Board 8 > Politics Containment Topic 204: Cory in the House of Representatives

(+) Yeah! (+)

pxlated posted...

eddv

Supporting Free Trade and Modified Market solutions to social and economic problems is apparently the liberal economic agenda now.
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NBC projects Dems take House

Would love to see some gains in dat Senate tho
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Pence is Donald Trump's poison pill, his guarantee against being removed from office. It's a common strategy in business.
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65-vote margin right now in SD Gubernatorial.
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HarrietTubgirl posted...

NBC projects Dems take House

Would love to see some gains in dat Senate tho

Always seemed a safe bet they would. Now to see by how much.
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Jakyl25 posted...

KamikazePotato posted...

Jakyl25 posted...

Just so you know Corrik, I do legitimately hate you, IRL

I 100% hate every conservative who frequents in this topic. All of them are human trash.

Name someone who isn't.

For some reason I still see MWC as something of a vulgar pet hamster

how do i give you gamefaqs gold for this

this mental image is wonderful
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LordoftheMorons posted...

Jared Polis (Colorado) has become the US's first openly gay governor.

On the one hand, progress

On the other hand, its crazy that it took until 2018.

Its like when they said Blackburn is the first ever woman to be TN Senator. I did a spittake. Are there OTHER states that still havent had one?
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538 still has R's at 40% to hold House, I would question NBC calling it now. They called Florida for Gore too.
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pxlated posted...

Jakyl25 posted...

KamikazePotato posted...

Jakyl25 posted...

Just so you know Corrik, I do legitimately hate you, IRL

I 100% hate every conservative who frequents in this topic. All of them are human trash.

Name someone who isn't.

For some reason I still see MWC as something of a vulgar pet hamster

how do i give you gamefaqs gold for this

this mental image is wonderful

Donate money to help migrant needs
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This result has to be disasterous for those who thought this would show a democratic surge against Trump for 2020 tbqh. I can't see Trump not being re-elected barring a major economic downturn at this point.
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Jakyl25 posted...

LordoftheMorons posted...

Jared Polis (Colorado) has become the US's first openly gay governor.

On the one hand, progress

On the other hand, its crazy that it took until 2018.

Its like when they said Blackburn is the first ever woman to be TN Senator. I did a spittake. Are there OTHER states that still havent had one?

No first world country has EVER had a woman from a liberal party as head of government. Ever. Only 4 conservatives.
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Fox News also called the house for Dems.
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red sox 777 posted...

538 still has R's at 40% to hold House, I would question NBC calling it now. They called Florida for Gore too.

Screw 538
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Corrik posted...

This result has to be disasterous for those who thought this would show a democratic surge against Trump for 2020 tbqh. I can't see Trump not being re-elected barring a major economic downturn at this point.

I mean, the way things are going he's probably just gonna die from a heart attack before then or something.
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red sox 777 posted...

538 still has R's at 40% to hold House, I would question NBC calling it now. They called Florida for Gore too.

Here's hoping!

Even if they do, at this point I would consider this a big defeat for them. Definitely should make them think VERY critically about who they'll need to rig to win their 2020 primary.
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Corrik posted...

This result has to be disasterous for those who thought this would show a democratic surge against Trump for 2020 tbqh. I can't see Trump not being re-elected barring a major economic downturn at this point.

Agreed
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Looks like the Democrats will win the House, which is something

pxlated posted...

eddv

Okay fair
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LapisLazuli posted...

Corrik posted...

This result has to be disasterous for those who thought this would show a democratic surge against Trump for 2020 tbqh. I can't see Trump not being re-elected barring a major economic downturn at this point.

I mean, the way things are going he's probably just gonna die from a heart attack before then or something.

Alrdy imagining ultis assassination claims.
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This result has to be disasterous for those who thought this would show a democratic surge against Trump for 2020 tbqh. I can't see Trump not being re-elected barring a major economic downturn at this point.

I would expect the Democrats to take the popular vote. (In fairness, the last time Republicans won the popular was when they had an incumbent, so it's not open-and-shut.) The electoral vote, though, likely depends on Democrats finding someone that people want to vote for, rather than relying on voting against.
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Cruz starting to pull away. Like 70k some lead now.
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Midwest looking much better than the Southeast did.

Maybe we should have let that whole area secede.
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MalcolmMasher posted...

This result has to be disasterous for those who thought this would show a democratic surge against Trump for 2020 tbqh. I can't see Trump not being re-elected barring a major economic downturn at this point.

I would expect the Democrats to take the popular vote. (In fairness, the last time Republicans won the popular was when they had an incumbent, so it's not open-and-shut.) The electoral vote, though, likely depends on Democrats finding someone that people want to vote for, rather than relying on voting against.

Trump's policies are catered to the rust belt. Almost seems purposely
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Elections at this point are about fighting the tyranny of the minority

Democrats will absolutely get more votes, they might just not get more votes in the specific places they need to
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Corrik posted...

