Board 8 > Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1354

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tennisboy213
04/26/20 6:46:48 PM
#1:


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/1354-north-division-semifinal-squall-leonhart-vs-samus-aran

remember when Squall used to be good

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~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
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https://board8.fandom.com/wiki/Closest_Wire-to-Wire_Matches

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~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~
https://board8.fandom.com/wiki/Daily_Vote_Trends

~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~
https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's extrapolated percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

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Leonhart4
04/26/20 6:59:52 PM
#2:


Just another reason why the old days were better

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Safer_777
04/26/20 7:02:03 PM
#3:


I want a remake of FF 8. Although I believe we got a HD updated version?

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_SecretSquirrel
04/26/20 7:04:21 PM
#4:


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7342-division-5-semifinal-squall-vs-zelda

I mean, when you consider that Zelda is now Top 5, not THAT much has changed for Squall.

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ctesjbuvf
04/26/20 7:05:43 PM
#5:


Yes, it took quite a while compared to the other two, but we got it like half a year ago.

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Leonhart4
04/26/20 7:58:08 PM
#6:


_SecretSquirrel posted...
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7342-division-5-semifinal-squall-vs-zelda

I mean, when you consider that Zelda is now Top 5, not THAT much has changed for Squall.

Eh, there's quite a lot of difference between 36 and 42.

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davidponte
04/26/20 8:02:26 PM
#7:


So it took Skyrim 2 entire minutes to take the lead against a weak Mario game.

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Yuri_LowelI
04/26/20 8:03:10 PM
#8:


davidponte posted...
So it took Skyrim 2 entire minutes to take the lead against a weak Mario game.

i mean its not a mario game. MK is a different franchise

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Mac Arrowny
04/26/20 8:03:47 PM
#9:


As a reminder, last round Nier dropped 7% from the 5 minute mark and Pokemon rose 3%.
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ShortReplies
04/26/20 8:04:27 PM
#10:


Can SMG2 beat Skyrim?
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davidponte
04/26/20 8:04:30 PM
#11:


Yuri_LowelI posted...
i mean its not a mario game. MK is a different franchise

That's even worse for the point I'm trying to make!

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LamarJackson
04/26/20 8:04:43 PM
#12:


How much does Skyrim rise from here?

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ShortReplies
04/26/20 8:04:57 PM
#13:


LamarJackson posted...
How much does Skyrim rise from here?
60%
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pjbasis
04/26/20 8:05:04 PM
#14:


I am so sick of The Elder Scrolls always winning!!

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_SecretSquirrel
04/26/20 8:05:10 PM
#15:


LamarJackson posted...
How much does Skyrim rise from here?
A lot. Skyrim has been a slow starter, and Nintendo is generally front loaded.

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Yuri_LowelI
04/26/20 8:05:12 PM
#16:


pokemon usually has good board vote

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KamikazePotato
04/26/20 8:05:24 PM
#17:


Skyrim had better have an astronomical rise after the board vote, because frankly, even if does this result might still turn out bad.

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charmander6000
04/26/20 8:05:31 PM
#18:


Mario Kart 8 making a push right at the freeze...

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ShortReplies
04/26/20 8:05:32 PM
#19:


Looks like board vote is most of the time terrible.
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CaptainOfCrush
04/26/20 8:05:46 PM
#20:


Skyrim hit 55% for a second before plummeting again. It's a dead fish. =/

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swordz9
04/26/20 8:05:59 PM
#21:


Cmon 2B
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Lightning Strikes
04/26/20 8:06:04 PM
#22:


Oh my god identical matches.

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davidponte
04/26/20 8:06:05 PM
#23:


Skyrim bled percentage at the freeze lmao

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Sharinnegan
04/26/20 8:06:09 PM
#24:


Skyrim probably finishes around 60% here.
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Yuri_LowelI
04/26/20 8:06:11 PM
#25:


Mac Arrowny posted...
As a reminder, last round Nier dropped 7% from the 5 minute mark and Pokemon rose 3%.

i mean pre contest noone gave nier a prayer. If it can make it close it will be good enough

some people had pokemon going to the finals

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OrangeCrush980
04/26/20 8:06:31 PM
#26:


What does Skyrim get on The Last of Us in round 5?
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LamarJackson
04/26/20 8:06:53 PM
#27:


if Skyrim does finish 60%, that looks like a clear Witcher 3 winner since Mario Galaxy 2 has to be stronger than Mario Kart 8

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Yuri_LowelI
04/26/20 8:06:57 PM
#28:


Wtf happened to Skyrim

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LusterSoldier
04/26/20 8:07:36 PM
#30:


KamikazePotato posted...
Nier also has a strong early vote.


