Lurker > davidponte

LurkerFAQs, Active DB, DB1, DB2, DB3, DB4, DB5, Database 6 ( 01.01.2020-07.18.2020 ), DB7, DB8, DB9, DB10, DB11, DB12, Clear
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Topic* GotD 2020 Guru Contest Stats & Discussion - Part One *
davidponte
04/20/20 10:01:07 AM
#374
squexa posted...
Eh, I'd say Smash/Odyssey and Dark Souls/Skyrim are definitely contested matches right now and not complete moonshot upsets.

Smash/Odyssey doesn't change too much other than gravy becoming the winner, metalmind falling to 2nd, azuarc going to 3rd, and me falling to 4th, so that one also doesn't shake things up too much other than the overall winner (which is a big deal, I'll give you that). This also assumes that it goes on to beat the Div 4 winner. That's also probably the more likely of your two mentioned upsets.

Dark Souls > Skyrim would massively change things, though.

Again, assuming that result happens and we don't have the GTA/P4G or ME2 match go the other way.

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The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1348
davidponte
04/20/20 9:55:34 AM
#62
KH3 > Portal and TLOU > Dark Souls were my only two major fanboy picks of the contest and they both ended up killing my bracket.

I've never done extremely well before because I could never convince myself to make the objective pick despite knowing I should, and it has literally always ended poorly. This time around, I was able to do that for the most part and it looks like I'll probably stay on the leaderboard for the rest of the contest, unless GTA or NieR lose this round. Next time around I'm going 100% objective.

Witcher > Skyrim was also a fanboy pick but at least I can base that one in facts.

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The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1348
davidponte
04/20/20 9:17:58 AM
#57
In hindsight I should have known TLOU > Dark Souls was a bad pick, but I didn't think it would make the difference between theoretically winning the guru and not.

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The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
Topic* GotD 2020 Guru Contest Stats & Discussion - Part One *
davidponte
04/20/20 9:06:11 AM
#371
Forgot to add: The HGSS/NieR match also matters. If Pokemon wins and everything else is constant, azuarc goes into second and I fall to 3rd. If Pokemon wins then Bloodborne wins its division, we find the third scenario where neither MetalmindStats or myself wins.

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The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1348
davidponte
04/20/20 9:02:37 AM
#55
For anyone interested in guru/contest leaderboard stuff, @azuarc made a great spreadsheet that allows people to see the guru standings based on who wins every remaining match, and then I did some of my own trial and error to see who was most likely to be the winner:

azuarc posted...
azuarc posted...
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1qK4NOzPxYNNsuGw10Esrc-KKTGQd6S5kbRywdWE_2oQ/edit#gid=1775137827

The spreadsheet above is supposed to simulate the tournament as though a chosen user is correct for the rest of the bracket. It gives the scores of all the users accordingly. Obviously if you enter a user, and they are not listed first on their own list, they are eliminated.

Please let me know if there are errors. I've never shared a spreadsheet before and locked all but a small part of it down, and I'm sure I made some clerical errors since I manually entered all that data. (Anyone who participates in VGMC will tell you how reliable my data entry skills are.)

Woke up this morning inspired to add on to this. Now you can also pick specific results for specific matches. I didn't really do it the "right" way, as someone who once studied computer science, and exotic results aren't available, but hopefully I didn't screw anything up.


davidponte posted...
Alright, I've inputted various results for the remaining matches, with the guaranteed winners staying constant and then going back and forth on all of the debated matches to see if it makes a difference.

On the top of the bracket, I see no way in which @MetalmindStats doesn't win at this point. I am very likely going to come in second or tied for second. This assumes no major upsets like Zelda losing, and also assumes that Witcher beats Skyrim.

Oddly enough, nothing else really matters, again, barring some theoretical upsets. The Bloodborne/RE2 match doesn't change things, regardless if the winner then wins the division. Xenoblade/Fire Emblem also doesn't matter. Even GTA/Xenoblade doesn't affect the top.

The only matches that DO matter are GTA/P4G and ME2/Bloodborne/RE2. If P4G and/or ME2 win those matches, then someone else wins other than @MetalmindStats or myself, and neither of us are in second.

