Board 8 > Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1344

(+) Yeah! (+)

17 users fell off the Top 50. Isiah_Zombie, CassandraCain, Z1mZum, MetalmindStats, Jobi1, Ngamer64, scaryice, Nameless2000, SSBEVegeta3, Foxxiey, pbnj, triton6783, LusterSoldier, LinkMarioSamus, zoharemulator, Mazrim1215 and another user got at least one match wrong.

7 users got a match wrong but survived. aphorism, Aom, Masamune_6969, BobbyEvans, Polycosm, fortybelowsumme plus another scored 6 points but stay on the top 50.
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I know I predicted Starcraft 2 > ME3 wrong, but there's a lot of places you could go to see Witcher 3 beat ME3 real bad. W3 looks solid, but I wanna see the numbers it puts on against SMG2 before I revisit taking it against the likes of Dark Souls and Skyrim.

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YookaLaylee posted...

If CD Projekt Red posts about it on their twitter account like the Shovel Knight developers did, that could change everything

I don't see them doing it honestly. Or any AAA studio for that matter.
Also isn't ME3 widely disliked by the Mass Effect Fanbase as a whole(not andromeda level hate, but still).
Would it beat Halo Reach?

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tennisboy213 posted...

The last 3 days have had about the same vote totals. And there have been rallies each day. It looks like they all brought in about the same number of votes each day.

It's possible that the rallies for Bloodborne, Octopath, and Shovel Knight have brought in some extra voters that managed to stick around for yesterday's matches, which might explain yesterday's vote totals being similar to the 2 days that had rallies. The rally attempts for yesterday's matches didn't seem to have much impact at all, so it would have to be some rallied voters sticking around to vote in later matches.
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Yuri_LowelI posted...

People don't realize how impressive this result is.

I think you are overestimating how many people turned around to be pro ME3 after the changes. I still don't like that game much, even ignoring the ending. It certainly isn't regarded even remotely as highly as ME2.

I haven't even PLAYED The Witcher 3 and I still voted for it.

People respect Mass Effect more than Halo here. It probably beats all the Halos after 3.

tgs2 posted...

Witcher needs to 80-20 ME3 for me to have hope of an upset against BotW, or at least breaking 40%. It might actually do it. Jeeze

This is such a ridiculous post.

Lets focus on this side of the bracket. Lets worry about BOTW if and when Witcher gets there.


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Yuri_LowelI posted...

People don't realize how impressive this result is.

Im not seeing it tbh, all i see is just a normal result, like God of War on Nioh seems way bigger. or am i wrong?

raptor36000 posted...

I don't see them doing it honestly. Or any AAA studio for that matter.
Also isn't ME3 widely disliked by the Mass Effect Fanbase as a whole(not andromeda level hate, but still).
Would it beat Halo Reach?

I feel like I always see CDPR retweeting awards or polls to support their own games

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tgs2 posted...

People respect Mass Effect more than Halo here. It probably beats all the Halos after 3.

Right now? it beats all of them. Xbox had a following during the 360 gen. Not so much now with low votals

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Can't wait for Persona 5 vs Witcher 3.

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ShortReplies posted...

Im not seeing it tbh, all i see is just a normal result, like God of War on Nioh seems way bigger. or am i wrong?

ugh....yeah?

Nioh is a new franchise Souls like game. how the hell is it comparable to MAss effect 3?

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How can we get CDPR to tweet about this contest?

Witcher 3 pushing for 77%

This is insane.

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Hmm... seems like Galaxy 2 has no chance against The Witcher 3 after all.

This also means I know think Return of the Obra Dinn will be the bottom game of the contest, below The Witness.

The Witcher is approaching lock level to beat Skyrim at this rate, but short of a 5000 vote rally, it ain't even sniffing 40% against BotW

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ShortReplies posted...

How can we get CDPR to tweet about this contest?

We dont.

I mean naturally the more we get into the contest the more word will get out of it.

When Witcher comes down to the last few matches agaisnt Persona/Skyrim or Souls and BOTW it will gain enough interest.

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LusterSoldier posted...

It's possible that the rallies for Bloodborne, Octopath, and Shovel Knight have brought in some extra voters that managed to stick around for yesterday's matches, which might explain yesterday's vote totals being similar to the 2 days that had rallies. The rally attempts for yesterday's matches didn't seem to have much impact at all, so it would have to be some rallied voters sticking around to vote in later matches.

Was it expected for registered users to be more favorable to RDR than the non-registered users?
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BlAcK TuRtLe posted...

The Witcher is approaching lock level to beat Skyrim at this rate, but short of a 5000 vote rally, it ain't even sniffing 40% against BotW

Just like Xenoblade was't sniffing 60% against OVerwatch?


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Someone smarter than me extrapolate through ME3

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Team Rocket Elite posted...

Was it expected for registered users to be more favorable to RDR than the non-registered users?

RDR would definitely be the casual bracket favorite for sure.

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Yuri_LowelI posted...

We dont.

I mean naturally the more we get into the contest the more word will get out of it.

When Witcher comes down to the last few matches agaisnt Persona/Skyrim or Souls and BOTW it will gain enough interest.

One thing to keep in mind is that unlike awards voting where there are a series of games for consideration, the finals here are straight 1v1s, which is why I think its unlikely even socially active AAA devs like Atlus and CDProject Red will be able to outright rally due to PR constraints, especially against other AAA games like Skyrim, Zelda or the like.

