Board 8 > Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1271

(+) Yeah! (+)

Getting this match wrong won't kill my bracket, but dammit I'm the closest I've ever been to #1 in one of these contests. I don't want to fall off the leaderboard here.
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redrocket_pub posted...

Team Rocket Elite posted...

CT is projected to get over 65% against MM and I don't think many people would pick LoZ over MM.

Well, umm...

MM would absolutely fodderize LoZ, yeah.

I kinda doubt it, honestly.

MM would win, but I think LoZ would hold up well against anything else in the series other than OoT or maybe LttP.
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I think LttP would SFF LoZ more than OoT would
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MM might be able to SFF LoZ, but the natural strength isn't too far off.
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Ugh 95 why :( Reusing match pictures god damn it.

Though with a performance from 87 like this, this does bode better for 00 against 96 despite now it's assured it won't be competing at max power, before today I would of had said 00 was screwed with the same match pic but after seeing this, I think 00 is still looking good to win that, this match stripped confidence in 96.
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Two straight 1 vote lead increases, lol.
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The reason i have 1995 winning in my bracket is because of Yoshi Island and Earthbound, not Full Throtle and Panzer Dragoon something, what the fuck is Allen thinking?
Thia match right now is just "Chrono Trigger vs Zelda, Metroid, Castlevania and Mega Man" and it leads by some miracle
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Can anyone confirm that "Full Throttle" was literally Allen just trolling the shit out of us?
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Full Throttle recently got a remastered HD version released, and Panzer Dragoon is considered to be the best release title for Saturn.

Allen is trying to show what games different people played that year. It's not his fault 4 legendary series started in America last year.

Jumping Flash should've been there instead of Rayman IMO.
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Seems like 95 is slowly pulling away.
I think it might be safe.

Should still use each years accepted strongest game first in rotation for fairness sake
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After that early scare from 1987 after the board vote died off until we got to the end of the Power Hour, 1995 is showing a clear night vote advantage here. We know from the age polls that the Power Hour has the youngest voters on average out of all the time periods. The voters who would have traditionally voted during the ASV before 2011 are young enough to fall into the age demographic for the Power Hour.
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NUMBER

FUCKING

ONE

hell yeah
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Also I'm feeling really good now about having 2001 in the finals.
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Straight in at number 47 on the leaderboard. https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CoQqeFqVIAAQGUh.png
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Wow cant believe I got a perfect round 1. This has never happened before.

I had a perfect round 1 once.

(it was the Rivals contest, where pretty much everyone had one, but I'll count it!)
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I like the points system for the later rounds.
One or two wrong picks leaves the door open and you can go from being in the top 50 to being in the hundreds group.

Most of these later matches can go either way. No bracket is safe, including the currently perfect ones.

redrocket_pub posted...

Team Rocket Elite posted...

CT is projected to get over 65% against MM and I don't think many people would pick LoZ over MM.

Well, umm...

MM would absolutely fodderize LoZ, yeah.

I don't think this is true. I think LoZ holds up well to MM.

Full Throttle is the most earned of the three. It had a significant remaster very recently, and is fairly unique.

Rayman over both DKC2 and Yoshi's Island though, odd choice.

However, I don't think Earthbound, Donkey Kong Country, and Yoshi's Island form a better lineup than Mega Man, Castlevania and Metroid. 1987 still has the pic advantage.

Let's look at the lineups:

1995
Chrono Trigger
Donkey Kong Country 2
Earthbound
Yoshi's Island
Rayman
Full Throttle
Panzer Dragoon Saga

1987
The Legend of Zelda
Metroid
Mega Man
Castlevania
Contra
Punch Out
Maniac Mansion

Same level of raw depth but 1987 is a lot more even. However Chrono Trigger is a big advantage. I think that looks like a 55/45.
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2001 is an absolute beast. It's clearly the 2nd strongest year in the contest.

Shame we don't go by European release dates. 1992 would be Huge with LTtp and Mario world.
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yeesh. r1 pics are my bane.

2000/1996 could be an awkward pic too. can't think of too much else to be worried about.. 03/05 are about even, I guess. save_us.r3
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The US has just flipped over to 1987 earlier. That would explain why 1987 has been stalling 1995 for like the past 2 hours. 1987 hasn't put up any serious attempt at cutting away at this lead, but I do feel pretty safe that 1995 isn't going to blow this one.

1995 is currently performing 3% better overall compared to the US. This might be one of those matches where the winner doesn't win the popular vote in the US.
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LusterSoldier posted...

