Lurker > LeonhartFour

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TopicThe Show EP 7 - A Xeno/Persona Classic and Picking the Last Week, w/ azuarc!
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 8:26:09 PM
#121
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1361
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 8:25:45 PM
#215
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1361
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 8:20:06 PM
#202
TopicSaveEstelle/LeonhartFour in Different Houses: Bachelorhood's End Edition [SELF]
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 8:19:45 PM
#402
I might've been able to make it if I had believed my own theory about Witcher 3 being a beast instead of picking it to lose to GoW

I'm an idiot for not listening to myself
---
TopicGame of the Decade: 2010-2019 Contest Analysis Crew - Part 6
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 8:15:47 PM
#325
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1361
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 8:10:31 PM
#191
Topic336 points, but no leaderboard appearance :(
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 8:10:13 PM
#2
yeah I never made it on the main leaderboard but thankfully my Second Chance turned out pretty good!
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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1361
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 8:09:29 PM
#188
Trend chart:

Time | Witcher 3 | Skyrim | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 51.35% | 48.65% | 520 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 53.40% | 46.60% | 3629 | (0:00-1:00)
ENV | 55.19% | 44.81% | 8402 | (1:00-6:00)
DNV | 58.09% | 41.91% | 3522 | (6:00-11:00)
TMV | 54.27% | 45.73% | 5524 | (11:00-17:00)
TDV | 55.50% | 44.50% | 5103 | (17:00-24:00)

That Witcher 3 Euro vote.
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TopicThe Show EP 7 - A Xeno/Persona Classic and Picking the Last Week, w/ azuarc!
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 8:07:14 PM
#119
wow look at that guy in 11th place looking at a perfect Second Chance bracket
---
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1361
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 8:05:51 PM
#181
110 votes more in the first five minutes than both semifinal matches
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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1361
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 8:01:40 PM
#173
that first minute made me hopeful for my Second Chance!

up to 11th on the leaderboard!
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TopicSaveEstelle/LeonhartFour in Different Houses: Bachelorhood's End Edition [SELF]
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 8:01:05 PM
#399
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1361
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 7:59:08 PM
#166
curious to see what the board vote looks like here

I could see Witcher 3 actually winning it because of BOTW being the obvious winner
---
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1361
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 7:43:41 PM
#159
TopicSaveEstelle/LeonhartFour in Different Houses: Bachelorhood's End Edition [SELF]
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 7:43:16 PM
#398
looks like we're getting BOTW vs. MM as a bonus match

maybe I'll be a crazy person and use the results to craft GOTD1+2 X-Stats
---
TopicGame of the Decade: 2010-2019 Contest Analysis Crew - Part 6
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 7:42:39 PM
#323
looks like it's BOTW vs. Majora's Mask

which will be a fun gauge of where BOTW stands but it won't really help us adjust anything...!
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TopicThe Zen Contest Highlights 2: a hate in time
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 7:42:06 PM
#218
TopicSo what percentage do you have BotW winning by?
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 7:23:01 PM
#3
TopicGame of the Decade: 2010-2019 Contest Analysis Crew - Part 6
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 7:12:59 PM
#321
According to the picmakers, Allen confirmed that there would be at least one bonus match, so let's hope for Skyrim/Ultimate, if nothing else!
---
TopicAnagram Aces Ace Attorney Topic 4: Dual Destinies Edition (spoilers)
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 7:12:01 PM
#22
one of the things that made me realize everything was going to be okay again was when Phoenix referenced 5-2's similarity to 2-2

AJ basically pretended the original trilogy didn't exist and that was one of the most offensive things about it to me
---
TopicGame of the Decade: 2010-2019 Contest Analysis Crew - Part 6
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 7:08:42 PM
#319
aw yeah successful Price is Right

disappointed Kleenex didn't go for broke...!
---
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1361
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 7:04:57 PM
#147
_SecretSquirrel posted...
BTW, I have a little bit of a scoop on what pic to work on tonight.


I'm assuming this means bonus match(es) confirmed then
---
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1361
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 7:03:18 PM
#143
TopicTony Hawks Pro Skater 1+2 coming September 4th
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 6:27:38 PM
#46
shane15 posted...


Is this one of those games that America loved so they think the rest of the world also loved it?


*blinks*
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TopicThe Show EP 7 - A Xeno/Persona Classic and Picking the Last Week, w/ azuarc!
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 6:22:27 PM
#118
In 2015, Mario Galaxy 2 was worth 59.23% on MGSV. In 2020, Mario Galaxy 2 is worth 57.11% on MGSV.

