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KI_Simpson 09/17/24 12:41:17 AM #51: |
No one needs to be told not to get complacent or that 2016 was bad, spreading fear and despair does not help anyone. And yes, that's what you're doing when you shout down good news and bring up something that was genuinely traumatic for a lot of people. People not voting for Clinton because they disliked her and assumed she would win anyway is not even remotely the same as people being excited about Harris's momentum. --- They/them ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Diceheist 09/17/24 12:54:12 AM #52: |
Trumpover, dude has run a terrible campaign. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Humble_Novice 09/17/24 3:19:01 AM #53: |
Starks posted... And it's sad. Because Nate's whole schtick initially was that the data should speak for itself and only careful curation should occur.Goes to show how greed can corrupt people. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Charismic_Zach_Gowen 09/17/24 8:27:06 AM #54: |
Humble_Novice posted... Goes to show how greed can corrupt people. It's not just greed. It's narcissism on Nate. His descent to MAGA puppet began in 2020 when he started stepping out of his lane and started trying to use his methodology to attack COVID restrictions and other related matters that he had no fucking clue about. When people told him to shut the fuck up, he became more and more enraged and susceptible to "trolling the libs". It's the exact fucking path Elon went down. Remember he was pretty well received in liberal circles and then those kids got trapped in that cavern and Elon tried to interject in a matter he had no fucking clue over. He got told to shut the fuck up and started calling the actual rescuers pedophiles. Narcissism is one hell of a drug --- In Brady We Trust. I've finally realized the secret to making a successful Mearn topic. Make it about CZG - Mearn ... Copied to Clipboard!
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LightSnake 09/17/24 8:29:56 AM #55: |
I agree with Nate, but Elon was an apartheid heir who was a horrible shit even as a kid. That's more of what exposed him rather than radicalized him. He was always horrible. --- Ring the bells that still can ring/Forget your perfect offering/There is a crack in everything/That's how the light gets in."- RIP, Leonard Cohen ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ClayGuida 09/17/24 10:14:37 AM #56: |
I think what turned the masses on Elon was his covid rhetoric. He was basically parroting Trump's bullshit that it was a flu and it'd go away by Easter. He doubled and tripled down on it and I think that was when people were like, oh this guy's just a rich idiot and then Glass Onion was written. --- lolAmerica ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ClayGuida 09/17/24 2:02:04 PM #57: |
Morning Consult has Harris +6, 51-45. https://www.axios.com/2024/09/17/harris-leads-trump-poll-after-debate-record Vice President Kamala Harris leapt to a six-point lead over former President Trump in the wake of last week's presidential debate, according to a Morning Consult poll published Tuesday. --- lolAmerica ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Tyranthraxus 09/17/24 2:04:00 PM #58: |
ClayGuida posted...
There's no way that's real. You expect me to believe he knows and can spell the word Skullduggery? --- It says right here in Matthew 16:4 "Jesus doth not need a giant Mecha." https://i.imgur.com/dQgC4kv.jpg ... Copied to Clipboard!
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UnholyMudcrab 09/17/24 2:04:33 PM #59: |
Well, at least he didn't spell it "cease and assist" this time. Does that count as progress? --- http://i.imgur.com/VeNBg.gif http://i.imgur.com/gd5jC8q.gif http://i.imgur.com/PKIy7.gif http://i.imgur.com/3p29JqP.gif ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ClayGuida 09/17/24 2:09:14 PM #60: |
Not sure if that's real now. Seems there was another post similar before the debate. Gonna delete it. --- lolAmerica ... Copied to Clipboard!
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GrandConjuraton 09/17/24 4:19:43 PM #61: |
Trump is down in the polls. Here's how this is bad for Kamala: --- Upon the water, the song of the birds still echo silent. https://imgur.com/o21DN7r ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ReiRei89 09/17/24 6:45:23 PM #62: |
GrandConjuraton posted... Trump is down in the polls. Here's how this is bad for Kamala:Nate Silver in his latest post on his site said Harris is still being punished in his model over a nonexistent convention bounce. He also said it's not going away anytime soon. So yeah, his model is trash. Oh and we are getting one or two more high quality PA polls this week so I'll probably keep this thread open for them. --- FGO US:973,940,202 JP:410,404,215 Resident Europa fangirl ... Copied to Clipboard!