The US has just flipped over to 1987 earlier. That would explain why 1987 has been stalling 1995 for like the past 2 hours. 1987 hasn't put up any serious attempt at cutting away at this lead, but I do feel pretty safe that 1995 isn't going to blow this one.

1995 is currently performing 3% better overall compared to the US. This might be one of those matches where the winner doesn't win the popular vote in the US.

Are you saying Chrono Trigger is the Donald Trump of the contest?!
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1987 just made 4 cuts in a row. (of 5,6,3 and 1).
1995 is totally doomed !

I just got back from work, so how much is 1995 winning? At least around 60% right?


*Checking the poll...*


Yeah what happened? What? I see that the first picture has Chrono vs Link but seriously? It might even lose!

Also for yesterday's match half had 2003 winning and 40% have 2005 winning?

Didn't expected so low predictions to tell the truth.
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People thought the year that housed last contests winner could at least make it to round 2. Not to be
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No idea how '87 is losing. Every game showcased in that little slide show is ICONIC and as much as I love Chrono Trigger there is no way '95 should be winning.
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I think 1995 is...probably safe now. It weathered the night vote just fine, although it's actually winning in the UK. It's winning by a decent margin in Canada, which is probably enough to counterbalance the fact that it's barely losing in the U.S.
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95 struggling makes me warm and fuzzy
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1995 did way better overnight than I thought. At least I feel vindicated in my 1987 seeing 1995 supporters shit their pants over how 'badly' it's doing here.
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87 is just really strong obviously
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RPGlord95 posted...

87 is just really strong obviously

Why can't 95 be weaker than many predicted?
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I think Flying is spot on. CT is the only game that holds 1995.
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Yeah 2001 will wreck 1995 no questions about it. Lol at ulti talking up 95 like it was a secret weapon
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I hate how every weird performance has to be pinned to the picture. maybe 95 just sucks here. maybe not. who can say? I would certainly rather pin this to the games in the picture. we'll know when we see 95/01 since that will surely have better games.

96/00 is really bugging me. 96 might not be handicapped at all if we get Perfect Dark and Deus Ex.
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96 got lucky. Possibly its four best games.
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transience posted...

maybe 95 just sucks here.

fake news
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1987 has cut 23 votes in the last half hour. If that trend continued it would take the lead about 8pm et
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haloiscoolisbak posted...

Yeah 2001 will wreck 1995 no questions about it. Lol at ulti talking up 95 like it was a secret weapon

He will be salty as per usual
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KingButz posted...

1987 has cut 23 votes in the last half hour. If that trend continued it would take the lead about 8pm et

Of course right after I say that 1995 erases almost all of that
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So if 1987 had been similarly shackled by forced diversity and gotten, say, Zelda 1/R-Type/Maniac Mansion/Some Master System Exclusive Nobody Cares About instead of 4 straight NES games, what do people think the percentage would be?
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AxemRedRanger posted...

So if 1987 had been similarly shackled by forced diversity and gotten, say, Zelda 1/R-Type/Maniac Mansion/Some Master System Exclusive Nobody Cares About instead of 4 straight NES games, what do people think the percentage would be?

I doubt more than 60%, probably doesn't change much. People are smart, they know Metroid and Mega Man. I actually think 1987 needs pics even less because it is such an iconic year for starting these franchises.

Of course, you would be deliberately handicapping 1987 instead of bringing 1995 up so it's not a fair comparison. Even if 1995 had an optimal set it wouldn't improve its chances.

The question we should ask regarding match pics isn't "are these the strongest games" but "is this a fair cross section" and I think 1987 passes the latter, 1995 probably fails it but not by much.
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AxemRedRanger posted...

So if 1987 had been similarly shackled by forced diversity and gotten, say, Zelda 1/R-Type/Maniac Mansion/Some Master System Exclusive Nobody Cares About instead of 4 straight NES games, what do people think the percentage would be?

It still has the original LoZ so I guess not a total collapse, but about 62%-38%?
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I'd expect 1995-1985
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tag
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Hmm... with interest in this contest at an all-time low, I have doubts that SBAllen will even receive eight unique game/console pics for each year. He'll probably have to reuse a few R1 match pics next round. Either that, or a prolific B8 picsmith will have like two dozen works credited to him.
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oh good 1995 didn't die yet

keep it up!
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guys what about CT as the #2 game on the site
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CaptainOfCrush posted...

Hmm... with interest in this contest at an all-time low, I have doubts that SBAllen will even receive eight unique game/console pics for each year. He'll probably have to reuse a few R1 match pics next round. Either that, or a prolific B8 picsmith will have like two dozen works credited to him.

Ulti eventually likes to make pics for everything ifbhe has time

I wouldnt mind making oics for everything I guess
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