Board 8 > Character Battle X Contest Analysis Crew - Part 4

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transience
11/03/18 8:04:40 PM
#251:


Dante always does well the round before his eventual demise

also it's Lightning
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xyzzy
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LeonhartFour
11/03/18 8:05:42 PM
#252:


I think Vivi's got a better shot at beating Ganon than Dante does.
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Lopen
11/03/18 8:11:38 PM
#253:


Vivi's chances of beating Ganon are looking close to 0 imo because Dante is gonna beat him first

Chun-Li embarrassing this guy
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LeonhartFour
11/03/18 8:11:47 PM
#254:


Five minute X-Stats:

Dante 50.00%
Lightning 32.28%
Cuphead 28.41%
Chloe Price 16.66%

Ganondorf 50.00%
Chun-Li 39.79%
Spyro the Dragon 34.88%
Neku Sakuraba 21.40%

Vivi 50.00%
Yu Narukami 25.11%
Aya Brea 20.95%
Victor Sullivan 16.94%

Leon Kennedy 50.00%
Donkey Kong 49.12%
Tidus 42.31%
Dragonborn 31.32%
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LeonhartFour
11/03/18 8:16:19 PM
#255:


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The Mana Sword
11/03/18 8:22:04 PM
#257:


this contest is a Nintendo nightmare and Draven cant even save us anymore
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Safer_777
11/03/18 8:22:41 PM
#258:


Transience best crew member. He loves Kongs!
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So why we exist? What happens when we stop existing?
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The Mana Sword
11/03/18 8:22:51 PM
#259:


also yeah Ganon looks like trash here
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transcience
11/03/18 8:25:57 PM
#260:


bracket vote wearing off is what that was
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add the c and back away
iphonesience
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transcience
11/03/18 8:28:02 PM
#261:


looks like Tidus lost 2.5% from this point
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add the c and back away
iphonesience
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SuperNiceDog
11/03/18 8:28:22 PM
#262:


Lightning nooooo. Well there was a dream for about 5 min
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GJ BK_Sheikah
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LeonhartFour
11/03/18 8:29:11 PM
#263:


SuperNiceDog posted...
Lightning nooooo. Well there was a dream for about 5 min


more like 5 seconds
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LeonhartFour
11/03/18 8:34:31 PM
#264:


Ryu - 88.66%
Shepard - 64.31%
KOS-MOS - 41.48%
Aqua - 66.22%

got the casuals with KOS-MOS, no surprise
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ZeldaTPLink
11/03/18 8:43:57 PM
#265:


Blue Hair and Boobs > mainstream game is too gameFAQs-y even for this savvy generation of casuals we have now
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transience
11/03/18 8:47:31 PM
#266:


good thing Chloe and Cuphead weren't switched, I guess

or Spyro and Chloe
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xyzzy
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Lopen
11/03/18 8:51:50 PM
#267:


You can't really credibly think Lightning is total garbage that might lose to Spyro while seeing Donkey Kong here

Dante gonna beat Ganondorf 57-43 DMC5 hype too good.
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TheKoolAidShoto
11/03/18 8:52:44 PM
#268:


Lopen posted...
You can't really credibly think Lightning is total garbage that might lose to Spyro while seeing Donkey Kong here

Dante gonna beat Ganondorf 57-43 DMC5 hype too good.

Lopen finally gets a good Dante win
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Communists
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The Mana Sword
11/03/18 8:53:17 PM
#269:


Dante will still find a way to choke
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WarThaNemesis2
11/03/18 8:53:54 PM
#270:


is there a big sporting event on the day of Dante/Ganon

who needs to win for dante to win, lopen needs to buy a jersey now
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RIP Paul Bearer. Ohhhh nooooo. :(
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KamikazePotato
11/03/18 8:53:54 PM
#271:


Ganondorf is still the favorite going in but the odds have dropped to like 55-45, when yesterday I would have called it 70-30. I'm looking through Ganondorf's history and this might be the worst result he's had...ever?
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
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Lopen
11/03/18 8:53:58 PM
#272:


Dante will choke...

