Board 8 > Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1313

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paulg235
11/29/18 7:19:14 PM
#102:


redrocket posted...
Can anyone explain why Mario never boosted like this off the Galaxy games?

Galaxy 1 didn't come out until the 2007 contest wrapped up, then everyone soured on the Wii as a whole by 2008. Galaxy 2 came out Summer 2010 where we were 3 years away from another character contest.
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Mewtwo59
11/29/18 7:19:31 PM
#103:


KamikazePotato posted...
How in the world did Vivi beat this.


Maybe he didn't and Odyssey gave Mario that much of a boost?
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TheKoolAidShoto
11/29/18 7:20:34 PM
#104:


KamikazePotato posted...
How in the world did Vivi beat this.

Vivi > Seph clearly
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charmander6000
11/29/18 7:20:44 PM
#105:


Also remember Mario will come back down to Earth, it probably ends not too far where many of us thought.
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Kyle Bowen
11/29/18 7:20:55 PM
#106:


KamikazePotato posted...
Zelda: "Hey guys, I made a statement for myself by getting over 60% on a really strong Square character!"
Mario: "Hold my beer."


Well played
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creativename
11/29/18 7:20:58 PM
#107:


WarThaNemesis2 posted...
redrocket posted...
Can anyone explain why Mario never boosted like this off the Galaxy games?


Were you here in 2005?

In 2005 there was a huge Nintendo boost.

The one who benefitted the most from it was Mario, who went from losing to Crono to unquestionably being the #4 character in the contest.

Look at how every piece of Nintendo has looked this year.

It's another huge Nintendo boost, and guess who is benefiting the most from it again?

As Ive said before, I dont think its a boost.

I think everything else just keeps dropping. These other franchises dont keep getting new great games like Nintendo and dont have quite the same nostalgia as the overall Nintendo brand is still strong.
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KamikazePotato
11/29/18 7:21:50 PM
#108:


So fun fact:

Mario (2013c) has a strength of 47.13 against Base Link.
Sephiroth (2013c) has a strength of 38.89 against Base Link.
Mario wins with 58.74% of the vote!
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redrocket
11/29/18 7:21:59 PM
#109:


WarThaNemesis2 posted...
redrocket posted...
Can anyone explain why Mario never boosted like this off the Galaxy games?


Were you here in 2005?

In 2005 there was a huge Nintendo boost.

The one who benefitted the most from it was Mario, who went from losing to Crono to unquestionably being the #4 character in the contest.

Look at how every piece of Nintendo has looked this year.

It's another huge Nintendo boost, and guess who is benefiting the most from it again?


2005 was pre-Galaxy.

Mario never looked quite that dominant again until now, despite the Galaxy games being a huge success.
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creativename
11/29/18 7:22:00 PM
#110:


KamikazePotato posted...
creativename posted...
KamikazePotato posted...
How in the world did Vivi beat this.

Heavy LFF presumably.

If you give Mario 100% of Ganondorf's votes, Vivi still (currently) has a higher score than Sephiroth does.

How many rally votes was Vivi estimated to get (net)?
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WarThaNemesis2
11/29/18 7:22:07 PM
#111:


creativename posted...
WarThaNemesis2 posted...
redrocket posted...
Can anyone explain why Mario never boosted like this off the Galaxy games?


Were you here in 2005?

In 2005 there was a huge Nintendo boost.

The one who benefitted the most from it was Mario, who went from losing to Crono to unquestionably being the #4 character in the contest.

Look at how every piece of Nintendo has looked this year.

It's another huge Nintendo boost, and guess who is benefiting the most from it again?

As Ive said before, I dont think its a boost.

I think everything else just keeps dropping. These other franchises dont keep getting new great games like Nintendo and dont have quite the same nostalgia as the overall Nintendo brand is still strong.


If everything keeps dropping and Nintendo stays stable, that's basically a boost?

I guess technically not if you base things on current Link?
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FinaIFantasy
11/29/18 7:22:40 PM
#112:


KamikazePotato posted...
So fun fact:

Mario (2013c) has a strength of 47.13 against Base Link.
Sephiroth (2013c) has a strength of 38.89 against Base Link.
Mario wins with 58.74% of the vote!


