Lurker > LeonhartFour

LurkerFAQs, Active DB, DB1, DB2, DB3, DB4, DB5, Database 6 ( 01.01.2020-07.18.2020 ), DB7, DB8, DB9, DB10, DB11, DB12, Clear
Board List
Page List: 1 ... 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27 ... 127
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1362
LeonhartFour
05/13/20 10:16:44 PM
#144
Trend chart:

Time | BOTW | Witcher 3 | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 59.34% | 40.66% | 632 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 59.98% | 40.02% | 3896 | (0:00-1:00)
ENV | 58.28% | 41.72% | 9940 | (1:00-6:00)
DNV | 51.45% | 48.55% | 4132 | (6:00-11:00)
TMV | 53.92% | 46.08% | 7516 | (11:00-17:00)
TDV | 54.84% | 45.16% | 4953 | (17:00-24:00)

Look at those rallies.
---
TopicHow many games from the final 8 of the "Contest Poll" have you played?
LeonhartFour
05/13/20 10:14:00 PM
#29
Breath of the Wild, Mass Effect 2, Smash Ultimate, and Persona 5

So 4.
---
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1362
LeonhartFour
05/13/20 10:13:03 PM
#141
squexa posted...
We have to be at least thankful Majora ended up winning GOTD1. We could have had BotW vs Brawl here instead.


we should've had BotW vs. FFX
---
TopicSaveEstelle/LeonhartFour in Different Houses: Bachelorhood's End Edition [SELF]
LeonhartFour
05/13/20 10:11:29 PM
#442
I'd put TP as second, but MM is third, so this is the rare quality Zelda vs. Zelda match!
---
TopicGame of the Decade: 2010-2019 Contest Analysis Crew - Part 6
LeonhartFour
05/13/20 10:10:13 PM
#375
Yeah, I think that's generally true for most series. FFVII would do a lot more damage to VIII, IX, and X than it would to VI or even IV.
---
TopicSaveEstelle/LeonhartFour in Different Houses: Bachelorhood's End Edition [SELF]
LeonhartFour
05/13/20 7:06:16 PM
#425
I did!

But thankfully, I've got enough wiggle room to finish on the leaderboard. Not looking like I'll win any prizes though unless most of these were fun entries though!
---
TopicAnagram Aces Ace Attorney Topic 4: Dual Destinies Edition (spoilers)
LeonhartFour
05/13/20 7:04:16 PM
#49
Yeah, the lack of free investigations is one of DD's biggest flaws, but thankfully, the fans clamored enough about it being gone that they brought it back in SoJ!
---
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1361
LeonhartFour
05/13/20 6:26:53 PM
#468
I was just asking because Dota 2 and Destiny are worth similar percentages on Smash Ultimate and Witcher 3.
---
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1361
LeonhartFour
05/13/20 6:15:47 PM
#463
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1361
LeonhartFour
05/13/20 6:11:33 PM
#461
ctesjbuvf posted...
It's tough because games typically only rallies in matches they're losing. There's just no other simple solution than not do anything about it.

Though adjusting for SFF, bandwagons and what not is also always with uncertainties.


Yeah, there will always be intangible and unmeasurable variables. It's up to each individual viewer to determine what they accept and don't accept.

But if I'm making adjustments, I'm going to use concrete data.
---
TopicGame of the Decade: 2010-2019 Contest Analysis Crew - Part 6
LeonhartFour
05/13/20 6:10:27 PM
#349
yeah same

I kind of turned off my thinking cap and decided the contest was over once I finished that BOTW/Witcher 3 writeup
---
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1361
LeonhartFour
05/13/20 6:05:33 PM
#458
It's still impossible to know exactly how many votes a rally brings in or how many percentage points it swings.

And if a game rallies literally every single round anyway, you might as well consider that part of its inherent strength.
---
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1361
LeonhartFour
05/13/20 5:56:56 PM
#455
Mac Arrowny posted...


Luster's been posting adjusted percentages for rallies all contest.


