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#352 | Post #352 was unavailable or deleted. |
Lopen 11/16/18 10:20:05 PM #353: |
UltimaterializerX posted...
They literally moved by enough for Kirby to win the match if the movement is in the other direction. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! ... Copied to Clipboard!
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charmander6000 11/16/18 10:20:15 PM #354: |
LeonhartFour posted...
I got more caught up in how strong it would make Ness and Shadow look personally Ness like all other Nintendo characters had reason to boost while Sonic characters have performed well. Like if Bowser struggled with Charizard then maybe there was a chance he dropped in strength. Kirby always had a chance pre-contest, but he never did earn it over the contest. --- CBX - Today's Winners: Big Boss and Bowser Score: 154/208 ... Copied to Clipboard!
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LeonhartFour 11/16/18 10:21:39 PM #355: |
I mean I could see this being a situation where the HIERARCHY prevails for whatever the reason, which should make Ganon/Pikachu pretty interesting (although Pokemon often exists outside the hierarchical structure to an extent)
I think it's why FFIX beat KH1 in 2015 personally --- ... Copied to Clipboard!
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LeonhartFour 11/16/18 10:22:20 PM #356: |
charmander6000 posted...
Ness like all other Nintendo characters had reason to boost except for Ike apparently who gets left in the dust by Ness now --- ... Copied to Clipboard!
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#357 | Post #357 was unavailable or deleted. |
KamikazePotato 11/16/18 10:23:18 PM #358: |
Ness currently gets 38% on Bowser. In 2013, he's projected to get 38% on Bowser.
--- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Lopen 11/16/18 10:23:41 PM #359: |
I think the argument for HIERARCHY before the fact was weak considering we saw a 48-52 match between the two before. That doesn't smell of a match that's SFF dominated. That's not Mario 60-40ing Samus.
I mean, maybe it exists, but people didn't present that before the contest. Just beat their chest and grunted afterwards. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Lopen 11/16/18 10:24:35 PM #360: |
UltimaterializerX posted...
Nope. Currently 1.67%, which is not enough to overturn Bowser winning with 52.12%. Don't be a twit you know what I meant (also if you responded when I made the post it was actually right then) --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! ... Copied to Clipboard!
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charmander6000 11/16/18 10:25:07 PM #361: |
Give it a rest Lopen, Ulti literally thinks Mario would have defeated Samus in 2004.
--- CBX - Today's Winners: Big Boss and Bowser Score: 154/208 ... Copied to Clipboard!
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LeonhartFour 11/16/18 10:25:22 PM #362: |
Well, I don't think the HIERARCHY always results in a lopsided SFF beatdown. Like I said, I think it helped FFIX beat KH1, and FFIX barely got 51%.
--- ... Copied to Clipboard!
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#363 | Post #363 was unavailable or deleted. |
Lopen 11/16/18 10:26:17 PM #364: |
charmander6000 posted...
Give it a rest Lopen, Ulti literally thinks Mario would have defeated Samus in 2004. I do too though? But a 52-48 clearly isn't a Mario vs Samus situation --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! ... Copied to Clipboard!
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LeonhartFour 11/16/18 10:26:46 PM #365: |
KamikazePotato posted...
Ness currently gets 38% on Bowser. In 2013, he's projected to get 38% on Bowser. what about Kirby --- ... Copied to Clipboard!
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KamikazePotato 11/16/18 10:27:12 PM #366: |
LeonhartFour posted...
Well, I don't think the HIERARCHY always results in a lopsided SFF beatdown. Like I said, I think it helped FFIX beat KH1, and FFIX barely got 51%. FF9 did really well that contest, so even if the HIERARCHY mattered, I doubt it was by much. --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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charmander6000 11/16/18 10:27:38 PM #367: |
UltimaterializerX posted...
charmander6000 posted...Give it a rest Lopen, Ulti literally thinks Mario would have defeated Samus in 2004. lol, imagine thinking that. --- CBX - Today's Winners: Big Boss and Bowser Score: 154/208 ... Copied to Clipboard!
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LeonhartFour 11/16/18 10:28:09 PM #368: |
Kingdom Hearts II also did extremely well that contest, so it could've mattered!
Dunno what happened to the series in the three years since then! --- ... Copied to Clipboard!
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KamikazePotato 11/16/18 10:28:18 PM #369: |
LeonhartFour posted...
KamikazePotato posted...Ness currently gets 38% on Bowser. In 2013, he's projected to get 38% on Bowser. Bowser (2013c) has a strength of 35.94 against Base Link. Kirby (2013c) has a strength of 35.60 against Base Link. Bowser50.47%27,235 Kirby49.53%26,725 Bowser wins with 50.47% of the vote! --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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LeonhartFour 11/16/18 10:28:48 PM #370: |
I meant Ness against Kirby
what about Shadow against Kirby or Bowser --- ... Copied to Clipboard!
