Board 8 > Character Battle X Contest Analysis Crew - Part 6

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Leonhart4
11/14/18 7:10:27 PM
#151:


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WarThaNemesis2
11/14/18 7:10:32 PM
#152:


SEPHIROTH won the board vote
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transience
11/14/18 7:10:37 PM
#153:


I'm not gonna trust these results until Amaterasu stops holding Sephiroth to 55%

man Ammy always screws people over
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xyzzy
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Lopen
11/14/18 7:11:01 PM
#154:


Tifa is LFFing Sephiroth

Across polls
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WarThaNemesis2
11/14/18 7:11:35 PM
#155:


just wait until the kiddies go to bed

this is gonna get ugly for sephy
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Leonhart4
11/14/18 7:11:35 PM
#156:


Ammy always breaks 40% in defeat. It is the law.
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The Mana Sword
11/14/18 7:12:20 PM
#157:


registered dog votes count triple
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Lopen
11/14/18 7:13:15 PM
#158:


I think GameFAQs has just become overrun with furries

Tails, Crash, Donkey Kong, Doge.

Search your feelings you know it to be true
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WarThaNemesis2
11/14/18 7:13:17 PM
#159:


it would take an act of dog for sephiroth to win the board vote
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RoseChevalier
11/14/18 7:13:23 PM
#160:


is it finally the Year of Luigi
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tgs2
11/14/18 7:13:37 PM
#161:


Ammy is clearly being boosted by everyone paying respects to Missile.
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The Mana Sword
11/14/18 7:15:20 PM
#162:


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transience
11/14/18 7:15:23 PM
#163:


okay I'm back at it TIFA HAD BRACKETS
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xyzzy
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davidponte
11/14/18 7:15:45 PM
#164:


Tifa pls

I spent the entire first 5 minutes talking trash about X
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KommunistKoala
11/14/18 7:16:26 PM
#165:


x has to win now after the last 14 minutes
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WarThaNemesis2
11/14/18 7:16:29 PM
#166:


davidponte posted...
Tifa pls

I spent the entire first 5 minutes talking trash about X


X gon give it to ya
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WarThaNemesis2
11/14/18 7:17:54 PM
#167:


seriously though after squall won the board vote by a huge margin against zelda x losing the board vote easily to tifa shouldn't be a surprise
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KamikazePotato
11/14/18 7:18:35 PM
#168:


Phoenix Wright lost the board vote to Kirby. The board vote has not made any sense this entire contest.
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WarThaNemesis2
11/14/18 7:19:28 PM
#169:


KamikazePotato posted...
Phoenix Wright lost the board vote to Kirby. The board vote has not made any sense this entire contest.


I honestly think it's bracket voting being worth double.
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transience
11/14/18 7:20:26 PM
#170:


Kirby also has a killer board vote.
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xyzzy
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pjbasis
11/14/18 7:30:17 PM
#171:


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transcience
11/14/18 7:32:25 PM
#172:


Tifa rose 1.6% from this point in her Mewtwo match (probably slightly inflated). MMX lost .2%

could be good
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iphonesience
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KamikazePotato
11/14/18 7:36:58 PM
#173:


Tifa (relatively) lost Europe to Mewtwo, somehow.
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Leonhart4
11/14/18 7:39:26 PM
#174:


Honestly, I think as long as Tifa can keep it close like Geralt did, eventually she'll overtake X.
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WarThaNemesis2
11/14/18 7:40:55 PM
#175:


So let's talk about how Lara Croft would blow the doors off Shepard.
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Leonhart4
11/14/18 7:46:31 PM
#176:


WarThaNemesis2 posted...
So let's talk about how Lara Croft would blow the doors off Shepard.


