Board 8 > Character Battle X Contest Analysis Crew - Part 6

Topic List
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transcience
11/15/18 9:56:56 AM
#251:


Seph and Ryu recovered pretty nicely after an awful start. Im not sure that Ill trust any early result from them.

I wouldnt want to have Tifa in my bracket with 9 hours to go, I think
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iphonesience
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handsomeboy2012
11/15/18 10:44:27 AM
#252:


Leon trying to outdo Guests I see
Still, go Vivi
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transcience
11/15/18 2:16:42 PM
#253:


finally

this is the most painful comeback ever
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iphonesience
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Lopen
11/15/18 4:54:22 PM
#254:


Lopen's Unofficial Analysisx2

Vivi vs Ganondorf
I want to believe in Vivi but I just can't. ZELDA will pull through when the going gets tough. I think this one is going to be more interesting for speculating on Vivi vs Dante what may have been than as an actual match. Vivi is probably vaguely stronger than Dante this year, but probably not enough to make it not a debatable match.

Ganondorf with 55.87%

Pikachu vs Zero

Pikachu has just looked stronger here, and unlike with Yoshi I don't feel Zero is the type to exploit anything regarding fanbase overlaps (also Yoshi failed to do so anyway) so yeah. See ya later Zero.

Pikachu with 56.41%
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pjbasis
11/15/18 4:59:57 PM
#255:


Man if ganon wins easily.

Fuck chun li for giving me hope
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KommunistKoala
11/15/18 5:07:42 PM
#256:


DK over Dante would definitely be some dark times for this contest and that's after DK already beat Leon
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RoseChevalier
11/15/18 5:43:23 PM
#257:


RoseChevalier posted...
Tifa Lockheart50% 320
Mega Man X50% 320
TOTAL VOTES640

this is great

DIVISION 7 SEMIFINAL: TIFA VS. MEGA MAN X
Tifa Lockheart50% 15425
Mega Man X50% 15425
TOTAL VOTES30850

imagine that
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MasterMoltar
11/15/18 5:44:11 PM
#258:


Round 4: Division Finals Zero vs. Pikachu

Moltars Analysis

Zero
Round 1 - 74.18% vs. Primrose
Round 2 - 56.15% vs. Knuckles the Echidna
Round 3 - 60.25% vs. Wario

Pikachu
Round 1 - 66.41% vs. Scorpion
Round 2 - 63.41% vs. Kratos
Round 3 - 54.80% vs. Yoshi

60% on Wario vs. 55% on Yoshi hmmmmmmmmmm (i like doing this its fun okay)

For a Division final match, theres not much to say here if youve been paying attention to the contest. Pikachu has put up three strong performances in a row and shown himself to be one of the strongest remaining characters left in this bracket. Zero did not impress against both Knuckles and Wario, and simply just has looked a step below the rat all contest.

I mean I wouldve taken Yoshi over Zero here too, so if he can manage to break 45% on Pikachu, Id be impressed.

Moltars Bracket: Yoshi (whoops)

Moltars Prediction: Pikachu 57%

transiences Analysis

Mega Man X is currently going neck and neck with Tifa, which is pretty good for a second rate Mega Man. (those polls showing X over classic are just wrong, from a contest perspective.) Zero is a step below X - not a huge step, but enough of one that he's not threatening Tifa. I'm not sure if Zero could even threaten Yoshi. Probably not? It's debatable.

Pikachu didn't slam Yoshi but he also didn't really struggle with him outside of the first five-ish minutes. I think Zero goes down a little bit easier than Yoshi -- something about his second party-ness makes him a little easier to run up the numbers. Yoshi's always been a dude who isn't great, but you can't kill him unless you're legit Nintendo.

Then again, Zero's one Nintendo 1v1 match (!) was a close loss to Luigi. So maybe he does do okay here despite everyone picking the other way?

Oh, and that movie trailer does nothing. This is gamefaqs, the land of 30 year olds..

transience's prediction: Pikachu with 56.12%

Leonharts Analysis

I think Pikachu looked a little vulnerable against Yoshi last round. I expected him to do a little better than that because I think Yoshi hasnt been that strong in a while. That being said, Zero hasnt really put up a performance that makes you think he could be the one to take down the rat. Barely staying above 60% on Wario is certainly not encouraging. Knuckles would have to be able to give Yoshi a good fight, and as much as Id love to see that, Im not totally buying it. I think Zero keeps it respectable but ultimately comes up short.

