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swirIdude 04/26/20 2:43:31 PM #51: |
Gall posted...
Nier will win. Sorry, but I picked Nier and I've gotten nearly every upset wrong so far. --- Advokaiser picked Cloud in Guru and rained on my bracket. At least I finished 20th overall! ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ctesjbuvf 04/26/20 2:51:52 PM #52: |
Leonhart4 posted...
Of course it would be Pokemon that kills me This is hilarious --- Guinness Book of World Records is the name of the diary that belongs to Advokaiser, the winner of the Character Battle X guru contest. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Safer_777 04/26/20 3:50:47 PM #53: |
If in the pic we have 2B doing the splits for example then Nier might win.
--- So why we exist? What happens when we stop existing? Nice job Hylian Knight 3, you were better than me in the Guru Contest! ... Copied to Clipboard!
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_SecretSquirrel 04/26/20 4:19:42 PM #54: |
Safer_777 posted...
If in the pic we have 2B doing the splits for example then Nier might win.Well, if we can get NieR into the next round, I can try to make her as sexy as possible with whatever I can justify submitting as official art. --- Agent Triple Zero at your service! This line reserved for the true greatone, the 2020 Guru contest winner. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Safer_777 04/26/20 4:23:33 PM #55: |
Oh nice. If Pokemon wins you can put a female gardevoir there right?
--- So why we exist? What happens when we stop existing? Nice job Hylian Knight 3, you were better than me in the Guru Contest! ... Copied to Clipboard!
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_SecretSquirrel 04/26/20 4:25:53 PM #56: |
Safer_777 posted...
Oh nice. If Pokemon wins you can put a female gardevoir there right?I ain't helping Pokemon, especially since it's going to eliminate me if it wins. --- Agent Triple Zero at your service! This line reserved for the true greatone, the 2020 Guru contest winner. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Safer_777 04/26/20 4:32:55 PM #57: |
Oh okay.
--- So why we exist? What happens when we stop existing? Nice job Hylian Knight 3, you were better than me in the Guru Contest! ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Dr_Football 04/26/20 10:41:39 PM #58: |
@SuperNiceDog in case you havent been tracking, if today's results hold, you'll be 16 points back of me with us having two 8 point differences left in our brackets
RE2 vs ME2 P4G vs Xeno (i had Fire Emblem) So if you get both of those right we tie and then are eliminated together once Persona 5 loses --- Advokaiser won the Guru. I did not. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Advokaiser 04/26/20 10:42:12 PM #59: |
Poor ffmasterjose
--- It's an honor being part of Board 8's community. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Advokaiser 04/26/20 10:48:06 PM #60: |
KamikazePotato posted...
That, and also that if I somehow won you would all be nominating my Most Recently Loved Thing That Wouldn't Normally Get In (Because It's Fodder) and none of you want The House in Fata Morgana getting an 8 seed. I'd be okay in trying to play Fata Morgana myself! But didn't you also traded all of your nominations in CBX to get the main character in? --- It's an honor being part of Board 8's community. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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azuarc 04/26/20 10:49:59 PM #61: |
Spreadsheet culled of dead gurus. You can still find yourself in the back-up pages if you want to see how you stack up and you've been eliminated.
--- VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; ... Copied to Clipboard!
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foolm0r0n 04/26/20 10:52:42 PM #62: |
Welp there goes Nier
Now I only have 1 last dark http://thengamer.com/guru/stats.php?match=126 --- _foolmo_ 2 + 2 = 4 ... Copied to Clipboard!
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SuperNiceDog 04/26/20 10:58:09 PM #63: |
Dr_Football posted...
@SuperNiceDog in case you havent been tracking, if today's results hold, you'll be 16 points back of me with us having two 8 point differences left in our brackets @Dr_Football ok!!! we need P5 to pull the miracle now lol --- SuperNiceChao about to win the Oracle 2020! TsunamiXXVIII and me will destroy all you noobs ... Copied to Clipboard!
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transcience 04/26/20 10:58:48 PM #64: |
covid-19 takes another life
--- add the c and back away iphonesience ... Copied to Clipboard!
