Board 8 > Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1328

(+) Yeah! (+)

Yeah, you went in the wrong direction there. Eastern is three hours ahead of Pacific, not behind.

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Whoops, that's embarrassing. No idea why I suddenly forgot how time works, but thanks very much for the clarification.

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MetalmindStats posted...

Contestant(s) may create their brackets beginning on February 28, 2020 and ending at 3:59:59 PM PDT on March 26, 2020 (the "Entry Period"). All Contestants must complete their brackets by 3:59:59 PM PT on March 26, 2020.

Even though it says this, there is a possibility, maybe even a likelihood, of the contest starting Wednesday, March 25th based on the last contest.

It Will starts on Wednesday the 25th at 8pm eastern time

Well, there's the announcement. Entries close Thursday.

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Can't wait

This has the potential to be the greatest contest ever. Especially with so many people at home with the lockdowns. Votals will be very interesting.

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Yuri_LowelI posted...

That was the Summer though. Too hot to stay inside

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3425-
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3974-
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/4793-
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/6293-
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7654-

The "None" option consistently got between 8% and 11% in all of the above polls. The time of the year didn't affect its percentage at all. So it's pretty apparent that the coronavirus situation is forcing a lot more people into a situation where they haven't gone outside at any point during the past 24 hours.
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LusterSoldier posted...

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3425-
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3974-
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/4793-
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/6293-
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7654-

The "None" option consistently got between 8% and 11% in all of the above polls. The time of the year didn't affect its percentage at all. So it's pretty apparent that the coronavirus situation is forcing a lot more people into a situation where they haven't gone outside at any point during the past 24 hours.

No doubt it is. Seems like users here only go out when they need to unlike casuals who go out more in the summer

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Almost lockdown time, so the Guru Contest is now live!

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/78503760


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So does the contest begin Thursday night at midnight?

And about what are people entering as the tiebreaker? What did the tiebreaker work out to last contest, anyone know?

It begins tomorrow at 8 Eastern.

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What time would it be at -6:00 GMT?

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Advokaiser posted...

What time would it be at -6:00 GMT?

6 PM. Provided you have no DST there.

I wanna start a global movement to end DST anywhere so we can actually use timezones the way they were intended for.

Oh right, DST is coming 6:00 PM it is, for now.

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Coming? It already came.

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Here are the 5 toughest matches to pick, at least IMO:

Hollow Knight vs Tales of Berseria

• HK has the seeding advantage (bracket votes), likely the pic advantage (Berseria's box art doesn't scream "Vote for me"), and the advantage of being on the Switch.
• Berseria has RPGFAQs and the benefit of being part of a well-loved series. The question is, did enough people play it? Do enough people care about Tales of non-Symphonia on this site?

Persona 4 Golden vs Red Dead Redemption (and GTAV if P4G wins)

• P4G should get a boost thanks to P5 and Joker in Smash (I think Joker's appearance in Smash helped the entire Persona series, not just P5). RPGFAQs. Series votes.
• RDR did okay against SotC back in 2015 and should get a boost thanks to RDR2. P4G is deeply loved on this site, but will it's "enhanced remake" status hurt it? Does the fact that P4 is only playable on Vita and PS2 hurt it? Handheld games tend to have a low ceiling in these contests.

Monster Hunter vs Sekiro

• MH has Smash exposure, is part of a series, has a recent expansion
• Sekiro finished 3rd in last years GotY polls.

Animal Crossing New Leaf vs Red Dead Redemption 2

• AC will get a boost because of the Switch AC. Has Smash exposure, NintendoFAQs.
• RDR2 finished 3rd in 2018 GotY polls. Casual appeal. Isn't a handheld game; appeared on multiple consoles

Dark Souls vs The Last of Us

• DS comfortably defeated MGSV in 2015. Part of a decade-defining series. Appears on multiple consoles, not just Sony ones.
• TLoU is widely praised for its story and often regarded as the best PS3 game ever. Has a sequel coming out this year.

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Europe has DST this weekend.

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FFDragon posted...

Coming? It already came.

Advokaiser lives in Mexico, not USA.