Leonharts Vote: Zero

Leonharts Prediction: Pikachu with 52.42%

Kleenexs Analysis

I thought Pikachu actually started out the match against Yoshi looking kinda weak, but he recovered a few percentage points over the course of the day and ended in a reasonable spot. Zero has looked...wellfine. I dont think hes ever looked outright bad, but none of his first three rounds had me going yeah, this guy can definitely win this division. Could it happen? Sure, I dont think these two are that far off in strength, but Pikachu has just looked a little better in my eyes. I actually think I may have taken Yoshi over Zero as well, so I expect the rat to coast as much as you can consider winning with like 53% coasting.

Kleenexs Prediction: Pikachu with 53%

Crew Consensus: Lets Go Pikachu
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transience
11/15/18 6:03:10 PM
#259:


haha extha is rallying for tifa on reddit

that's hilarious given how anti-reddit he claims to be
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xyzzy
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TsunamiXXVIII
11/15/18 6:06:13 PM
#260:


Ah, I sent in my analysis. Forgot to send it in initially.
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The Mana Sword
11/15/18 6:15:15 PM
#261:


Im getting old, I cant even appreciate rallying for gamefaqs contests on hentai forums anymore
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transcience
11/15/18 6:20:38 PM
#262:


this is definitely an all time match if it happens in the 2000s
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iphonesience
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TsunamiXXVIII
11/15/18 6:56:02 PM
#263:


Tsunamis Analysis

Oh, look, heres a test of Pikas chances now! Zeros 2013 raw number should be hidden behind SFF from Mega Man and I dont trust adjusted X-stats since the adjustments are complete guessworkbut then again, Pikachus raw numbers probably arent any better! Then again, 2010s raw numbers literally have Zero ahead of Mega Man, because Mario SFFs anything thats ever been on a Nintendo system and Zeros raw number for 2010 is probably fairly accurate. Which is to say that its still meaningless because that was close to nine years ago. So lets compare this years performances!

Zero:
R1: 74.18% on Primrose
R2: 56.15% on Knuckles
R3: 60.25% on Wario

Pikachu:

R1: 66.41% on Scorpion
R2: 63.41% on Kratos
R3: 54.8% on Yoshi

Thatshonestly not that helpful! Pikachus first two performances look really nice because both Scorpion and Kratos are proven midcarderssort of. Actually, Scorpion has faced Zero in a 1v1 before, way back in 2003, and got a better percentage. I dont know what that means for this however since I expect that both Scorpion and Zero are weaker now than they were in 2003! I feel like the fact that Scorpion also lost to a Samus-SFFed Yoshi might be relevant somehow. Kratos definitely seems weaker than he used to be, as well, losing to Jill in 2013 after beating her twice in 2008. But what about Zeros performances? He started out by blowing out a new character, which means we have no way of knowing how impressive a win it was, and then handled Knuckles which isI guess thats a solid win? Knuckles is probably stronger than either of Pikachus first two opponents but weaker than his third, so getting a lower percentage than Pika got in each of the first two rounds isnt itself damningbut Knux isnt that much stronger than Scorpion or Kratos. Which brings us to Round 3. Is Wario stronger than Scorpion and Kratos? I doubt it, although my instincts are wondering why Kratos is even stronger than Scorpion to begin with. Maybe I need to look at the other matches going on on any given daynope, Ive got nothing. More over, is there any character thats had more fortunate bracket placement than Wario? Gets placed into an SFF-fest in 2007 allowing him to pick up his first win (actually a second-place finish, but fourways), then gets some seriously weak foes in 2008 and 2013 and gets the benefit of actually being on the right side of SFF again in Round 2 this year. Outside of rally targets like Draven, Wario might be one of the least impressive characters to have a non-losing record (hes 5-5 now). I guess possibly there were some characters that only made one contest and managed to reach Round 2 that would challenge him for that title, but whatever; hes managed to get 5 wins, 3 of them in years where a win requires finishing ahead of two characters, and really only has one win of any valuebeating out Captain Falcon for second place behind Fox in 2007. (Are we even certain that Fox could beat Falcon 1v1 now? He probably could, but itd be debatable.)

