Board 8 > College Football Ladder Contest Week 5

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TsunamiXXVIII
09/28/17 12:14:53 AM
#1:


Well, there is one advantage to being alone at the highest level: when the inevitable overcomplicated levels come, I can actually demonstrate them myself. Also, thanks to kevwaffles for preparing the list of who's where for me.

Rules
- State which level you're on when you make your pick. Usually it should be obvious, but say it anyway.
- Deadline for making a pick is the start of the earliest game that you're picking. This means that if you are on a level that involves picking multiple teams, ALL of your teams are locked as soon as one of your teams has kicked off. If you don't have a pick in by the start of the early games, you can just pick later games, but if you can't make an eligible pick out of the games that haven't started yet, you can't advance that week.
- Conferences featured in games may be imposed at certain levels, but unless otherwise stated, any game(s) featuring two FBS teams are eligible.
- I'll list some marquee games each week, but you're not restricted to these. If you pick other games, make sure that your lines can be verified.

Level 1: Pick one game against the spread.

Level 2: Down goes Goliath. Pick a ranked team to lose, using the official Selection Committee Rankings if you're still at this level by the time they start coming out and the AP Poll prior to that. The ranked team must not be an underdog of at least 7 points (generally only happens when the favorite is also a ranked team). Alternatively, if you think that no ranked teams will lose (or the only ones that will lose are underdogs of at least 7 points), you can use "no valid option" as your pick and will advance if this comes to pass; this option must be chosen before any valid pick has kicked off.

Level 3: Pick three over/unders; 2 wins or 1 win and 2 pushes passes.

Level 4: Three-team teaser. Tease the lines six points in your favor, two wins and a push or three wins needed to pass.

Level 5: Pleaser. Choose one team and move the line seven points to your detriment.

Level 6: Something fishy in Vegas. Choose one game and please both sides of the spread by 15 points and both sides of the O/U by 25 points. This will give you four total picks consisting of two sets of mutually exclusive outcomes. If any of these four outcomes is a winner, you move on to the next level.

Level 6:
TsunamiXXVIII

Level 5:
kevwaffles

Level 4:
5tarscream
Paratroopa1

Level 3:
jcgamer107
KCF0107

Level 2:
bwburke94
Eddv
Jakyl25

Level 1:
Shaduln
SmartMuffin

Marquee games:
Miami-FL (-6.5) @ Duke (O/U 55.5) (Friday Night)
USC (-3.5) @ Washington State (O/U 65) (Friday Night)
Mississippi State (+9.5) @ Auburn (O/U 50.5)
Clemson (-7.5) @ Virginia Tech (O/U 51.5)
Oklahoma State (-9.5) @ Texas Tech (O/U 82)

Wow, check out that Friday night action!
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TsunamiXXVIII
09/28/17 12:27:00 AM
#2:


And who else would I pick (on) for a level this screwy than the state university of my home state?

Level 6: Ohio State @ Rutgers: Ohio State -45 or Rutgers +15; Over 79 or Under 29

I fully believe that 3 out of those 4 options are possibilities. Rutgers can't win games, but they can overperform or underperform wildly; I could see a close game or a blowout like the one Michigan put up against them last year. (Though tOSU blew them out pretty badly last year as well.) Normally I'd have already given up on the Knights completely by now, but their record really probably should be 2-2 right now, not 1-3. (Or maybe not; knowing Rutgers, they'd have found a way to blow the game against EMU even if the refs hadn't blatantly screwed them over on their final drive--and by "blatantly screwed them over", I mean "I have full faith that had a penalty actually been called, the ensuing review would've upheld the decision to eject the EMU player for targeting.")
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5tarscream
09/28/17 1:10:42 AM
#3:


wtf

Level 6 is tease the line by 15 and 1 of 4 will win. Level 4 is tease the line 6 and 3 to win. How the fuck does that make sense?
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5tarscream
09/28/17 1:18:12 AM
#4:


Level 4:

Duke (+12.5)
Navy (-1.5)
Florida Intl (-6.5)
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Paratroopa1
09/28/17 2:05:12 AM
#5:


level 6 is interesting
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Paratroopa1
09/28/17 2:05:47 AM
#6:


5tarscream posted...
wtf

Level 6 is tease the line by 15 and 1 of 4 will win. Level 4 is tease the line 6 and 3 to win. How the fuck does that make sense?

