Board 8 > Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1298

(+) Yeah! (+)

LusterSoldier posted...

jacko_vdz posted...

LOL Charizard. Sora got 45% on Bowser in 2010, so from this results you'd logically conclude Red > Zard which feels off. Pikachu > Red > Zard > Mewtwo?? Pokemon is so weird.

Sora also appears to be weaker now than he was in 2010.

Also, I would put Red below Charizard and Mewtwo. The Pokemon fanbase definitely prefers the actual Pokemon over the human characters.

If Red makes a run through the division it's possible we get Red vs Bowser in losers bracket. A lot of results have to hold for that to happen though.
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Over the past hour Phoenix and Ike tied.
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Guys I don't think Phoenix has this...
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Listen... A lawyer is someone who smiles no matter how bad it gets.
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Man... I had Charizard going far. Really far.

Once again I blame the porn.
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the Charizard porn?
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The only time a lawyer can cry is when it's all over.
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If these results hold, I will have a high chance of entering the leaderboard (currently 74 points)
Which is amazing considering how many bad choices I made like Round 3 Waluigi and round 3 Monika
It will onlly be for a day, but still
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Man if it stays this close for the entire 24 hours that will be something.
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It's time for Fun with Numbers, Division 3 Edition!

If Red = Big Boss = Kefka = Alucard:

Ridley beats Peach with 50.17%
Yuna beats Bomberman with 50.25%
Cecil beats Yuna with 53.25%
Neptune beats Godot with 55.11%
Kazuma beats Ryo with 51.72%
Crash beats L-Block with 57.77%
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Yay for numbers!

Phoenix lost 22 votes to Ike over the past hour. He lost 42 votes the hour before that. That's a momentum shift in favor of Phoenix! Keep hanging in there!
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Ike won't make a move until morning. Phoenix will have all night to make his lead as large as possible.
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Agreed. Phoenix HAS to build a lead of several hundred over night or it's over.
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shenmue poll of the day huh
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AxemRedRanger posted...

shenmue poll of the day huh

yes now you get to see just how bad letting Ryo score 30% on Sora was
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I'm still annoyed I have Charizard beating Bowser

That was 100% a bracket making error (as in, a literal input botch) and not consistent with the rest of my bracket whatsoever

I mean it doesn't really matter because I live and (likely die) with D.Va but still.
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Is this what being a defense attorney is like?
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Even in my "Pokfear" bracket I have Charizard losing to Bowser!

Phoenix got two good updates in a row. Nice.

(Normally I don't pay this much attention to close matches, but Phoenix is my man!)
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Lopen posted...

I'm still annoyed I have Charizard beating Bowser

That was 100% a bracket making error (as in, a literal input botch) and not consistent with the rest of my bracket whatsoever

I mean it doesn't really matter because I live and (likely die) with D.Va but still.

You didn't notice that you had Charizard also winning in Round 3?
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Lopen rides with 2B no doubt
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I mean by the time it's round 3 I'm looking at Charizard vs Shadow the Hedgehog and am like "well yeah, Charizard"
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the fact that you had Charizard vs. Shadow in round 3 should've been a red flag in more ways than one
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But Ness sucks dude.
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I mean I had Ness losing to Shadow too because Ness sucks but Shadow also sucks
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Listen I support 2B in all her endeavors

But there was no believe there. 2B was supposed to suck the most and that was supposed to be the weakest 4 pack of the bracket.
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LeonhartFour posted...

Cecil beats Yuna with 53.25%

Well this speaks poorly for Big Boss
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Man I took Shadow > Ness but still took 2B to round 3.
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2B at least had the potential to not suck though so I chose 2Blieve
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Hey he's back over 200.
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LeonhartFour posted...

so I chose 2Blieve

oh no
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Biggest lead of the match for Phoenix now.
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Yeah you look at that vote map this could get savage at night. Ike may be buried too far to even threaten a comeback.
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Yeah, more than likely once it gets to the day vote, all Phoenix will have to do is just stall. We haven't seen anyone make a furious charge with the day vote yet either.

Although this is potentially the setting where it could happen.
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If Ike actually pulled this out it might be the worst result of the contest.

At least most of those FF leads actually didn't stand a chance.
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Phoenix did pretty well even if he loses, all things considered

LeonhartFour posted...

AxemRedRanger posted...

shenmue poll of the day huh

yes now you get to see just how bad letting Ryo score 30% on Sora was

it's pretty bad yeah!
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LeonhartFour posted...

Yeah, more than likely once it gets to the day vote, all Phoenix will have to do is just stall. We haven't seen anyone make a furious charge with the day vote yet either.

It's strange that no one has made a serious charge with the traditional day vote considering that registered user votes reach their lowest point during this time. Any character who does very poorly with the registered users should perform better with the day vote, assuming that character is also strong in North America.

Of course, the registered user vote is also at the highest point during the Power Hour and still remains over 50% during the ENV, which may also explain Nintendo being so strong in the first few hours. It's possible for me to make a few trend charts without the bonus applied to see how much it really matters.
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Well, the registered votes usually favor Nintendo, and Nintendo has traditionally been the best during the day, too, so the effect may cancel itself out.

Sora did technically win the day vote outright from Red, for what that's worth.
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The registered voter effect is not very big. If there was a 6 percentage point difference between registered and unregistered voters, the difference between a 70-30 and 30-70 registered-unregistered split is about 2 percentage points.
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UltimaterializerX posted...

Which is so weird. I feel like KH is getting lumped in with FF and is punished for it.

It has nothing to do with 'being lumped' with FF. It's purely the fact that the KH franchise has been honeydicking their fans for the better part of a decade, and people finally stopped caring.
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It was really dumb of me to have Red beating Sora but somehow getting Riku to division finals

Difficult-looking legal books stand in a formidable row. They mock me. I tried reading one, and it made my head hurt. When I closed it, it slipped out of my hand. Then my foot hurt too.
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BlAcK TuRtLe posted...

honeydicking

Well there's a new phrase.

It's hard to read a lot into Round 4 yet, but I'm still liking my Kirby > Bowser pick through gritted teeth. Also hanging in there with the division winner beating Crono.
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Wow I just noticed Donkey Kong is gonna lose to Vivi for the third time.
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Only if he loses
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pjbasis posted...

Wow I just noticed Donkey Kong is gonna lose to Vivi for the third time.

poor DK. He's gotten so much stronger over a 16 year period since his first contest.
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300 vote barrier broken!
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Just wait until Edgeworth presents the updated report and it turns out Phoenix is actually leading by just 30.
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400 votes!

Man this is so weird.
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Yeah Phoenix is soaring
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