Board 8 > Survivor Offseason Topic #1: Prelude to the War

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GTM
03/12/20 12:03:52 AM
#402:


Underleveled posted...
There will be two people voted out next episode. Probst said "both tribes will vote someone out," not "go to tribal council." And even if that's still 1% ambiguous, we still need to boot two more people by the merge, which should be the episode after next.

combined tribal with 2 vote outs

no wait i dont want that

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Inviso
03/12/20 12:10:14 AM
#403:


I'm just gonna continue to pray for the same stuff I've been praying for all season thus far: Dakal must win immunity.

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Inviso
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bwburke94
03/12/20 9:40:22 AM
#404:


Probst said "both tribes will vote someone out", but it could easily still be a joint tribal. Didn't we have this discussion six seasons ago?

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Mega Mana
03/12/20 10:55:25 AM
#405:


From EW:

When we spoke the day before the game began, you mentioned that if you made it to the end, you were thinking of offering to donate your winnings to ALS research in honor of Stacy and asking CBS to do a dollar to dollar match. With that in mind, what were you thinking on day 1 when you found out the grand prize was actually $2 million?
My first thought was, Dang, I should have just said I was going to donate a million dollars instead of all my winnings. Im just kidding, of course. Well, mostly. No, no, Im kidding.
Seriously, though, I was thinking that $2 million could really make a difference in terms of funding ALS research and support. And then I thought my mom would probably kill me if I gave away $2 million dollars. And then I thought maybe I could tell my mom that I was on a special charity edition of Survivor where you couldnt actually keep any money. And then I thought why am I stressing out so much about my mother? And then I thought I really shouldnt have skipped that last appointment with my therapist.


I love Yul so much.

Im a bit nervous about how all this is going to be shown on television, I dont think Ive ever cried on camera before. I wonder if people will be surprised to find Ive upgraded my Yulbot operating system with emotional software that includes a crying subroutine.

So much.

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MartinFF7
03/12/20 11:03:56 AM
#406:


Okay I'm losing track of the advantages, what are we at now?

Idols - Sophie, Denise
Steal a Vote - Sarah
Safety without Power - Jeremy

Done Idols (or not Done) - Sandra (was it next 3 tribals in total or her next 3 tribals?), Kim (or did she not get the half that she gave Sophie returned to her?)
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Underleveled
03/12/20 11:11:29 AM
#407:


bwburke94 posted...
Probst said "both tribes will vote someone out", but it could easily still be a joint tribal. Didn't we have this discussion six seasons ago?
As I said though, we also still need to vote two more people out before the merge, unless you think we're merging in episode 9 with 13 people plus a second returnee (or in episode 8 with 14 people plus a second returnee), either of which would mean two post-merge double boot episodes, plus the now-typical three boots in the finale (with a returnee challenge mind you), it would make for an extremely rushed, convoluted, confusing and chaotic (in a bad way) post-merge that would absolutely murder the season.

Maybe I'm underestimating Probst's ability to screw this up but I really don't think he does.

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Underleveled
03/12/20 11:53:32 AM
#408:


Filming for 41 and 42 have officially been postponed. 41 was set to commence filming later this month, and has been rescheduled to the end of May, which is when 42 was scheduled to begin.

Given that this is actually similar to the filming schedule of years ago, I'm not worried about it affecting their regular fall/spring broadcast schedule until otherwise stated.

That being said, I wouldn't be surprised if this affects casting. People plan months in advance to take this time out of their regular lives. As with the suspended TAR33, it's very possible that some contestants who were all set to take March/April off now can't get June off.

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Espeon
03/12/20 11:58:29 AM
#409:


Sandras idol is good for the next TC she attends.

Kim now has her full idol.

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eaedwards6400
03/12/20 12:39:02 PM
#410:


There is a lot of conversation here about the 1 tribal vs 2. The standard has been to have 13 at the merge and with a person from EoE likely coming back in the game, it will need to go down to 12 so that it can come back up to 13. So just based on logistics I think it will be two people that will be voted out which sucks cause the only tribe I don't want to lose anyone from Dakal but they don't stack up quite as well but I also don't want to lose any more old school people which I think is highly possible with if the Sele tribe goes because those 3 boys are gonna stick together and I doubt they vote out Michele over Parvati. And to top that off Michele is my woman winner pick so I don't want them to lose either lol. So I guess the only tribe I'm okay with losing is the new one cause I don't like Adam lol.
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Mewtwo59
03/12/20 12:43:44 PM
#411:


Ben is way more likely to go than Adam, especially if they think a merge is coming soon.
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bwburke94
03/12/20 2:44:26 PM
#412:


The merge would normally be two episodes away (Day 17 seems early for the last premerge boot), but with EoE in play the usual numbers are a bit thrown off.