Ah, but Im getting distracted from the real issue here, which is the percentage on this match! And unless Primrose isnt total fodder (which I doubt since new characters are usually overseeded and Primrose was only a 16-seed as a newbie), its clear that Pikachu was much more impressive than Zero, and also that he was probably rSFFed by Yoshi. Its two matches per day now, so lets see how the other match might affect this onecool, its Vivi-Ganondorf. That should definitely favor Pikachu, since Vivi himself was a rally target in 2013 (which favors Pokmon) and Ganondorf is Nintendo (like Pokmon). The dreams alive!

Pikachu with 60.45%

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transience
11/15/18 6:58:20 PM
#264:


I kinda like Zero to overperform here
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xyzzy
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transience
11/15/18 7:01:20 PM
#265:


yeah DK beats Ganondorf this makes sense
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xyzzy
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Lopen
11/15/18 7:06:06 PM
#266:


Vivi's probably just stomping the rally overflow. I would love to see this hold but I doubt it.
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transience
11/15/18 7:06:34 PM
#267:


yeah Vivi's gonna fall off in 5 or 10 minutes

Zero, though, could make some noise
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xyzzy
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transcience
11/15/18 7:41:25 PM
#268:


Vivi wont win but hes doing great here. DK = Dante indeed
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iphonesience
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The Mana Sword
11/15/18 7:42:20 PM
#269:


wait a damn minute

am I reading these results wrong or did kosmos have more brackets than ryu
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Ranticoot
11/15/18 7:44:32 PM
#270:


The Mana Sword posted...
wait a damn minute

am I reading these results wrong or did kosmos have more brackets than ryu

the number that's not Ryu is just the number of brackets that picked someone else I believe

so that number next to KOS-MOS counts picks for Shepard/Lloyd/K. Rool/Quiet/Aqua/Ellie as well
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th3l3fty
11/15/18 7:45:03 PM
#271:


the stats are kinda goofy - it shows how many picked them and how many didn't pick them

so yes, you're reading them wrong, but it's not your fault
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The Mana Sword
11/15/18 7:45:40 PM
#272:


even then, that still seems wrong!
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transcience
11/15/18 7:48:42 PM
#273:


I blame seeding plus Shepard

look at 2B
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iphonesience
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LeonhartFour
11/15/18 9:42:03 PM
#274:


handsomeboy2012 posted...
Leon trying to outdo Guests I see
Still, go Vivi


hey it looked good for about 30 minutes...!
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LeonhartFour
11/15/18 11:12:13 PM
#275:


Division 7

Luigi 50.00%
Frog 38.37%
Miles Tails Prower 30.35%
Master Chief 27.02%
Nathan Drake 26.26%
Miles Edgeworth 22.53%
Monokuma 18.13%
Goro Majima 16.75%

Tifa Lockhart 50.00%
Mega Man X 49.82%
Mewtwo 41.90%
Revolver Ocelot 31.48%
GlaDOS 31.44%
King Dedede 31.17%
Geno 26.81%
Isabelle 19.28%

Division 8

Sephiroth 50.00%
Amaterasu 38.63%
Captain Falcon 35.07%
Lara Croft 34.84%
Albert Wesker 29.72%
Richter Belmont 27.78%
Metal Man 22.37%
Draven 9.16%

Ryu 50.00%
KOS-MOS 34.93%
Commander Shepard 33.45%
King K. Rool 32.63%
Ellie 31.82%
Lloyd Irving 31.56%
Aqua 29.77%
Quiet 21.37%

Assuming Ocelot = GlaDOS was pretty much right on the money...!
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Master Moltar
11/16/18 12:48:53 AM
#276:


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7346

In what seems like an easy match for him to do well in, Luigi puts away Tails with nearly 70%. Beating up on Chief and Drake, who were gonna be weak in this anti-western GameFAQs environment, didn't make Tails any stronger than he seemed to be after all these years. Luigi needed a strong win going into the division finals (even though he's looked fine all contest before this), and I think this counts as one.

