Board 8 > Politics Containment Topic 265: Nobody Likes Aquitter

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DoomTheGyarados
02/07/20 2:16:18 AM
#102:


I don't know if we'll ever know the exact break down of age but from the sample size of 1636 (pretty good for a thing that got like 180k total)

What I find encouraging is almost as many people age 17-29 (24%) voted as 64+ (27%) and 30-44 was at 21% vs 45-64 (28%)

Last time around the 45+ crowd had well over 60% of the vote, so if this holds up going forward it could be a great sign for Bernie.

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KamikazePotato
02/07/20 2:16:53 AM
#103:




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DoomTheGyarados
02/07/20 2:17:29 AM
#104:


My favorite thing about that is the % breakdown of that.

Who are those 15%

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red sox 777
02/07/20 2:18:54 AM
#105:


DoomTheGyarados posted...
My favorite thing about that is the % breakdown of that.

Who are those 15%

Social liberals and people who hate Trump. Basically, people like Mitt Romney.

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DoomTheGyarados
02/07/20 2:30:35 AM
#106:


https://www.nbcnews.com/feature/nbc-out/bloomberg-draws-criticism-2016-remarks-about-trans-rights-midwest-n1132081

Let's see if woke Twitter and other places think this is as bad as Bernie accepting Rogen...!

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XIII_rocks
02/07/20 3:28:54 AM
#107:


Decent chance of Sinn Fein winning the Irish elections which would be crazy

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LordoftheMorons
02/07/20 7:34:04 AM
#108:


https://twitter.com/jenniferjjacobs/status/1225619072399835137?s=21

More heads on pikes

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HeroDelTiempo17
02/07/20 8:38:56 AM
#109:


DoomTheGyarados posted...
https://www.nbcnews.com/feature/nbc-out/bloomberg-draws-criticism-2016-remarks-about-trans-rights-midwest-n1132081

Let's see if woke Twitter and other places think this is as bad as Bernie accepting Rogen...!

Obviously yes it's bad? Except no one ever viewed Bloomberg as a progressive hero?

what are you on right now

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DoomTheGyarados
02/07/20 8:52:33 AM
#110:


Media scrutiny.

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HeroDelTiempo17
02/07/20 9:01:12 AM
#111:


DoomTheGyarados posted...
Media scrutiny.

Okay, so why bring "woke twitter" up when your beef is with the media? They're not your enemy.

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DoomTheGyarados
02/07/20 9:26:06 AM
#112:


Woke Twitter is often times not my friend!

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HeroDelTiempo17
02/07/20 9:43:09 AM
#113:


DoomTheGyarados posted...
Woke Twitter is often times not my friend!

Didnt say they were your friends, I said they're not your enemy. You'll still stand in solidarity with them when the revolution comes, right?

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Wanglicious
02/07/20 10:04:14 AM
#114:


probably depends on who's holding the gun.

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metroid composite
02/07/20 11:00:47 AM
#115:


I've already seen criticism of Bloomberg's bad stances there yeah.

As for "woke twitter", though, here's the thing "woke twitter" by and large doesn't even see Bloomberg as being in the same party as them (which makes sense given that he was calling himself a Republican until basically he wanted to run as President, but also just on policy in general).

Woke twitter mostly cares about people they do see in the same party as them (usually Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders). So when one of those two make a significant misstep, people who want to support them feel betrayed, speak out on twitter, ask the campaign to issue a correction, etc.

This isn't because these people dislike these candidates, it's because these people like these candidates and want to feel represented by them. And when these candidates screw up, people want them to recognize their mistakes, speak to those communities and reassure them that they're still supportive.

Nobody thought Michael Bloomberg was looking out for African Americans or transgender Americans in the first place. People do expect Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders to look out for minorities. Are they held to a higher standard? Kind-of? But they're held to a higher standard by people who would prefer that everyone was kicked out of the race for not being woke enough except for Warren, Sanders, Castro, and Harris.

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Dancedreamer
02/07/20 11:04:47 AM
#116:


DoomTheGyarados posted...
Let's see if woke Twitter and other places think this is as bad as Bernie accepting Rogen...!

He said it in 2016. I mean what he said is obviously terrible, but most people already don't like Bloomberg. So it's like when Trump says something Transphobic. Obviously horrible, but does't change our mind on him. We already didn't like him!

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Corrik7
02/07/20 11:05:22 AM
#117:


https://www.cnbc.com/2020/02/07/us-nonfarm-payrolls-january-2019.html

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Wanglicious
02/07/20 11:12:27 AM
#118:


Harris should not be mentioned with the other 3.
that one's just plain pandering and should've been insulting.