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charmander6000 04/26/20 10:59:38 PM #65: |
So I need Skyrim > Persona 5 in the semi-finals and RE2 > ME2 to win (or both P4G > Xenoblade and TLoU > Dark Souls).
--- Game of the Decade 2 - Current Score: 164/184 Today's Picks: TESV: Skyrim and Pokemon HG/SS ... Copied to Clipboard!
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SuperNiceDog 04/26/20 11:00:59 PM #66: |
Is @Ngamer64 the favorite to win it all right now? It seems like it
--- SuperNiceChao about to win the Oracle 2020! TsunamiXXVIII and me will destroy all you noobs ... Copied to Clipboard!
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SuperNiceDog 04/26/20 11:01:35 PM #67: |
Kudos to everyone still alive right now, you have a great bracket if you are still alive in the Guru at this point.
--- SuperNiceChao about to win the Oracle 2020! TsunamiXXVIII and me will destroy all you noobs ... Copied to Clipboard!
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SuperNiceDog 04/26/20 11:03:29 PM #68: |
And then there were 46 @Seginustemple is still alive --- SuperNiceChao about to win the Oracle 2020! TsunamiXXVIII and me will destroy all you noobs ... Copied to Clipboard!
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MetalmindStats 04/26/20 11:24:12 PM #69: |
SuperNiceDog posted...
Kudos to everyone still alive right now, you have a great bracket if you are still alive in the Guru at this point.Or some wild upset pick or combination of upset picks that's still not strictly impossible at this point, either/or. If today's results hold, there's potentially no more than a dozen Gurus who can win it all, depending on exactly which permutations of post-break results you consider safe. --- "I believe in a universe that doesn't care, and people who do." You won the CBX Guru Contest, Advokaiser! Bully for you! ... Copied to Clipboard!
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azuarc 04/26/20 11:35:55 PM #70: |
SuperNiceDog posted...
Is @Ngamer64 the favorite to win it all right now? It seems like it If you believe Dark Souls will beat Skyrim, then yes. --- VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; ... Copied to Clipboard!
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charmander6000 04/27/20 12:05:44 AM #71: |
I think azuarc is the favourite if we go by who is currently favoured to win each match.
--- Game of the Decade 2 - Current Score: 164/184 Today's Picks: TESV: Skyrim and Pokemon HG/SS ... Copied to Clipboard!
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KamikazePotato 04/27/20 12:24:12 AM #72: |
Props to the guy with the balls to take Final Fantasy 14 over Skyrim.
Advokaiser posted... I'd be okay in trying to play Fata Morgana myself!Each one of those trades went to a worthy cause! --- It's Reyn Time. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ffmasterjose 04/27/20 12:38:40 AM #73: |
Advokaiser posted...
Poor ffmasterjose Yeah as it turns out taking Pokemon to win it all was a bad idea, LOL . ... Copied to Clipboard!
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INTERWEBUSER 04/27/20 1:09:01 AM #74: |
Does anyone know who has
1) won the most prizes (dollar value) 2) won a prize the most number of times 3) made the (end of contest) leaderboard the most number of times across all of the best character/game contests to date? --- PLAYSTATION 4: Best Console Ever | ROCKSTAR: Best Developer Ever Trolling (v.): Posting an opinion that differs from yours ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Ringworm 04/27/20 1:30:48 AM #75: |
SuperNiceDog posted...
Kudos to everyone still alive right now, you have a great bracket if you are still alive in the Guru at this point.Looking at my bracket, this is incorrect. It would take a miracle for me to win this. I'm glad that I have survived this far, but I think I need both P4G and TLoU to get upset wins now in the next round to survive to the final 8. P5 > The Witcher, then Skyrim > P5 after that and I may be in with a shot, but that's very unlikely to happen. --- ~ Ringworm ~ Congrats to Advokaiser - Guru champion - CBX ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Ngamer64 04/27/20 3:18:23 AM #76: |
INTERWEBUSER posted...
Does anyone know who hasNot sure on number one, but I'm pretty sure yoblazer is in the lead for two and three. If historical results are your thing, I recommend giving this topic a look: https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/78552275 The spreadsheet in there show the most successful pickers ever from this board. The first tab is by total points, but the third tab shows the average through all the years and would be best for seeing who has the most long-term accuracy. --- Advo bested even The Show hosts in 2018, yowza! board8.wikia.com | thengamer.com/xstats ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ZeldaTPLink 04/27/20 8:12:54 AM #77: |
My bracket continues to live despite having nier today.