Lara was pretty good in 2013, too!
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Lopen
11/14/18 7:48:01 PM
#177:


True story I would've taken Lara > Shepard if it was in the bracket this year

For mostly the wrong reasons (I have Lara > Ammy which will tell you my thought process) but you know. I could've looked so smart. If only.
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transcience
11/14/18 7:49:13 PM
#178:


Laras a much bigger deal in the time since 2013. not that this site cares much, but maybe some.

speaking of Geralt, this is the update where Bayonetta started to drop off until the night vote propped her up.
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iphonesience
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WarThaNemesis2
11/14/18 7:51:32 PM
#179:


Mass Effect is definitely a case of 'lucky they had a very obvious path/didn't face trash that was just slightly stronger'.

For bracket purposes, at least.
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transcience
11/14/18 7:52:05 PM
#180:


man ryu is raising better than seph. what a bum. I wonder how close that match gets. Seph is the only chance to break the noble nine but its looking more and more likely. its gonna happen this year for sure but youd think all the exposure in double elimination, etc would get them, not X or Luigi.
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iphonesience
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Lopen
11/14/18 7:55:04 PM
#181:


Seph only becomes a bum next round after he kills Ryu and scavenges his hobo sack
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WarThaNemesis2
11/14/18 7:56:07 PM
#182:


Ryu needs to break Sephiroth's Falcon score on KOS-MOS for me to feel like the upset could happen.

Not saying Sephiroth is untouchable and Ryu being the first legit character to shatter the noble nine (I think?) would be really great but low-60s on KOS-MOS isn't a confidence-inspiring performance.
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Lopen
11/14/18 7:57:50 PM
#183:


WarThaNemesis2 posted...
Ryu being the first legit character to shatter the noble nine (I think?) would be really great


Ryu is always up to test his limits through glorious FIGHT.

I prefer Seph and I'm pulling hard for this one cause it'd be too perfect in character. But yeah not too hopeful right now
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LeonhartFour
11/14/18 7:58:00 PM
#184:


Yeah, I haven't seen anything from Ryu yet that tells me, "That would beat Seph."
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WarThaNemesis2
11/14/18 7:58:39 PM
#185:


Of course if you told me 'one of these performances is by Sephiroth' I would pick neither, but Sephiroth is the kind of character to let an overperformance like this happen and still put a solid win over Ryu.
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LeonhartFour
11/14/18 7:58:45 PM
#186:


also Ryu finishing the fight after he was the first character to put a legit scare into a Noble Niner (which nobody remembers because it happened in the middle of the night) would be great
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KamikazePotato
11/14/18 7:58:50 PM
#187:


I can't take KOS-MOS over Captain Falcon.

Amaterasu always being able to exceed expectations is one of my favorite recurring contest bits, though.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
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WarThaNemesis2
11/14/18 8:02:08 PM
#188:


Weirdly Ryu's win over Shepard is what made me first think he had a shot against Sephiroth.

Captain Falcon's strength is pretty much all Smash.

King K. Rool's strength right now is pretty much all Smash, but amped up due to being one of the focuses of Smash hype.

I guess we'll find out in 4 days?
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LeonhartFour
11/14/18 8:04:23 PM
#189:


well Zelda has confirmed that ME is just garbage this year but either way Shepard being on Lloyd Irving's level was a big red flag anyway
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KamikazePotato
11/14/18 8:04:49 PM
#190:


Shepard vs. Lloyd would have been absolutely wild. Lloyd probably leads in the first five minutes.
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transience
11/14/18 8:07:54 PM
#191:


oh yeah how'd those Zelda xstats end up
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xyzzy
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LeonhartFour
11/14/18 8:08:41 PM
#192:


I just got home from work so I haven't finished them yet

I'll post the first six divisions' X-Stats here in a bit
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transience
11/14/18 8:15:26 PM
#193:


man this match is swingy

make up your mind
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xyzzy
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LeonhartFour
11/14/18 8:51:17 PM
#194:


X-Stats up to this point:

Division 1

Ganondorf 50.00%
Dante 43.60%
Chun-Li 41.09%
Spyro the Dragon 36.02%
Lightning 29.98%
Cuphead 24.77%
Neku Sakuraba 21.40%
Chloe Price 15.48%