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bwburke94
03/12/20 2:49:48 PM
#413:


The way I'm thinking of it is, we know ten people will be booted in the next eight episodes (taking 20 days of game time).

It isn't impossible that both of those come post-merge, as the same happened under similar circumstances in RI and SoPa.

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Underleveled
03/12/20 3:04:32 PM
#414:


bwburke94 posted...
Day 17 seems early for the last premerge boot
Not early at all actually. Most recent seasons have had their merge on Day 17-19.

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MartinFF7
03/12/20 3:43:40 PM
#415:


Delay in filming 41 pushes it out to the winter and we finally get the unaired TAR season in the Survivor time slot in the fall? Could it happen???

Edit: thank you Inviso, so in theory we could have 4 HIIs plus 2 advantages at the merge tribal PLUS another HII found at the camp after the merge PLUS EoE returnee could have HII if they purchase it with 3 fire tokens while out there (which Natalie could do at the moment)

And we don't have Legacy and Extra Vote advantages yet or Idol Nullifiers... wow we need some idol nullifiers.
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GTM
03/12/20 8:54:39 PM
#416:


MartinFF7 posted...
Okay I'm losing track of the advantages, what are we at now?

Idols - Sophie, Denise
Steal a Vote - Sarah
Safety without Power - Jeremy

Done Idols (or not Done) - Sandra (was it next 3 tribals in total or her next 3 tribals?), Kim (or did she not get the half that she gave Sophie returned to her?)

https://twitter.com/danieliconbrown/status/1237933642502025216

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GTM
03/12/20 9:46:09 PM
#417:


https://i.imgur.com/cxILyYw.png

BBCAN audience tonight

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GTM
03/12/20 9:53:17 PM
#418:


I love Maddie saying "this whole house is fake", a little slow there, evictors

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GTM
03/12/20 10:34:52 PM
#419:


Minh-Ly is Tony. Very loud and opinionated, has all these plans flipping back and forth, all the screen time, fun confessionals. while everyone says she's a target, she's not really a target. she's fantastic

last bbcan post since no one else is watching it seems

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eaedwards6400
03/12/20 11:43:20 PM
#420:


I'm watching BB13 and I'm so sick of it. Like I now know why people think Big Brother is rigged lol.
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Dels
03/12/20 11:58:15 PM
#421:


GTM posted...
Minh-Ly is Tony. Very loud and opinionated, has all these plans flipping back and forth, all the screen time, fun confessionals. while everyone says she's a target, she's not really a target. she's fantastic

oh geez. i had to look at this when i saw the name.

i know her. wow. how's she doing...?
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GTM
03/13/20 12:33:22 AM
#422:


she's amazing. she's catty and gets into a lot of fights, she has lots of plans and diary rooms showing she's has great game sense even if she's sometimes unable to in practice (which is good tv), she has a showmance started by a 5-year-old-like "you're nasty" "no you're nasty", her goodbye message was all "you're so naive, im the mastermind, next time dont start playing on day 11", she's just great tv all around

but she plays very riskily. the decoy plan last week was for everyone to tell the real target's alliance she's the backdoor target D:

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Naye745
03/13/20 1:48:00 AM
#423:


abi is killing me on the live kia

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GTM
03/13/20 2:20:21 AM
#424:


I havent heard it, but yeah agreed based on past ones. she doesn't have a grasp of survivor strategy, and sometimes she says things just to make her feel like she fits in, and is unable to think beyond basic level opinions.

alternatively

the live kias are killing me

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Dels
03/13/20 3:34:41 AM
#425:


GTM posted...
she's amazing. she's catty and gets into a lot of fights, she has lots of plans and diary rooms showing she's has great game sense even if she's sometimes unable to in practice (which is good tv), she has a showmance started by a 5-year-old-like "you're nasty" "no you're nasty", her goodbye message was all "you're so naive, im the mastermind, next time dont start playing on day 11", she's just great tv all around

but she plays very riskily. the decoy plan last week was for everyone to tell the real target's alliance she's the backdoor target D:

damn lol

i completely missed this, i don't check facebook enough. now i see there's a group with like a bunch of my friends posting and cheering her on. never saw any of it. crazy.
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Underleveled
03/15/20 9:04:00 AM
#426:


I'm a bit tuckered out on TAR for now so I'll watch a few other things before I get back to that.

Not that I'm ecstatic to get back, seeing as I have left 21 (passable), 23 (bad), 24 (dumpster fire), 26 (passable), and 28 (bad). I shouldn't have skipped ahead to the good seasons in the 20s, but ce la vie.