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7347

Two characters that are pretty much dead even went 50/50 for the entire day in what will go down as a legendary match in these contests. Tifa barely captured victory in the end thanks to a rally from...

...

...

WHAT

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7348

Seph doesn't look too great against Ammy. After what looked to be a good performance on Falcon last round, and after seeing Amaterasu 55/45 Lara Croft, it seemed like Sephiroth could have a better showing. Ammy is pretty legit though, and it makes sense for Lara to look better this year too.

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7349

Ryu does fine against KOS-MOS. Not much to say here other than I don't think many would have taken her over Shepard pre-contest.

Crew Predictions: 99/112

Next Round Thoughts: Luigi/Tifa is definitely going to get some talk as there's a good case for both sides. Seph/Ryu looks like Seph's match to lose, but the upset potential is definitely there.

Crew Prediction Challenge:

Moltar: 97
transience: 95
Kleenex: 91
Leonhart: 91
Guest: 86

Crew Accuracy Challenge: Moltar gets the point for Luigi, TsunamiXXVIII gets the point for Tifa, SuperNiceDog gets the point for Sephiroth, and Kleenex get the point for Ryu.

Kleenex: 27
Guest: 26 (BetrayedTangy, SuperNiceDog (4), pjbasis, garetha200 (4), ZenOfThunder, Ranticoot (2), Hbthebattle (2), NowItsAngeTime, spooky96, RoseChevalier, Lopen (2), paulg235, DoctorJimmy133, Janus5k, BT, paulg235, TsunamiXXVIII)
transience: 25
Moltar: 19
Leonhart: 17
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Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
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Mac Arrowny
11/16/18 1:51:58 AM
#277:


What does Ryu get on Seph if we assume KOS-MOS = Lara? I feel like that would've been a somewhat debated match pre-contest...
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LeonhartFour
11/16/18 6:52:15 AM
#278:


Mac Arrowny posted...
What does Ryu get on Seph if we assume KOS-MOS = Lara? I feel like that would've been a somewhat debated match pre-contest...


Seph wins with 50.13%

that shouldn't be a debated match though because Lara's better than people think
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Master Moltar
11/16/18 9:35:30 AM
#279:


Round 4: Division Finals Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Alucard

Moltars Analysis

Red
Round 1 - 75.32% vs. Neptune
Round 2 - 50.90% vs. Sora
Round 3 - 52.18% vs. Big Boss

Alucard
Round 1 - 56.81% vs. Princess Peach
Round 2 - 59.62% vs. Yuna
Round 3 - 59.44% vs. Kefka

If this match is about momentum, then youve got to give it to Alucard. Nintendo? Square? He dont care. Hes put up three good performances so far against pretty respectable competition. A lot of people have jumped on the bandwagon and think hes going to win the division now.

Red could be legit? I mean youd have to assume that Sora is still really strong, Big Boss is also still really strong, ignore all the other bad KH and MGS performances, think that Crash is like an upper-midcarder, and probably some other things that Im forgetting about.

Ill take the former there.

As foretold by The Plan.

Moltars Bracket: Sora (believe)

Moltars Prediction: Alucard 53%

transiences Analysis

Pre-contest, the top half of the bracket looked clearly stronger than the bottom. The main debate was Sora/Big Boss, which in my mind was a repeat of Snake/Sora from 2005 which was one of the great beatdowns of all time thanks to probably the biggest pic advantage in contest history. It would come down to what picture Big Boss would get, but by round 3 we're usually making pictures so it would likely be something to play for. (contrary to most, I actually really like that we stuck with the same pictures for 3 rounds, the same ones we made brackets around. I grow exhausted of people complaining about pictures every day for a month.)

Well, Sora sucked, which was somewhat predictable, and Big Boss sucked, which was also reasonably predictable. In that case, Red has a shot at things. Pokemon went wild the last contest and I think like 4 Pokemon were in the final 9? If that were to happen again, I could see Red upending everyone. However, that didn't happen this time -- Pikachu looks strong, but Charizard bombed against Terra and Mewtwo went down easy to Tifa. I don't trust human Pokemon characters and when you get an extrapolated 55% on Crash, I have a hard time believing.