In 2015, Mario Galaxy 2 was worth 57.59% on Portal 2. In 2020, Mario Galaxy 2 is worth 53.07% on Portal 2.

In 2015, Mario Galaxy was worth 54.19% on Arkham City. In 2020, Mario Galaxy 2 is worth 56.37% on Arkham City.

So yeah, I'd wager it hasn't changed much. Actually, in most 2015/2020 comparisons, it comes out looking worse! But you can chalk that up to general 2015 wonkiness.
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TopicThe Show EP 7 - A Xeno/Persona Classic and Picking the Last Week, w/ azuarc!
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 6:09:20 PM
#116
ZeldaTPLink posted...
I'm not sure if I like fixed SMG2 because imo anything Nintendo is likely to have boosted after the Switch, even if the game was not in the Switch. Just look at the last Character Battle.


and yet here it is only worth 55% on Mario Kart 8!

if it's stronger than 2015 I wouldn't imagine it's anything notable
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TopicThe Show EP 7 - A Xeno/Persona Classic and Picking the Last Week, w/ azuarc!
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 6:06:55 PM
#114
Well, Portal 2 is closer to Mario Galaxy 2 than it was in 2015, so one of them changed. I'd argue it was Portal 2 because otherwise you have Sonic 2 fighting tooth and nail with Galaxy 2 and hanging 45% on Persona 5.

Which I guess isn't entirely impossible, but I wouldn't bet on it!
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Topici didn't "get" beat 'em up games
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 6:01:05 PM
#45
Snrkiko posted...
is there a single highly celebrated pinnacle of this genre, a la super metroid/sotn?


Streets of Rage 2!

SNES Turtles in Time and the original Final Fight, too.
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TopicThe Show EP 7 - A Xeno/Persona Classic and Picking the Last Week, w/ azuarc!
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 5:42:45 PM
#109
I might be okay with constant Arkham City if it wasn't tied at the hip to TLOU. I'd almost argue for keeping Fire Emblem: Awakening constant more than anything else.

Maybe even Mario Galaxy 2 or MGSV (which might be the biggest surprise of the contest!)
---
TopicAnagram Aces Ace Attorney Topic 4: Dual Destinies Edition (spoilers)
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 5:33:10 PM
#20
I honestly think one of the best decisions DD made was relegating Perceive to investigations, where it actually makes sense for Apollo to use it.
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TopicSaveEstelle/LeonhartFour in Different Houses: Bachelorhood's End Edition [SELF]
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 12:38:46 AM
#377
I decided to start watching The Expanse with my fiancee, and we just finished season 1. She's definitely into it so far, but she was into Mr. Robot until season 2 killed her interest, too, so we'll see! Thankfully, season 2 of The Expanse is really good, so hopefully, she'll stick with it!

For me, it's interesting seeing all of this stuff with the benefit of hindsight and knowing where all of this is going.
---
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1361
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 12:12:23 AM
#72
Skyrim and Witcher 3 have very similar trends. I'm not sure how much higher Witcher 3 goes from here. I'd be kinda surprised if it finished above 56%, at least.
---
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1361
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 12:06:17 AM
#69
Eh, Smash Ultimate would still make short work of Galaxy 1 or 2.
---
TopicGame of the Decade 2 Oracle Challenge - Finals
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 12:05:19 AM
#29
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1361
LeonhartFour
05/11/20 11:44:42 PM
#66
Mac Arrowny posted...


I think his point is that the success of the console doesn't have much to do with Mario's success, especially considering that Odyssey was still handily defeated by SSBU.


But it does. The system being really popular doesn't mean Mario automatically becomes the most popular game on the system! Smash is still above it on the hierarchy. Brawl stomped Galaxy pretty hard in 2009, much harder than Smash Ultimate ever will to Odyssey.
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TopicWho was each year's contest MVP?
LeonhartFour
05/11/20 11:42:04 PM
#104
Cloud actually cut off a big chunk of Snake's lead in the final during the day but Snake was way too far ahead for it to matter

also Auron beat Sonic completely effortlessly in 2008 with zero excuses for Sonic and nobody cared

what a weird contest
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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1361
LeonhartFour
05/11/20 11:32:13 PM
#60
MetalmindStats posted...
Ok, but that was 1.5 years after the 2009 contest. At the very least, my impression is that people still liked the Wii in early 2009.