I dont consider that fact fun
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creativename
11/29/18 7:22:57 PM
#113:


Obviously though Zelda herself as a character has boosted.
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KamikazePotato
11/29/18 7:23:02 PM
#114:


creativename posted...
How many rally votes was Vivi estimated to get (net)?

Quite a few, but still. It's not like 100% of Ganondorf's votes go to Mario regardless.
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lordjers
11/29/18 7:23:54 PM
#115:


I can only get over Zelda > Snake if Mario wins it all.
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tennisboy213
11/29/18 7:24:21 PM
#116:


KamikazePotato posted...
If you give Mario 100% of Ganondorf's votes, Vivi still (currently) has a higher score than Sephiroth does.

The Mario/Vivi match had 40k votes when the other matches were getting 30k.
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ctesjbuvf
11/29/18 7:24:46 PM
#117:


KamikazePotato posted...
creativename posted...
KamikazePotato posted...
How in the world did Vivi beat this.

Heavy LFF presumably.

If you give Mario 100% of Ganondorf's votes, Vivi still (currently) has a higher score than Sephiroth does.


Well, Seph has yet to be rallied.
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KamikazePotato
11/29/18 7:24:57 PM
#118:


lordjers posted...
I can only get over Zelda > Snake if Mario wins it all.

Unfortunately, 2013 Link is still projected to do better than this.
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FinaIFantasy
11/29/18 7:29:18 PM
#119:


lordjers posted...
I can only get over Zelda > Snake if Mario wins it all.


What if Zelda wins it all?
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TheCodeisBosco
11/29/18 7:34:05 PM
#120:


Early vote or not, this is fucking insane for Mario. I wish Luigi would have gotten this kind of boost too, but c'est la vie.
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ZeldaTPLink
11/29/18 7:35:31 PM
#121:


WarThaNemesis2 posted...
creativename posted...
WarThaNemesis2 posted...
redrocket posted...
Can anyone explain why Mario never boosted like this off the Galaxy games?


Were you here in 2005?

In 2005 there was a huge Nintendo boost.

The one who benefitted the most from it was Mario, who went from losing to Crono to unquestionably being the #4 character in the contest.

Look at how every piece of Nintendo has looked this year.

It's another huge Nintendo boost, and guess who is benefiting the most from it again?

As Ive said before, I dont think its a boost.

I think everything else just keeps dropping. These other franchises dont keep getting new great games like Nintendo and dont have quite the same nostalgia as the overall Nintendo brand is still strong.


If everything keeps dropping and Nintendo stays stable, that's basically a boost?

I guess technically not if you base things on current Link?


I mean technically yes. But I think his point is that everything tends to drop unless they keep getting great games, and only Nintendo does that.

Unless your name is Crono that is.
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squexa
11/29/18 7:36:15 PM
#122:


Wow 11.06% of brackets took Zelda > Snake normally but only 7.67% of second chance brackets took Zelda > Snake.

I guess people weren't impressed by what they saw?
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Nanis23
11/29/18 7:36:25 PM
#123:


You know, people might say Tifa can't be hentai rallied against Samus because she will be Hentai SFF'd by her
Let me just remind you, people said the same thing about Undertale and Pokemon RB

Go, Futanari!
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Xeybozn
11/29/18 7:36:48 PM
#124:


So do we still think Samus is as strong or stronger than Mario indirectly? If so, doesn't that mean Tifa might be as strong as Sephiroth?
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ZeldaTPLink
11/29/18 7:37:30 PM
#125:


squexa posted...
Wow 11.06% of brackets took Zelda > Snake normally but only 7.67% of second chance brackets took Zelda > Snake.

I guess people weren't impressed by what they saw?


I'm starting to doubt those numbers.
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squexa
11/29/18 7:40:36 PM
#126:


ZeldaTPLink posted...
squexa posted...
Wow 11.06% of brackets took Zelda > Snake normally but only 7.67% of second chance brackets took Zelda > Snake.

I guess people weren't impressed by what they saw?


