honestly it almost doesn't matter how bad the contest is (and for the record I don't think it will be bad at all) as long as fun stuff like the show is around.
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on 4ways: right now they have inherent flaws, but could be easily fixed by implementing approval voting! ~ToadYoshi 1. SoAL 2. MKW/64 3. FE7 4. TF2 5. FFCC
Mass Effect is one of the series I know best (it might be one of my five favorite series). Shep is just a huge underdog there. His partner and rivalry is nothing. Saren is nothing.
-- Yoblazer: http://i33.tinypic.com/ml36gl_th.gif Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
From: UItimaterializer | #081 Shepard beats Alucard 1 on 1 55-45, at least.
No, not even close. That only makes sense if you think Pikachu can 70/30 Magus or some crap. Shepard (post-ME2 Shepard) got 39% on Pikachu. Alucard can break 40% easily even in a day match.
-- Yoblazer: http://oi53.tinypic.com/2hd0dh1.jpg Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
Well, we finally got a general idea of the overall hype for this contest. Over 73% at the freeze for the last poll option, which should increase after the board vote dies down. This is already the least hyped contest ever just by looking at the freeze.
-- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ!
From: UItimaterializer | #077 Someone needs to explain why Alucard is going to magically beat Shepard in a day match. You people are out of your minds.
You have to be under the assumption that Shepard's strong enough to win in any format before you worry about him winning a day match.
Finally got around to listening to this one. I see that RPGlord mentioned me in that episode when he was talking about tips for the battle challenge.
When Ngamer talked about how it's important to do well in the battle challenge early in the contest if you want to win a prize, I have to disagree with him (RPGlord disagreed with Ngamer as well). Just like how RPGlord finished in 9th place in last year's battle challenge, I have experience as well because I finished in 18th place. I started out slow in last year's battle challenge, with a lot of my streaks being broken up by unexpected upsets like Deus Ex and Street Fighter IV. Once I got past the first few days of the contest, I built up a decent streak and banked 6600 points on Morrowind/Warcraft III. It wasn't until about half-way into round 1 that I was shocked at some of the huge streaks that some people on the leaderboard had.
So I knew I had to "man up" and get more aggressive with my picks. I knew I couldn't win if I'm constantly banking on every debatable match. I had to take a chance on some of the lesser debatable matches that I felt confident in, like ToS/God of War in round 2. Most of the damage I did in last year's battle challenge came from a 31 match streak that started near the end of round 1 and spanned about half of round 2. The 31 match streak was worth 49600 points and I finished at 70500 points. But after banking on a 31 match streak, I only gained 700 more points for the rest of the contest, thanks to late contest upsets from Shadow of the Colossus, Brawl, KH2, and Majora's Mask that kept breaking up any streak I tried to build up.
But with this contest being cut in half, getting a 31 match streak would be a lot more difficult compared to last year's contest which had 127 matches. You needed just barely over 50000 points to finish on the leaderboard in last year's contest, so you could realistically finish on this year's leaderboard if you have about 25000 points at the time you make a bet on the final match. And looking at the bracket for round 1, I feel confident in getting every match correct until Tidus/Bosses, where I would have a choice to bank 12000 points or extend the streak until Phoenix/Freeman where I could bank 21000 instead.
As for banking, I would only recommend doing that only if you are truly unsure of who will win the match. I don't recommend using it on matches that are weakly debated, such as Donkey Kong/Ezio or Fox/Yuna. Also, don't bank if you have a very small streak going, because you have little to lose by picking incorrectly. I wouldn't even consider banking until I at least get up to a 10 match streak. If you guess incorrectly on a match, do not bank the next match, even if it's highly debatable. In the unlikely chance that you feel there are 2 consecutive matches that are highly debatable, bank on the first one (if you have a huge streak) and make a guess on the second debated match. Overall, I banked a grand total of 4 times in the last contest and that was over 127 matches. If you want success in this contest, you shouldn't have to bank more than 5 times at the most (2 or 3 banked matches would be more ideal).
I got mentioned again in that episode when RPGlord gave me a shout out. Ngamer, I know about the computer mic issue and I'll see if I can make any progress with that when I plan on buying a new laptop soon.
-- Luster Soldier - Popular at school. ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
I was pretty much equal with Luster in the Battle Challenge for the longest time, and I did pretty much the exact same things. I only finished higher because I had a bad feeling on MGS4/SotC and decided to bank 10 minutes before the match.
So, here's my take on the battle challenge. Like everyone else, I'll say that you are certainly allowed to bank, but you have to be careful when you are banking. One aspect is obviously the match being debatable, but more important maybe, is looking at the matches after the one where you might bank. If the next 10 matches contain 4 debatable matches, chances are poor that you'll make it through the entire stretch safely, so you should probably bank on the first debatable match and play it safe. However, if you have an isolated debated match, followed by 15 easy matches, you'll just have to play it risky, as your wins can get that much bigger.
I'll probably try to get to Phoenix/Gordon without banking, and then put my 21000 in the bank. The next match is Alucard/Shepard which is also debatable, and Chell/Ness, Pac/Crash and Siegfried/Ramza are all really soon after, so that's too many risky matches for me to be confident in.
Also, I'd say don't bank anything less than a 10-match streak.
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http://images.wikia.com/finalfantasy/images/0/0e/Ffx-bahamut.jpg Support Bahamut if we ever get another real contest.
Personally I think Samus/Ridley is actually a good rivalry - better than something like Link/Ganondorf at least which is just a simple hero/villain rivalry.
Plus, I picked Half-Life 2 > Metroid Prime last year, and Samus shot some electricity at my back in exchange. Not going to underestimate her twice in a row.
To be fair, overestimating Half-Life 2 last year is also basically the reason why I have Freeman losing to Phoenix Wright this year.
I refuse to pick Link/Ganondorf to win the contest because it's just a hero/villain relationship in all Zelda games aside from Ocarina of Time and The Wind Waker, and let's see those two games:
Ocarina of Time - Appears in two short moments before Young Link goes to the Temple of Time, then doesn't appear until the final boss fight.
The Wind Waker - Appears for like one or two seconds at some random time early in the game, then comes into direct contact with Link ONE time before the final boss fight.
LOL. I am not picking this nonsense to win the contest.
On a side note, don't expect to see me here all that often over the next few weeks, in spite of me having just filled in a Guru Bracket for the first time ever. I really think it's best that I avoid GameFAQs as much as possible over the next few days, or even weeks.