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GhostFaceLeaks 09/17/24 6:49:09 PM #63: |
Tora_Sami posted... This, it's getting annoying when people say who cares vote. Like yes we are all still going to vote, no shit. We do not want another 2016 situation since one of the many reasons why Hilary lost is that people got complacent and didn't vote. So we have to remind people to vote to not get any complacency. --- "Do you like Scary movies?" ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ReiRei89 09/17/24 6:51:18 PM #64: |
GhostFaceLeaks posted... We do not want another 2016 situation since one of the many reasons why Hilary lost is that people got complacent and didn't vote. So we have to remind people to vote to not get any complacency.Hillary only narrowly lost after 30 years of being slandered, having next to no enthusiasm, and being October Surprised by Comey the week before the election. --- FGO US:973,940,202 JP:410,404,215 Resident Europa fangirl ... Copied to Clipboard!
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008Zulu 09/17/24 7:05:05 PM #65: |
Tyranthraxus posted... There's no way that's real. You expect me to believe he knows and can spell the word Skullduggery?He was looking through he desk for his emergency KFC ration, and found the "Word a Day" calendar Eric got him for his birthday in 1996. January 1st's word was Skullduggery. --- If you need the threat of eternal damnation to be a good person, you're just a bad person on leash. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ReiRei89 09/17/24 7:17:25 PM #66: |
And pretty sure that's a real "truth" from Dipshit. I saw it posted on r/ Politics. --- FGO US:973,940,202 JP:410,404,215 Resident Europa fangirl ... Copied to Clipboard!
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UnholyMudcrab 09/17/24 7:19:24 PM #67: |
He's definitely made a post before with the word skullduggery, because I remember thinking then what an absurd word choice it was --- http://i.imgur.com/VeNBg.gif http://i.imgur.com/gd5jC8q.gif http://i.imgur.com/PKIy7.gif http://i.imgur.com/3p29JqP.gif ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ReiRei89 09/18/24 11:33:22 AM #68: |
We're getting 3 rustbelt State polls from a high quality pollster today. --- FGO US:973,940,202 JP:410,404,215 Resident Europa fangirl ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Irony 09/18/24 11:38:27 AM #69: |
There's no such thing as a high quality pollster except Akinator --- See profile pic ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Kradek 09/18/24 3:25:15 PM #70: |
ReiRei89 posted... We're getting 3 rustbelt State polls from a high quality pollster today. Was hearing someone go over this just now. Of the 4 issues she's ahead on the 2 you expect and is equal to Trump on immigration and the economy, so she's cutting into the only 2 issues he's expecting to win him the election. He also went over Financial Times showing a different poll showing an increase in lead on the economy from 42/41 last month to 44/42 this month. --- My metal band, Ivory King, has 2 songs out now - allmylinks.com/ivorykingtx (all of our links there so you can choose which one you'd prefer to use) ... Copied to Clipboard!
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LightSnake 09/18/24 4:09:56 PM #71: |
Kradek posted... Was hearing someone go over this just now. Of the 4 issues she's ahead on the 2 you expect and is equal to Trump on immigration and the economy, so she's cutting into the only 2 issues he's expecting to win him the election. Kradek posted... Was hearing someone go over this just now. Of the 4 issues she's ahead on the 2 you expect and is equal to Trump on immigration and the economy, so she's cutting into the only 2 issues he's expecting to win him the election. Kamala being equal to Trump on immigration and the economy should be a "break glass" level moment of fucking panic for Republicans. --- Ring the bells that still can ring/Forget your perfect offering/There is a crack in everything/That's how the light gets in."- RIP, Leonard Cohen ... Copied to Clipboard!
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BunkerBoy 09/18/24 4:18:00 PM #72: |
ReiRei89 posted... We're getting 3 rustbelt State polls from a high quality pollster today.Are these out yet? ... Copied to Clipboard!
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KobeSystem 09/18/24 4:22:24 PM #73: |
I know we dont matter but I can wait to see how bad Trump gets dunked here in Cali Viva la Kamala --- http://www.last.fm/user/KobeSystem92 | https://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/1350834593843314690/EnpFvstZ_400x400.jpg WIN SEXANGELS GREATKERZ ... Copied to Clipboard!
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sfcalimari 09/18/24 4:28:00 PM #74: |
GrandConjuraton posted... Trump is down in the polls. Here's how this is bad for Kamala: Good news for McCain! --- "Tether even a roasted chicken." - Yamamoto Tsunetomo ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ReiRei89 09/18/24 4:58:22 PM #75: |
BunkerBoy posted... Are these out yet?Yeah, antifar posted a thread for them. Harris is up in all 3 States plus we got a poll from Trump's own pollster showing Harris up in WI. And if I'm not mistaken we are due another high quality PA poll this week as well. --- FGO US:973,940,202 JP:410,404,215 Resident Europa fangirl ... Copied to Clipboard!