I'm starting to doubt those numbers.


Yeah is it the same shenanigans where the 11.06% also includes Squall > Snake or something. This doesn't make any sense at all otherwise.
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QJD1381
11/29/18 7:40:49 PM
#127:


TheCodeisBosco posted...
Early vote or not, this is fucking insane for Mario. I wish Luigi would have gotten this kind of boost too, but c'est la vie.

I still haven't forgiven Nintendo for not making him playable in Odyssey. Mario slaying Sephiroth over here while Luigi dies with a whimper against Tifa. No respect for Mr. Green
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lordjers
11/29/18 7:41:47 PM
#128:


FinaIFantasy posted...
lordjers posted...
I can only get over Zelda > Snake if Mario wins it all.


What if Zelda wins it all?


Doubt it. But, at least it'd be better than Pikachu.
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abdou
11/29/18 7:42:46 PM
#129:


Damn, Mario showing no mercy

I guess the only people who vote in the polls anymore are hardcore Nintendo fans. Everyone else stopped voting.
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igordebraga
11/29/18 7:46:16 PM
#130:


Searched on YouTube for Snake Zelda (mostly that Brawl codec), and found out something that went as bad for Snake as our poll.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eDlgc63O6po" data-time="

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creativename
11/29/18 7:46:27 PM
#131:


WarThaNemesis2 posted...
creativename posted...
WarThaNemesis2 posted...
redrocket posted...
Can anyone explain why Mario never boosted like this off the Galaxy games?


Were you here in 2005?

In 2005 there was a huge Nintendo boost.

The one who benefitted the most from it was Mario, who went from losing to Crono to unquestionably being the #4 character in the contest.

Look at how every piece of Nintendo has looked this year.

It's another huge Nintendo boost, and guess who is benefiting the most from it again?

As Ive said before, I dont think its a boost.

I think everything else just keeps dropping. These other franchises dont keep getting new great games like Nintendo and dont have quite the same nostalgia as the overall Nintendo brand is still strong.


If everything keeps dropping and Nintendo stays stable, that's basically a boost?

I guess technically not if you base things on current Link?

Well its a question of predicting the future.

Firstly these waifus seem to do pretty well. That kind of goes against the Nintendo boosting narrative.

Secondly its a question of franchise revival.

Lets say by some miracle the FF7 remake is absolutely beloved and a massive hit (never going to happen). This would lead to those guys gaining in strength, without Nintendo dropping. Youd expect Seph to beat Snake again.

Whereas if there was a new MGS game with Snake and it was a massive beloved hit, youd expect him to beat Zelda even if she doesnt drop.

So when comparing across years, it very much makes a difference if its a Nintendo boost or everything else drop, even though within a single contest its functionally the same.
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ZeldaTPLink
11/29/18 7:46:59 PM
#132:


squexa posted...
ZeldaTPLink posted...
squexa posted...
Wow 11.06% of brackets took Zelda > Snake normally but only 7.67% of second chance brackets took Zelda > Snake.

I guess people weren't impressed by what they saw?


I'm starting to doubt those numbers.


Yeah is it the same shenanigans where the 11.06% also includes Squall > Snake or something. This doesn't make any sense at all otherwise.


@SBAllen
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Yuri_LowelI
11/29/18 7:53:57 PM
#133:


redrocket posted...
Can anyone explain why Mario never boosted like this off the Galaxy games?


The wii and wii u sucked ass.
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Yuri_LowelI
11/29/18 7:55:15 PM
#134:


FinaIFantasy posted...
lordjers posted...
I can only get over Zelda > Snake if Mario wins it all.


What if Zelda wins it all?


Mario is getting 60+ on sephirtoth. He will murder Zelda.

I cant wait until we see a losers final between cloud and Mario

Mario will relive his sunshine moment and beat Cloud once again. It will be glorious.
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TsunamiXXVIII
11/29/18 8:02:16 PM
#135:


squexa posted...
ZeldaTPLink posted...
squexa posted...
Wow 11.06% of brackets took Zelda > Snake normally but only 7.67% of second chance brackets took Zelda > Snake.

