser, the winner of the Character Battle X guru contest. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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fpce666 04/22/20 3:49:58 AM #438: |
How the hell am I not on the chopping block after division 4?
I guess I will live another 2 days at least... Nice ... Copied to Clipboard!
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SuperNiceDog 04/22/20 3:54:20 AM #439: |
fpce666 posted...
How the hell am I not on the chopping block after division 4? I think because you have Witcher making the finals, which is a risk --- SuperNiceChao about to win the Oracle 2020! TsunamiXXVIII and me will destroy all you noobs ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Ringworm 04/22/20 3:58:53 AM #440: |
Looks like I need P4G > GTA5 to stay alive. Not surprised.
--- ~ Ringworm ~ Congrats to Advokaiser - Guru champion - CBX ... Copied to Clipboard!
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MetalmindStats 04/22/20 4:34:04 AM #441: |
SuperNiceDog posted...
I think because you have Witcher making the finals, which is a riskNo, there's plenty of Witcher 3 brackets in the Guru, many of which have similar picks otherwise from this stage forward. I took a look in azuarc's handy spreadsheet, which tells me that even if GTAV and Xenoblade both win, fpce666 still gets to squeeze out a Guru win if GTAV wins its division and everything else goes their bracket's way. --- "I believe in a universe that doesn't care, and people who do." You won the CBX Guru Contest, Advokaiser! Bully for you! ... Copied to Clipboard!
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handsomeboy2012 04/22/20 4:46:32 AM #442: |
Yeah I thought Witcher to the finals would be a good upset. Turns out lots of Gurus had the same after all.
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Hbthebattle 04/22/20 7:25:29 PM #443: |
well, go Persona to save me from elimination, then
--- Patience. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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DoctorJimmy133 04/22/20 11:10:35 PM #444: |
As happy as I am to be #7 in Guru right now, I think the site, uh, jumped the gun a bit on today's results >_>
--- Advokaiser is the man. Congrats! ... Copied to Clipboard!
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NewerShadow 04/23/20 12:10:42 AM #445: |
Division 5 eliminations, conditional on Persona 4/Xenoblade winning:
 A lot of the people who seem out of place on the SMG2 line are people with The Witcher 3 to the finals - there are actually enough people God of War/SMG2 as division winners (and further) to mathematically eliminate them. (there are also enough that it would take me too long to compile them tonight, I'll post more detail if things look the same around noon tomorrow) ... Copied to Clipboard!
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LeonhartFour 04/23/20 12:11:46 AM #446: |
oh wow I'm finally on the chopping block
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fpce666 04/23/20 1:44:48 AM #447: |
OK so it starts... Let's go The Witcher we can do it!!
Was xenoblade this strong In past contests or FE is just garbage? Can't recall how Xenoblade did in past events ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Safer_777 04/23/20 5:42:41 AM #448: |
No, XC is strong now.
--- So why we exist? What happens when we stop existing? ... Copied to Clipboard!
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greengravy294 04/23/20 6:28:46 AM #449: |
So if either God of war or Witcher loses I'm out am I reading that right
--- ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ctesjbuvf 04/23/20 6:34:54 AM #450: |
You are out if both SMG2 and God of War wins
--- Guinness Book of World Records is the name of the diary that belongs to Advokaiser, the winner of the Character Battle X guru contest. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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greengravy294 04/23/20 6:39:28 AM #451: |
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greengravy294 04/23/20 6:55:53 AM #452: |
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SuperNiceDog 04/23/20 8:21:12 AM #453: |
who's the favorite to win the Guru now?
--- SuperNiceChao about to win the Oracle 2020! TsunamiXXVIII and me will destroy all you noobs ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Arti 04/23/20 8:49:14 AM #454: |
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Jdsmart 04/23/20 9:41:03 AM #455: |
Im genuinely surprised at how strong Xenoblade Chronicles is. Is it hype for the Switch Remaster?
--- Next up: Celeste ... Copied to Clipboard!
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charmander6000 04/23/20 9:45:25 AM #456: |
Looks like I was up for elimination today. Thought my first day would have been Persona 5/Sonic Mania.
I guess it makes sense, there would have been people who would +8 me today plus I would have essentially been locked out of another 8 points next round. --- Game of the Decade 2 - Current Score: 136/152 Today's Picks: P4G and XBC ... Copied to Clipboard!
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