Board 8 > Character Battle X Contest Analysis Crew - Part 6

(+) Yeah! (+)

would losing to neptune be more embarassing for gordon than him losing to tina armstrong
---

Oh wow, Zelda is in danger of making Aerith appear to be stronger than Squall. Before the match started, I still would have taken Squall over Aerith in a direct match.
---

Even if Tifa beats Luigi, she shouldn't be considered Star over someone who some people took to lose in Round 1 and proceeded to make his whole division look bad.
---

KamikazePotato posted...

Even if Tifa beats Luigi, she shouldn't be considered Star over someone who some people took to lose in Round 1 and proceeded to make his whole division look bad.

actually Crash Bandicoot looks great!
---

how is Tifa a star? she's done fine, of course, but she had to be at least a co-fave to come out of the bottom of the bracket. now, if she smashes Luigi then I might consider her.

but Alucard.. I don't think anyone had him going to the div final, let alone winning it.
---

Tifa is apparently the only strong FF character left

that alone deserves a star
---

poor squall
---

I had him going to division final!

I just also had.....Sora....winning it....
---

man that FFVII/Zelda board vote sure brings back memories
---

yeah I guess I could see that line of logic, that Tifa being good in the face of all these guys sucking is actually super impressive
---

The vast majority of Gurus had Alucard losing to Kefka.

Kefka

As many people had Alucard winning his division as have Ganondorf beating Link.
---

Geralt is starting to stall Auron a bit. Probably too big of a lead to come back from thogh
---

Speaking of Sora:

Sora (2013c) has a strength of 33.55 against Base Link.
Yuna (2013c) has a strength of 27.08 against Base Link.
Sora59.64%32,183
Yuna40.36%21,777
Sora wins with 59.64% of the vote!

For all some people are saying that Yuna disappointed, she improved on Sora, Red, and Big Boss relative to expectations!

(the top half of that division is busted)

Yuna (2013c) has a strength of 27.08 against Base Link.
Ridley (2013c) has a strength of 26.21 against Base Link.
Yuna51.61%27,847
Ridley48.39%26,113
Yuna wins with 51.61% of the vote!

Also still beats Ridley despite Ridley having very good reason to boost!
---

After that update, Squall is now weaker than Aerith. Seems like Squall has lost all of the strength that he received from Kingdom Hearts, and maybe even a little extra on top of that.

I really hope KH3 is a success. KH3 won't directly boost Squall or Sephiroth since they aren't in the game, but it could indirectly boost them again if KH3 gets the site to start caring about KH in general again.
---

The biggest issue I have with the Auron/Geralt result is that I have a lot of trouble taking Geralt over Sub-Zero comfortably. Sub-Zero has always been a cut above the standard midcarder and this is a good year for fighting game characters, and he's had solid results so far.
---

LusterSoldier posted...

KH3 won't directly boost Squall or Sephiroth since they aren't in the game

I don't think that's been confirmed yet.
---

okay Auron's safe

Aerith/Squall look equal to me
---

LeonhartFour posted...

I don't think that's been confirmed yet.

True, it hasn't been confirmed, but nothing revealed up to this point has shown any Final Fantasy characters in the game.
---

If we had nominated Leon instead of Squall he'd have beaten Zelda.
---

KamikazePotato posted...

The biggest issue I have with the Auron/Geralt result is that I have a lot of trouble taking Geralt over Sub-Zero comfortably. Sub-Zero has always been a cut above the standard midcarder and this is a good year for fighting game characters, and he's had solid results so far.

The whole time I've fealt Geralt simply has a hardcore audience that'll vote for him in any match, but he's too different from the GameFaqs typical audience to get blowouts. So he'll get his 45-55% regardless of who he faces.
---

so geralt vs 2B who you got
---

eh, Sub's had decent results, but so has Geralt. I'll be curious to see where Rosalina and Shulk end up measuring. I think Rosalina's probably about equal to Shulk, maybe slightly better?
---

The Mana Sword posted...

so geralt vs 2B who you got

Soulcalibur VI can decide.