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HeroDelTiempo17
02/07/20 11:18:58 AM
#119:


Wanglicious posted...
Harris should not be mentioned with the other 3.
that one's just plain pandering and should've been insulting.

Eh, it would have been good if she had any sort of follow through at all. It was only pandering because she didn't have that or any genuine reflection on her past. By the next debate she had given up completely.

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TheRock1525
02/07/20 11:39:26 AM
#120:


Corrik7 posted...
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/02/07/us-nonfarm-payrolls-january-2019.html
Cool all it takes to get obama-era growth levels is to have 1 trillion dollar deficit.

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red sox 777
02/07/20 11:47:54 AM
#121:


TheRock1525 posted...
Cool all it takes to get obama-era growth levels is to have 1 trillion dollar deficit.

Under Obama we had 8 years of tremendous stock market growth and increases in the prosperity of the rich. And massive deficits.

Now that the working class are finally seeing growth, we can't stop the policy of big deficits now. Not until the working class have been restored to their pre-crash standing relative to the rich.

Remember, the top 1% pays 50% of the income taxes and therefore, they own 50% of the national debt.

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Grimlyn
02/07/20 11:53:01 AM
#122:


not sure why anyone would think "woke twitter" is cool with Bloomberg

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banananor
02/07/20 12:26:08 PM
#123:


red sox 777 posted...
Now that the working class are finally seeing growth, we can't stop the policy of big deficits now. Not until the working class have been restored to their pre-crash standing relative to the rich.
One way to do this would be to stop giving the rich so many tax breaks

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Corrik7
02/07/20 12:27:48 PM
#124:


TheRock1525 posted...
Cool all it takes to get obama-era growth levels is to have 1 trillion dollar deficit.
Lolol.

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KamikazePotato
02/07/20 12:57:01 PM
#125:


https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EQLew8YWoAUBqT_?format=jpg



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Wanglicious
02/07/20 1:18:59 PM
#126:


HeroDelTiempo17 posted...
Eh, it would have been good if she had any sort of follow through at all. It was only pandering because she didn't have that or any genuine reflection on her past. By the next debate she had given up completely.

it's pandering just because there was no way to reconcile her past as a prosecutor - it was just 2 years. she was a "good" one, objectively speaking. that unfortunately means she did end up hitting minorities and poor people way harder and was willing to fuck them over in return for getting numbers that favored the state. her twisting from that past to trying to act like a champion of the oppressed felt like such an extreme that i couldn't help but scoff, far as i could tell the only reason she got away with it to any degree is because she herself is a black woman. you give me a white man with that background and that little time and watch him get nothing. she definitely tried to appeal to that "woke twitter" crowd, i just can't put her name in the same category as sanders, warren, or castro. i don't even find warren to be that genuine but there's something there.

also while we know what "woke twitter" is technically, i do think it's important to identify the general ideology there: it's identity politics splashed with a mix of communism or socialism.

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HeroDelTiempo17
02/07/20 1:55:42 PM
#127:


Wanglicious posted...
it's pandering just because there was no way to reconcile her past as a prosecutor - it was just 2 years. she was a "good" one, objectively speaking. that unfortunately means she did end up hitting minorities and poor people way harder and was willing to fuck them over in return for getting numbers that favored the state

First off I'm not defending her record. She did some bad things in this regard but so does the entire justice system. I'm just saying she could have used her mistakes as a springboard to make a case for change and she didn't.

Wanglicious posted...
as i could tell the only reason she got away with it to any degree is because she herself is a black woman. you give me a white man with that background and that little time and watch him get nothing

A white man who was personally integrated via bussing? Uh...yeah man. I don't know what to tell you here but different people having different lived experiences does matter.

Wanglicious posted...
also while we know what "woke twitter" is technically, i do think it's important to identify the general ideology there: it's identity politics splashed with a mix of communism or socialism.

This is such a broad description of progressives in general, that you even admit contains actual socialists and communists, that it's really hard to see as a useful descriptor.

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Wanglicious
02/07/20 2:07:36 PM
#128:


i don't think you're defending her at all. hell, you aren't even the person who put her name along with bernie, warren, and castro and citing those 4 as being "woke," which was all my objection was - she doesn't belong anywhere close to them and shouldn't be identified as such. she was in her own category of pandering to the point of insulting. and i've no idea what you're getting at with bussing, i'm talking about her being the top prosecutor of the biggest state. bluntly, i don't know what you're getting at at all and your response seems pretty far away from the point being made.