Even with seemingly everyone sucking from the top half of the division, I would probably still pick them over the bottom half, where you have a lot of perennial underachievers. Kefka can go down to anyone. It's hard to believe in L-Block in 2018. Alucard has a ton of contest bombs to his name. Nobody really likes Peach. Yuna's kind of aggressively average.

But here comes Alucard, impressing every round. I believed in him over Peach, but it was more about Peach than Alucard. He did well, but he didn't shock me. But then he demolished Yuna and put Kefka down in much the same way. Turns out, Peach was actually his toughest comp so far, and Alucard beat her harder than Red would beat Crash. Alucard looks very clearly stronger than Big Boss so far and while it's always a little tough to gauge Red, I don't think he's significantly above someone like Peach. Even his little bro contest wise, Simon, looked pretty good. I think Alucard takes this one, and he might take it easily. It's a shocking result from a shocking division where everyone just kind of sucks. Everyone but Alucard.

transience's prediction: Alucard with 53.55%
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Moltar Status: contest hype
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Master Moltar
11/16/18 9:35:34 AM
#280:


Leonharts Analysis

Of all the characters who have hulked up this contest, none of them surprises me more than Alucard. Theres at least an explanation for Nintendo being stronger this contest, but Alucard? I dont get it. Is he getting some sort of nostalgia boost like Chrono Trigger did? Who knows! Either way, I think hes going to expose Red pretty badly here. He didnt get here on his strength. He got here because his opponents sucked more than he did. Alucards going to make it clear that 2010 Red was reality and 2013 Red was the illusion.

Leonharts Vote: Alucard

Leonharts Prediction: Alucard with 57.98%

Kleenexs Analysis

This has definitely been a breakout performance for Alucard. Hes always been in that midcarder status, but has had some hiccups over the years. This year, he finally put it all together (with a favorable bracket position, to be fair) and is not poised to make it to the legends bracket. Only some dumb Pokemon trainer stands in his way.

I think Alucard actually has this one in the bag. MGSs standing this year is still a bit in flux, but Red did not look good against Big Boss last round. Maybe Red, Big Boss and Sora are all roughly the same strength now, I dunno, but something about how that 8-pack went down doesnt pass the smell test for me. Not trying to question the legitimacy of the result, just that Id take what they say about the characters that participated with a grain of salt. Alucard has put away all of his opponents with relative ease, and I actually expect him to do the same to Red today.

Kleenexs Prediction: Alucard with 56%

Guests Analysis - War

There is one very simple reason why Red cannot win this match.

It is my buddy Cecil.

Unless this is Kefka's greatest trick, which is not impossible because it's Kefka, Cecil should not beat him.

I can buy into a lot of wacky upsets.

I can buy into the possibility that Peach would be competitive with Sora and Big Boss.

Cecil is not beating Kefka.

If Cecil beats Kefka, then Cecil probably beats Charizard. I am also not buying into this.

This is why Alucard has to win, and he has to win by a lot because every point closer to Kefka feels completely off.

So let's just roll with Peach very slightly above Red, and if Alucard and Aloy switched places we'd be looking at Peach vs. Cloud.

This division was really dumb. Damn you Cecil, and damn you laughing clown.

Alucard with 56.82%

Crew Consensus: Alucard finally wins a division.
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Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
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The Mana Sword
11/16/18 9:37:42 AM
#281:


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TheKoolAidShoto
11/16/18 9:59:07 AM
#282:


crew curse is all part of The Plan
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Hbthebattle
11/16/18 10:04:30 AM
#283:


Alucards boost is almost certainly because of Netflix.
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ZeldaTPLink
11/16/18 10:33:45 AM
#284:


Doesn't look like a crew curse that much tbh. I feel like the curse happens when the analysts are feeling unsure. Case in point: Fox vs Aerith.

Alucard is legit.
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Safer_777
11/16/18 10:35:34 AM
#285:


Netflix boost factor confirmed! Also I said that term back in Alucard's 2nd match so you can thank me for that.
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TsunamiXXVIII
11/16/18 11:01:54 AM
#286:


Wow. Did not realize we were already at the point where a Red victory would put Cecil ahead of Kefka in the X-Stats.
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pjbasis
11/16/18 1:11:37 PM
#287:


Castlevania is Nintendo we just never realized it.
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LinkMarioSamus
11/16/18 1:17:54 PM
#288:


Yeah there seems like a general Castlevania resurgence, probably due to the Smash inclusions and the Netflix series.