Each country has different start and end dates for DST, and they all happen around this season, for maximum confusion.

My country (Brazil) just abolished it, though.

W8... . I used to think that it starts tonight at 8pm eastern time..... Like in 4 hours..... Am I wrong???

Like the 26th at midnight UTC means the 25h at 8pm eastern...... I'm confuse..... Stupid time zone =)

foxhead84 posted...

W8... . I used to think that it starts tonight at 8pm eastern time..... Like in 4 hours..... Am I wrong???

In all honesty it could mean that. It does say starting the 26th March and midnight UTC is the 26th. On the other hand he could mean American time which is tomorrow night instead. It's all about weird tbh and not clear at all.

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Times are given in PDT though. And it's 5 PM PDT, in March 26th.

@LusterSoldier you must know this.... Does it starts in 4 hour or 28???

If it's the same as last contest, it starts tonight. However, last contest it never mentioned any other time zones besides UTC.

This isn't even a question. There's nothing anywhere in the rules that specifically says it starts on the 26th UTC, whereas everything from the entry banner on down says both bracket entries close and the contest starts on the 26th in PDT/EDT.

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It starts tomorrow. The yellow banner explicitly says entries close tomorrow.

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Trust the time listed in the official rules. It had the right time last contest as well.

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/features/gotd_rules
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Looking forward to the Witcher 3/Persona 5 contest, and when the winner goes against Skyrim (and when that winner goes against BotW)

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oh yeah I guess I should get my trend charts ready

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foxhead84 posted...

@LusterSoldier you must know this.... Does it starts in 4 hour or 28???

Tomorrow night.
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ZeldaTPLink posted...

Each country has different start and end dates for DST, and they all happen around this season, for maximum confusion

I've gone 33 years without knowing this somehow.

And it only fuels my passion to get it eliminates worldwide.

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FFDragon posted...

I've gone 33 years without knowing this somehow.

And it only fuels my passion to get it eliminates worldwide.

I once asked a person from Australia if they also changed clocks at the same time as in North America. As soon as I finished the question, I realized I was an idiot. >_>
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https://youtu.be/ubTLxxLZQJs?t=157

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LeonhartFour posted...

oh yeah I guess I should get my trend charts ready

I also need to get prepared for the stats related stuff I'll be providing over the course of the contest. Last contest, I provided registered/anonymous user voting results and I'll be doing the same thing for this contest too.

Another side project I'll do is make trend charts based on just the raw vote totals (excluding registered user bonus), but I won't be posting those trend charts publicly although they will be located on this spreadsheet:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1TpCHE9QWTuASBemQxDBHzEJDTt4gOddgPSlE8ne0zvc/pub
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FFDragon posted...

I've gone 33 years without knowing this somehow.

And it only fuels my passion to get it eliminates worldwide.

Yes, and to take the confusion even further, countries in the South Hemisphere tend to have their DST in reverse to the North Hemisphere, since our summer is during your winter (so DST here would start October and end in February).

That said, in my country only the states that were far enough from the Equator Line had DST. The ones close to it didn't, since seasons basically don't exist in there.

Lol I learned here that DST is different times in NA and Europa. Some contest match just started when I wasn't expecting it to. Don't remember which.

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Actually the Aussies and New Zealand do it in April and September which makes the most sense.

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So in the end, we got this beautiful timezone map. Where the 4 timezones turned into 6 thanks to DST madness.

It's gone now, though. Perhaps the only good thing to come from the Bolsonaro government.

<slowly slides away after making a political comment>

I've said it before but DST only works for area of the world on a certain latitude. Too far north/south or close to the equator and it's completely pointless.

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shane15 posted...

I've said it before but DST only works for area of the world on a certain latitude. Too far north/south or close to the equator and it's completely pointless.

It doesn't even work anymore. At least here, the point of DST was to flatten the energy curve by preventing people from turning on the lights at the same they took their daily showers. It didn't actually reduce energy consumption, but reduced the peak, which helped prevent the need for public spending in more power plants.

But now, thanks to global warming and to air conditioners getting cheaper, the peak here is around 2 PM, which has nothing to do with turning lights on. So DST became useless.

