Board 8 > ~GotD10s Spread Betting~ Day 15 feat. Skyrim (-72), FFXIV(-38)

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MZero11
04/09/20 11:29:16 AM
#1:


You can sign-up now or anytime during the contest. Regardless, you will be given $1000 to bet on matches as you see fit. If at any time you fall below $1000, you can bet up to $1000 but beware you can enter the negatives. The user with the most money at the end will be crowned the winner and receive a game of their choice (within reason) courtesy of your host (unless I win, then the prize will go to the runner-up).

Basically this works like sports betting with spreads, if you're familiar with that. Here's an example line:

The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild (-40) vs The Outer Worlds

If you bet on BotW, it would have to beat TOW by 40%, meaning it would have to get at least 70% of the vote (70-30 = 40). If you bet on TOW (+40) it needs to score at least 30.01% of the vote (69.99 - 30.01 = 39.98) to keep the difference in percentage, or spread, within 40 points.

So someone with $1000 bets $500 on BotW

BotW 73.12%
TOW 26.88%

BotW covers! The bet is doubled and returned for a profit of $500 and the player is now at $1500

ALTERNATE UNIVERSE

BotW 63.1%
TOW 36.9%

TOW covers! All BotW bets are lost and said player is now at $500. Even though BotW won, it didn't win by enough.

Back for this contest is 4-match days, meaning parlays are back too! For those unfamiliar, you can earn more by combining your bets, but if one is wrong you lose the whole thing. So let's say

The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild (-40) vs The Outer Worlds
Halo: Reach (-10) vs Life Is Strange

If you bet $100 on each of these individually and win, you earn a $100 profit on each, for a total of $200. However, if you parlay and both win you will get x3, meaning you win a $300 profit. However, if either match is wrong you lose the entire bet. 3 and 4 match parlays will give higher payouts, but you risk losing it all if any match in the parlay is wrong.

2-Match Parlay: 3 to 1 ($100 bet = $300 profit)
3-Match Parlay: 7 to 1 ($100 bet = $700 profit)
4-Match Parlay: 15 to 1 ($100 bet = $1500 profit)

You can choose any combination of parlays and single bets you want.

Today's Matches
The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim(-72) vs. Subnautica (Skyrim with 86%)
Fate / Grand Order vs. Journey (-16) (Journey with 58%)
Final Fantasy XIV Online: A Realm Reborn (-38) vs. Crypt of the NecroDancer (FFXIV with 69%)
Uncharted 4: A Thief's End vs. Mario Kart 8 (-10) (MK8 with 55%)

---
MZero, to the extreme
I'm a cheater at videogames - ertyu
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TheArkOfTurus
04/09/20 11:33:27 AM
#2:


MAX on Mario Kart 8

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Our eyes were removed
For our own safety
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charmander6000
04/09/20 11:42:40 AM
#3:


25% on Subnautica (+72)
25% on Fate / Grand Order (+16)
25% on Crypt of the NecroDancer (+38)
25% on Mario Kart 8 (-10)

---
Game of the Decade 2 - Current Score: 44/52
Today's Picks: Batman:AC, BS:I, D3, TLOU
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squexa
04/09/20 11:45:53 AM
#4:


HALF on subnautica

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congrats to BKSheikah the BYIG guru
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AndywoodCubeGmr
04/09/20 12:15:54 PM
#5:


If Diablo covers -
50% on MK8, Journey, Subnautica
25% on FFXIV

If Diablo doesn't cover -
MAX on MK8, Journey, Subnautica

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plasmabeam
04/09/20 12:29:33 PM
#6:


$3500 on Subnautica

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~Jacksonville Jaguars~
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Kotetsu534
04/09/20 12:47:31 PM
#7:


HALF parlay on Subnautica and MK8
25% on Fate/Grand Order

  1. 86% is crazy! Not even The Witcher and BOTW managed that. Only poor Obra Dinn got pushed so low against Mario.
  2. MK8 should win easily over UC4. It's series has declined and even at its peak kept disappointing. Shame because it's a really fun plot-driven series!
  3. Journey was absolute hot trash in the last contest, unable to break 15% on FFVII (one of the all-time most anti-voted games). Fate/GO is almost certainly comparable trash, but it should be able to get over 40% on it... right?
  4. FFXIV/CotN could finish anywhere between high 50s and mid 70s and I wouldn't be surprised. CotN's developers made that Zelda tie-in that makes me very nervous that it isn't complete crap like some other indies.