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kaiolino 09/18/24 5:01:22 PM #76: |
BunkerBoy posted... Are these out yet? If theyre from Quinnipiac, then yes. https://twitter.com/meridithmcgraw/status/1836444633695686693 --- Comic book recaps 2012-2020: https://tinyurl.com/KaioRecaps ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Kradek 09/18/24 5:53:20 PM #77: |
LightSnake posted... Kamala being equal to Trump on immigration and the economy should be a "break glass" level moment of fucking panic for Republicans. Oh it is, there's just not much they can do about it. Tons of reports of Republicans panicking over various issues, Trump's behavior, and what he/Vance are choosing to focus on. Luckily for us, Trump is incapable of listening to logic and cohesive strategy. He's going to do whatever he wants to do and that's why he's still spreading the hatred against Haitians in Springfield, even after Vance literally admitted he just makes up stories. --- My metal band, Ivory King, has 2 songs out now - allmylinks.com/ivorykingtx (all of our links there so you can choose which one you'd prefer to use) ... Copied to Clipboard!
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luigi33 09/18/24 5:55:26 PM #78: |
No way Michigan is +5 and WIsconsin is only +1. If Michigan goes Blue Wisconsin certainly will by even more than Michigan. --- RTX 3070, Ryzen 7 5700x,16GB DDR4, 700WGold PSU Switch FC: SW-3966-2111-8902, Proud Steam Deck Owner ... Copied to Clipboard!
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divot1338 09/18/24 6:00:09 PM #79: |
kaiolino posted... If theyre from Quinnipiac, then yes.Right now I can literally feel Democrats thinking cool, I dont need to vote. --- Moustache twirling villain https://i.imgur.com/U3lt3H4.jpg- Kerbey ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Kradek 09/18/24 6:10:26 PM #80: |
divot1338 posted... Right now I can literally feel Democrats thinking cool, I dont need to vote. Eh, I think as long as Trump and Trumpism has a stranglehold on the GOP I don't think that will be a thing after 2016. And even 2020 given how Trump contested the election and spread the big lie because of how it close it was. The only way we'll actually be able to fully secure this election is to beat him to such a degree nobody can contest it. --- My metal band, Ivory King, has 2 songs out now - allmylinks.com/ivorykingtx (all of our links there so you can choose which one you'd prefer to use) ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Heineken14 09/18/24 6:17:55 PM #81: |
Charismic_Zach_Gowen posted... It's not just greed. It's narcissism on Nate. His descent to MAGA puppet began in 2020 when he started stepping out of his lane and started trying to use his methodology to attack COVID restrictions and other related matters that he had no fucking clue about. When people told him to shut the fuck up, he became more and more enraged and susceptible to "trolling the libs". It's so weird to see shit we've seen on CE and 261 - the "I'm a left winger, but you guys just made fun of me 1 to many times for spouting right wing things that I have no choice but to not become a right winger" - happen in real life. lol --- Rage is a hell of an anesthetic. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ReiRei89 09/18/24 6:48:09 PM #82: |
Marist is releasing Blue Wall polls in a couple hours. --- FGO US:973,940,202 JP:410,404,215 Resident Europa fangirl ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Diceheist 09/18/24 6:56:31 PM #83: |
divot1338 posted...
I don't know why people keep saying that when they voted heavily in 2018, 2020, and 2022, and the only reason they weren't going to in 2024 was because of Biden who's since been removed from play. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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divot1338 09/18/24 6:57:50 PM #84: |
Diceheist posted... I don't know why people keep saying that when they voted heavily in 2018, 2020, and 2022, and the only reason they weren't going to in 2024 was because of Biden who's since been removed from play.Because I wasnt born yesterday. --- Moustache twirling villain https://i.imgur.com/U3lt3H4.jpg- Kerbey ... Copied to Clipboard!
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LightSnake 09/18/24 6:59:08 PM #85: |
I don't see how folks look at the last few years and not see that being ahead motivates Dems more than doomerism. --- Ring the bells that still can ring/Forget your perfect offering/There is a crack in everything/That's how the light gets in."- RIP, Leonard Cohen ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Humble_Novice 09/18/24 7:00:13 PM #86: |
I recently donated to PA Dems again because they're going to need all the help they can get. Feel free to do likewise: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/padems-mobilize ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ClayGuida 09/18/24 7:00:22 PM #87: |
luigi33 posted... No way Michigan is +5 and WIsconsin is only +1. If Michigan goes Blue Wisconsin certainly will by even more than Michigan.I've been saying this about Pennsylvania. For whatever reason all these shows have trump like up 3 in Penn but down 2 to 3 in Wisconsin and Michigan. I'm not saying it's a guarantee all 3 go one way or the other, but I don't think there will be a 5 point gape between the states. --- lolAmerica ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Humble_Novice 09/18/24 10:51:00 PM #88: |
ReiRei89 posted... Marist is releasing Blue Wall polls in a couple hours.Yeah, and MAGA cultists are so pissed over the Suffolk poll that they've ganged up and taunted the analyst guy who knows more about PA from the inside out: https://twitter.com/blockedfreq/status/1836547308214731154 ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ReiRei89 09/18/24 11:00:20 PM #89: |
Humble_Novice posted... Yeah, and MAGA cultists are so pissed over the Suffolk poll that they've ganged up and taunted the analyst guy who knows more about PA from the inside out: https://twitter.com/blockedfreq/status/1836547308214731154Those comments are cancer. I fucking hate how Musk turned twitter into a hellhole. --- FGO US:973,940,202 JP:410,404,215 Resident Europa fangirl ... Copied to Clipboard!