I guess people weren't impressed by what they saw?


I'm starting to doubt those numbers.


Yeah is it the same shenanigans where the 11.06% also includes Squall > Snake or something. This doesn't make any sense at all otherwise.


That's not how it worked. The shenanigans earlier was when they were showing numbers next to both names, the loser had all the brackets that picked wrong, regardless of whether their pick was in the match.

I wanted to discuss this also. Like, can you really picture someone watching what Zelda did to Squall and Aerith and the Boss, watching Big Boss and Ocelot disappoint relative to expectations (I'm not even counting Quiet in there; there's nothing to be gained from analyzing fodder vs. fodder matches), and saying "eh, maybe I gave Zelda too much credit; better switch to Snake.

The obvious answer is that Zelda's initial support was disproportionately concentrated among the minimum 1509 bracketmakers that didn't make a Second Chance Bracket, and that she didn't gain as many believers as we thought with that run because Snake is just that well respected now.

(Minimum based on the highly unlikely event that every Second Chance bracketmaker also made a main bracket.)
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#136
Post #136 was unavailable or deleted.
tennisboy213
11/29/18 8:07:08 PM
#137:


Mario might finish below Samus by the end
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Yuri_LowelI
11/29/18 8:07:29 PM
#138:


TheCodeisBosco posted...
Early vote or not, this is fucking insane for Mario. I wish Luigi would have gotten this kind of boost too, but c'est la vie.


Maybe he did?

If hes worth 49 on Tifa. Thats impressive
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Lightning Strikes
11/29/18 8:10:35 PM
#139:


Good showing for Samus.

Hilarious showing for Mario.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PhciLj5VzOk" data-time="

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Ringworm
11/29/18 8:13:19 PM
#140:


So of the 438 that picked Zelda in 2nd chance, 339 are still perfect? Impressive.

(I'm in the 99, as I had MM).
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Not_Wylvane
11/29/18 8:14:54 PM
#141:


UltimaterializerX posted...
Good job complaining about a picture and blaming me for Marios loss, guys.

I see Board 8 is as smart as ever.

If it werent for your pic Mario would be doubling Sephiroth right now!
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TheCodeisBosco
11/29/18 8:17:52 PM
#142:


Anyone who took both Pikachu and Zelda has balls of fucking steel. Tenfold if they actually had that in their MAIN bracket.
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TheCodeisBosco
11/29/18 8:20:54 PM
#143:


Yuri_LowelI posted...
TheCodeisBosco posted...
Early vote or not, this is fucking insane for Mario. I wish Luigi would have gotten this kind of boost too, but c'est la vie.


Maybe he did?

If hes worth 49 on Tifa. Thats impressive


You may be right, I think I just got my hopes too high for MY BOY. I really thought he'd win his division and not be too threatened doing it.
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27 99 23.
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SlugSh0t
11/29/18 8:25:57 PM
#144:


damn tifa is starting to look terrible here
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Yuri_LowelI
11/29/18 8:28:13 PM
#145:


SlugSh0t posted...
damn tifa is starting to look terrible here


Or samus is looking incredible.

Shame she has Mario next.

I expect her to challenge cloud actually for that losers final pick.....in which shell still probably lose to mario again.
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KamikazePotato
11/29/18 8:29:20 PM
#146:


This isn't much higher than what Samus is projected to do. People forgot how strong she is.
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#147
Post #147 was unavailable or deleted.
CaptainOfCrush
11/29/18 9:15:55 PM
#148:


It won't mean much in the long run, but I think Zelda has a great shot at outperforming Samus against Mario.
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heroicmario
11/29/18 9:16:36 PM
#149:


Mario with 60% on Sephiroth might be the best thing in any contest ever. On the other hand, Mario is probably still going to get roasted by Link, haha.
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Yuri_LowelI
11/29/18 9:19:45 PM
#150:


heroicmario posted...
Mario with 60% on Sephiroth might be the best thing in any contest ever. On the other hand, Mario is probably still going to get roasted by Link, haha.


Link is also stronger. Probably the strongest hell ever be.

A lot of Nintendo characters are.
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#151
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