Yeah, I mentioned this myself in the Board 8 Discord, so I wasn't ready to declare that Pokemon is in trouble yet.
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INTERWEBUSER
04/26/20 8:07:38 PM
#31:


LamarJackson posted...
if Skyrim does finish 60%, that looks like a clear Witcher 3 winner since Mario Galaxy 2 has to be stronger than Mario Kart 8
other way around, mk8 is a very popular multiplayer game so it's expected to get more votes than smg2.

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Yuri_LowelI
04/26/20 8:07:54 PM
#32:


LamarJackson posted...
if Skyrim does finish 60%, that looks like a clear Witcher 3 winner since Mario Galaxy 2 has to be stronger than Mario Kart 8

smg2 would destroy Mk8 directly. Indirectly its probably a 57-43

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KamikazePotato
04/26/20 8:08:07 PM
#33:




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Hbthebattle
04/26/20 8:08:28 PM
#34:


INTERWEBUSER posted...

other way around, mk8 is a very popular multiplayer game so it's expected to get more votes than smg2.

single player > multiplayer in gamefaqs strength
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CaptainOfCrush
04/26/20 8:08:43 PM
#35:


Yuri_LowelI posted...
Indirectly its probably a 57-43
I'd say it's guaranteed to be 57-43

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Yuri_LowelI
04/26/20 8:08:49 PM
#36:


INTERWEBUSER posted...
other way around, mk8 is a very popular multiplayer game so it's expected to get more votes than smg2.

says who? smg2 would have doubled uncharted 4 and fFXIV

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INTERWEBUSER
04/26/20 8:09:11 PM
#37:


Hbthebattle posted...
single player > multiplayer in gamefaqs strength
not from what i've seen. most have smash v1.0.5 beating smo in their 1 on 1 match next week. even though smo got better critical reception.

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Yuri_LowelI
04/26/20 8:10:13 PM
#38:


INTERWEBUSER posted...
not from what i've seen. most have smash v1.0.5 beating smo next week.

smash is a different beast compared to mario kart

you need to do research into the contest and its history

MK games post 64 have been worth shit

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Leonhart4
04/26/20 8:10:23 PM
#39:


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CaptainOfCrush
04/26/20 8:10:32 PM
#40:


fuss row duh

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KamikazePotato
04/26/20 8:11:16 PM
#41:


Did we ever hash out the % Skyrim needed to be the favorite against Witcher 3

Because in no universe do I take Mario Kart 8 > SMG2

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Yuri_LowelI
04/26/20 8:12:35 PM
#42:


This is a poor performance by skyrim regardless

this is the same game that was going toe to toe with Metroid Prime 5 years ago

Imagine what Metroid Prime would be doing to Mk8 right now

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Leonhart4
04/26/20 8:12:36 PM
#43:


KamikazePotato posted...
Did we ever hash out the % Skyrim needed to be the favorite against Witcher 3

Because in no universe do I take Mario Kart 8 > SMG2

A doubling

Which might still be in play

It got to a doubling after a similar start against Phoenix Wright!

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Team Rocket Elite
04/26/20 8:12:38 PM
#44:


MK8 just took a Blue Shell to the knee.
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MechanicalWall
04/26/20 8:13:21 PM
#45:


INTERWEBUSER posted...
other way around, mk8 is a very popular multiplayer game so it's expected to get more votes than smg2.
Yes, and the more popular and more players that can play a game, the better!

That's why Fortnite has been such a juggernaut this contest

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Yuri_LowelI
04/26/20 8:13:26 PM
#46:


KamikazePotato posted...
Did we ever hash out the % Skyrim needed to be the favorite against Witcher 3

Because in no universe do I take Mario Kart 8 > SMG2

probably 65% + to be even

favourite? 68%

and absolutely not. Mk8 would get destroyed.

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LamarJackson
04/26/20 8:13:30 PM
#47:


I mean, Skyrim is already over 60% in the 2nd update. It could still get low 60s here, which wouldn't be a terrible result.

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lordjers
04/26/20 8:13:33 PM
#48:


KamikazePotato posted...

lol Skyrim players like the Pokeman.

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Team Rocket Elite
04/26/20 8:13:42 PM
#49:


1 person fell off the Top 50. Dark_Koopatrol got at least one match wrong last time.

Things would have gotten ugly if Batman pulled off the upset.
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CaptainOfCrush
04/26/20 8:13:51 PM
#50:


Skyrim can't establish itself as the favorite against anything in this match IMO. The Mario Kart series is too weird. It'll need a very strong showing against Pokemon to raise its stock with me.

Also, the who else thinks the highly anticipated Witcher vs Skyrim could suddenly wind up as Persona vs Dark Souls? I never would have considered Witcher losing early after Round 2, but Round 3 has been humbling for most of the heavy hitters.

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_SecretSquirrel
04/26/20 8:13:51 PM
#51:


On the bright side, Skyrim and Witcher have similar trends, so they may not draw any votes in the first five minutes.

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