Those are still just guesses and I don't like guessing.
---
TopicGame of the Decade: 2010-2019 Contest Analysis Crew - Part 6
LeonhartFour
05/13/20 5:56:20 PM
#347
Smash Ultimate/Skyrim just in case:

Smash is Nintendo. Skyrim is western. Nintendo wins.

Leonhart's Vote: Super Smash Bros. Ultimate

Leonhart's Prediction: Super Smash Bros. Ultimate with 55.21%
---
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1361
LeonhartFour
05/13/20 4:11:23 PM
#433
Mario Galaxy 2 is going to come out of this looking pretty darn great

maybe there is something to the idea that a western game can only go so high on a mainline Nintendo game

would explain MK8 too
---
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1362
LeonhartFour
05/13/20 4:01:53 PM
#1
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/1362-east-division-final-cloud-strife-vs-sonic-the-hedgehog

This was when we really started to think Cloud could beat Link.

~*creativename's contest site*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analyses*~
https://board8.fandom.com/wiki/Main_Page

~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
https://board8.fandom.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
https://board8.fandom.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Closest Wire-To-Wire Matches*~
https://board8.fandom.com/wiki/Closest_Wire-to-Wire_Matches

~*All-Time Guru List*~
https://board8.fandom.com/wiki/All_Time_Guru_Rankings

~*Most Surprising Results*~
https://board8.fandom.com/wiki/Most_Surprising_Results

~*Contest Histories*~
https://board8.fandom.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~
https://board8.fandom.com/wiki/Daily_Vote_Trends

~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~
https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's extrapolated percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA
---
TopicAnagram Aces Ace Attorney Topic 4: Dual Destinies Edition (spoilers)
LeonhartFour
05/13/20 1:36:44 PM
#39
Anagram posted...
This is technically off-topic, but in AAI2, why was she not Johns biological mother? It would have changed nothing.


she would have been absurdly young to be his real mom

and it would kinda give it away immediately that she's his mom if they have the same last name

---
TopicAnagram Aces Ace Attorney Topic 4: Dual Destinies Edition (spoilers)
LeonhartFour
05/13/20 1:16:31 PM
#37
Anagram posted...
I admit, I like the dish named "Culpable Curry." "Guilty Dogs" is lazy, though, at least call them "Guilt Dogs."


"Guilty Dogs" is an AAI1 reference, actually!

Anagram posted...
Professor Courte, huh? Sorry, game. I have room in my heart for only one character whose last name involves "Court," and she's not in this game.


Justine Courtney is pretty hot.

5-3 is a lot of fun, even if it's cheesy as heck at times (even by Ace Attorney standards)!
---
TopicWho are the most unlikeable video game protagonists?
LeonhartFour
05/13/20 12:59:54 PM
#141
TopicGame of the Decade: 2010-2019 Contest Analysis Crew - Part 6
LeonhartFour
05/13/20 12:20:45 PM
#336
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1361
LeonhartFour
05/13/20 12:15:01 PM
#396
we said that in 2015 about 2010...!

SOTC was recently free on PSN so if anything that helps it stay strong
---
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1361
LeonhartFour
05/13/20 1:07:01 AM
#319
BOTW would need 64.53% for Return of the Obra Dinn to be last, so INSIDE has it locked up.
---
TopicAnagram Aces Ace Attorney Topic 4: Dual Destinies Edition (spoilers)
LeonhartFour
05/13/20 12:55:56 AM
#28
I mean, Phoenix basically does nothing except get hit by a car and tamper with the jury after 4-1, so it's not clear that's what they were going for!
---
TopicSaveEstelle/LeonhartFour in Different Houses: Bachelorhood's End Edition [SELF]
LeonhartFour
05/13/20 12:48:30 AM
#415
Final Fantasy VII Remake Chapter 11 complete!

To be honest, in terms of level design, I was most curious what they would do with the Train Graveyard because that's a dungeon that works with FFVII's fixed camera angle, but they made it pretty fun!

Except for the ghosts. Those can go away.
---
TopicAnagram Aces Ace Attorney Topic 4: Dual Destinies Edition (spoilers)
LeonhartFour
05/13/20 12:42:15 AM
#25
Anagram posted...
Judge, seriously, is there a single witness in the whole series who didn't lie at least one time? I guess you can argue that Gumshoe and Ema are just wrong a lot, but of the non-expert witnesses, I mean.


