Board 8 > College Football Ladder Contest - Week 4

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SmartMuffin
09/20/11 6:04:00 PM
#1:


Specific Rules:

Due to the overwhelming amount of games available to choose from, I'm not going to be posting lines from every game available. You will find and use lines on your own from whatever legitimate source you choose. We will be using a limited honor system here. You post the line you find, and I'll cross-check it with the source I use. I'll allow you a 2-point window in either direction. In other words, if your line is within two points of mine, I'll accept your line. If it's more than two points away, I'll let you know, and you can either change your pick or use my line. If a neutral party (neither myself nor the original picker) wishes to challenge my line, we can work it out over an AIM chat or something. Please note, the window is NOT there for the purpose of allowing you to pad your lines or anything. Be honest about the lines you fine. Honor system applies here.

However, since some of you probably won't want to do exhaustive research, I will post around five "spotlight games" each week. For the spotlight games, my lines must be used.

You may submit your picks at any time prior to the first game you are picking. All games must be picked in one post, meaning, if you want to pick a Thursday game and two Saturday games, you must pick all three games prior to the first game starting. Once any of your games have started, you may not change any of your picks. If you are going to change picks, DELETE AND REPOST. Do not edit your post. Any edited posts will not count.

Unless otherwise noted, every game picked must meet the following criteria: At least ONE of the teams involved must either be a member of a BCS conference, or ranked in the Top 25. BOTH teams must be members of Division 1-A, bowl division, whatever the hell it's called these days. For levels involving player-specific props, the spread of the game you are picking must be under 20.

The "week" will run Thursday - Monday. No games played on Tuesday or Wednesday are eligible for prediction until Championship Week. I'm thinking of including Bowl Season in this contest and doing something totally different for it, but haven't worked out the details yet. Keep this in mind so you don't accuse me of "changing the rules midway through." I'm warning you that such a change is coming now.

ATS = against the spread. OU = over/under. SU = straight up. If you don't know what these things mean, learn. We'll be using them frequently.

I will be participating myself. If anyone has any objections or thinks I'm doing anything unfairly, feel free to call me out and we'll sort it out. There's no prize here, it's all in good fun, fair competition among fans is encouraged!

Level 4: Pick one game ATS. You must pick a road team who is favored.

Level 3: The Jakyl Tier - Three game teaser (pick three games ATS, add six points in your favor to each spread, all games must win, you may advance with ONE push)

Level 2:
Pick three games OU. Must get two or more correct to advance.

Level 1:
Pick one game ATS.

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SmartMuffin
09/20/11 6:05:00 PM
#2:


Level 4
BrettEagles

Level 3
TsunamiXXVIII
GaryOak151
RappinHobo
Paratroopa1
KCF0107
Jakyl
Regaro-Ukiera
Camden
Masterplum
SmartMuffin

Level 2
KommunistKoala
MajinZidane
Achromatic
sonten1
Wiggumfan267

Level 1
Viviff
BBallman7
MSS

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BrettEagles
09/20/11 6:08:00 PM
#3:


Level 4: Notre Dame -7 @ Pitt

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_MSS_
09/21/11 5:32:00 AM
#4:


Level 1

Baylor Bears (-20.5) over Rice Owls

http://rivals.yahoo.com/ncaa/football/odds

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KCF0107
09/21/11 8:12:00 AM
#5:


aww, can't choose Minnesota this week

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Regaro_Ukiera
09/21/11 8:31:00 AM
#6:


Level 3:
BYU (-3 -> +3)
Florida State (+2 -> +8)
Indiana (-7 -> -1)

If Indiana can't beat UNT my faith in humanity is forever lost


And if any of these are invalid 'welp' I'll figure something out

But Indiana is a Big 10 school so it should be fine

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KCF0107
09/21/11 8:43:00 AM
#7:


Level 3:

Nevada @ Texas Tech (-19.5)
Oklahoma St. (+4) @ Texas A&M
Virginia Tech (-20.5) @ Marshall

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masterplum
09/21/11 10:26:00 AM
#8:


The Indiana pick is a good one too though, but Miami Only a touchdown favorite over Kansas State was too good to pass up.