The problem is that it continues to need Skyrim in the finals. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Safer_777 04/27/20 9:21:10 AM #78: |
So either Azuarc or Ngamer if nothing crazy happens?
--- So why we exist? What happens when we stop existing? Nice job Hylian Knight 3, you were better than me in the Guru Contest! ... Copied to Clipboard!
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charmander6000 04/27/20 10:07:20 AM #79: |
Depends what you mean by nothing crazy.
While the favourite, Witcher 3 isn't a lock to make the final. Plus a lot of round 4 matches are up in the air, including SSBU/SMO which is essentially a 24-point match. --- Game of the Decade 2 - Current Score: 164/184 Today's Picks: TESV: Skyrim and Pokemon HG/SS ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ZeldaTPLink 04/27/20 11:25:12 AM #80: |
I've made an updated version of that table by transience. Assuming Pokemon wins today's match. I added the Dark Souls vs Skyrim semi-finals match, as well as the possibility of any of Witcher/Souls/Skyrim getting to the finals.
This assumes the rest of that bracket goes the following way: BotW ??? ??? ??? Witcher Persona Dark Souls Skyrim BotW Mario/Smash Witcher ??? BotW ??? BotW ... Copied to Clipboard!
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LeonhartFour 04/27/20 11:27:03 AM #81: |
COVID-19 has the most permutations oh no
they all depend on Dark Souls getting to the finals though so we're probably okay ...right? --- ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ZeldaTPLink 04/27/20 11:29:31 AM #82: |
It seems COVID-19 wins every senario where Dark Souls getting to the finals. Testing in azuarc's simulator, the only way I found where they lose in that case is with a combination of Dark Souls > Breath of the Wild and Persona 5 > The Witcher (or Persona 5 > God of War).
Aside from that, Ngamer and gravy have the most winning scenarios. Both needs Witcher in the finals, but with different combinations in the previous 4 matches giving the win to either of them, or to other people. If Skyrim is in the finals, transience is the most likely winner, but there are a few other possible ones. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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transience 04/27/20 11:34:44 AM #83: |
I was going to update with the same options, so thanks for saving me some time! I still like azuarc.
--- xyzzy ... Copied to Clipboard!
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The Mana Sword 04/27/20 11:37:56 AM #84: |
... Copied to Clipboard!
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charmander6000 04/27/20 11:42:55 AM #86: |
To expand above...
Since we have a week break I'm going to create a series where I find the guru winners based on a certain bracket outcome. Since there are still over 32k permutations I'm going to limit things by assuming no rallying and thus assuming BotW will win the bracket (sorry non-BotW brackets). I will also assume the winner of SSBU/SMO will defeat the winner of Xenoblade/P4G. Everything else I can see at the very least a small upset chance. I'll split things up based on the second semi-final match result (Witcher 3 > Skyrim for example) so each post will have 32 permutations (the five free moving fourth round matches). The "cookie" bracket follows the current cookie with the exception of division 4 where Xenoblade Chronicles > Persona 4 Golden is the new cookie pick. --- Game of the Decade 2 - Current Score: 164/184 Today's Picks: TESV: Skyrim and Pokemon HG/SS ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ZeldaTPLink 04/27/20 11:44:44 AM #87: |
If we assume Xenoblade is the heavy favorite to win Division 4 (which I personally think it is) and remove the Dark Souls in the finals scenarios, this is what it looks like:
So yeah, azuarc emerges as the favorite, followed by NG and squexa. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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paulg235 04/27/20 11:49:18 AM #88: |
What are the likeliest outcomes if Portal 2 wins over Persona 5?
--- PaulG235 | "But if any man be ignorant, let him be ignorant." This line is currently being vacanted by supreme Guru Advokaiser ... Copied to Clipboard!
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azuarc 04/27/20 11:51:05 AM #89: |
transience posted...
I still like azuarc. Daww, thanks. You're pretty swell, too. --- VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; ... Copied to Clipboard!
