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ReiRei89 09/16/24 8:04:22 PM #1: |
She's also winning the two Bellweather Counties they polled as well. Statewide - KH 49, DT 46, Others 1, Und 5 https://twitter.com/davidpaleologos/status/1835830789142933774 Oh and A+ pollster y'all. So a good sign and no reason to doom over nonsense. --- FGO US:973,940,202 JP:410,404,215 Resident Europa fangirl ... Copied to Clipboard!
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obsolete 09/16/24 8:05:12 PM #2: |
Who cares. Vote. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ReiRei89 09/16/24 8:08:24 PM #3: |
obsolete posted... Who cares. Vote.Always vote. Even if Harris was up outside the MOE in this poll I'd tell people to still go out and vote and not take the election for granted. Still this is a reassuring sign and should absolutely quell some of the doomers. --- FGO US:973,940,202 JP:410,404,215 Resident Europa fangirl ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Tora_Sami 09/16/24 8:10:17 PM #4: |
ReiRei89 posted... Always vote. Even if Harris was up outside the MOE in this poll I'd tell people to still go out and vote and not take the election for granted. This, it's getting annoying when people say who cares vote. Like yes we are all still going to vote, no shit. --- Asus E-gaming z490 | 10700k | DDR4 32gb 3200mhz | Asus TUF 3080ti | 1000 watt | Corsair H100i 240 | G7 Odyssey 32" | Orion Spark | Proteus Core ... Copied to Clipboard!
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The_Wheelman1 09/16/24 8:10:29 PM #5: |
Yep Kamala got this election in the bag. It will take a miracle for Trump to get ahead. --- XBox Live GT: MastaMez PSN: KoolMez The Topic Killer \_0_/ ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Humble_Novice 09/16/24 8:13:01 PM #6: |
obsolete posted... Who cares. Vote. ReiRei89 posted... Always vote. Even if Harris was up outside the MOE in this poll I'd tell people to still go out and vote and not take the election for granted.Agreed, and also donate or volunteer if you can. https://www.padems.org/swing-state/ https://secure.actblue.com/donate/padems-mobilize ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Humble_Novice 09/16/24 8:13:50 PM #7: |
The_Wheelman1 posted... Yep Kamala got this election in the bag. It will take a miracle for Trump to get ahead.Nope, we're not going to be complacent here like in 2016. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ClayGuida 09/16/24 8:13:55 PM #8: |
Can we just have the election tomorrow so we can collectively tell Trump and Vance to fuck off forever? --- lolAmerica ... Copied to Clipboard!
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GrandConjuraton 09/16/24 8:29:25 PM #9: |
ClayGuida posted... Can we just have the election tomorrow so we can collectively tell Trump and Vance to fuck off forever? --- Upon the water, the song of the birds still echo silent. https://imgur.com/o21DN7r ... Copied to Clipboard!
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myusernameislame 09/16/24 8:36:27 PM #10: |
The_Wheelman1 posted... Yep Kamala got this election in the bag. It will take a miracle for Trump to get ahead. That's not good enough. We shouldn't be aiming to narrowly squeak by, we should be aiming to send a message. Every vote is worth it. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ReiRei89 09/16/24 8:42:33 PM #11: |
myusernameislame posted... That's not good enough. We shouldn't be aiming to narrowly squeak by, we should be aiming to send a message. Every vote is worth it.Exactly this. And again this is just a single poll. We're getting more high quality PA polls this week. One or two IIRC. So if they do show Harris up (even if she's only up +1) it's going to be a reassuring sign. The more data we collect from high quality polls the better. --- FGO US:973,940,202 JP:410,404,215 Resident Europa fangirl ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Sandalorn 09/16/24 8:53:13 PM #12: |
How in the literal fuck can you be an undecided voter at this point? Human mental mushrooms. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Starks 09/16/24 8:57:27 PM #13: |
We're nearing the point where this election could be called with just the East Coast --- Paid for by StarksPAC, a registered 501(c)(4) ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ClayGuida 09/16/24 8:59:12 PM #14: |
While true, it's simply not feasible. Trump won Pennsylvania by 44,300 votes, .72%. In 2020 Biden won by 86,000, or 1.17%. Obama won by 310,000 and 5.38%. Obama was the only Dem to win the state by over 51% dating back to Reagan. --- lolAmerica ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ClayGuida 09/16/24 8:59:41 PM #15: |
Starks posted... We're nearing the point where this election could be called with just the East CoastI'm hoping we get North Carolina early so I don't need to worry anymore. --- lolAmerica ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ReiRei89 09/16/24 9:00:37 PM #16: |
ClayGuida posted... I'm hoping we get North Carolina early so I don't need to worry anymore.If NC does go for Harris I want to see the beautiful melty from the dipshit. --- FGO US:973,940,202 JP:410,404,215 Resident Europa fangirl ... Copied to Clipboard!