Well, if the current results hold, Rosalina clearly beats Shulk. Which is not super surprising after seeing how strong Peach somehow ended up being.
---

Clearly the Bowsette boost was real but Peach got all of it
---

Currently Rosalina is at 38.46% on Auron, which would put her well above Lucina and Shulk and at 45.22% on Magus.
---

Woah, 20 vote cut for Geralt
---

uh make that 39.56% and 46.50% on Magus after that 20 vote cut
---

So here's a general question

People have been throwing around Kirby/Phoenix as a match that needs to taken with a major grain of salt. Then it was Kirby/Bowser.

What are any other matches where people think the result just plain doesn't match up with everything we know?
---

honestly with the exception of Kirby these results look fairly clean.
---

I still think Ganon/Chun is wrong
---

People would probably say Ganon/Chun-Li doesn't make sense, too.

Maybe Bowser/2B as something along the same lines, especially after he beat Kirby.
---

transcience posted...

honestly with the exception of Kirby these results look fairly clean.

I'm inclined to agree. Darnit Kirby.

I think Geralt/Auron is looking sketchy though. I'm not convinced that Geralt winning three nailbiters in a row didn't endear him to the GameFAQs audience.
---

Leon can you throw out where we are with a 54/46 result here? Im inclined to say those seem reasonable too.
---

Oh, it's possible Geralt's picked up a bit of a bandwagon considering the circumstances.

I honestly wouldn't be surprised if Red overperformed a little bit, too. He had the lowest prediction percentage in round 3.

I kinda think Tifa might be able to get a bit of a bandwagon going, too.
---

2 cuts in a row. Can we make it three and a trend?
---

---

If Red does any worse than the top half of his division looks REALLY bad. He might have gotten a slight bandwagon but would it have been more than Alucard?
---

Also transfer this conversation to the Stats Topic
---

Kiryu below Ryo Hazuki just seems wrong to me.
---

KamikazePotato posted...

I think Geralt/Auron is looking sketchy though. I'm not convinced that Geralt winning three nailbiters in a row didn't endear him to the GameFAQs audience.

Good point. We'll see what happens next round when Auron faces Sonic (assuming Auron holds on). We've seen Auron/Sonic twice in the past, both in 2008 though. Though one of those matches is completely unreliable due to Auron taking an SFF beating from Sephiroth.
---

Division 5

Zelda 50.00%
Aerith Gainsborough 37.00%
Squall Leonhart 36.68%
Fox McCloud 35.00%
Jill Valentine 32.13%
Waluigi 31.50%
Captain Toad 29.61%
The Boss 29.30%
Shovel Knight 28.08%
Garrus Vakarian 26.39%
Ramza Beoulve 26.06%
Metal Sonic 25.48%
Ezio Auditore da Firenze 24.67%
D. Va 19.94%
Aloy 18.77%
Hat Kid 17.69%

Division 6

Auron 50.00%
Geralt 46.00%
Bayonetta 45.19%
Vincent Valentine 44.20%
Simon Belmont 43.99%
Pac-Man 43.32%
Ryu Hayabusa 43.30%
Sub-Zero 43.29%
Magus 42.53%
Rosalina 40.45%
Lucina 34.56%
Shulk 32.41%
Riku 32.17%
Claire Redfield 29.21%
Joker/Ren Amamiya 27.12%
Sans 24.80%

Man, those Division 5 stats make it look like either Aerith's overperforming here or Squall really underperformed last round.
---

KamikazePotato posted...

Also transfer this conversation to the Stats Topic

I cannot
---

captain toad is a beast
---

so leon

you know in your heart what i'm gonna ask

what does aerith need for fox > squall
---

38.77%

don't think she'll get there thankfully
---

all things are frauds