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CaptainOfCrush 04/27/20 11:53:23 AM #90: |
IMO, Dark Souls in the finals is at least as likely as P4G over Xenoblade at this point.
--- Yoblazer https://imgur.com/gByqgPg ... Copied to Clipboard!
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transcience 04/27/20 11:54:45 AM #91: |
I think its about as likely as Persona 5 over Dark Souls, personally. MK8 likely beats MGS5.
--- add the c and back away iphonesience ... Copied to Clipboard!
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charmander6000 04/27/20 11:56:10 AM #92: |
A Witcher 3 > Skyrim Semi-Final Result
If the gurus had a second chance to redo their bracket I imagine most would now have Witcher 3 winning the contest. Should Skyrim also reach the semi-final things look good for azuarc whom not only has the cookie round 4 picks, but can also win with a few single or two wrong picks. The user with the most permutations though is JONALEON1 whom wins 12/16 scenarios should TLOU defeat Dark Souls. Gravy is in a similar boat with SMO > SSBU where he has eight scenarios, but needs an additional upset to go his way to finish ahead of azuarc. The remaining six permutations are split between three users, Furious Fura is in a good position to win in this scenario as he only needs P4G to win its match while Glenn_and_Toad and Hbthebattle need P4G along with other upsets. azuarc (6) Cookie RE2 SMO Portal 2 RE2/Portal 2 SMO/Portal 2 JONALEON1 (12) TLOU RE2/TLOU SMO/TLOU P4G/TLOU Portal 2/TLOU RE2/SMO/TLOU RE2/Portal 2/TLOU SMO/P4G/TLOU SMO/Portal 2/TLOU P4G/Portal 2/TLOU RE2/SMO/Portal 2/TLOU SMO/P4G/Portal 2/TLOU gravy (8) RE2/SMO SMO/P4G RE2/SMO/P4G RE2/SMO/Portal 2 SMO/P4G/Portal 2 RE2/SMO/P4G/Portal 2 RE2/SMO/P4G/TLOU RE2/SMO/P4G/Portal 2/TLOU Furious Fura (2) P4G P4G/Portal 2 Glenn_and_Toad (2) RE2/P4G/TLOU RE2/P4G/Portal 2/TLOU Hbthebattle (2) RE2/P4G RE2/P4G/Portal 2 --- Game of the Decade 2 - Current Score: 164/184 Today's Picks: TESV: Skyrim and Pokemon HG/SS ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ZeldaTPLink 04/27/20 12:09:19 PM #93: |
paulg235 posted...
What are the likeliest outcomes if Portal 2 wins over Persona 5? I didn't make another full table, but I did some tests and basically add more victories to Ngamer64, particularly in those scenarios where RE2 wins which would cause him to be eliminated, but thanks to having Portal 2 he is back to winning. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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charmander6000 04/27/20 12:21:17 PM #94: |
A Witcher 3 > Dark Souls Semi-Final Result
Personally I would rank this as the second most likely semi-final result. Should this happen Ngamer would be looking good as he holds 24/32 permutations. One that is missing however is RE2 > ME2 which isn't a farfetched result. Should that occur squexa will win. Squexa has a few other options including a few with HGSS > Skyrim scenarios. Despite taking NieR > HGSS, preventing Ngamer from collecting points is also beneficial. After that The Mana Sword has a single way to win outright and will tie with gravy in a different scenario. Ngamer (24) Cookie SMO P4G Portal 2 HGSS RE2/Portal 2 SMO/P4G SMO/Portal 2 SMO/HGSS P4G/Portal 2 P4G/HGSS Portal 2/HGSS RE2/SMO/Portal 2 RE2/P4G/Portal 2 RE2/Portal 2/HGSS SMO/P4G/Portal 2 SMO/P4G/HGSS SMO/Portal 2/HGSS P4G/Portal 2/HGSS RE2/SMO/P4G/Portal 2 RE2/SMO/Portal 2/HGSS RE2/P4G/Portal 2/HGSS SMO/P4G/Portal 2/HGSS RE2/SMO/P4G/Portal 2/HGSS squexa (6) RE2 RE2/SMO RE2/HGSS RE2/SMO/HGSS RE2/P4G/HGSS RE2/SMO/P4G/HGSS The Mana Sword (1) RE2/P4G The Mana Sword/gravy (1) RE2/SMO/P4G --- Game of the Decade 2 - Current Score: 164/184 Today's Picks: TESV: Skyrim and Pokemon HG/SS ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ZeldaTPLink 04/27/20 12:25:43 PM #95: |
Oh so one of my "gravy winning" scenarios was actually a "Mana Sword tied with gravy" scenario. My bad, guys.