Bikini! It's part of what makes her a great witness.

Anagram posted...
I predict that Phoenix is going to have none of his 'old wise mentor'ness from AA4


He had no old wise mentorness in AJ! One of my biggest problems with Hobonix actually! All he does is jerk Apollo's chain and very rarely actually helps him beyond 4-1.

Blackquill is awesome! Apollo was the perfect guy to introduce him against, too.
---
TopicApparently Fate Grand/Order has grossed over 4 billion dollars
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 11:16:57 PM
#4
TopicThe Outer Worlds? More like The OWNEDer Worlds
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 11:09:17 PM
#64
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1361
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 11:07:10 PM
#312
TopicWho was each year's contest MVP?
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 10:59:50 PM
#215
_SecretSquirrel posted...

I always wonder what would have happened if RBY managed to beat Undertale. There's a possibility it then rides a wave to the finals and takes out Ocarina.


and I probably finish on the leaderboard

good times
---
TopicWho was each year's contest MVP?
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 10:56:21 PM
#213
transience posted...
I remember getting a lot of heat because for one Crew writeup I just wrote, "Undertale wins."


ha I remember this because for the same match I just wrote "Meh" so we both took heat for that!
---
TopicSaveEstelle/LeonhartFour in Different Houses: Bachelorhood's End Edition [SELF]
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 10:50:44 PM
#414
Final Fantasy VII Remake Chapter 10 complete!

It took me a couple tries to beat Abzu because I had a bad setup the first time. The sewers were pretty much your typical JRPG dungeon, but I enjoyed the banter. Timing the gauge on the sewer pump was kinda dumb though!
---
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1361
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 10:23:41 PM
#306
the fact that Sonic Mania avoids the quadrupling against BOTW is a massive victory for us imhotbqh
---
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1361
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 10:22:09 PM
#304
MK11 is probably a combination of Smash/Odyssey SFF (and then Zelda/Smash SFF) and Mario being the king of apathy votes with forced voting
---
Topic* GotD 2020 Guru Contest Stats & Discussion - Part Two *
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 10:13:32 PM
#379
Polycosm posted...

No one's stopping you from keeping it for 2 years though (just saying).


I value my sig
---
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1361
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 10:12:50 PM
#301
Dr_Football posted...


what do I need to happen for No Mercy to not be last place


Breath of the Wild to win by less than 66.62%
---
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1361
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 9:47:56 PM
#293
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1361
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 9:46:18 PM
#289
Mac Arrowny posted...
I feel like Skyrim must've been overadjusted in the 2015 stats. I don't think it's performed as well as it was made to be there.


overadjusted based on what
---
TopicSaveEstelle/LeonhartFour in Different Houses: Bachelorhood's End Edition [SELF]
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 9:39:28 PM
#412
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1361
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 9:38:38 PM
#283
also should I be a crazy person and do GOTD1+2 X-Stats based on the bonus match
---
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1361
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 9:37:45 PM
#280
fun fact: the only 1 seed not to be in the top 8 of those X-Stats is GTAV

so the seeding of this contest proves to be solid
---
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1361
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 9:36:44 PM
#277
5 minute X-Stats:

The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild 50.00%
The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt 40.66%
The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim 36.43%
Persona 5 35.35%
Dark Souls 34.48%
Super Smash Bros. Ultimate 32.24%
Super Mario Galaxy 2 32.04%
Mass Effect 2 31.67%
Resident Evil 2 30.11%
Portal 2 30.07%
Bloodborne 30.01%
Dragon Quest XI: Echoes of an Elusive Age 29.78%
Pokemon HeartGold/SoulSilver Edition 29.28%
God of War 28.88%
The Last of Us 28.75%
Mario Kart 8 28.49%
Horizon Zero Dawn 28.43%
Super Mario Odyssey 28.41%
NieR: Automata 28.19%
Red Dead Redemption 2 27.97%
Monster Hunter: World 27.83%
Xenoblade Chronicles 26.04%
Persona 4 Golden 25.93%
Fallout: New Vegas 25.84%
Batman: Arkham City 25.75%
DOOM 25.55%
Borderlands 2 25.54%
Red Dead Redemption 25.50%
Grand Theft Auto V 25.38%
Metal Gear Solid V: The Phantom Pain 25.31%
Fire Emblem: Awakening 25.27%
Minecraft 25.20%
Sekiro: Shadows Die Twice 24.59%
Dark Souls III 23.79%
Animal Crossing: New Leaf 23.72%
Resident Evil 7 23.47%
Marvels Spider-Man 23.46%
Uncharted 4: A Thiefs End 23.44%
Xenoblade Chronicles 2 23.44%
Bravely Default: Flying Fairy 23.40%
The Legend of Zelda: A Link Between Worlds 23.17%
Stardew Valley 23.03%
Sonic Mania 22.70%
Kingdom Hearts III 22.64%
Final Fantasy XIV: A Realm Reborn 22.59%
Yakuza 0 21.65%
Diablo III 21.12%
Fire Emblem: Three Houses 21.02%
Fallout 4 20.98%
Tomb Raider 20.87%
BioShock Infinite 20.69%
Bloodstained: Ritual of the Night 20.61%
Assassins Creed IV: Black Flag 20.46%
Ni no Kuni: Wrath of the White Witch 20.38%
Cuphead 20.18%
Minecraft 19.87%
Final Fantasy XV 19.76%
Hollow Knight 19.59%
Deus Ex: Human Revolution 18.82%
Journey 18.23%
Sid Meiers Civilization V 17.83%
Bayonetta 2 17.91%
Divinity: Original Sin II 17.62%
Mass Effect 3 17.57%
Bayonetta 16.92%
Ys VIII: Lacrimosa of DANA 16.91%
Bastion 16.73%
Rayman Legends 16.41%
Devil May Cry 5 16.30%
Celeste 16.26%
The Walking Dead: A Telltale Games Series 15.98%
Super Meat Boy 15.96%
Street Fighter V 15.88%
Ori and the Blind Forest 15.87%
Rocket League 15.63%
Shovel Knight 15.45%
Heavy Rain 15.35%
Octopath Traveler 15.33%
Dragon Age: Inquisition 15.27%
Halo: Reach 15.14%
Dragon Ball FighterZ 15.11%
The Outer Worlds 14.98%
Nioh 14.75%
Tales of Berseria 14.57%
Disco Elysium 14.46%
Undertale 14.33%
Dishonored 14.31%
Dead Space 2 14.11%
South Park: The Stick of Truth 14.02%
Dead Cells 13.91%
Overwatch 13.90%
Donkey Kong Country: Tropical Freeze 13.89%
Starcraft II: Wings of Liberty 13.83%
Terraria 13.38%
Life is Strange 13.28%
Destiny 13.27%
Zero Escape: Virtues Last Reward 13.08%
Assassins Creed Odyssey 12.95%
Crypt of the NecroDancer 12.86%
Binding of Isaac: Rebirth 12.82%
XCOM 2 12.80%
Fate/Grand Order 12.32%
Death Stranding 12.26%
VVVVVV 11.86%
Hotline Miami 11.73%
Call of Duty: Black Ops 11.69%
Subnautica 11.66%
FTL: Faster Than Light 11.53%
The Legend of Heroes: Trails in the Sky SC 11.51%
Splatoon 2 11.23%
Dragons Dogma 11.00%
Tekken 7 10.97%
Hearthstone: Heroes of Warcraft 10.85%
Fortnite 10.84%
Ghost Trick: Phantom Detective 10.77%
The Stanley Parable 10.64%
Night in the Woods 10.56%
Baba Is You 10.52%
Crusader Kings II 10.44%
Dying Light 10.41%
Danganronpa 2: Goodbye Despair 10.16%
What Remains of Edith Finch 10.02%
Slay the Spire 9.91%
The Witness 9.78%
Dota 2 9.65%
The Talos Principle 8.71%
Return of the Obra Dinn 8.17%
Mortal Kombat 11 7.97%
INSIDE 7.13%
---
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1361
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 9:12:49 PM
#264
Hbthebattle posted...