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jefffan 09/19/24 12:03:12 AM #90: |
Tracking topic since it's midnight lol --- Ernest Morgan: November 15, 1956-September 28, 2010: Best dad in the world. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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jefffan 09/19/24 12:07:37 AM #91: |
Oh it looks like even Fox News has 50/48 Harris nationally. I'm sure Trump won't toilet dial them in the morning about that lmao. On the negative side Trump is 47/44 vs Harris in GA according to the AJC which is not good. However both being below 50% means still a tossup. --- Ernest Morgan: November 15, 1956-September 28, 2010: Best dad in the world. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ReiRei89 09/19/24 12:11:32 AM #92: |
Marist Polls are out https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4887548-harris-trump-michigan-wisconsin-pennsylvania/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter Michigan: Harris 52 Trump 47 Wisconsin: Harris 50 Trump 49 Pennsylvania: Harris 49 Trump 49 So more raging from Trump and the results are about what I expect tbh. WI and PA are going to be close while MI I see Harris winning by the most of the rustbelt battleground States. Also we're apparently getting another high quality PA poll sometime tomorrow morning. --- FGO US:973,940,202 JP:410,404,215 Resident Europa fangirl ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Humble_Novice 09/19/24 12:16:05 AM #93: |
ReiRei89 posted... Marist Polls are outUnlike most people, I see no reason to freak out over this. We knew this race was going to be very close, so Kamala and the Democrats definitely have to pull out all the stops to ensure that they win. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Humble_Novice 09/19/24 12:18:12 AM #94: |
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/a/forum/0/03ac874f.png ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ReiRei89 09/19/24 12:22:26 AM #95: |
Humble_Novice posted... https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/a/forum/0/03ac874f.pngThey're good polls for Kamala. Remember, pollsters changed their methodology after 2022 and now account for a more Republican heavy voting base. So polls that show Kamala up are good. A tie is even good since ultimately a razor thin election is going to be decided by one's ground game where Kamala has the advantage. --- FGO US:973,940,202 JP:410,404,215 Resident Europa fangirl ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Kradek 09/19/24 12:30:37 AM #96: |
ReiRei89 posted... Those comments are cancer. I fucking hate how Musk turned twitter into a hellhole. It's literally the reason he bought it, which you probably already know, just saying, FUCK MUSK. --- My metal band, Ivory King, has 2 songs out now - allmylinks.com/ivorykingtx (all of our links there so you can choose which one you'd prefer to use) ... Copied to Clipboard!
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jefffan 09/19/24 12:34:26 AM #97: |
There were quite a few Battleground senate polls which showed the D far ahead of the Republican Challenger. Casey was +9 in PA for example for Quinnipiac. Obviously different candidates, but I can't see a world in which D Senator would win a race that the D President also wouldn't be favored in. Not by 9 of course, but still the favorite. --- Ernest Morgan: November 15, 1956-September 28, 2010: Best dad in the world. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Kradek 09/19/24 12:36:47 AM #98: |
jefffan posted... There were quite a few Battleground senate polls which showed the D far ahead of the Republican Challenger. I could see it under Biden as that trend was distressingly increasing, however not under Harris. --- My metal band, Ivory King, has 2 songs out now - allmylinks.com/ivorykingtx (all of our links there so you can choose which one you'd prefer to use) ... Copied to Clipboard!
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GrandConjuraton 09/19/24 12:47:34 AM #99: |
It's Kamover --- Upon the water, the song of the birds still echo silent. https://imgur.com/o21DN7r ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Humble_Novice 09/19/24 1:09:15 AM #100: |
ReiRei89 posted... They're good polls for Kamala. Remember, pollsters changed their methodology after 2022 and now account for a more Republican heavy voting base. So polls that show Kamala up are good. A tie is even good since ultimately a razor thin election is going to be decided by one's ground game where Kamala has the advantage.True. The more her ground game grows, the better her chances will be. Having been recently text banking for Democrats, I'm keenly aware that there's going to be another rally in Pennsylvania within the next few days. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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