please the line by 15
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kevwaffles
09/28/17 2:12:11 AM
#7:


tag
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jcgamer107
09/28/17 2:43:56 AM
#8:


weird. so predict the most unpredictable game :D
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KCF0107
09/28/17 7:13:39 PM
#9:


Level 3:
USC/Washington St Over 62.5
Central Michigan/Boston College Under 52.5
Clemson/VT Over 50.5
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Paratroopa1
09/28/17 7:16:52 PM
#10:


Level 4

California (+20)
Colorado (+14)
Washington (-20.5)

Oregon will not beat Cal by 20 points; UCLA will not beat Colorado by 14 points. Of these two things I am about as certain as I can reasonably be.

The third game was harder. I hate picking my own team because it feels like I'm inviting misfortune, but OSU hasn't covered +20.5 in any of their three losses, all to lesser teams than UW.
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5tarscream
09/29/17 8:09:46 PM
#11:


Bump maybe
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kevwaffles
09/29/17 10:16:13 PM
#12:


I considered taking Duke in this. Glad I didn't do that!
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5tarscream
09/30/17 12:54:15 AM
#13:


Yeah that happened. Now to wait forveer for Week 6.
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Paratroopa1
09/30/17 1:01:05 AM
#14:


Miami/Duke would have been a viable pick for level 6
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jcgamer107
09/30/17 7:48:40 AM
#15:


Level 3:

Clemson @ Virginia Tech UNDER 51.5
South Florida @ East Carolina UNDER 73.5
Georgia @ Tennessee OVER 47
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kevwaffles
09/30/17 9:50:58 AM
#16:


Level 5
GT -16.5

I can't find a game I hugely like, but UNC does have a lot of injuries and they've screwed us over a lot lately so we might actually be motivated to make them look bad.
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kevwaffles
09/30/17 4:32:20 PM
#17:


Glad I picked when I did. Not just because I won, but I wasn't able to get back on soon enough for anything but the evening if I had waited for the late afternoon games.
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KCF0107
09/30/17 4:40:39 PM
#18:


Need Clemson/VT to come through!
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kevwaffles
09/30/17 4:51:43 PM
#19:


KCF0107 posted...
Need Clemson/VT to come through!

Speaking of which, you have to go with the lines listed here for the applicable games. I doubt 1 point will make all the difference, but you're stuck with 51.5, not 50.5.

Also applied to Wash St/USC, but it didn't make a difference there.
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KCF0107
09/30/17 5:02:50 PM
#20:


Oh, I didn't even look at the list of marquee games. I just use the same betting odds site that I have always used for college ladder.
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kevwaffles
09/30/17 5:15:19 PM
#21:


So Tennessee was another team I was leaning towards. I've dodged all sorts of bullets on this one.
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kevwaffles
09/30/17 9:06:49 PM
#22:


VT's MVP so far is the crowd!
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TsunamiXXVIII
09/30/17 11:08:34 PM
#23:


Okay, one of these weeks I'm going to have to actually be stopped by one of my levels.

I'm kind of glad it wasn't this one, though, because now that I'm actually playing it, I'm realizing that it was a really stupid idea.

I've already got a plan for Level 7, but I haven't got a Level 8 planned out yet. Still, Level 6 will actually be beaten in September. That's crazy. If my stupid-as-f*** Level 9 plan that I've had since I started running this thing remains unrevealed this year, I will be amazed.

Meanwhile, Rutgers just doinked a FGA to remain scoreless.
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kevwaffles
09/30/17 11:19:16 PM
#24:


There were definitely a lot of games that would have passed Level 6 this week, though.

Unless that's what you mean by it being dumb?
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Paratroopa1
10/01/17 2:04:15 AM
#25:


Okay, well, thanks for sucking Cal
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jcgamer107
10/01/17 4:59:25 AM
#26:


wow, if Tennessee had scored even one touchdown. thanks a lot rocky top morons.
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TsunamiXXVIII
10/01/17 6:22:44 PM
#27:


Up
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"Someday I'll catch up, and then you'll all be surprised!"
BKSheikah has the power. He is the one.
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kevwaffles
10/02/17 11:52:07 PM
#28:


bump
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kevwaffles
10/04/17 2:10:23 AM
#29:


bump
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