The only way I come in first, given all those other results, is if TLOU beats Dark Souls, which isn't happening. So I'm essentially playing for second at this point.

Please correct me if I'm wrong! Again, I didn't take into account the upset that definitely won't happen, and only looked at the contested matches.

Forgot to add: The HGSS/NieR match also matters. If Pokemon wins and everything else is constant, azuarc goes into second and I fall to 3rd. If Pokemon wins then Bloodborne wins its division, we find the third scenario where neither MetalmindStats or myself wins.

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The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
Topic* GotD 2020 Guru Contest Stats & Discussion - Part One *
davidponte
04/20/20 8:59:29 AM
#370
Alright, I've inputted various results for the remaining matches, with the guaranteed winners staying constant and then going back and forth on all of the debated matches to see if it makes a difference.

On the top of the bracket, I see no way in which @MetalmindStats doesn't win at this point. I am very likely going to come in second or tied for second. This assumes no major upsets like Zelda losing, and also assumes that Witcher beats Skyrim.

Oddly enough, nothing else really matters, again, barring some theoretical upsets. The Bloodborne/RE2 match doesn't change things, regardless if the winner then wins the division. Xenoblade/Fire Emblem also doesn't matter. Even GTA/Xenoblade doesn't affect the top.

The only matches that DO matter are GTA/P4G and ME2/Bloodborne/RE2. If P4G and/or ME2 win those matches, then someone else wins other than @MetalmindStats or myself, and neither of us are in second.

The only way I come in first, given all those other results, is if TLOU beats Dark Souls, which isn't happening. So I'm essentially playing for second at this point.

Please correct me if I'm wrong! Again, I didn't take into account the upset that definitely won't happen, and only looked at the contested matches.

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The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
TopicGame of the Decade: 2010-2019 Contest Analysis Crew - Part 4
davidponte
04/19/20 8:06:55 PM
#249
transcience posted...
someone list the games in this bracket that can get 40% on breath of the wild

I think the answer is maybe 1

Witcher
Skyrim
Dark Souls, maybe?

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The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1347
davidponte
04/19/20 8:04:22 PM
#349
Alright can we skip to tomorrow now to get back to the interesting matches

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The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1347
davidponte
04/19/20 8:00:40 PM
#334
Hey FFXV looked great for about 8 seconds there!

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The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
TopicFinal Fantasy 7: Remake Spoiler Discussion Topic
davidponte
04/19/20 6:49:26 PM
#84
I'm sure we'll get CC stuff, I meant to say that this isn't FF7 + Compilations, this is FF7 + Compilations + KH + Whatever Nomura thinks of next week.

Can't wait for part 11 when Sephiroth becomes Sin.

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The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
TopicFinal Fantasy 7: Remake Spoiler Discussion Topic
davidponte
04/19/20 6:42:17 PM
#82
HeroDelTiempo17 posted...
Sure but I'm of the opinion that they were always going to add the compilation stuff in regardless of these other major changes so I dunno man. Better to go all-in on changing things if you're doing it anyways.

I think a remake with FF7 plus all the compilations tied into the story is a fantastic game. I loved CC. This isn't what we're getting, though.

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The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
TopicFinal Fantasy 7: Remake Spoiler Discussion Topic
davidponte
04/19/20 6:26:06 PM
#78
HeroDelTiempo17 posted...
so if we get CC-quality plot with this much, MUCH better battle system, I think that's a success.

What if we could have gotten FF7-quality plot by retelling the original story with this much, MUCH better battle system? Imagine the success of that!

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The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
TopicGame of the Decade 2 Oracle Challenge - Round 3
davidponte
04/19/20 6:21:25 PM
#46
The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild - 77.45%
Dragon Quest XI: Echoes of an Elusive Age - 55.65%


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The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1347
davidponte
04/19/20 6:05:47 PM
#327
Lightning Strikes posted...
It probably doesnt matter too much to the current GameFAQs audience, but I know numerous non-FF fans who still know Auron as the cool guy from Kingdom Hearts 2.

...and theyre right!


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The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1347
davidponte
04/19/20 2:03:24 PM
#306
yes

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The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
TopicHearthstone Topic #4: Where Illidan and Millhouse are top tier.
davidponte
04/19/20 1:17:54 PM
#77
seems extreme

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The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1347
davidponte
04/19/20 12:26:54 PM
#292
The rally may also be negatively affecting Pokemon, however that means we can't really have it both ways.

