Board 8 > College Football Ladder Contest - Bowl Session 5

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SmartMuffin
01/02/12 9:53:00 PM
#1:


Jan 3rd - Jan 9th - 6 games

Session 5 will consist of the games played between 1/3 and 1/9. You will pick every game ATS. I will provide the spreads as of RIGHT NOW. If the spread moves, too bad, you pick based on what I provide. You get more than 50% correct, you earn a point. You don't, you don't! Simple enough, right?

Sugar Bowl: Michigan -3 vs Virginia Tech
Orange Bowl: Clemson -3 vs West Virginia
Cotton Bowl: Arkansas -7.5 vs Kansas State
Compass Bowl: Pittsburgh -3 vs SMU
GoDaddy Bowl: Arkansas State -1.5 vs Northern Illinois
BCS National Championship: Alabama -1 vs LSU

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SmartMuffin
01/02/12 9:55:00 PM
#2:


New Standings:

College Football Ladder Contest


9 points
Camden

8 points
TsunamiXXVIII
sonten1
Paratroopa1

7 points


6 Points
BrettEagles
KCF0107

5 points
Masterplum
Regaro-Ukiera
SmartMuffin

4 Points
Jakyl

3 Points
GaryOak151
RappinHobo

2 Points
KommunistKoala
MajinZidane
Achromatic
Wiggumfan267
MSS

1 Point
Viviff
BBallman7

As far as I can tell, nobody got a point last round.

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SmartMuffin
01/02/12 9:55:00 PM
#3:


aaaand my picks:

Virginia Tech +3
Clemson -3
Arkansas -7.5
Pittsburgh -3
Northern Illinois +1.5
LSU +1

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KCF0107
01/02/12 10:04:00 PM
#4:


Virginia Tech (+3)
Clemson (-3)
K-State (+7.5)
SMU (+3)
Northern Illinois (+1.5)
LSU (+1)

Why is Alabama the favorite?

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Paratroopa1
01/02/12 10:04:00 PM
#5:


Michigan -3
Clemson -3
Kansas State +7.5
SMU +3
Arkansas State -1.5
LSU +1

Arkansas favored by 7.5? LSU a 1 point underdog? This is some weird s***.
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Camden
01/02/12 10:10:00 PM
#6:


Sugar Bowl: Michigan -3 vs Virginia Tech
Orange Bowl: Clemson -3 vs West Virginia
Cotton Bowl: Arkansas -7.5 vs Kansas State
Compass Bowl: Pittsburgh -3 vs SMU
GoDaddy Bowl: Arkansas State -1.5 vs Northern Illinois
BCS National Championship: Alabama -1 vs LSU

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Camden
01/02/12 10:14:00 PM
#7:


I don't like that Arkansas line, but I just don't feel comfortable picking KState at all. As for the other, I'd probably take Alabama anywhere up to a touchdown.

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TsunamiXXVIII
01/03/12 7:43:00 AM
#8:


Goddamnit, why'd it have to be over a touchdown? I was counting on everybody else picking Arkansas! (I've got K-State straight up in Bowl Mania) ...Well, at least Camden's picks are radically different than mine, so if I get a point, I'm almost assured that he won't.

And yeah, ASU and Alabama as favorites is absolutely nuts.

Sugar Bowl: Michigan -3 vs Virginia Tech
Orange Bowl: Clemson -3 vs West Virginia
Cotton Bowl: Kansas State +7.5 vs Arkansas
BBVA Compass Bowl: Pittsburgh -3 vs SMU
GoDaddy.com Bowl: Northern Illinois +1.5 vs Arkansas State
BCS National Championship: LSU +1 vs Alabama

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sonten1
01/03/12 12:56:00 PM
#9:


Virginia Tech

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Paratroopa1
01/03/12 9:59:00 PM
#10:


Wow, having a push when we have to get 4 out of 6 right kind of makes it nearly impossible to advance. I've never understood why they don't make all spreads end in a .5, anyway. It's very little difference but prevents pushes, which are weird.
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TsunamiXXVIII
01/04/12 8:10:00 AM
#11:


What are you talking about? We have to get over 50%. If anything, having a push makes it easier, because now we only need to get 3 out of 5.

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sonten1
01/04/12 2:15:00 PM
#12:


Clemson

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Paratroopa1
01/04/12 7:24:00 PM
#13:


what the hell

that record of 59 combined points in the first half between washington and baylor didn't stand long
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TsunamiXXVIII
01/04/12 8:00:00 PM
#14:


Ahaha, looks like we're all gonna be 0-1-1 now...

Well, I guess it's for the best for me, because with Paratroopa and Camden in disagreement about every other bowl, if we were all 1-0-1 now instead, than either one or the other would be guaranteed to get to at least 3-2-1, but now there's a chance that both of them will go 2-3-1.