I thought Alucard would be fine since SOTN did well in the games contest. Kind of puzzled why people thought he'd be weaker. Maybe it's because in the mid-2000's he seemed to be on the decline, but for whatever reason he turned it around afterwards. He hasn't had a particularly bad contest since 2007 (depends on whether almost losing to Captain Falcon is an indictment on Alucard's strength).
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Big Bob
11/16/18 1:30:01 PM
#289:


Master Moltar posted...

Crew Consensus: Alucard finally wins a division.

Well, Alucard and Dracula DID win that rivals division...
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MasterMoltar
11/16/18 2:45:34 PM
#290:


the what now
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KamikazePotato
11/16/18 2:47:51 PM
#291:


Master Moltar posted...
Crew Consensus: Alucard finally wins a division.


AUsbvA9
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Lopen
11/16/18 5:38:52 PM
#292:


Lopen's Unofficial Analysis x1

Alucard vs Red
Alucard is looking monster. That being said I still stand by Alucard SFFing Yuna and yeah I guess Kefka too. I think this whole division is going to be huge upset fodder next contest because while Alucard won't be in danger Alucard's half is probably going to be disrespected when he doesn't beat Red by a ton.

Alucard with 53.09%
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MasterMoltar
11/16/18 5:54:56 PM
#293:


Round 4: Division Finals Bowser vs. Kirby

Moltars Analysis

Bowser
Round 1 - 77.39% vs. Gordon Freeman
Round 2 - 56.55% vs. Charizard
Round 3 - 58.19% vs. 2B

Kirby
Round 1 - 74.54% vs. Guile
Round 2 - 70.29% vs. Isaac
Round 3 - 68.31% vs. Phoenix Wright

I usually have a lot of faith in Kirby in these contests, and he usually actually lives up to it (and now i see i have him losing to sora later whoops). Before this contest, I took him to win this division without a sweat, and hes still on course to deliver. All of his performances have been great, and hes looked like one of the biggest stars of the contest so far.

Bowser was doing fine, but that Round 3 result against 2B is a tough pill to swallow. I can buy 2B being good, but I definitely cant see her and Charizard being all that close to Kirby, which would be the case if Bowser wins.

This match happened back in 2005, and Bowser won with 52%. This is one of those cases though where times have changed, and Kirbys stock has definitely risen since then. I can easily see the puffball flipping that result here and putting a little extra stank on it since hes been looking so good thus far.

Moltars Bracket: Kirby

Moltars Prediction: Kirby 54%

transiences Analysis

So yeah, I've been flying high with Kirby all contest. A couple rounds ago, I proclaimed that I thought he was our mythical #10 on the site. Since then, he's beaten Isaac and blown up Phoenix, a dude who legitimately passed a Smash test in Ike. Worst case scenario, he's at Ness's level or a little below that.

Meanwhile, Bowser's underwhelmed the last two rounds. Charizard barely beat Terra and still put up 43% on Bowser. If you give Terra the biggest benefit of the doubt and set her equal to Kefka, Bowser's still only on Alucard's level here. Then there's 2B, who is certainly the feel-good contest darling of 2018 (one of the very, very, very, very, very few), and she managed to break 40% as well. Does 2B beat Phoenix? I mean, I could see it, but it's not a beatdown and it would need to be.

But here's the thing. We haven't had much of this thanks to great bracket placement, but this is a same fanbase matchup. We had Pikachu/Yoshi last week, and Pikachu won -- but it wasn't by a lot. Core Nintendo doesn't bend easily.

Doesn't Kirby/Bowser have some Mario/Samus potential? Bowser ain't Mario, but Kirby ain't Samus either. People don't actually play Kirby games, as we saw in that one series contest when it got obliterated by Metroid. Super Star went down easy to SOTN and Resident Evil. You won't ever get a Kirby game in a contest that wins a round unless it faces something obscure. Kirby is, ironically, similar to Dante in that he's WAY more popular than his games. to the point that his games are just a vehicle for the character and his moveset.