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masterplum
09/21/11 10:28:00 AM
#9:


Level 3

Florida State +2->+8
Georgia Tech -6.5 -> -.5
Miami -12 -> -6



Go my Acc

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Regaro_Ukiera
09/21/11 10:32:00 AM
#10:


I know firsthand how bad UNT's team is. There is absolutely no way Indiana fails to cover that.

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sonten1
09/21/11 11:01:00 AM
#11:


I'm pretty sure I beat Level 2 last week.

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Camden
09/21/11 12:57:00 PM
#12:


Florida State (+2) at Clemson (+8)
LSU (-6.5) at West Virginia (-0.5)
Oregon (-15) at Arizona (-9)

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KCF0107
09/21/11 1:25:00 PM
#13:


Oh, were we supposed to reflect the 6-points-in-our-favor within our post because I thought you said that you were going to do that yourself?

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SmartMuffin
09/21/11 6:30:00 PM
#14:


Yeah, for the level 3, please just post the regular spread and I'll adjust myself. Or at least just specify whether you're posting teased or unteased.

Sonten, it looks like you did advance, consider yourself on level 3.

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SmartMuffin
09/21/11 6:33:00 PM
#15:


Spotlight Games:
LSU -5.5 at West Virginia (49.5)
Arkansas +11.5 at Alabama (50.5)
Oklahoma State +4.5 at Texas A&M (70)
Florida State +2.5 at Clemson (50)
USC +2.5 at Arizona State (53.5)

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TsunamiXXVIII
09/21/11 7:30:00 PM
#16:


Originally posted mine before this topic was made, so I'll repost it here.

Miami (FL) -12
Florida Atlantic +33
Florida -19.5

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SmartMuffin
09/21/11 8:32:00 PM
#17:


Regaro - the BYU game isn't eligible

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GaryOak151
09/21/11 11:04:00 PM
#18:


Level 3

San Diego State -10
Florida Atlantic +33
Boise State -29

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SmartMuffin
09/22/11 4:58:00 PM
#19:


up

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SmartMuffin
09/23/11 6:42:00 AM
#20:


GaryOak, you realize San Diego State is a dog, right? So your teased line is +16.

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masterplum
09/23/11 9:17:00 AM
#21:


no no, he wants San Diego State -4

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Regaro_Ukiera
09/23/11 9:25:00 AM
#22:


From: SmartMuffin | #017
Regaro - the BYU game isn't eligible


So Independent isn't the equivalent of a BCS conference huh

Gimme LSU (+0.5) in its place, then.

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JaKyL25
09/23/11 3:11:00 PM
#23:


Level 3
Miami (FL) -13
Arkansas +11
LSU -6.5

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SmartMuffin
09/23/11 5:28:00 PM
#24:


So Independent isn't the equivalent of a BCS conference huh

Nope! BCS or Top 25!

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SmartMuffin
09/23/11 8:18:00 PM
#25:


Jakyl totally copying my picks I made in my predictions topic earlier!

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SmartMuffin
09/23/11 8:45:00 PM
#26:


and they are!

Level 3:
Miami -14.5 vs Kansas State
LSU -7.5 at West Virginia
Oklahoma State +4.5 at Texas A&M


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Paratroopa1
09/23/11 9:48:00 PM
#27:


Level 3:

Miami FL -13.5
South Carolina -15.5
Missouri +20
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TsunamiXXVIII
09/24/11 5:47:00 AM
#28:


Damnit, when I originally made my picks, Clemson-Florida State was a pick 'em. Was seriously considering Clemson, but I ended up going with Florida instead, and now the line has moved. But now that I'm hearing that Manuel might not even be able to play...

Remove: Florida -19.5
Add: Clemson -2.5

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SmartMuffin
09/24/11 7:53:00 AM
#29:


bumpo

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sonten1
09/24/11 9:18:00 AM
#30:


Level 3:

LSU -5.5 at West Virginia (49.5)
Arkansas +11.5 at Alabama (50.5)
Florida State +2.5 at Clemson (50)

EDIT: C/Ped all 5 spotlight games, deleted the two I'm not betting on

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SmartMuffin
09/24/11 9:22:00 AM
#31:


We have four people in Level 2, none of them have picked yet!