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creativerealms 09/16/24 9:00:37 PM #17: |
Can anyone else but Trump have two assassination attempts and still be behind? --- "Intelligence has no place in Politics" Londo, (Babylon Five) Star Trek Prodigy is top tier Star Trek. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Metal_Gear_Raxis 09/16/24 9:02:22 PM #18: |
This is a good sign, but definitely remember to vote. creativerealms posted... Can anyone else but Trump have two assassination attempts and still be behind?People seem to care even less about this one. --- Time is a funny thing, you know? I guess in the big picture of my life, you were only a blip. But oftentimes, those "blips" make the biggest impacts. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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mybbqrules 09/16/24 9:05:36 PM #19: |
Humble_Novice posted... Nope, we're not going to be complacent here like in 2016.This. Let's keep the energy up and bury this orange turd under an avalanche of blue votes. --- Currently playing: Jurassic Word Evo 2, Fortnite STW, WoW, Punch-Out, Super Punch-Out, Project Zomboid Convicted felon Donald Trump: Inmate No. P01135809 ... Copied to Clipboard!
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mybbqrules 09/16/24 9:06:43 PM #20: |
creativerealms posted... Can anyone else but Trump have two assassination attempts and still be behind?Could the second one even be considered an "attempt" since he never fired at Trump? Wouldn't it be an assassination plot, not an attempt? --- Currently playing: Jurassic Word Evo 2, Fortnite STW, WoW, Punch-Out, Super Punch-Out, Project Zomboid Convicted felon Donald Trump: Inmate No. P01135809 ... Copied to Clipboard!
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thronedfire2 09/16/24 9:08:15 PM #21: |
mybbqrules posted... Could the second one even be considered an "attempt" since he never fired at Trump? Wouldn't it be an assassination plot, not an attempt? only if they could prove that's why he was there --- I could see you, but I couldn't hear you You were holding your hat in the breeze Turning away from me In this moment you were stolen... ... Copied to Clipboard!
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creativerealms 09/16/24 9:08:50 PM #22: |
mybbqrules posted... Could the second one even be considered an "attempt" since he never fired at Trump? Wouldn't it be an assassination plot, not an attempt?Oh that's true. --- "Intelligence has no place in Politics" Londo, (Babylon Five) Star Trek Prodigy is top tier Star Trek. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ClayGuida 09/16/24 9:17:23 PM #23: |
creativerealms posted... Can anyone else but Trump have two assassination attempts and still be behind?There's not a lot of post assassination bumps that change elections. Teddy was shot weeks before the election on his way to a speech, delivered the speech, saved his attacker from lynching, and still lost the election. --- lolAmerica ... Copied to Clipboard!
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BunkerBoy 09/16/24 9:18:07 PM #24: |
mybbqrules posted... Could the second one even be considered an "attempt" since he never fired at Trump? Wouldn't it be an assassination plot, not an attempt?It was a concept of an attempt ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ShaneMcComez 09/16/24 9:29:50 PM #25: |
Need to get early voting going as soon as next week in Pennsylvania. I'm sure there's a lot of people there who are ready to get their ballot as soon as possible, and help send the cult leader and his fascist party packing. --- "Never confuse a single defeat with a final defeat." - F. Scott Fitzgerald ... Copied to Clipboard!
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008Zulu 09/16/24 10:12:56 PM #26: |
I hope Vance faces a reckoning in Ohio for his actions. --- If you need the threat of eternal damnation to be a good person, you're just a bad person on leash. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Kradek 09/16/24 10:15:26 PM #27: |
ClayGuida posted... While true, it's simply not feasible. Trump won Pennsylvania by 44,300 votes, .72%. In 2020 Biden won by 86,000, or 1.17%. Obama won by 310,000 and 5.38%. In fairness, though in a broad sense, I've heard so many people they haven't seen this sort of enthusiasm or energy since Obama, and it's especially impactful when people saying it from that period were politically active and/or working within the campaign. --- My metal band, Ivory King, has 2 songs out now - allmylinks.com/ivorykingtx (all of our links there so you can choose which one you'd prefer to use) ... Copied to Clipboard!