I'm not betting on Bowser here. I think Kirby is much better. But if we do get a surprising result, I'll be running straight to some 'rSFF'.

transience's prediction: Kirby with 54.54%
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MasterMoltar
11/16/18 5:55:00 PM
#294:


Leonharts Analysis

Bowser has looked a little worse every round. We were all flabbergasted by his performance on Gordon (although weve made more sense of it since then). Then he handled Charizard in an easy win that wasnt quite as dominant as round 1 suggested. Then 2B went and nearly hung 42% on him while Kirby topped him by 10% against Phoenix. I dont think 2B is 10% better than Phoenix, so I think Bowsers in big trouble here unless the HIERARCHY intervenes somehow. Kirby potentially beasting and taking down a Noble Niner or two is really the only thing I have left to hope for, so might as well aim for it!

Leonharts Vote: Kirby

Leonharts Prediction: Kirby with 59.60%

Kleenexs Analysis

If theres a title card headline for round 4, this is it. This has all the makings for a great match, but will it actually be? Im going to say no. Much like how I felt about Reds 8-pack, Bowsers 8-pack feels similarly off. Is 2B really that strong? Maybe, but then you have to put Ness at like 40% on Bowser, which doesnt feel right at all. The Charizard match looked suspect at first, but then we thought FF6 had just boosted a bit and Terra and Kefka were good. But then Kefka got smashed by Alucard. Maybe Alucard is just that good (well find out), but maybe FF6 wasnt has good as we thought. Kirby on the other hand annihilated every single one of his opponents. Through the first 3 rounds, Kirby may actually have looked the best out of any character remaining. Once upon a time, Bowser won this fight. This time, I expect it to go to Kirby. And I kinda dont think itll be close (as much as a 55-45 match can be not close, anyway).

Kleenexs Prediction: Kirby with 55%

Lopen's Analysis

So before this contest, this was a highly contested match. I'm here to tell you that it probably shouldn't have been. This match hasn't looked debatable since 2007. In 2007, Kirby was Blocked from doing much... but Kirby beat Sonic the Hedgehog in 2008 in a four way, got pretty close to Sonic in a straight up 1v1 in 2010, got pretty close to Sephiroth in a 3-way in 2013. Kirby's been on the rise for a long time now. And he's only begun to swell. This contest he's looked like a monster compared to Bowser, to the point where if they were equal you'd expect Ness to beat Ike 60-40 or something which doesn't pass the sanity check.

Bowser? Bowser hasn't really looked good since 2005 (when he beat Kirby, which is probably the cause of this being in the air). He got clowned by Charizard in 2010, clowned by Mewtwo + Sonic in 2013. Luigi crushed him in 2008. Ryu beat his ass twice in a row in 2007. This is not the pedigree of a dude who is here to test a guy who is putting up 45% on Noble Niners and outright beating them in four ways. For all our talk about frauds, Bowser might be one of the bigger ones in the bracket. Or Kirby was underrated by the masses, not sure which.

But most importantly... Kirby is... our last good hope.

bxFUiaD

The Legend of Zelda has ruined this land. Only Kirby can save it. Fight, Kirby! For glory of CBX! Kirby's going big. Crono, watch out boy. Kirby's comin for ya.

Lopen's Prediction:
Kirby with 59.36%

Crew Consensus: Kirby Kirby Kirby he's the star of the show
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ZenOfThunder
11/16/18 6:02:44 PM
#295:


i'm gonna use that kirby pic for his background
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drooling while eating
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transience
11/16/18 6:05:38 PM
#296:


loving these big matchups this round. imagine if we got this bracket in like 2006.
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xyzzy
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KamikazePotato
11/16/18 7:03:42 PM
#297:


Sup Alucard.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
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WarThaNemesis2
11/16/18 7:04:48 PM
#298:


I can't believe the character who got screwed most in bracketing was goddamn Peach.
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https://imgur.com/M1heX2g
RIP Paul Bearer. Ohhhh nooooo. :(
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Lopen
11/16/18 7:06:05 PM
#299:


I don't understand these contests, man
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
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Leonhart4
11/16/18 7:06:26 PM
#300:


Glad I have the high pick on Alucard. Almost went higher!
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