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masterplum
09/24/11 9:40:00 AM
#32:


Hmmm, GT don't fail me

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masterplum
09/24/11 9:41:00 AM
#33:


Move my line Florida State +2 -> Florida State +2.5

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SmartMuffin
09/24/11 9:55:00 AM
#34:


You don't get to move your line after you post it. Sorry!

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masterplum
09/24/11 9:59:00 AM
#35:


But you can change it?


Hmm

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SmartMuffin
09/24/11 10:02:00 AM
#36:


I posted my selections based on what the lines were when I placed my "predictions." The only one I changed actually changed to work AGAINST me. Anyway, like I said, we're using the honor system with a 2-point cushion. If you want to use my spotlight line that's fine, if you find your own line and it's within the two-point cushion, that's also fine, but the honor system prohibits just selecting the most favorable possible line that is technically within the rules.

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masterplum
09/24/11 12:08:00 PM
#37:


1 down, 2 to go


anybody who picked the GT game one either way..... did anyone take it besides me?

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SmartMuffin
09/24/11 12:25:00 PM
#38:


Notre Dame once again wreaks havoc on the upper level! Our one person in Level 4 fails to reach Level 5 since they didn't cover.

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TsunamiXXVIII
09/24/11 12:26:00 PM
#39:


Ack! Emergency change, Emergency change!

Put me back on Florida (-19.5)
Take me off of Miami (FL) (-12)

Honestly, Maryland, what the crap?

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SmartMuffin
09/24/11 12:28:00 PM
#40:


I really really hope that decision ends up biting you in the ass.

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SmartMuffin
09/24/11 12:32:00 PM
#41:


Also want to point out, the FSU/Clemson game gives us a rare scenario where there are people on opposite sides!

Tsunami has Clemson
Regaro, Camden, masterplum, and sonten have FSU

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masterplum
09/24/11 12:35:00 PM
#42:


And if its a 1 point game everyone wins!

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TsunamiXXVIII
09/24/11 3:57:00 PM
#43:


Well, so far Kansas State is winning late, so I think it worked out pretty well! Of course, Florida still has to come through for it to be a good decision

...And it really did seem like Miami teased down to -6 would be the obvious one. Just like Michigan State seemed like an obvious pick last week. I'm just glad Maryland had that early game to help me see that coming.

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TsunamiXXVIII
09/24/11 4:01:00 PM
#44:


SmartMuffin posted...
Also want to point out, the FSU/Clemson game gives us a rare scenario where there are people on opposite sides!

Tsunami has Clemson
Regaro, Camden, masterplum, and sonten have FSU


Looks like both sides are going to win. Clemson's up by five with under two minutes left and FSU's driving. Even if FSU gets into the end zone and successfully gets the 2-point conversion, it'll be a three-point game and Clemson will have covered my side.

I'm just dreading that FSU will score with too much time left, Clemson will kick a tying field goal, and FSU will win by a full TD in OT.

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TsunamiXXVIII
09/24/11 4:23:00 PM
#45:


And Miami takes out a number of people!

GaryOak also fails to advance thanks to SDSU's 21-point loss to Michigan, and Arkansas takes out sonten. Regaro, Camden and I are all 1-0 and KCF is already 2-0.

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Paratroopa1
09/24/11 5:24:00 PM
#46:


Wow, I knew the Miami spread seemed easy but that one wasn't setting off my "trap" alarm like Michigan State/Notre Dame did. It honestly makes no sense to me that they lost to Kansas State.
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KCF0107
09/24/11 6:05:00 PM
#47:


freaking Texas Tech laying an egg right now

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TsunamiXXVIII
09/24/11 6:10:00 PM
#48:


Yeah, it wasn't until Maryland got destroyed that it started setting off alarms for me.

And I agree with you completely, KCF--as bad as Indiana is, I didn't expect them to lose outright to North Texas. Still plenty of time for a comeback (just like they did against Virginia, even though they ended up losing that game), but 24-0 is not pretty.

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KCF0107
09/24/11 6:43:00 PM
#49:


TT needs to double its score and shut out Nevada in the last quarter now

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TsunamiXXVIII
09/24/11 6:45:00 PM
#50:


Well if it makes you feel any better, you would've lost with Minnesota anyway!

...Aw yeah touchdown FAU!

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