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BlueBoy675 09/16/24 10:17:27 PM #28: |
My biggest fear is that when Trump loses were gonna have a repeat of January 6 and much worse --- Hope rides alone ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Kradek 09/16/24 10:19:56 PM #29: |
BlueBoy675 posted... My biggest fear is that when Trump loses were gonna have a repeat of January 6 and much worse Oh we most definitely will, and you can expect increased political violence the closer we get to election day, especially from these "poll watchers" the GOP is having infiltrate polling stations. The thing is, we can't stop doing the right thing just because domestic terrorists are gunna terrorist. We can't let it intimidate us and we can't kowtow to them. If they engage in violence then they need to be held accountable. --- My metal band, Ivory King, has 2 songs out now - allmylinks.com/ivorykingtx (all of our links there so you can choose which one you'd prefer to use) ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Starks 09/16/24 10:22:55 PM #30: |
And a desperate insider advantage poll shows Trump is +1 in Pennsylvania. --- Paid for by StarksPAC, a registered 501(c)(4) ... Copied to Clipboard!
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BlueBoy675 09/16/24 10:23:50 PM #31: |
Kradek posted... Oh we most definitely will, and you can expect increased political violence the closer we get to election day, especially from these "poll watchers" the GOP is having infiltrate polling stations.Im tempted to get a maga hat to wear to the polling station just to convince the chuds Im on their side as I go to vote for Harris --- Hope rides alone ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Kradek 09/16/24 10:25:38 PM #32: |
BlueBoy675 posted... Im tempted to get a maga hat to wear to the polling station just to convince the chuds Im on their side as I go to vote for Harris If you feel like that will keep you safe, then by all means, all I'll say is try to get to secondhand so you don't give money directly to Trump. If you've got some piece of shit family member who will let you borrow it, then that would be ideal. --- My metal band, Ivory King, has 2 songs out now - allmylinks.com/ivorykingtx (all of our links there so you can choose which one you'd prefer to use) ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Tyranthraxus 09/16/24 10:26:44 PM #33: |
+3 is in the margin of error for 50/50 --- It says right here in Matthew 16:4 "Jesus doth not need a giant Mecha." https://i.imgur.com/dQgC4kv.jpg ... Copied to Clipboard!
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BlueBoy675 09/16/24 10:26:54 PM #34: |
Kradek posted... If you feel like that will keep you safe, then by all means, all I'll say is try to get to secondhand so you don't give money directly to Trump.Yeah. Im in the south so its pretty fucking chuddy around here. I didnt have any problems during the last election but the chuds have gotten way more bold since then --- Hope rides alone ... Copied to Clipboard!
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mach25687 09/16/24 10:27:46 PM #35: |
obsolete posted... Who cares. Vote.This. --- Best damn game about Ninja http://www.i-mockery.com/minimocks/ninjagolf/ninjagolf-flashgame.php ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ShaneMcComez 09/16/24 10:36:48 PM #36: |
BlueBoy675 posted... Im tempted to get a maga hat to wear to the polling station just to convince the chuds Im on their side as I go to vote for HarrisJust wear your regular clothes and you'll likely be fine. No need to get any Trump apparel. --- "Never confuse a single defeat with a final defeat." - F. Scott Fitzgerald ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ClayGuida 09/16/24 10:49:34 PM #37: |
BlueBoy675 posted... My biggest fear is that when Trump loses were gonna have a repeat of January 6 and much worseHonestly, that's my not fear. 1/6 only happened because he was President. Since he's not, I have no doubt they won't just sit back and allow that to happen. Now the non stop rampant lying and whining, that's what I'm worried about. These people just can't lose with dignity and they don't care how many people they hurt. --- lolAmerica ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ReiRei89 09/16/24 10:50:38 PM #38: |
Starks posted... And a desperate insider advantage poll shows Trump is +1 in Pennsylvania.Which is actually more like a Harris +2 poll considering Insider Advantage being a chud operation. But I also expect Nate Silver to dismiss the Suffolk poll and flaunt the chud poll. Also be prepared for a flood of low quality GOP polls. It's going to be a repeat of 2022 the closer we get to election day. --- FGO US:973,940,202 JP:410,404,215 Resident Europa fangirl ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Turtlemayor333 09/16/24 10:53:31 PM #39: |
Nate Helium running around looking for more polls operated by high school students --- http://i.imgur.com/WWk7D.jpg http://i.imgur.com/hE7v5GL.jpg http://i.imgur.com/sY9YLKe.jpg http://i.imgur.com/9e67vqt.jpg ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ReiRei89 09/16/24 10:55:17 PM #40: |