Mana Sword is the only one with a viable tiebreaker so he's the winner here. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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charmander6000 04/27/20 12:46:06 PM #96: |
A Persona 5 > Skyrim Semi-Final Result
After Witcher 3 I feel the next favourite to reach the final is up in the air. Just going to go with a relatively simple one as only three gurus had Persona 5 reach the final. This section only has two scenarios, either a Dr_Football victory or a Dr_Football and SuperNiceDog tie. Dr_Football will win should one of RE2 > ME2 or P4G > Xenoblade happen. All other scenarios result in a tie. Dr_Football/SuperNiceDog (8) Cookie SMO GoW TLOU SMO/GoW SMO/TLOU GoW/TLOU SMO/GoW/TLOU Dr_Football (24) RE2 P4G RE2/SMO RE2/P4G RE2/GoW RE2/TLOU SMO/P4G P4G/GoW P4G/TLOU RE2/SMO/P4G RE2/SMO/GoW RE2/SMO/TLOU RE2/P4G/GoW RE2/P4G/TLOU RE2/GoW/TLOU SMO/P4G/GoW SMO/P4G/TLOU P4G/GoW/TLOU RE2/SMO/P4G/GoW RE2/SMO/P4G/TLOU RE2/SMO/GoW/TLOU RE2/P4G/GoW/TLOU SMO/P4G/GoW/TLOU RE2/SMO/P4G/GoW/TLOU --- Game of the Decade 2 - Current Score: 164/184 Today's Picks: TESV: Skyrim and Pokemon HG/SS ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Dr_Football 04/27/20 12:54:47 PM #97: |
aww yeah lets go Persona
--- Advokaiser won the Guru. I did not. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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charmander6000 04/27/20 12:59:52 PM #98: |
A Persona 5 > Dark Souls Semi-Final Result
Finishing up for now. Nothing changes should Dark Souls lose to Persona 5 instead of Skyrim. Dr_Football wins and ties SuperNiceDog in the same scenarios as above. Dr_Football/SuperNiceDog (8) Cookie SMO GoW TLOU SMO/GoW SMO/TLOU GoW/TLOU SMO/GoW/TLOU Dr_Football (24) RE2 P4G RE2/SMO RE2/P4G RE2/GoW RE2/TLOU SMO/P4G P4G/GoW P4G/TLOU RE2/SMO/P4G RE2/SMO/GoW RE2/SMO/TLOU RE2/P4G/GoW RE2/P4G/TLOU RE2/GoW/TLOU SMO/P4G/GoW SMO/P4G/TLOU P4G/GoW/TLOU RE2/SMO/P4G/GoW RE2/SMO/P4G/TLOU RE2/SMO/GoW/TLOU RE2/P4G/GoW/TLOU SMO/P4G/GoW/TLOU RE2/SMO/P4G/GoW/TLOU --- Game of the Decade 2 - Current Score: 164/184 Today's Picks: TESV: Skyrim and Pokemon HG/SS ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Advokaiser 04/27/20 3:02:43 PM #99: |
wat do i need to win guyse
--- It's an honor being part of Board 8's community. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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charmander6000 04/27/20 3:25:26 PM #100: |
Advokaiser posted...
wat do i need to win guyse I'll tell you during the next update (writing it now). --- Game of the Decade 2 - Current Score: 164/184 Today's Picks: TESV: Skyrim and Pokemon HG/SS ... Copied to Clipboard!
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azuarc 04/27/20 3:32:08 PM #101: |
Advokaiser posted...
wat do i need to win guyse At a glance, it looks like: ME2 > RE2 XBC > P4 TLOU > DS Skyrim to reach finals --- VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; ... Copied to Clipboard!
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