Board 8 > Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1035

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XIII_socks
12/12/11 1:41:00 PM
#152:


YES SQUALL DO IT
BE CHAMPIONS

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RottingToe
12/12/11 1:41:00 PM
#153:


From: The_Djoker | #151
No.Will be an SFF beatdown.


Sadly this. Like I said in a topic I made this morning, that match will be my downfall if Sora manages to win this.

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The Mana Sword
12/12/11 1:42:00 PM
#154:


what on earth is going on in here

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KingButz
12/12/11 1:42:00 PM
#155:


http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4565&region=USXCA

Dat California vote

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MegatokyoEd
12/12/11 1:43:00 PM
#156:


Yeah, this is over. Sora can't do anything consistently.

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RottingToe
12/12/11 1:48:00 PM
#157:


Since the first big ASV cut, Sora has been on pace to win with his current hourly average vote cut.

And he just won another one.

I'm not surprised by all this.

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The_Djoker
12/12/11 1:50:00 PM
#158:


From: RottingToe | #157
Since the first big ASV cut, Sora has been on pace to win with his current hourly average vote cut.

And he just won another one.

I'm not surprised by all this.


He stil won't win. Cmon the lead is well over 1200. HE can't make up that much and Squall is going to cut back every 4-5 Updates before the Night vote hits.

Squall will win with 500 or so votes to spare. Comfortable

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The Mana Sword
12/12/11 1:50:00 PM
#159:


Thing is, Sora's not going to be cutting at this rate for the remaining 7 hours. His gains are going to get smaller over the course of the evening.

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shane15
12/12/11 1:50:00 PM
#160:


Naa Squall got dis! It's Persona 4 vs Dead Rising all over again.Squall will hold off this pathetic no taste American vote and ride it out with a glorious win because Squall>all.

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XIII_socks
12/12/11 1:51:00 PM
#161:


From: The Mana Sword | #159
Thing is, Sora's not going to be cutting at this rate for the remaining 7 hours. His gains are going to get smaller over the course of the evening.


This.

THIS.

...then a 28-vote cut GODDAMN

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Haguile
12/12/11 1:51:00 PM
#162:


I just want one more lead change. I don't even care that much who wins. I just want it to be exciting.

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The_Djoker
12/12/11 1:53:00 PM
#163:


From: Haguile | #162
I just want one more lead change. I don't even care that much who wins. I just want it to be exciting.


A match wre KH could possibly win is never exciting.

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RottingToe
12/12/11 1:54:00 PM
#164:


But I expect Sora to improve as the ASV goes on and have even bigger lead cuts. There's still a significant amount of kiddies, even those who got out a while ago, who have yet to vote.

Plus the SNV slightly favors Sora.

The ASV slope increasing can give Sora just enough ground to cover as he begins to level off during the SNV.

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LOLContests
12/12/11 1:54:00 PM
#165:


Axel/Frog didn't really get going until this time, IIRC.

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TRE Public Account
12/12/11 1:54:00 PM
#166:


Sora isn't going to do as well percentagewise once the ASV starts to fade. On top of that, the number of voters per hour will start to fade as well. Sora barely staying on pace during the ASV isn't really that good and Sora is actually slightly behind pace right now.

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Haguile
12/12/11 1:56:00 PM
#167:


From: The_Djoker | Posted: 12/12/2011 4:53:54 PM | #163
A match wre KH could possibly win is never exciting.


Fortunately I like KH so I'm okay with it winning.

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Haguile
12/12/11 1:56:00 PM
#168:


17-vote cut!

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The_Djoker
12/12/11 1:58:00 PM
#169:


From: Haguile | #167
Fortunately I like KH so I'm okay with it winning.


Well in a way i won't mind because i have them in my bracket anyway and getting to see them get raped by Clouderoth is a much prettier site than Squall bending over.

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XIII_Rock1525
12/12/11 2:01:00 PM
#170:


SquallStall

do it

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RottingToe
12/12/11 2:03:00 PM
#171:


Yup, Sora's just gonna stall in the first half hour of every hour, then wipe the floor in the second half.

Not enough, Sora...not enough...I am ashamed to have picked you in my bracket.

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Kotetsu534
12/12/11 2:04:00 PM
#172:


Yeah, I was worried because I thought they might start opening those 40-50 cuts quite frequently, but they're struggling to keep pace to take the lead. Not worried now.

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shane15
12/12/11 2:05:00 PM
#173:


Squall's just warming up he's used renzokuken to take the lead and now he's readying Lionheart

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RottingToe
12/12/11 2:06:00 PM
#174:


what a stall

what
a
stall

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The_Djoker
12/12/11 2:07:00 PM
#175:


From: Kotetsu534 | #172
Yeah, I was worried because I thought they might start opening those 40-50 cuts quite frequently, but they're struggling to keep pace to take the lead. Not worried now.


For sora to make consistent cuts like that he has to win 60-40 updates.

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Kotetsu534
12/12/11 2:11:00 PM
#176:


In a really big ASV swing that can happen. See any famous comeback against CT.

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Not_Wylvane
12/12/11 2:14:00 PM
#177:


This isn't a big enough swing to counteract Squall, though.

Another Kingdom Hearts chokefest.

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XIII_Rock1525
12/12/11 2:14:00 PM
#178:


Sonic/Crono 06 GoaT match

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#179
Post #179 was unavailable or deleted.
Not_Wylvane
12/12/11 2:17:00 PM
#180:


Plus this contest has been so dull that nobody gives a s*** about the interesting matches. There's too much apathy for a comeback bandwagon to give the extra oomph needed for Sora/Riku to complete a comeback.