Either the rally has had an impact, which is the reasoning for Pokemon dropping and Nier being below 70%, or the rally has had a negligible impact, which means Nier isn't particularly strong, but also that Pokemon has organically dropped and also doesn't look as strong as it did last night.

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The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1347
davidponte
04/19/20 11:53:42 AM
#288
Rolycoly posted...
I find that a suspiciously high number considering it's at a fraction of Bloodborne's 800-upvote rally (on a similarly active subreddit), which only gave it about 2,000 votes across its whole match. Maybe Divinity has a better follow-through rate, but not by enough to matter. It's worth noting that there's also been a mildly successful FF14 rally with barely a third of the Divinity rally's upvotes, but on a subreddit with 5x the active users - and said rally seems to favor Nier over Divinity.

I'm basing the number on the fact that we are over 1000 votes ahead of where we were during yesterday's matches. I haven't actually looked at any of the rallies.

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The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
TopicGame of the Decade 2 Battle Challenge - Rounds 2 and 3
davidponte
04/19/20 11:09:30 AM
#99
The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild
Dragon Quest XI: Echoes of an Elusive Age

Mass Effect 2
Resident Evil 2

Super Smash Bros. Ultimate
Super Mario Odyssey

Grand Theft Auto V
Xenoblade Chronicles

The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt
God of War

Persona 5
Red Dead Redemption 2

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The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1347
davidponte
04/19/20 11:07:30 AM
#274
So 1000 theoretical votes from a Divinity rally means NieR doesn't look as awful as we thought it did. My NieR > Pokemon faith is still there.

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The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1347
davidponte
04/19/20 9:34:32 AM
#257
You hate to see that

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The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
TopicThe Zen Contest Highlights - A Curated Collection of Screencapped Crap
davidponte
04/19/20 9:00:15 AM
#287
I've seen MikeTavish post here, so he's just playing dumb in those threads.

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The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
TopicIf you had won the Guru, and you had to pick a game for this contest...
davidponte
04/19/20 7:33:51 AM
#32
The highest ranking game on my personal top 25 of the decade that didn't make the contest already is Pyre, so I'd probably go with that.

Maybe also Apex Legends because that seems like the BR game that is least hated both here and around the internet.

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The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1347
davidponte
04/19/20 6:23:52 AM
#244
I expected the rise towards 80% to be well underway for Skyrim by the time I woke up, but it looks like it hasn't happened. Maybe the day vote will be great for it, but 6% at this point seems tough to do.

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The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1347
davidponte
04/18/20 8:13:45 PM
#64
So is today the last day of 4 matches a day?

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The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1347
davidponte
04/18/20 8:11:46 PM
#56
Rough update, for sure.

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The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1347
davidponte
04/18/20 8:09:16 PM
#34
I'd go as far as saying that The Witcher and NieR have been possibly the two best looking games so far, relative to expectations. We all knew Zelda and Skyrim would dominate, but the two former games were a big topic of contention here before the contest. Would they be worth much? Would Geralt and 2B doing well translate to their games doing well? They've exceeded most expectations, at this point.

They both get to go up against Skyrim, too, which should be interesting.

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The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1346
davidponte
04/18/20 8:02:17 PM
#487
Journey v. Divinity, who ya got

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The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1346
davidponte
04/18/20 8:00:49 PM
#479
lol at the skyrim board vote, again

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The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
TopicGame of the Decade 2 Oracle Challenge - Round 2 Divisions 4-8
davidponte
04/18/20 7:27:23 PM
#225
The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim - 77.94%
Mario Kart 8 - 57.12%
Pokemon HeartGold / SoulSilver Version - 70.39%
NieR: Automata - 75.12%


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The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1346
davidponte
04/18/20 6:54:26 PM
#474
Safer_777 posted...
Plus punching Japanese Dudes in the face is always good.

???

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The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1346
davidponte
04/17/20 8:03:29 PM
#170
I am just about ready to call my TLOU > Dark Souls pick bad.

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The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1346
davidponte
04/17/20 8:02:00 PM
#163
Damn, no longer tied for first on the leaderboard.