Though since I'm in agreement with each of them on two, if I go 3-1 in the next four, one of them would also have 3 wins--the two wins that I agreed with them on, and the one loss would be a win for them. So I guess this makes it easier for me, because instead of rooting to be less than perfect so that I'm just good enough, I need to be 4-0!

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Camden
01/04/12 8:14:00 PM
#15:


Well, this score was certainly unexpected.

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sonten1
01/05/12 8:59:00 AM
#16:


gah why didn't I follow my cardinal rule of betting: "Never pick Clemson"

Arkansas
SMU
Northern Illinois
LSU


Still debating the first two picks, but I want to get them in. Can't go against my Huskies, and I refuse to pick Bama.

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KCF0107
01/06/12 5:08:00 PM
#17:


haven't started off well

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Camden
01/06/12 9:08:00 PM
#18:


Arkansas is so going to give them a gimme touchdown to blow the spread.

Edit: Maybe not.

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SmartMuffin
01/07/12 4:09:00 PM
#19:


So, at this point it looks like Tsunami has been eliminated from contention. Camden can still clinch first place by himself. Para and sonten could tie him.

So..... TIEBREAKER RULES:

Here's how the tiebreaker is going to work. It is only going to apply for the national championship game. The line for this game is Alabama -1. For the tiebreaker, you are going to PM me the highest line you are willing to take, and it will be measured from the distance from the original line.

Basically, if Person A is willing to take LSU -3 that's a difference of four points, so that line would be considered "farther" than someone who takes Alabama -4, which is only a difference of two points. The person with the highest line who also gets the game right will win the tiebreaker. If two people select the exact same line, the first person to PM me will win. You may ONLY PM me once, once you pick, there is NO changing your pick. In the event that everyone gets their line wrong, the tiebreaker will go the person whose predicted line was the closest, so it doesn't necessarily pay to take a HUGE gamble. In other words, if Person A takes LSU -10 and Person B takes LSU -8 and Alabama wins, Person B will win the tiebreaker.

Everybody got that?

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Camden
01/07/12 6:55:00 PM
#20:


So essentially, the person with a spread that's the furthest from Alabama -1 that still wins will win the tiebreaker, but if no spreads win the person with the closest spread to the actual result wins?

I'm not even sure if I want to take Alabama at this point, as if I did and they lost I would pretty much be forfeiting any chance of taking the tiebreaker.

Edit: I deleted an earlier post because I pretty much said what my tiebreaker would have been in it.

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SmartMuffin
01/07/12 10:14:00 PM
#21:


So essentially, the person with a spread that's the furthest from Alabama -1 that still wins will win the tiebreaker, but if no spreads win the person with the closest spread to the actual result wins?

Yes, pretty much!

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SmartMuffin
01/08/12 10:13:00 AM
#22:


Only received one PM so far!

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Paratroopa1
01/08/12 5:47:00 PM
#23:


It was mine, correct?
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Camden
01/08/12 9:43:00 PM
#24:


Looks like it's going to be sonten and I at this point. Strange, I'm going to be picking Alabama to win but my tiebreaker has to be LSU -X if I want any chance of winning that way.

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SmartMuffin
01/08/12 10:09:00 PM
#25:


Not necessarily! Your tiebreaker pick does NOT have to match your existing pick in any way!

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sonten1
01/08/12 10:10:00 PM
#26:


or we can settle this like men! Winner take all

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SmartMuffin
01/09/12 10:32:00 AM
#27:


sonten has clinched a point

Camden needs Alabama -1 to clinch a win outright

Haven't received tiebreaker PMs from either yet.

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sonten1
01/09/12 11:16:00 AM
#28:


I want to see if he accepts my suggestion first!

For all the marbles! If Alabama wins, you win. If LSU wins, I win.

How bout it??

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Camden
01/09/12 2:00:00 PM
#29:


I already win if Alabama wins. You can't trick me into intentionally lowering my chances to win for a game that I'm not even going to watch!

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SmartMuffin
01/09/12 5:53:00 PM
#30:


So, for tiebreaker picks, Camden has LSU -6.5 and sonten has LSU -8.

So, if I did my math right...

If Alabama wins by more than 1, Camden wins outright.

If LSU wins by more than 8, sonten wins the tiebreaker.

If LSU wins by less than 8, Camden wins the tiebreaker.

If LSU wins by exactly 8... well... I don't know, I'll come up with something.

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Camden
01/09/12 6:04:00 PM
#31:


Alabama +7.5. I said in my deleted post that I would probably take Alabama anywhere up to a touchdown in this game and it looks like that's pretty much what I'm getting after all.

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Camden
01/09/12 10:59:00 PM
#32:


10 points!

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SmartMuffin
01/10/12 5:00:00 PM
#33:


Congrats to Camden for winning!!

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