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KamikazePotato
02/07/20 2:15:50 PM
#129:


Not sure how accurate this is, but

https://mobile.twitter.com/vvorkingclass/status/1225828686848569345

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LordoftheMorons
02/07/20 2:15:52 PM
#130:


Jesus Christ what a fucking victim blaming comment from Weinsteins lawyer:

https://twitter.com/mega2e/status/1225786512144568321?s=21

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Kinglicious
02/07/20 2:17:47 PM
#131:


That's the most lawyer-speak of "SHE'S A WHORE" I've heard yet.

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HeroDelTiempo17
02/07/20 2:18:36 PM
#132:


Wanglicious posted...
and i've no idea what you're getting at with bussing, i'm talking about her being the top prosecutor of the biggest state. bluntly, i don't know what you're getting at at all and your response seems pretty far away from the point being made.

What? I'm talking about her big attack on Biden from the left, that was responsible for the big surge in her campaign, that WOULD have put her in league with progressives had she not gone back to the center.

What did you think she was doing that was pandering, if not that?

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xp1337
02/07/20 2:20:40 PM
#133:


TheRock1525 posted...
Cool all it takes to get obama-era growth levels is to have 1 trillion dollar deficit.
It's not even that. The biggest thing in that article to me is the very first line. It attributes the numbers being higher than expected because of an "unseasonably" warm January.

it's literally that cartoon of the guy telling his kids that "Sure, we destroyed the planet but for a wonderful moment in time we generated tons of wealth for shareholders."

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Wanglicious
02/07/20 2:27:45 PM
#134:


HeroDelTiempo17 posted...
What? I'm talking about her big attack on Biden from the left, that was responsible for the big surge in her campaign, that WOULD have put her in league with progressives had she not gone back to the center.

What did you think she was doing that was pandering, if not that?

radio show where she laughed about smoking weed and listening to rap in college to act like "she's one of the people."
literally pushing for a campaign to get trump off twitter on the debate stage.
pronouns.

off the top of my head i remember those.

edit:
not sure it's clear but we're talking about the woke twitter crowd, not necessarily progressives.

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Corrik7
02/07/20 2:28:02 PM
#135:


xp1337 posted...
It's not even that. The biggest thing in that article to me is the very first line. It attributes the numbers being higher than expected because of an "unseasonably" warm January.

it's literally that cartoon of the guy telling his kids that "Sure, we destroyed the planet but for a wonderful moment in time we generated tons of wealth for shareholders."
The numbers were 150% of estimates, with some attribution to weather. It still would have been a good month.

Rock's comment was funny of course because none of Trumps 3 years eclipsed 1 trillion in a deficit, while 3 of Obama's did. Hell, one of Obama's nearly was more than the first 2 of Trump's combined.

That said, Obama was also working from a rock bottom for growth while Trump is working from the top. Trumps growth should not even sniff Obama's.

And, wage growth is there which Chris denies is happening.

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DoomTheGyarados
02/07/20 2:34:39 PM
#136:


I don't "deny" it happens, it flat out was 1% adjusted for inflation last year. I don't know what the new report says as I haven't looked at it, but I was making a factual statement based off last year.

I am on toddler duty, what was the growth adjusted for inflation last year?

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LordoftheMorons
02/07/20 2:34:51 PM
#137:


https://www.cnn.com/2020/02/07/politics/virginia-ends-confederate-holiday-replace-election-day-trnd/index.html

I don't remember Lee-Jackson Day being a thing at all growing up, but cool!

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TheRock1525
02/07/20 2:48:18 PM
#138:


Corrik7 posted...
The numbers were 150% of estimates, with some attribution to weather. It still would have been a good month.

Rock's comment was funny of course because none of Trumps 3 years eclipsed 1 trillion in a deficit, while 3 of Obama's did. Hell, one of Obama's nearly was more than the first 2 of Trump's combined.

That said, Obama was also working from a rock bottom for growth while Trump is working from the top. Trumps growth should not even sniff Obama's.

And, wage growth is there which Chris denies is happening.
Obama had to deal with one of the worst recessions in US history.

Trump has a "booming" economy and claimed the tax cuts would pay for themselves, yet he's managed to double deficit spending since taking office.

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TheRock1525
02/07/20 2:58:53 PM
#139:


Russian propaganda pushing the "Bernie was robbed!" narrative.

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Wanglicious
02/07/20 3:00:11 PM
#140:


there we go, been waiting for bernie to be a russian surrogate.
"he's been bought and paid for by putin since the 80s! just look at these old videos and statements!"