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Also, Dark Souls might pull the upset here, which would be great. Sekiro shitting the bed had me worrying about backing the souls games too much, but it seems that game is an outlier to the rest of them

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yay Persona 4 golden won

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raptor36000 posted...

One thing to keep in mind is that unlike awards voting where there are a series of games for consideration, the finals here are straight 1v1s, which is why I think its unlikely even socially active AAA devs like Atlus and CDProject Red will be able to outright rally due to PR constraints, especially against other AAA games like Skyrim, Zelda or the like.

The fuck are you talking about

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ME3, being as divisive as it is, wasn't going to be strong at all, at least not against strong competition.

Witcher's performance's still beastly, though.

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Basically no big developer is going to publicly tweet "go vote for witcher over skyrim" on a fansite on any public platform.

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There's only so far down ME3 can go. It was still a very solid game in a solid franchise. There's also only so far down StarCraft 2 can go

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BlAcK TuRtLe posted...

Someone smarter than me extrapolate through ME3

This results in Witcher 3 beating OoT. You can't really extrapolate through ME3 since its only 2015 match was against Undertale.
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raptor36000 posted...

Basically no big developer is going to publicly tweet "go vote for witcher over skyrim" on a fansite on any public platform.

What possible reason do you have for saying this? This is the most random out-of-your-ass claim I've seen here in a while

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Yuri_LowelI posted...

People don't realize how impressive this result is.

Pretty sure we do. Open brackets back up for five minutes right now, and all of Board 8 jumps on a BotW vs Witcher final.

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Team Rocket Elite posted...

This results in Witcher 3 beating OoT. You can't really extrapolate through ME3 since its only 2015 match was against Undertale.

That's all I needed to hear

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Yuri_LowelI posted...

Right now? it beats all of them. Xbox had a following during the 360 gen. Not so much now with low votals

If ME3 can beat all of the first trilogy even now, Witcher is putting on a contest winning performance here. There's no way Reach doesn't get blown out by the first three games.

BlAcK TuRtLe posted...

What possible reason do you have for saying this? This is the most random out-of-your-ass claim I've seen here in a while

Coming from BT this is the funniest thing I've ever read.

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BlAcK TuRtLe posted...

Also, Dark Souls might pull the upset here, which would be great. Sekiro shitting the bed had me worrying about backing the souls games too much, but it seems that game is an outlier to the rest of them

If you ask the souls fanbase it might be pretty evenly split. Before Souls was a genre MH was getting a push by YouTubers like Epicnamebro since 2012 days telling everyone to play MH because they're animation based combat and rpg. Then other community members would do the same throughout the years until MHW when it finally arrived on consoles for everyone to try.

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BlAcK TuRtLe posted...

What possible reason do you have for saying this? This is the most random out-of-your-ass claim I've seen here in a while

Years of precedent and a basic understanding of PR constraints large corporations have regarding what they do or dont tweet and post about.

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UltimaterializerX posted...

At this rate it won't be necessary. Witcher 3 almost assuredly needs zero help to whip Skyrim's ass.

True. For me Witcher is the better game, though only barely. Both deserving of being the top 5 imo.

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In regards the Witcher vs Skyrim match, this ME3 match is important in helping us see that Witcher apparently sits VERY high on the WRPG pecking order on this site. Skyrim might be the perfect semifinal opponent for it

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Team Rocket Elite posted...

Was it expected for registered users to be more favorable to RDR than the non-registered users?

Based on the round 1 results for RDR and P4G, the assumption is that P4G should have done a little bit better with registered users. I'd say this could be bracket voting influence at work here as the stats suggest RDR was the bracket favorite. GTA won big with registered users too.

I also found an explanation for the last 2 days of matches having similar vote totals to the Bloodborne match day - an increase in registered user votes.

We had an average of 8999 registered user votes on the Bloodborne match day, but this increases to an average of 9327 for the Octopath/Shovel Knight match day and is only slightly lower at an average of 9300 for yesterday's matches. That would partially offset the drop off in anonymous user votes after the Bloodborne match day.
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I still have no idea how Persona 4 Golden scored less than RDR in registered users given its the 2nd highest rated game on this website, makes no sense to me.

Yeah, Skyrim is fucked. Dark Souls has a better chance of upsetting Witcher than Skyrim does. If Witcher is doing this to one (still pretty popular) Western game, the only true danger it faces before Zelda is a shot from Japan. All other Western games are going to crumble in front of it.

To that end, next round actually might be the most interesting for ol Geralt. If Mario crumbles as easily as these Western games are, then sweet tea n biscuits, it might actually have a shot at the unthinkable.

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raptor36000 posted...

Years of precedent and a basic understanding of PR constraints large corporations have regarding what they do or dont tweet and post about.

It was quite a while ago I guess but Valve did rally for Gordon Freeman over Mario and Link in GameSpot's contest. So it isn't unheard of.
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CaptainOfCrush posted...

Yeah, Skyrim is fucked. Dark Souls has a better chance of upsetting Witcher than Skyrim does. If Witcher is doing this to one (still pretty popular) Western game, the only true danger it faces before Zelda is a shot from Japan. All other Western games are going to crumble in front of it.

To that end, next round actually might be the most interesting for ol Geralt. If Mario crumbles as easily as these Western games are, then sweet tea n biscuits, it might actually have a shot at the unthinkable.

If witcher 75-25s galaxy then it has a very very good chance of winning this whole thing.
Id be shocked if that happened though.

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77% barrier broken. Praise Geraldo.