Against Link.
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KamikazePotato
11/03/18 8:54:18 PM
#273:


The Mana Sword posted...
Dante will still find a way to choke

Is it really choking if no one picked you in the first place
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
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WarThaNemesis2
11/03/18 8:54:31 PM
#274:


Lopen posted...
Dante will choke...

Against Link.


In the grand final, right?
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RIP Paul Bearer. Ohhhh nooooo. :(
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The Mana Sword
11/03/18 8:54:40 PM
#275:


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LeonhartFour
11/03/18 8:54:47 PM
#276:


KamikazePotato posted...
The Mana Sword posted...
Dante will still find a way to choke

Is it really choking if no one picked you in the first place


depends on whether he blows a lead or not
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Janus5k
11/03/18 8:57:03 PM
#277:


KamikazePotato posted...
I'm looking through Ganondorf's history and this might be the worst result he's had...ever?

literally lost to Magus

and Vincent, for that matter

you know suddenly choke master Dante looks pretty good
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
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KamikazePotato
11/03/18 8:57:22 PM
#278:


The Mana Sword posted...
yes

http://images5.fanpop.com/image/photos/30400000/DMC-4-Gif-devil-may-cry-30450206-500-500.gif
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
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Lopen
11/03/18 8:58:54 PM
#279:


WarThaNemesis2 posted...
In the grand final, right?


I like the way you think.
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KamikazePotato
11/03/18 9:00:33 PM
#280:


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3799-chaos-division-round-2-ganondorf-vs-ken

This looks like a good comparison match. I guess Ganondorf looks okay here if you think Chun is clearly stronger than Ken. I would've put them around equal though.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
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The Mana Sword
11/03/18 9:01:27 PM
#281:


hopefully Vivi destroys all these losers
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LeonhartFour
11/03/18 9:01:46 PM
#282:


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/6239-who-is-your-favorite-of-the-original-twelve-street-fighter

Bad comparison point, of course, but Chun-Li is quite a bit ahead of Ken here, and she gained 3% overall compared to when that poll was run in 2012.
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transience
11/03/18 9:02:18 PM
#283:


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TheKoolAidShoto
11/03/18 9:02:19 PM
#284:


KamikazePotato posted...
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3799-chaos-division-round-2-ganondorf-vs-ken

This looks like a good comparison match. I guess Ganondorf looks okay here if you think Chun is clearly stronger than Ken. I would've put them around equal though.

Ordinarily I'd agree but we're in a post-"Ken is in Smash" world now
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Communists
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KamikazePotato
11/03/18 9:03:17 PM
#285:


LeonhartFour posted...
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/6239-who-is-your-favorite-of-the-original-twelve-street-fighter

Bad comparison point, of course, but Chun-Li is quite a bit ahead of Ken here, and she gained 3% overall compared to when that poll was run in 2012.

Chun is the only female character in that poll and there's no way that Ken isn't being SFFd by Ryu. This is what Chun has done recently:

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5205-character-battle-ix-division-7-round-1-tifa-vs-cirno-vs-chun
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
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WarThaNemesis2
11/03/18 9:07:53 PM
#286:


ok smart contest math people

if chun-li = leon, then what does DK get on Ganondorf

also what does leon need to get on chun-li for DK = Ganondorf
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RIP Paul Bearer. Ohhhh nooooo. :(
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LeonhartFour
11/03/18 9:08:15 PM
#287:


Tifa Female SFFing Chun-Li pretty hardcore as she tends to do
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LeonhartFour
11/03/18 9:09:12 PM
#288:


WarThaNemesis2 posted...
ok smart contest math people

if chun-li = leon, then what does DK get on Ganondorf

also what does leon need to get on chun-li for DK = Ganondorf


If Chun-Li = Leon, Ganondorf gets 56.27% on DK.