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FFDragon
02/07/20 3:00:42 PM
#141:


I mean, there's an awful lot of errors going not-Bernie's way. I still think it's gross incompetence, but it's not an outlandish claim to make this time. Just hyperbolic.

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xp1337
02/07/20 3:02:01 PM
#142:


I mean, Obama had $1t deficits at the start of his first term because of the Great Recession.

And it was decreasing too from FY 2009 (remember, counter-intuitively this was Bush's last budget. The FY starts in October of the previous year.) which was the highest deficit in US history.

The modern economic theory employed by the government is that it spends more when the economy is bad to help it (why the Recession deficits were so high) and is supposed to cut back when the economy is doing good. (Surpluses during Clinton)

Obama had more-or-less brought it back to pre-Recession levels (it ticked up to a bit over that at the very end of this second term) but despite having the "greatest economy in the history of the world" Trump has ballooned the deficit. FY 2019 came in just below $1t by a few billions and the current FY is projected to shoot over it.

When next there's a crash (and there always is one thanks to the boom-or-bust cycle) the government is already spending at what you'd normally see in a bad economy when it's supposedly amazing. There's basically no recourse left when it happens unless you want to see like $2.5t deficits.

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LordoftheMorons
02/07/20 3:03:50 PM
#143:


Wanglicious posted...
there we go, been waiting for bernie to be a russian surrogate.
"he's been bought and paid for by putin since the 80s! just look at these old videos and statements!"
Hes not a russian surrogate. And as far as Ive seen, he hasnt been feeding any of this Iowa conspiracy theory bullshit himself at all.

He does, however, have a base that contains a lot of people who are disturbingly receptive to conspiracy theories, and thats exactly the type of situation the Russians have been trying to inflame for the past four or five years.

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red sox 777
02/07/20 3:04:53 PM
#144:


banananor posted...
One way to do this would be to stop giving the rich so many tax breaks

And Trump has closed a bunch of tax loopholes like the famous Irish/Dutch sandwich. Maybe that's why he's the first president since Carter or so to improve real wages for the working class.

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red sox 777
02/07/20 3:07:55 PM
#145:


LordoftheMorons posted...
Jesus Christ what a fucking victim blaming comment from Weinsteins lawyer:

https://twitter.com/mega2e/status/1225786512144568321?s=21

If Weinstein is acquitted.... people are going to be so incredibly angry.

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xp1337
02/07/20 3:17:06 PM
#146:


DoomTheGyarados posted...


I am on toddler duty, what was the growth adjusted for inflation last year?
Last year? Based on the December 2019 numbers against December 2018 (December 2019 being the most recent month with real earnings data from BLS)

+0.6% hourly.
0.0 change weekly (average hours worked per week were down. If you want to be technical real weekly earnings are very slightly down but round to 0)

Corrik's article is focused on January 2020 only though and the answer there is "stay tuned." BLS doesn't release the real earnings report until next week.

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ChaosTonyV4
02/07/20 3:18:19 PM
#147:


TheRock1525 posted...
Russian propaganda pushing the "Bernie was robbed!" narrative.

Thats a silly narrative when he won.

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Suprak the Stud
02/07/20 3:20:27 PM
#148:


ChaosTonyV4 posted...
Thats a silly narrative when he won.

I look forward to him being robbed next week in NH too. Robbed by like 5-10 points if polls remain as they are.

Biden still probably robs SC and I don't know who robs Nevada at this point, but I think it is going to be insanely close.

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xp1337
02/07/20 3:21:20 PM
#149:


Suprak the Stud posted...


Biden still probably robs SC and I don't know who robs Nevada at this point
jeb!

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LordoftheMorons
02/07/20 3:28:41 PM
#150:


Jesus Christ everyone in this administration is a piece of shit

https://twitter.com/iarnsdorf/status/1225870348995977216?s=21

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Wanglicious
02/07/20 3:29:41 PM
#151:


LordoftheMorons posted...
Hes not a russian surrogate. And as far as Ive seen, he hasnt been feeding any of this Iowa conspiracy theory bullshit himself at all.

He does, however, have a base that contains a lot of people who are disturbingly receptive to conspiracy theories, and thats exactly the type of situation the Russians have been trying to inflame for the past four or five years.

can work that too, sure.

bernie's a russian surrogate or a russian asset! he likes russia and has explicitly stated it before, putin likes him, and his followers are a bunch of communists who use the hammer and sickle unironically. they also are young, uneducated (redundant if you're using that symbol, i know), conspiracy theorists who don't know anything. the perfect victim for putin and bernie's either a shill and keeping quiet or is aware of it... and keeping quiet. because putin wills it.

if you've any other talking points please contact cnn and msnbc.

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