Turtlemayor333 posted... Nate Helium running around looking for more polls operated by high school studentsHe downplayed the recent high quality national polls showing Harris up by flaunting the very poorly done Atlas poll that showed dipshit winning the popular vote and Walz being more unfavorable than the couch fucker. --- FGO US:973,940,202 JP:410,404,215 Resident Europa fangirl ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Umbreon 09/16/24 10:59:39 PM #41: |
obsolete posted... Who cares. Vote. I care, because this is a good sign (And is sure to piss Trump off) But I'll vote like Kamala is behind. No carelessness. --- Black Lives Matter. ~DYL~ (On mobile) ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ClayGuida 09/16/24 11:04:50 PM #42: |
Someone pointed to a great theory as to why Silver is doing what he's doing, and it ties to Thiel a few days ago claiming that the only way Harris wins is if she's cheating and how he's not funding any political party, but he's funding other means, ie Silver to basically put out sham polling, so when it is obviously close, they can point to polling and predictions as to why the election was rigged. They did this same shit in 2020 and again in 2022. By propping up shit polls, and including them in aggregates, it gives them a 'look see, polls had her losing by 10 points, how could she win' argument. Not a good argument, but who knows how these deplorable judges Trump picked will react. They've already done more damage to this country than any of the Bush's or Reagan judges. --- lolAmerica ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ReiRei89 09/16/24 11:08:30 PM #43: |
ClayGuida posted... Someone pointed to a great theory as to why Silver is doing what he's doing, and it ties to Thiel a few days ago claiming that the only way Harris wins is if she's cheating and how he's not funding any political party, but he's funding other means, ie Silver to basically put out sham polling, so when it is obviously close, they can point to polling and predictions as to why the election was rigged.There's also Nate Silver literally getting money from the betting market. His model favoring Trump means more money goes into the betting market so more money for him. Plus yeah Peter Thiel is paying him and we all know Thiel has skin in the game and is actively trying to get Trump reelected. --- FGO US:973,940,202 JP:410,404,215 Resident Europa fangirl ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Starks 09/16/24 11:22:34 PM #44: |
And it's sad. Because Nate's whole schtick initially was that the data should speak for itself and only careful curation should occur. --- Paid for by StarksPAC, a registered 501(c)(4) ... Copied to Clipboard!
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DrizztLink 09/16/24 11:23:05 PM #45: |
Starks posted... And it's sad. Because Nate's whole schtick initially was that the data should speak for itself and only careful curation should occur.And you believed him? --- He/Him http://guidesmedia.ign.com/guides/9846/images/slowpoke.gif https://i.imgur.com/M8h2ATe.png https://i.imgur.com/6ezFwG1.png ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ClayGuida 09/16/24 11:23:45 PM #46: |
Starks posted... And it's sad. Because Nate's whole schtick initially was that the data should speak for itself and only careful curation should occur.It goes back to him not being able to profit off of a very useful tool. If he turned 538 into a billion dollar property, like it may have been, he probably wouldn't need to hit up other billionaires for chump change. --- lolAmerica ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Starks 09/16/24 11:23:48 PM #47: |
In a world that lacked proper aggregation until that point, yes. That shit was very influential in how I approached public policy and polling. My parents have this weird alt reality where I went to DC and did Silver, Enten, etc analyst shit instead of IT. That's the kind of power Silver has had over people. --- Paid for by StarksPAC, a registered 501(c)(4) ... Copied to Clipboard!
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LightSnake 09/17/24 12:19:21 AM #48: |
Another issue is how Right Wing pollsters have flooded the market with shitty polls. Rasmussen and Trafalgar openly brag about it. TIPP is also super right wing (read their editorializing,) but their polling mechanics are at least sound --- Ring the bells that still can ring/Forget your perfect offering/There is a crack in everything/That's how the light gets in."- RIP, Leonard Cohen ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ReiRei89 09/17/24 12:22:44 AM #49: |
LightSnake posted... Another issue is how Right Wing pollsters have flooded the market with shitty polls. Rasmussen and Trafalgar openly brag about it.Insider Advantage did some dubious stuff as well apparently. https://twitter.com/GarrettHerrin/status/1835875832780263563 --- FGO US:973,940,202 JP:410,404,215 Resident Europa fangirl ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Starks 09/17/24 12:37:31 AM #50: |
538 isn't a fan of TIPP. Very low transparency score. But nothing sus like Trafalgar or IA. If the idea is to flood the zone with shit, we already have Rasmussen as a stable barometer of shit. --- Paid for by StarksPAC, a registered 501(c)(4) ... Copied to Clipboard!
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