What happens with a constant Skyrim?


then Witcher 3 beats Majora's Mask

which would mean Majora is in really big trouble
---
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1361
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 9:07:39 PM
#262
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1361
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 8:58:36 PM
#256
if you assume 2015 Witcher 3 = 2020 Witcher 3, currently MM beats BOTW with 55.13%

which bodes well for BOTW in the bonus poll, at least indirectly
---
TopicSaveEstelle/LeonhartFour in Different Houses: Bachelorhood's End Edition [SELF]
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 8:57:58 PM
#409
The Mana Sword posted...
is it possible to see what MM would get on BotW currently based on Witchers 2015 stats?


it would depend on Witcher 3 being static from 2015 but currently MM wins with 55.13%

which bodes pretty well for BOTW
---
Topic* GotD 2020 Guru Contest Stats & Discussion - Part Two *
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 8:34:46 PM
#370
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1361
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 8:34:21 PM
#234
also I give Majora's Mask a good chance simply because it's old
---
TopicSaveEstelle/LeonhartFour in Different Houses: Bachelorhood's End Edition [SELF]
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 8:33:31 PM
#406
Team Rocket Elite posted...


11th? I see your name in 20th in Second Chance unless you are referring to something else.


darn it I wish the leaderboard actually updated all the way right away

I even refreshed a couple times!
---
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1361
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 8:31:17 PM
#227
yeah can someone screenshot the moon thing

I voted too fast
---
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1361
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 8:30:42 PM
#224
X-Stats:

Lower Half

The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt 50.00%
The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim 44.80%
Persona 5 43.47%
Dark Souls 42.40%
Super Mario Galaxy 2 39.40%
Portal 2 36.98%
Pokemon HeartGold/Soul Silver Edition 36.00%
God of War 35.52%
The Last of Us 35.36%
Mario Kart 8 35.03%
NieR: Automata 34.66%
Red Dead Redemption 2 34.40%
Fallout: New Vegas 31.78%
Batman: Arkham City 31.66%
Metal Gear Solid V: The Phantom Pain 31.13%
Dark Souls III 29.26%
Animal Crossing: New Leaf 29.17%
Uncharted 4: A Thiefs End 28.83%
Xenoblade Chronicles 2 28.83%
Stardew Valley 28.30%
Sonic Mania 27.92%
Kingdom Hearts III 27.84%
Final Fantasy XIV: A Realm Reborn 27.78%
Yakuza 0 26.62%
Diablo III 25.97%
Tomb Raider 25.66%
BioShock Infinite 25.44%
Assassins Creed IV: Black Flag 25.16%
Journey 22.42%
Sid Meiers Civilization V 21.92%
Bayonetta 2 21.90%
Divinity: Original Sin II 21.67%
Mass Effect 3 21.60%
Ys VIII: Lacrimosa of DANA 20.80%
Rayman Legends 20.18%
Celeste 20.00%
Super Meat Boy 19.63%
Street Fighter V 19.53%
Rocket League 19.22%
Heavy Rain 18.87%
Dragon Ball FighterZ 18.58%
Nioh 18.14%
Disco Elysium 17.78%
Dishonored 17.60%
Dead Cells 17.11%
Starcraft II: Wings of Liberty 17.01%
Terraria 16.45%
Destiny 16.32%
Zero Escape: Virtues Last Reward 16.09%
Assassins Creed Odyssey 15.93%
Crypt of the NecroDancer 15.81%
The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth 15.77%
Fate/Grand Order 15.15%
Hotline Miami 14.43%
Subnautica 14.34%
Crusader Kings II 13.94%
Slay the Spire 13.65%
Hearthstone: Heroes of Warcraft 13.34%
The Stanley Parable 13.09%
Night in the Woods 12.99%
Crusader Kings 12.84%
Dying Light 12.80%
Slay the Spire 12.19%
The Witness 12.03%
The Talos Principle 10.71%
Return of the Obra Dinn 10.05%
---
Board List
Page List: 1 ... 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27 ... 127