The top 5 on Sucks' annual countdown are Sandra 1.0 and 2.0, Cirie 1.0, Courtney Y 1.0, and Peih-Gee 1.0

The highest ranked male was Sean Rector at 33rd, the only male in the top 50.

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darkx
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Underleveled
03/17/20 12:51:13 AM
#427:


And guess who won the Sucks countdown?

Courtney

I guess we can agree on one thing.

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darkx
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Mewtwo59
03/18/20 1:22:09 PM
#428:


Hoping for a Dakal win tonight.
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Mewtwo59
03/18/20 5:22:59 PM
#429:


Jeff is calling this episode historic. I have a bad feeling about this.
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Dels
03/18/20 5:54:21 PM
#430:


well people are already worried tony will go home in advantage-geddon

because on his tribe

jeremy has "safety without power" (leave tribal, safe but can't vote)

sandra has a 1-time idol

kim has an idol

denise has an idol

so it's not out of the question that jeremy and denise feel unsafe, so jeremy uses advantage, denise has no choice but to play idol, sandra plays hers because it's the last time it can be played, and then kim has to play hers, and then tony goes home

it'd be "historic"

and you know jeff loves it when people get screwed because of twists and advantages!
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Mewtwo59
03/18/20 5:56:56 PM
#431:


Yeah, that's the exact thing I have a bad feeling about.
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GTM
03/18/20 6:50:09 PM
#432:


bbcan spoilers for all 1 of you

https://twitter.com/i/events/1240016690613714946

this is the darkest timeline and everyone is disagreeing with this decision

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GTM
03/18/20 6:51:01 PM
#433:


Mewtwo59 posted...
Jeff is calling this episode historic.

He said the scene with Tony and the fish was one of the best in 40 seasons

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The Mana Sword
03/18/20 6:56:15 PM
#434:


GTM posted...
He said the scene with Tony and the fish was one of the best in 40 seasons

and he was right

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Underleveled
03/18/20 7:27:53 PM
#435:


Tony going home in an Advantagegeddon wouldn't be historic since Cirie, a more popular and iconic contestant (you can debate by how much but she's definitely ahead of him) already went home in such a manner.

The more historic scenario would be Tony somehow getting a hold of an advantage himself and the entire Dakal tribe renders themselves immune at TC.

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darkx
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Inviso
03/18/20 8:09:09 PM
#436:


Blargh. Tyson already proving my worries about his arrival on EoE to have merit.

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Pokewars
03/18/20 8:19:37 PM
#437:


Inviso posted...
Blargh. Tyson already proving my worries about his arrival on EoE to have merit.

That he was going to be awesome?

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Inviso
03/18/20 8:20:05 PM
#438:


Pokewars posted...
That he was going to be awesome?

That he'd find advantages and threaten Natalie's odds of returning.

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Inviso
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Inviso
03/18/20 8:20:58 PM
#439:


Also, the one upside to Yara winning is that we should hopefully have no more Adam confessionals this episode.

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Inviso
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Underleveled
03/18/20 8:28:14 PM
#440:


Thank GOD Tony is on this season. Seriously.

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The Mana Sword
03/18/20 8:32:27 PM
#441:


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Underleveled
03/18/20 8:34:39 PM
#442:


Denise is going to vote out Sandra isn't she

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darkx
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Pokewars
03/18/20 8:36:25 PM
#443:


Inviso posted...
That he'd find advantages and threaten Natalie's odds of returning.

Lol, there are about a dozen more interesting people on EoE that should come back before her.

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Inviso
03/18/20 8:36:58 PM
#444:


Pokewars posted...
Lol, there are about a dozen more interesting people on EoE that should come back before her.

Natalie is the most interesting person currently on EoE.

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Inviso
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Xuxon
03/18/20 8:37:06 PM
#445:


Underleveled posted...
Denise is going to vote out Sandra isn't she
that was my thought

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Inviso
03/18/20 8:45:26 PM
#446:


This episode has somehow managed to go MORE poorly than I expected, going into it with the knowledge that Tony could get advantage-geddon'D.

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Inviso
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Xuxon
03/18/20 8:49:33 PM
#447:


they should have gotten rid of Wendell or Michele, they're so annoying together

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The Mana Sword
03/18/20 8:54:48 PM
#448:


Im surprised Jeremy didnt walk out, honestly

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Pokewars
03/18/20 8:55:07 PM
#449:


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Pokewars
03/18/20 8:55:22 PM
#450:


Queen slayed

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Inviso
03/18/20 9:00:08 PM
#451:


This season has the shittiest boot order.

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