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-hotdogturtle--
04/09/20 12:52:39 PM
#8:


Thanks, I hate it.

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Hey man, LlamaGuy did encrypt the passwords.
With what? ROT-13? -CJayC
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Kotetsu534
04/09/20 12:55:46 PM
#9:


Change! Cancel both bets

Half parlay on Subnautica, Journey and Mario Kart 8

I just saw the Crew's analysis absolutely slam Fate/GO for being a mobile gacha game and I'm persuaded this site will take the same view. Journey may be crap, but at least we'll see it as a legitmate video game!

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-hotdogturtle--
04/09/20 2:26:43 PM
#10:


If Diablo 3 covers:

$2,000,000 on Journey
$2,000,000 on Mario Kart 8

If Diablo 3 fails:

Max parlay on Journey + Mario Kart 8

---
Hey man, LlamaGuy did encrypt the passwords.
With what? ROT-13? -CJayC
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SeabassDebeste
04/09/20 3:14:31 PM
#11:


half on mario kart 8
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yet all sailors of all sorts are more or less capricious and unreliable - they live in the varying outer weather, and they inhale its fickleness
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_SecretSquirrel
04/09/20 4:44:56 PM
#12:


If Diablo III covers today's spread...

75% parlay on Journey, NecroDancer, and Mario Kart

If Zero Escape covers...

MAX parlay on Journey, NecroDancer, and Mario Kart


---
Agent Triple Zero at your service!
This line reserved for the true greatone, the 2020 Guru contest winner.
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Ngamer64
04/09/20 4:55:29 PM
#13:


45% on Subnautica
10% on Journey
10% on Crypt of the Necrodancer
5% on Uncharted 4


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Advo bested even The Show hosts in 2018, yowza!
board8.wikia.com | thengamer.com/xstats
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TsunamiXXVIII
04/09/20 5:13:56 PM
#14:


MAX on Skyrim/MK8

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Also known as Cyberchao X.
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ZeldaTPLink
04/09/20 5:28:02 PM
#15:


If Diablo covers the spread:

175k on Final Fantasy
125k on Journey and Subnautica parlay
75k on Final Fantasy, Journey and Uncharted parlay
25k on Subnautica, Journey, Final Fantasy and Uncharted parlay

If it doesn't:

MAX on Subnautica, Journey, Final Fantasy and Uncharted parlay
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Kotetsu534
04/09/20 5:32:30 PM
#16:


Oh why not...

HALF on Subnautica > 14%

(In addition to the above bet. 0% chance of catching up playing safe when peeps are so far ahead.)

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ZeldaTPLink
04/09/20 5:36:04 PM
#17:


CHANGE

If Diablo covers the spread:

225k on Journey
175k on Final Fantasy and Subnautica parlay
125k on Final Fantasy, Journey and Uncharted parlay
75k on Subnautica, Journey, Final Fantasy and Uncharted parlay

If it doesn't:

MAX on Subnautica, Journey, Final Fantasy and Uncharted parlay
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GTM
04/09/20 5:50:30 PM
#18:


MAX on Subnautica/Journey/Final Fantasy/Uncharted

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GTM - Boko United
survivor and dillos and nintendo and you are awesome
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SeabassDebeste
04/09/20 6:10:19 PM
#19:


CHANGE

20% on subnautica
20% on mario kart 8
10% on mario kart 8 and subnautica PARLAY
---
yet all sailors of all sorts are more or less capricious and unreliable - they live in the varying outer weather, and they inhale its fickleness
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ZeldaTPLink
04/09/20 6:27:44 PM
#20:


CHANGE

If Diablo covers the spread:

225k on Journey
175k on Final Fantasy and Subnautica parlay
125k on Final Fantasy, Journey and Mario Kart parlay
75k on Subnautica, Journey, Final Fantasy and Mario Kart parlay

If it doesn't:

MAX on Subnautica, Journey, Final Fantasy and Uncharted parlay
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ZeldaTPLink
04/09/20 6:29:23 PM
#21:


I apologize for all the changes, but damn, those are difficult spreads!