Vivi 50.00%
Donkey Kong 45.02%
Leon Kennedy 39.91%
Tidus 38.78%
Yu Narukami 25.11%
Dragonborn 25.00%
Aya Brea 24.55%
Victor Sullivan 19.86%

Division 2

Zero 50.00%
Knuckles the Echidna 43.85%
Wario 39.75%
Zidane Tribal 37.89%
Master Hand 31.03%
Monika 28.17%
Noctis Lucis Caelum 26.35%
Primrose 25.82%

Pikachu 50.00%
Yoshi 45.20%
Kratos 36.59%
Scorpion 33.59%
Velvet Crowe 26.55%
Shantae 23.26%
James Sunderland 20.69%
John Marston 19.63%

Division 3

Pokemon Trainer Red 50.00%
Sora 49.10%
Big Boss 47.82%
Crash Bandicoot 45.08%
Ridley 41.45%
Cecil Harvey 41.31%
Ryo Hazuki 30.36%
Neptune 24.68%

Alucard 50.00%
Princess Peach 43.19%
Kefka 40.56%
Yuna 40.38%
Bomberman 32.59%
L-Block 32.29%
Kazuma Kiryu 25.50%
Godot 22.16%

Division 4

Bowser 50.00%
Charizard 43.45%
2B 41.81%
Terra Branford 41.02%
Ness 38.70%
Shadow the Hedgehog 36.17%
Gordon Freeman 22.61%
Cayde-6 18.56%

Kirby 50.00%
Phoenix Wright 31.69%
Ike 31.27%
Isaac 29.71%
Chris Redfield 27.30%
Guile 25.46%
Joel 23.56%
Estelle Bright 21.02%

Division 5

Zelda 50.00%
Squall Leonhart 36.68%
The Boss 29.30%
Garrus Vakarian 26.39%
Ramza Beoulve 26.06%
Metal Sonic 25.48%
Ezio Auditore da Firenze 24.67%
Hat Kid 17.69%

Aerith Gainsborough 50.00%
Fox McCloud 47.30%
Jill Valentine 43.42%
Waluigi 42.57%
Captain Toad 40.01%
Shovel Knight 37.95%
D. Va 26.94%
Aloy 25.36%

Division 6

Geralt 50.00%
Bayonetta 49.12%
Simon Belmont 47.81%
Pac-Man 47.09%
Ryu Hayabusa 47.06%
Rosalina 43.97%
Riku 34.97%
Sans 26.96%

Auron 50.00%
Vincent Valentine 44.20%
Sub-Zero 43.29%
Magus 42.53%
Lucina 34.56%
Shulk 32.41%
Claire Redfield 29.21%
Joker/Ren Amamiya 27.12%
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transience
11/14/18 8:57:43 PM
#195:


thanks Leon.

man, Bowser's division looks crazy. maybe Bowser is the fraud?
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xyzzy
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LeonhartFour
11/14/18 8:58:51 PM
#196:


Ness has to be able to beat Ike pretty badly for Bowser to win next round...!
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Lopen
11/14/18 8:59:56 PM
#197:


Heh. Ness vs Ike was the big red flag for me too.
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transience
11/14/18 9:04:37 PM
#198:


Kirby still looks great

though I'm not sure if anyone can do what Zelda did yesterday
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xyzzy
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KamikazePotato
11/14/18 9:07:00 PM
#199:


Ness and Ike have generally been even in the stats, so uh, good luck Bowser
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Haste_2
11/14/18 9:44:03 PM
#200:


LeonhartFour posted...
also Ryu finishing the fight after he was the first character to put a legit scare into a Noble Niner (which nobody remembers because it happened in the middle of the night) would be great


Wow, I forgot about Ryu beating Sonic overnight clear back in 2004... man, trends were so much more pronounced back in those days. Even more extreme than that, Kefka was beating Knuckles overnight in the same contest, but Knuckles ultimately won with 57.43%.

Maybe Kirby overperformed on Phoenix? Phoenix really got hammered in a match with Mario before. But I really do think Luigi is overperforming on Tails.
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