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TheKoolAidShoto 11/16/18 10:30:16 PM #371: |
Lets focus on the fact that Alucard is about to win a division
It took a long ass time but The Plan pays off --- Communists ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Lopen 11/16/18 10:30:24 PM #372: |
I mean it's a 60-40. Even if Samus is stronger in 2004 she's not overturning that.
If Mario only beat Samus 52-48 in 2005 though? Yeah why not argue Samus > Mario in 2004. A match within 5% being called set in stone is major moron status on pretty much any matchup because we've seen those deficits jump around time and time again for no reason at all --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! ... Copied to Clipboard!
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LeonhartFour 11/16/18 10:31:10 PM #373: |
I mean we've seen the hierarchy flip just this year even
Auron would not have beaten Vincent ten years ago and this year he did --- ... Copied to Clipboard!
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pyresword 11/16/18 10:31:33 PM #374: |
I haven't read everything in this topic but the reasonable explanation to me seems to be "mascots (ie. Kirby) overperform against well-loved but niche characters (ie. Phoenix)".
--- Congratulations to BK_Sheikah00, this year's guru to achieve contest enlightenment! ... Copied to Clipboard!
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KamikazePotato 11/16/18 10:32:29 PM #375: |
Kingdom Hearts 2 didn't rank much higher in the Statz than KH1 when all was said and done. They're about as far apart as they were in Game of the Decade where KH2 won straight out.
Ness gets 55.33% on Shadow in 2013. He got 53.26% this year. So Shadow does a little better this year on Bowser/Kirby. --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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creativename 11/16/18 10:33:04 PM #376: |
Lopen posted...
I think there were theories that could work to pick Bowser > Kirby I just don't feel people really presented them I dont think theres any need for a hierarchy argument. Kirby overperforms in multi-ways + a little SFF and waifu 2B is legit explain this just fine. I wouldnt say the Charizard is a fraud stuff was mere rhetoric. There was a basis for that. If this hierarchy stuff is real though - what happens if Zelda faces Smaus? Could we see female bracket style wonkiness? Theres also the idea Ive seen that Zelda is boosting from Link not being in the main bracket, and may drop when Link he come to town. I dont buy that yet though. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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LeonhartFour 11/16/18 10:33:52 PM #377: |
KamikazePotato posted...
Kingdom Hearts 2 didn't rank much higher in the Statz than KH1 when all was said and done. They're about as far apart as they were in Game of the Decade where KH2 won straight out. Right. I'm not saying KH1 is stronger indirectly or anything. Just that in a situation like that, FF wins out because it's FF. --- ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Lopen 11/16/18 10:34:54 PM #378: |
http://oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k5&type=match&match=57
Also let it be known I'm actually the one who understood the Mario/Samus dynamic best despite Ulti's attempts to claim it as his Ulti was calling for Mario with like 53% But yeah Bowser/Kirby we didn't really have reason for that. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! ... Copied to Clipboard!
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#379 | Post #379 was unavailable or deleted. |
BlAcK TuRtLe 11/16/18 10:35:32 PM #380: |
Yikes, Kirby looks like ass and 2B looks super strong. This has been a very weird contest
--- BKSheikah, my hat is off to you. Welcome to the Guru Champions Club lol xstats ... Copied to Clipboard!
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LeonhartFour 11/16/18 10:36:11 PM #381: |
creativename posted...
Theres also the idea Ive seen that Zelda is boosting from Link not being in the main bracket, and may drop when Link he come to town. I dont buy that yet though eh people argued for that in 2005 too and it didn't really turn out to be true then either --- ... Copied to Clipboard!
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#382 | Post #382 was unavailable or deleted. |
AxemRedRanger 11/16/18 10:36:43 PM #383: |
KP, how did you determine Ness's 2013 x-stats value? Locke and CATS round 1 then SFFed by Luigi sounds like a tough path to get anything out of.
Though if anyone thinks Ness looks too high on Bowser this year, note Earthbound's increase in strength over time: https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/1615-division-16-round-1-earthbound-vs- https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/1640-division-16-round-2-doom-vs-final-fantasy-iii-vi https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/6143-best-game-ever-day-24-round-2-metal-gear-solid-vs-earthbound Ness isn't going to boost proportionately to his game or even remotely close to it since Smash was already providing a pretty good floor but it probably has helped him a bit. --- [NO BARKLEY NO PEACE] [NO BKSheikah NO PEACE] ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Lopen 11/16/18 10:37:06 PM #384: |
UltimaterializerX posted...
Where does it say I called for 53%? I'm no where on that list. Analysis Crew archives. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! ... Copied to Clipboard!