Posting this here as well. Join Last Man Standing!

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/78504337

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plasmabeam posted...

Here are the 5 toughest matches to pick, at least IMO:

Hollow Knight vs Tales of Berseria
* HK has the seeding advantage (bracket votes), likely the pic advantage (Berseria's box art doesn't scream "Vote for me"), and the advantage of being on the Switch.
* Berseria has RPGFAQs and the benefit of being part of a well-loved series. The question is, did enough people play it? Do enough people care about Tales of non-Symphonia on this site?

Persona 4 Golden vs Red Dead Redemption (and GTAV if P4G wins)
* P4G should get a boost thanks to P5 and Joker in Smash (I think Joker's appearance in Smash helped the entire Persona series, not just P5). RPGFAQs. Series votes.
* RDR did okay against SotC back in 2015 and should get a boost thanks to RDR2. P4G is deeply loved on this site, but will it's "enhanced remake" status hurt it? Does the fact that P4 is only playable on Vita and PS2 hurt it? Handheld games tend to have a low ceiling in these contests.

Monster Hunter vs Sekiro
* MH has Smash exposure, is part of a series, has a recent expansion
* Sekiro finished 3rd in last years GotY polls.

Animal Crossing New Leaf vs Red Dead Redemption 2
* AC will get a boost because of the Switch AC. Has Smash exposure, NintendoFAQs.
* RDR2 finished 3rd in 2018 GotY polls. Casual appeal. Isn't a handheld game; appeared on multiple consoles

Dark Souls vs The Last of Us
* DS comfortably defeated MGSV in 2015. Part of a decade-defining series. Appears on multiple consoles, not just Sony ones.
* TLoU is widely praised for its story and often regarded as the best PS3 game ever. Has a sequel coming out this year.

The only one of these I have even a shadow of doubt about is P4/RDR, and even then I'm pretty confident in RDR.

Hollow Knight easily
Sekiro easily
RDR2 easily
Dark Souls easily


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BlAcK TuRtLe posted...

The only one of these I have even a shadow of doubt about is P4/RDR, and even then I'm pretty confident in RDR.

Hollow Knight easily
Sekiro easily
RDR2 easily
Dark Souls easily

I think if RDR beats P4G. It beats GTAV as well. RDR is far more popular among the hardcore Rockstar fanbase.

PErsona 4 Golden has the potential to beat both RDR and GTAV....or just get 60-40'd by RDR and go out with a wimper

I'm hoping it makes it to Xenoblade/FE though

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No poll today related to filling out a bracket for this contest.
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this monster hunter fourpack is fucking me up

Was monster hunter world somehow a big game?

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@creativename

Remember to get the updater configured for the start of the contest. Here's the important Poll ID milestones to know:

7915 - First Poll ID of contest, 4 matches per day
8011 - Start of 2 matches per day
8026 - Last Poll ID before the 6 day break begins
8027 - Contest resumes again with 2 matches per day
8039 - Start of 1 match per day
8041 - Final Poll ID of contest

All matches in this contest have a start time of 8:00 PM EST. The first matches will start later today.

Hopefully the contest doesn't get delayed again, after being previously delayed 2 times.
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So I'm participating in:

• Oracle Challenge
• Spread Betting
• Battle Challenge
• Last Man Standing
• Guru Challenge

Am I missing anything else?

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BlAcK TuRtLe posted...

The only one of these I have even a shadow of doubt about is P4/RDR, and even then I'm pretty confident in RDR.

Hollow Knight easily
Sekiro easily
RDR2 easily
Dark Souls easily

Haha I ended up going with the opposites of all those.

P4G I expect to ride the P5/P5R/Smash wave to victory over RDR. I'm thinking 53-47. Then I expect it to lose to GTAV by about the same margin.

Tales does very well in polls, so I think the series vote will push it past HK (Indies do poorly in polls).

I like MH because of the Smash/Series factor.

Animal Crossing is smokin hot right now and this is NintendoFAQs

Dark Souls couldn't crack 30% on LTTP. I feel like TLOU would approach 35%.


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