Promise it's the last one.

CHANGE

If Diablo covers the spread:

200k on Journey
150k on Final Fantasy and Subnautica parlay
100k on Final Fantasy, Journey and Mario Kart parlay
50k on Subnautica, Journey, Final Fantasy and Mario Kart parlay

If it doesn't:

MAX on Subnautica, Journey, Final Fantasy and Mario Kart parlay
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Keltiq
04/09/20 6:30:14 PM
#22:


If Diablo covers:
$10,000,000 on Journey, FF14

If it doesn't:
90% on Journey, FF14, MK8

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I can't believe I lost the Character Battle X guru contest to some guy named Advokaiser
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Keltiq
04/09/20 6:30:53 PM
#23:


sorry those are both parlays

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I can't believe I lost the Character Battle X guru contest to some guy named Advokaiser
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AxemRedRanger
04/09/20 6:46:51 PM
#24:


Half parlay on Mario Kart 8 and Journey

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[NO BARKLEY NO PEACE]
[NO Advokaiser NO PEACE]
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tennisboy213
04/09/20 7:09:42 PM
#25:


$30,000 parlay on Subnautica/Journey
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MetalmindStats
04/09/20 7:10:52 PM
#26:


$1,000,000 on a parlay on Final Fantasy XIV and Uncharted 4.

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"I believe in a universe that doesn't care, and people who do."
You won the CBX Guru Contest, Advokaiser! Bully for you!
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Master Moltar
04/09/20 7:14:00 PM
#27:


Half parlay on Subnautica and Journey

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Moltar Status: hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
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SwiftyDC
04/09/20 7:38:04 PM
#28:


$5M parlay on Subnautica/Journey/FFXIV/Uncharted 4

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dilateDChemist
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squexa
04/09/20 7:39:57 PM
#29:


CHANGE

35% on Subnautica
25% on Subnautica/Uncharted 4/Journey parlay

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congrats to BKSheikah the BYIG guru
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MZero11
04/09/20 7:41:38 PM
#30:


HALF on Skyrim/Journey/Uncharted parlay

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MZero, to the extreme
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hylianknight3
04/09/20 7:42:43 PM
#31:


25% on Subnautica
25% on Mario Kart 8
15% on parlay of Subnautica and Mario Kart 8

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Kampfmaschine Advokaiser punched my lights out in the 2018 Guru.
My bracket was soft... just like my heart!
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SuperNiceDog
04/09/20 7:42:52 PM
#32:


5000 on Mario Kart 8

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SuperNiceChao about to win the Oracle 2020! TsunamiXXVIII and me will destroy all you noobs
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Kotetsu534
04/09/20 7:59:07 PM
#33:


Change

Cancel all bets!

HALF on Skyrim and Journey parlay
33% on Mario Kart 8

If TLOU can get 82% on CK2, maybe Skyrim can go 4 points higher on a game that should be weaker or about the same... if it misses, it'll be by <2 points.

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Agent M
04/09/20 7:59:11 PM
#34:


The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim(-72) vs. Subnautica (Skyrim with 86%)
Fate / Grand Order vs. Journey (-16) (Journey with 58%)
Final Fantasy XIV Online: A Realm Reborn (-38) vs. Crypt of the NecroDancer (FFXIV with 69%)
Uncharted 4: A Thief's End vs. Mario Kart 8 (-10) (MK8 with 55%)

$5000 on Subnautica

$2500 parlay on Subnautica / MK8 / Journey

$1000 parlay on Journey / FFXIV / MK8

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SwiftyDC
04/09/20 8:02:06 PM
#35:


L

Got destroyed today.

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dilateDChemist
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