Leon needs to be able to get the same on Chun-Li for DK = Ganondorf.
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ZeldaTPLink
11/03/18 9:09:12 PM
#289:


I made a huge argument about how DK was a monster in Brazil yesterday and now he's losing to Leon here.

Whatever.
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KamikazePotato
11/03/18 9:09:20 PM
#290:


WarThaNemesis2 posted...
ok smart contest math people

if chun-li = leon, then what does DK get on Ganondorf

also what does leon need to get on chun-li for DK = Ganondorf

If you assume that the 2013 stats haven't changed in 5 years (they have), DK is already projected to beat Ganondorf lol
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
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Mac Arrowny
11/03/18 9:09:25 PM
#291:


TheKoolAidShoto posted...
KamikazePotato posted...
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3799-chaos-division-round-2-ganondorf-vs-ken

This looks like a good comparison match. I guess Ganondorf looks okay here if you think Chun is clearly stronger than Ken. I would've put them around equal though.

Ordinarily I'd agree but we're in a post-"Ken is in Smash" world now


Sure, but that was a 2010 match.
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All the stars in the sky are waiting for you.
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WarThaNemesis2
11/03/18 9:10:09 PM
#292:


have we considered the possibility that chun-li has boosted from ken being in smash
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RIP Paul Bearer. Ohhhh nooooo. :(
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WarThaNemesis2
11/03/18 9:12:54 PM
#293:


LeonhartFour posted...
WarThaNemesis2 posted...
ok smart contest math people

if chun-li = leon, then what does DK get on Ganondorf

also what does leon need to get on chun-li for DK = Ganondorf


If Chun-Li = Leon, Ganondorf gets 56.27% on DK.

Leon needs to be able to get the same on Chun-Li for DK = Ganondorf.


this feels plausible?
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RIP Paul Bearer. Ohhhh nooooo. :(
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LeonhartFour
11/03/18 9:14:22 PM
#294:


just imagine the damage Diddy could be doing right now

biggest snub of the contest imhotbqh
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WarThaNemesis2
11/03/18 9:14:59 PM
#295:


imagine how many brackets would be destroyed by K. Rool > Diddy
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RIP Paul Bearer. Ohhhh nooooo. :(
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transience
11/03/18 9:15:42 PM
#296:


yeah, this one's definitely over now

Leon/Tidus looks to be a competitive match!
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xyzzy
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KamikazePotato
11/03/18 9:15:56 PM
#297:


LeonhartFour posted...
just imagine the damage Diddy could be doing right now

biggest snub of the contest imhotbqh

I mentioned this on the Show last night. Diddy would've busted more brackets than any other character if he got in.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
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transience
11/03/18 9:18:03 PM
#298:


you can sub diddy for any other smash character and the result's about the same, honestly

DKC2 already had that one contest win. Xenoblade I think?
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xyzzy
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WarThaNemesis2
11/03/18 9:18:45 PM
#299:


DKC2 won two matches that year!
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RIP Paul Bearer. Ohhhh nooooo. :(
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KamikazePotato
11/03/18 9:20:25 PM
#300:


Side note: I arbitrarily set Vivi equal to Squall in the 2013 stats because I figured his match against Squall was very bandwagon-influenced but didn't want to set him lower when he clearly won. This results in:

Vivi (2013c) has a strength of 37.98 against Base Link.
Aya Brea (2013c) has a strength of 18.76 against Base Link.
Vivi75.30%40,633
Aya Brea24.70%13,327
Vivi wins with 75.30% of the vote!

Vivi (2013c) has a strength of 37.98 against Base Link.
Yu Narukami (2013c) has a strength of 19.58 against Base Link.
Vivi74.22%40,051
Yu Narukami25.78%13,909
Vivi wins with 74.22% of the vote!

Seems like I made a pretty good guess so far! Assuming Vivi is as legit as he's looking, he's going to clean sweep this division.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
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Lopen
11/03/18 11:09:55 PM
#301:


So is calling Lightning > Dante the furthest off the mark a non-rally based pick has been this year yet on the crew? I think it might be.
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