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RottingToe
12/12/11 2:22:00 PM
#181:


Well I have a ton of work to get done. I'll be back at around 10 central to see how big Squall's gonna win by.

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XIII_Rock1525
12/12/11 2:29:00 PM
#182:


ASV is cyclical

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FateStayAlbion
12/12/11 2:31:00 PM
#183:


Typical 2nd half of the hour dominance

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XIII_Rock1525
12/12/11 2:34:00 PM
#184:


From: XIII_Rock1525 | #182
ASV is cyclical



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The_Djoker
12/12/11 2:36:00 PM
#185:


From: FateStayAlbion | #183
Typical 2nd half of the hour dominance


To quote Extha..."It makes no sense"

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The_Djoker
12/12/11 2:37:00 PM
#186:


[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
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vcharon
12/12/11 2:49:00 PM
#187:


Credit to Kingdom Hearts here I suppose. It'll be interesting to see how Sora can perform next singles contest (if there actually is one after this fiasco) and if KH3 is at least announced by then. Squall is either on his way down the ranks or Seifer is a big drain on him. Little doubt Seifer is probably the weakest character that made round 3 though. I really doubt him even against Wily and Robotnik; he may be able to beat Blue simply because as a singular character the trainers are not very good in this.

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Bigwig_rah
12/12/11 2:51:00 PM
#188:


I'd take Seifer over plenty of characters who made this round, like almost half of them.

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TRE Public Account
12/12/11 2:52:00 PM
#189:


I don't think this match really says anything about Sora or Squall. Also keep in mind Sora nearly lost to Dante in the previous round which is a step down from where Sora used to be.

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The_Djoker
12/12/11 2:54:00 PM
#190:


From: vcharon | #187
Credit to Kingdom Hearts here I suppose. It'll be interesting to see how Sora can perform next singles contest (if there actually is one after this fiasco) and if KH3 is at least announced by then. Squall is either on his way down the ranks or Seifer is a big drain on him. Little doubt Seifer is probably the weakest character that made round 3 though. I really doubt him even against Wily and Robotnik; he may be able to beat Blue simply because as a singular character the trainers are not very good in this.


You'd think that but Seifer the way he is...could lose to virtually anyone.

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Safer Sephiroth 777
12/12/11 2:59:00 PM
#191:


I wonder why this happen?I mean I am sure nobody expected this match to be that close.Is Seifer so weak that he is dragging down Squall?

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Zylo the wolf
12/12/11 3:01:00 PM
#192:


Considering that Seifer is the only good thing in FFVIII, I'm sure he's popular enough to at least beat Dr Wily and such characters.

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abdou
12/12/11 3:04:00 PM
#193:


Sora/Riku is the better rivalry in the eyes of many I assume which explains why they are doing better than expected. We have already seen rivalry factor at work more than once.

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The_Djoker
12/12/11 3:06:00 PM
#194:


From: Safer Sephiroth 777 | #191
I wonder why this happen?I mean I am sure nobody expected this match to be that close.Is Seifer so weak that he is dragging down Squall?




This match isn't Squall Vs. Sora. IT's a rivalry battle. So yeah pretty much. Same reason why Samus has looked like Turd this contest. Rivalry does matter when a strong character is paired with a complete Fodder.

You Pair Link up with Tingle and he doesn't do so well.

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vcharon
12/12/11 3:07:00 PM
#195:


I've always considered Squall, Dante and Sora near elites and probably in the next 9 right under then NN. It's not really bothersome they all three will end up pretty near one another in the stats this time. Makes going forward more interesting, really.

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vcharon
12/12/11 3:07:00 PM
#196:


The_Djoker posted...

You Pair Link up with Tingle and he doesn't do so well.


No way, Link still wins. He's Link and is immune to being dragged down.

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The_Djoker
12/12/11 3:08:00 PM
#197:


From: Zylo the wolf | #192
Considering that Seifer is the only good thing in FFVIII, I'm sure he's popular enough to at least beat Dr Wily and such characters.


The only good thing in what is probably the 3rd ot 4th strongest FF game has never been nominated in a contest. Such a force this Seifer is.

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LeonhartFour
12/12/11 3:10:00 PM
#198:


Not bad, Sora. 400 votes cut in 3 hours.

Doesn't look like it'll be enough because he won't be able to cut at that rate once we get the last few hours of the poll.

Squall defies all expectations.

Eat it, red sox

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__Smurf__
12/12/11 3:10:00 PM
#199:


From: abdou | #193
Sora/Riku is the better rivalry in the eyes of many


I would be shocked if this were the case. Squall/Seifer was a far more predominant rivalry in its game, it got a 1st seed to reflect its significance in the eyes of nominators whereas he had a 2 in the last battle, Sora went the other way on the rivalry seeding stakes.

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The_Djoker
12/12/11 3:10:00 PM
#200:


From: vcharon | #196
No way, Link still wins. He's Link and is immune to being dragged down.


Bollocks. You don't understand this rivalry system. Link paired up with Tingle would not be as strong don't be silly.

Link/Tingle Vs MArio/bowser

Mario/Bowser wins that match. I would bet my house on it.

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vcharon
12/12/11 3:11:00 PM
#201:


I really doubt Seifer is worth anything after seeing the performance here, but I'm still curious to see how he performs alone. I can't imagine he'd be any stronger than Balthier or anything though, maybe not even that.

His KH2 appearance certainly does nothing to help him.

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