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LeonhartFour 11/16/18 10:37:23 PM #385: |
AxemRedRanger posted...
KP, how did you determine Ness's 2013 x-stats value? Probably used his 2010 value. --- ... Copied to Clipboard!
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KamikazePotato 11/16/18 10:37:58 PM #386: |
AxemRedRanger posted...
KP, how did you determine Ness's 2013 x-stats value? Locke and CATS round 1 then SFFed by Luigi sounds like a tough path to get anything out of. Probably ripped it straight from 2010, where he had a straight path. Some characters don't seem to ever change. Ness is apparently one of them! --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ExThaNemesis 11/16/18 10:43:16 PM #388: |
No one actually likes Kirby beyond "well he's cute."
--- "undertale hangs out with mido" - ZFS Not changing this sig until CM Punk returns to the WWE ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Lopen 11/16/18 10:43:55 PM #389: |
ExThaNemesis posted...
No one actually likes Kirby beyond "well he's cute." Screw you man --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! ... Copied to Clipboard!
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#390 | Post #390 was unavailable or deleted. |
Janus5k 11/16/18 10:44:48 PM #391: |
ExThaNemesis posted...
No one actually likes Kirby beyond "well he's cute." What that's not enough? --- "Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ExThaNemesis 11/16/18 10:45:08 PM #392: |
Lopen posted...
Screw you man If you guys liked him more maybe he wouldn't be laying one of the biggest eggs in contest history today. Proof is in the pudding. --- "undertale hangs out with mido" - ZFS Not changing this sig until CM Punk returns to the WWE ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ExThaNemesis 11/16/18 10:45:29 PM #393: |
Janus5k posted...
What that's not enough? I mean clearly not if he's getting eviscerated by Bowser. --- "undertale hangs out with mido" - ZFS Not changing this sig until CM Punk returns to the WWE ... Copied to Clipboard!
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pyresword 11/16/18 10:45:39 PM #394: |
Going off of mine and Extha's last post, the implication is that the "oh it's cute" voters are more easily lost when up against real competition.
edit: Ok nevermind Extha somehow made 2 more posts while I was typing this. --- Congratulations to BK_Sheikah00, this year's guru to achieve contest enlightenment! ... Copied to Clipboard!
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creativename 11/16/18 10:45:56 PM #395: |
Lopen posted...
I mean it's a 60-40. Even if Samus is stronger in 2004 she's not overturning that. Well never know, but it is certainly conceivable Samus beats Mario in 2K4. Mario wasnt impressive in 2K4 (even in 2K3 he let Shadow get 45%, though maybe that was a Sonic proxy thing). The entire Mario crew was beasting it up in 2K5. Mario was very likely flat stronger than Samus in 2K5. In 2K4 he very likely wasnt, so maybe he doesnt get the SFF edge. Or he uses rSFF to make it very close, but loses. I could see him beating her in 2K4 too. But surely nobody thinks it wouldve been anything like 60/40? I could also see him straight losing in 2K4 though. The Mario boost was very large. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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LeonhartFour 11/16/18 10:46:49 PM #396: |
pyresword posted...
Going off of mine and Extha's last post, the implication is that the "oh it's cute" voters are more easily lost when up against real competition. I mean Kirby has beaten "real" competition and never gets blown out by anyone anyway --- ... Copied to Clipboard!
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KamikazePotato 11/16/18 10:49:27 PM #397: |
Yeah I think this is revisionist history. Kirby has done great against strong competition before. It's when he faces a strong Nintendo character that the Hierarchy apparently does him in.
--- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Lopen 11/16/18 10:51:58 PM #398: |
UltimaterializerX posted...
You mean the 51.59% prediction post where I'm blatantly quoting SephG's pick as a joke? Means your predictive skills are a bad joke which is what I said. You never really explained Mario vs Samus or ever called for a beatdown so you're not the real expert on it. That's me. I also stopped bringing that match up like 12 years ago. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! ... Copied to Clipboard!
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LeonhartFour 11/16/18 10:52:31 PM #399: |
oh wait I just realized that the wider pictures this round means Tifa's jugs will actually be on display this time
Luigi no chance --- ... Copied to Clipboard!
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creativename 11/16/18 10:53:27 PM #400: |
If you go by raw x stats, 2K5 Mario gets 56% on 2K4 Mario.
If you assume stronger Mario has more SFF power, things start to get nerve wracking for 2K4 Mario. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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#401 | Post #401 was unavailable or deleted. |
ExThaNemesis 11/16/18 10:56:39 PM #402: |
Mostly I just dislike him and him choking this match and hurting my bracket is making it worse.
--- "undertale hangs out with mido" - ZFS Not changing this sig until CM Punk returns to the WWE ... Copied to Clipboard!
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