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The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
TopicGame of the Decade 2 Oracle Challenge - Round 2 Divisions 4-8
davidponte
04/17/20 7:02:20 PM
#182
Dark Souls - 74.98%
Metal Gear Solid V: The Phantom Pain - 59.44%
Batman: Arkham City - 55.65%
The Last of Us - 72.12%


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The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
TopicFinal Fantasy 7: Remake Spoiler Discussion Topic
davidponte
04/17/20 5:28:02 PM
#49
DeathChicken posted...
Regarding the seven seconds thing, yeah, I get the feeling Cloud is going to make a heroic save there since that is very much the time it took Sephiroth to kill Aerith. Which...well, it sure would be a thing if he killed Cloud instead, wouldn't it

Then Zack can rightfully take his place as the main character!

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The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1345
davidponte
04/16/20 8:26:36 PM
#440
BlAcK TuRtLe posted...
Lol kingdom shafts

Portal 2 looking great to win this division

davidponte posted...
BlAcK TuRtLe posted...
What possible reason do you have for saying this? This is the most random out-of-your-ass claim I've seen here in a while


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The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1345
davidponte
04/16/20 8:12:17 PM
#383
Kingdom Hearts has walked away from the contest

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The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1345
davidponte
04/16/20 8:06:19 PM
#356
KamikazePotato posted...
By the way, Kingdom Hearts 3 could absolutely win this

I am intrigued by this

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The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1345
davidponte
04/16/20 8:03:35 PM
#344
Uh, Red Dead?

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The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1345
davidponte
04/16/20 8:02:14 PM
#333
The Sonic haters are looking real rough right now

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The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1345
davidponte
04/16/20 8:01:15 PM
#324
go my kingdom hearts

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The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1345
davidponte
04/16/20 7:34:16 PM
#308
Alright I'm likely going to see my only wrong pick of the second round coming up with KH. It won't drop me any spots in the guru, so we'll see if I'm still tied for first on the site after it.

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The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
TopicGame of the Decade 2 Oracle Challenge - Round 2 Divisions 4-8
davidponte
04/16/20 7:13:04 PM
#139
Persona 5 - 69.21%
Sonic Mania - 51.91%
Portal 2 - 55.01%
Red Dead Redemption 2 - 57.23%


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The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
TopicJJ Abrams Developing Justice League Dark for HBO featuring John Constantine
davidponte
04/16/20 6:44:58 PM
#6
Fuck yes. Give me JLD and give me Constantine.

I'd love for them to adapt stuff from Tynion's recent run.

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The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
TopicPull ups in ff7r is the worst minigame ever invented
davidponte
04/16/20 5:40:07 PM
#21
Yeah, I was definitely going to platinum it before learning hard was too hard. I don't like the combat enough to suffer through that.

In terms of difficulty:

Pull-Ups > Squats > Darts

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The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
TopicHey guys, ASL?
davidponte
04/16/20 5:37:24 PM
#6
SantaRPidgey posted...
Its not really as interesting of a question since the internet is such that most people are in a community of their peers.

Like the majority of us are going to be 30ish/male/western country

Yeah well I'm 25 and currently on an island in the middle of the ocean, so take that?

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The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
TopicGame of the Decade: 2010-2019 Contest Analysis Crew - Part 3
davidponte
04/16/20 5:25:30 PM
#492
So what you're all saying is the crew curse is going to lead KH straight to victory.

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The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
TopicYour most favorite game of ALL time and why?
davidponte
04/16/20 3:46:30 PM
#23
FF7

The back of the case said so

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The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
TopicGame of the Decade 2 Battle Challenge - Rounds 2 and 3
davidponte
04/16/20 1:22:33 PM
#69
Also picks for the rest of the round:

Dark Souls
Metal Gear Solid V: The Phantom Pain
Batman: Arkham City
The Last of Us

The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim
Mario Kart 8
Pokemon HeartGold / SoulSilver Version
NieR: Automata

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The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
TopicGame of the Decade 2 Battle Challenge - Rounds 2 and 3
davidponte
04/16/20 1:21:37 PM
#68
CHANGE:

Sonic Mania to BANK

Then my BANK right after that to Portal 2

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The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history.
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