Trump's policies are catered to the rust belt. Almost seems purposely

The trade war is fucking a ton of people there. The midwest was the area dems were most outperforming 2016 in the polls iirc.
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Reschenthaler picks up the newly created PA 14th for the Republicans, but Phillips defeats the incumbent Paulsen in MN 3rd, so the number of pickups needed is unchanged.

And now it does change. Sharice Davids unseats Kevin Yoder in Kansas 3.
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Like 95% of the people who were negatively affected by the trade war and voted Trump are going to vote for Trump again
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TsunamiXXVIII posted...

Reschenthaler picks up the newly created PA 14th for the Republicans, but Phillips defeats the incumbent Paulsen in MN 3rd, so the number of pickups needed is unchanged.

Hey the guy I voted for won!
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KamikazePotato posted...

Elections at this point are about fighting the tyranny of the minority

Democrats will absolutely get more votes, they might just not get more votes in the specific places they need to

Which is why pickups in all these governorships are so important.

Fixing all of these gerrymandered nightmares will make the 2022+ races much more competitive.
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KamikazePotato posted...

Like 95% of the people who were negatively affected by the trade war and voted Trump are going to vote for Trump again

Right, which is why the fight continues to be to convert non-voters to voters
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Trump's policies are catered to the rust belt. Almost seems purposely

Yes, that's why "finding someone people want to vote for" is important. Whether or not they are true, "Trump is lying to you" and "Trump is hurting people who are dissimilar to you" do not appear to be resounding messages.
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Jakyl25 posted...

Right, which is why the fight continues to be to convert non-voters to voters

[Democrat strategist voice] Let's try moving towards the center, that's a good trick!
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A not super important but very satisfying result: Kim Davis lost in KY
https://www.kentucky.com/news/politics-government/article221121745.html
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The result I care about more than anything else right now is Ted Cruz potentially losing. Man oh man would that be hilarious.
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Crossfiyah posted...

KamikazePotato posted...

Elections at this point are about fighting the tyranny of the minority

Democrats will absolutely get more votes, they might just not get more votes in the specific places they need to

Which is why pickups in all these governorships are so important.

Fixing all of these gerrymandered nightmares will make the 2022+ races much more competitive.

Dems got one! Laura Kelly beats Kris Kobach in Kansas.
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I realize percentage is misleading, but Abrams constant increase is still pleasing to see.
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TsunamiXXVIII posted...

Crossfiyah posted...

KamikazePotato posted...

Elections at this point are about fighting the tyranny of the minority

Democrats will absolutely get more votes, they might just not get more votes in the specific places they need to

Which is why pickups in all these governorships are so important.

Fixing all of these gerrymandered nightmares will make the 2022+ races much more competitive.

Dems got one! Laura Kelly beats Kris Kobach in Kansas.

I cannot CANNOT believe Kobach won that primary
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Also, I have to say, it's seriously impressive in basically every pre-election poll, a good amount of 'unsure' voters magically become Republicans when the election election starts

It's like people are embarrassed to admit what they're supporting, even anonymously
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TsunamiXXVIII posted...

Dems got one! Laura Kelly beats Kris Kobach in Kansas.

Yessssssss

Fuck Kobach. What kind of piece of shit makes disenfranchising voters his whole life's mission?
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red sox 777 posted...

Jakyl25 posted...

LordoftheMorons posted...

Jared Polis (Colorado) has become the US's first openly gay governor.

On the one hand, progress

On the other hand, its crazy that it took until 2018.

Its like when they said Blackburn is the first ever woman to be TN Senator. I did a spittake. Are there OTHER states that still havent had one?

No first world country has EVER had a woman from a liberal party as head of government. Ever. Only 4 conservatives.

Australia and New Zealand.
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Whats the 2020 Senate map look like for Dems?
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Jakyl25 posted...

Whats the 2020 Senate map look like for Dems?

Like the electoral college map will look that night.

Fucking red
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it's much better. 2018 is playing off of an obama year whereas 2014 was a pretty good R year.
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Jakyl25 posted...

Whats the 2020 Senate map look like for Dems?

Lots of R seats up, but mostly tough territory for Dems:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_elections,_2020

Looking at the map, I think they could be competitive in CO, IA, ME, maaaybe NC?
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Jakyl25 posted...

Whats the 2020 Senate map look like for Dems?

There is one seat held by a senator of the party which lost that state in the last presidential election, in the next 2 senate elections. There were around 10 today, almost all held by Democrats. The Republicans should have a permanent majority of 55+ seats in the Senate from their advantage in small states, it's more surprising that this hasnt happened yet.
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I am fairly certain that the senate flip is nearly impossible for the dems to flip in the foreseeable future

Oh and Dems will also almost assuredly lose AL in 2020, though everything else looks pretty safe to me.
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I think that the Dems should just keep up with their strategy of nominating gorgeous women.
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WrestIeMania posted...

Jakyl25 posted...

Whats the 2020 Senate map look like for Dems?

Like the electoral college map will look that night.

Fucking red

Youre such a good hamster
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Mitt Romney has been elected (of course), so that's probably a tiny upgrade from Hatch at least.
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