Galaxy didn't do too hot in 2009 either
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TopicThe Outer Worlds? More like The OWNEDer Worlds
LeonhartFour
05/11/20 11:31:01 PM
#63
Persona 5? More like PersOWNEDa 5

Dark Souls? More like Dark SOWNEDs

Super Smash Bros. Ultimate? More like Super Smash Bros. OWNEDtimate

The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim? More like The Elder ScrOWNED V: Skyrim

ROLF
---
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1361
LeonhartFour
05/11/20 11:25:39 PM
#57
TopicWho was each year's contest MVP?
LeonhartFour
05/11/20 11:25:06 PM
#100
Maybe, because it killed L-Block, but I'd say its 2007 was honestly more impressive and definitely more unexpected.
---
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1361
LeonhartFour
05/11/20 11:21:44 PM
#54
I kinda doubt it!

although it's hard to make much of Smash's stats because its last three matches are unreliable to varying degrees
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TopicWho was each year's contest MVP?
LeonhartFour
05/11/20 11:19:36 PM
#97
Yeah, the 2006 Series Contest where Pokemon nearly beat Metroid was a weird "what the heck was this result" moment where we chalked it up to Metroid being bad than anything else.

Pikachu 2007 was really when Pokemon became what it is now.
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TopicWho was each year's contest MVP?
LeonhartFour
05/11/20 11:18:32 PM
#95
Yeah, Master Chief would be the guy who finishes 2nd in the MVP voting but the MVP was still unanimous so nobody remembers he was the runner-up,
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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1361
LeonhartFour
05/11/20 11:09:58 PM
#52
HaRRicH posted...
Just curious, what kinds of things do we see in case we're overestimating Odyssey and we have Odyssey = Galaxy 2?


well you'd have Witcher 3 beating Smash Ultimate 55/45, for one

which basically means Skyrim and Persona 5 would give it all it could handle
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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1361
LeonhartFour
05/11/20 11:05:44 PM
#50
MetalmindStats posted...
In contrast, the Mario series and even Nintendo in general is in a similar place now to where it was in 2009.


no way, Mario is in a way better place now thanks to the success of Odyssey

Mario games bombed left and right in GOTD because the franchise wasn't in a good place and people did not like the Wii

Mario games basically rise with the tide of how people feel about a Nintendo system. People didn't like the Wii by the end, so the Galaxy games end up mid-tier. People love the Switch, so Odyssey does well. People still fondly remember the NES, so Mario 1 would still beat Zelda 1.
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TopicWho was each year's contest MVP?
LeonhartFour
05/11/20 10:58:57 PM
#91
transience posted...
Instead, Snake beat him as badly as he did in 2002.


Squall actually improved quite a bit on the 2002 number (went from 35 to 42)!

But yeah, Snake is the lock for MVP in 2006. He may have lost to Samus in the main bracket but he made up for it by eliminating Sephiroth in the Battle Royal.

I always hated the fact that 2006 set up Zelda/Aerith rather than Zelda/Tifa because I was convinced from day 1 that Tifa would be stronger than Aerith. Zelda was totally wasted in 2006 (as were a lot of characters because of the male/female split, but still)

Sonic's 2006 run was fun because you had a lot of people hyping up the Vincent/Ganondorf winner to knock him off (R.I.P. Heroic Mario), and very few people were picking him to beat Crono even though he barely lost to Mega Man and Crono barely beat Mega Man the year before. Vincent put up a heck of a fight, and then he 60/40'd Luigi. But that Sonic/Crono comeback was magical, even if it was Crono having a bad year more than anything. Sonic has been the laughing stock of the Noble Nine most years, so it was nice for him to get his due one year.
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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1361
LeonhartFour
05/11/20 10:53:21 PM
#43
Geiki Ganger posted...
BotW doubled every competition it faced thus far. Has there been a more impressive and dominant run to the finals in contest history?


1998 in the Years Contest in terms of raw percentage

probably the most dominant competitor relative to the field in a non-gimmick contest was 2018 Link
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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1361
LeonhartFour
05/11/20 10:51:17 PM
#39
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1360
LeonhartFour
05/11/20 9:02:51 PM
#497
Witcher 3 is half a percent higher than it was against P5 last round, but it also had a rally to contend with, so I'm not sure it gets above what it got on P5, at the very least.
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TopicGame of the Decade: 2010-2019 Contest Analysis Crew - Part 6
LeonhartFour
05/11/20 8:52:44 PM
#302
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